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dell_stk 457 posts  |  Last Activity: Jun 14, 2013 1:21 PM Member since: Nov 3, 1998
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  • Reply to

    June $14 Calls

    by smjohnson119 Jun 13, 2013 2:25 PM
    dell_stk dell_stk Jun 14, 2013 1:21 PM Flag

    I don't what you are, but MBIA will reach $25 soon.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    June $14 Calls

    by smjohnson119 Jun 13, 2013 2:25 PM
    dell_stk dell_stk Jun 14, 2013 1:04 PM Flag

    I will wake you up after I sell MBIA at $25.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • by ohmygoddard on BBweek article.

    These claims of ownership toward Fannie and Freddie by our government are false. Their talk of abolishing these companies is in line with the rest of their progress -- it lacks substantial results, it's based on illogical assumptions, and it doesn't reflect what the people are calling for. You cannot take property in a solvent company when your mission was to repair the damage done to them by banks committing fraud. IF you think that you are going to get away with this, you better think again.

    There is no way in hell that the government will take taxpayer's property, investments, and future without a fight. You bailed out your cronies at the banks, provided them with insider information, and then loaded Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with your debt. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were performing better than any other real estate business at the time, and Paulson and company forced the hand. Read the legal documents. You didn't have the right to take the businesses, and you still don't have the right to take their money. You could have provided a loan like you did to AIG, but instead, you greedy slime in congress are attempting to overturn years of progress.

    If Obama sides with these idiots in congress, then the future of housing is in danger. And my confidence in this country's ability to render justice is completely lost. I will continue to share this view until the day I die, unless something is done to restore the shareholders, the businesses, and release them from the corrupt government left by Bush et al.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    June $14 Calls

    by smjohnson119 Jun 13, 2013 2:25 PM
    dell_stk dell_stk Jun 13, 2013 10:31 PM Flag

    If price closes at $14.90 or even $15.20 you will lose money if you had paid 20 cents premium for $15 SP.
    If you had not taken any action by not selling $14 and buying $15, you could have made more money selling at $15.20.

    Either way there is no free lunch in this market! It's all time and price, both should fall in our favor to make money.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • dell_stk dell_stk Jun 13, 2013 10:25 PM Flag

    Quite possible that Bruce could have benefited from options activity. Since he stopped selling he could have bought some call options after May 31, as supply of shares have reduced and the demand for the shares will pickup. So Bruce could have pocketed some gains with his call options.

    Or somebody knowing that Bruce has stopped selling could have bought some call options and could have got benefited.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • dell_stk dell_stk Jun 13, 2013 6:59 PM Flag

    So we are here at $2 now. MMs tried their best to scare people in Aug 2012 when FNMA was trading at 25 cents. Now again the MMs are trying their best to scare people. I repeat this again that PATIENCE is the mantra here!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Interesting to note that there are so

    by dell_stk Jun 26, 2012 5:45 PM
    dell_stk dell_stk Jun 13, 2013 6:53 PM Flag

    When I posted this a year ago then FNMA was trading at 26 cents!!!
    Now it is trading around 10 times last year.

    IMO, next year same time we could see FNMA trading again 10 times the current valuation (~$20).
    I think we could see real upside, lot of potential, folks don't sell....
    Add as much as you can at these low levels.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • dell_stk dell_stk Jun 13, 2013 1:26 PM Flag

    Besides, three days ago MBIA closed @ $14.27 and high was $14.38. We have now 8 more days and there is a huge possibility for this buyer of 5000+ contracts to make money with today's purchase at 15 cents.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • dell_stk dell_stk Jun 13, 2013 1:22 PM Flag

    I have seen many a times around options expiration there will be huge swings in the PPS. MMs can always buy back these shares or make options goes worthless depending upon who wrote these calls. All I am saying is that somebody is betting that the PPS could go up. This somebody could be big investor with some information in hand which common or small investors are not aware of.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • dell_stk dell_stk Jun 13, 2013 1:14 PM Flag

    At least $20 in next 3-6 months, mark this post. S&P is seeing good potential, otherwise it wouldn't have upgraded 5 MBIA insured housing revs.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Thu Jun 13, 2013 12:39pm EDT
    June 13 (Reuters) - Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said
    on Thursday it raised the ratings on five MBIA Insurance
    Corp-insured housing revenue bonds to B from CCC, citing the
    upgrade of MBIA Insurance Corp on May 8.
    "All of these issues receive partial support via guaranteed
    investment contracts or investment agreements from MBIA
    Insurance Corp.," said S&P credit analyst Renee Berson.
    If the issuer decides to end, replace or guarantee the
    existing agreements, and provide cash flows demonstrating the
    ability to pay bond obligations without relying on interest
    earnings from investment agreements, S&P will take appropriate
    rating action, the rating agency said in a statement.
    The following issuers ratings were raised to B:
    -- Alameda Housing Authority, Calif.'s (Ginnie Mae
    collateralized - Independence Plaza Apartments) series 1998A
    multifamily housing revenue refunding bonds;
    -- Nevada Housing Division's (Diamond Creek Apartments
    project) series 1999A multi-unit housing revenue bonds;
    -- Nevada Housing Division's (Diamond Creek Apartments
    project) series 1999B multi-unit housing revenue bonds;
    -- San Jose, Calif.'s (Federal Housing
    Administration-insured mortgage loan - Sixth and Martha Family
    Apartments - Phase II) series 2001C multifamily housing revenue
    bonds; and
    -- San Jose, Calif.'s (Village Parkway Senior Apartments)
    series 2001D multifamily housing revenue bonds.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • dell_stk dell_stk Jun 13, 2013 12:37 PM Flag

    Looks like you are a newbie.
    One who originated the call at a much higher price is not obligated to buy back his calls. Here the buyer could be anyone and this buyer is betting that MBIA will go higher than $14 in a week or so.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Who are the buyers of these calls? We are seeing so much of activity in call options lately, but the PPS is not moving much?
    IMO, we could suddenly see a pop in price by $2 on a single day, otherwise this high activity of call options doesn't make any sense.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • dell_stk dell_stk Jun 13, 2013 12:51 AM Flag

    one more B

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • dell_stk dell_stk Jun 13, 2013 12:49 AM Flag

    Great post please keep coming such posts.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • dell_stk dell_stk Jun 12, 2013 5:05 PM Flag

    YEP!!!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • The bank last Friday announced a nationwide round of job cuts in its mortgage servicing unit that would eliminate roughly 1,800 jobs, according to a person familiar with the matter. The two regions hit hardest by the layoffs: Albion, N.Y., where an entire call center will be closed, and Tampa, Fla., otherwise a growth area for the bank.

    JPMorgan in February said it would cut up to 17,000 jobs, with the bulk of these layoffs coming from the mortgage servicing unit, which deals with soliciting payments from delinquent borrowers.

    An improving credit landscape means fewer loans are delinquent—and fewer people are needed to service these loans. It would seem credit is improving faster than expected: The layoffs in JPMorgan's mortgage unit—up to 15,000 by the end of 2014—are more than halfway done.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    buying in here eom

    by indexit Jun 12, 2013 3:37 PM
    dell_stk dell_stk Jun 12, 2013 3:41 PM Flag

    Added some more at $13.31

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • dell_stk dell_stk Jun 12, 2013 12:43 PM Flag

    I also think Bruce is adding more stake in Fannie and Freddie as FNF shares can grow multiple times verses MBIA shares just doubling in the near term. I won't be surprised if Bruce is even adding FNF commons as commons as even more multiples than pfds.

    I think Bruce might still keep some stake in MBIA.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • On May 31, Berkowitz reduced his holdings in MBIA by 92.84%. Berkowitz sold a total of 29,175,720 shares of MBIA at an average price of $14.25 per share, representing a 5.07% impact to his portfolio. Since his sell the price per share of MBIA has dropped 4%. The guru still maintains 2.25 million shares of MBIA, dropping it to one of Berkowitz’s smaller holdings. The shares Berkowitz now owns represent just over 1% of MBIA’s shares outstanding.

    Berkowitz bought into MBIA during the second quarter of 2010 at an average price of $7.66 per share. Since that buy, the price per share of the company has jumped 79.4%.

    During the first quarter of 2013 Berkowitz decreased his holdings of MBIA by 26.05% by selling a massive total of 11,069,600 shares at an average price of $10.02 per share. Berkowitz ended the first quarter holding on to 31,425,820 shares of MBIA. Prior to his recent selling of MBIA stock, the company was one of the guru’s largest holdings.

    Berkowitz’s reduction of MBIA came right as Fairholme took on a $500 million stake in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Berkowitz reported to CNBC in regards to his new position:

    The time to restructure Fannie and Freddie is upon us, sustaining our nation’s economic recovery requires it. On behalf of the hundreds of thousands of Fairholme shareholders who helped to rebuild American International Group, Bank of America, CIT Group, General Growth Properties, MBIA and others after the Great Recession – we stand ready to do our part.

    Based on the Peter Lynch Valuation of MBIA, the company appears to be undervalued:

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

MSFT
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