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Simulations Plus, Inc. Message Board

dickmilde 15 posts  |  Last Activity: May 9, 2015 6:48 AM Member since: Jan 2, 2000
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  • Reply to

    Over 90 Million shares yesterday

    by dickmilde May 8, 2015 7:33 AM
    dickmilde dickmilde May 9, 2015 6:48 AM Flag

    90 Million ???? That's over 5 X the number of outstanding shares.. I must have missed my morning coffee !
    The correct number is 90,000 shares.

  • That's more than 4 X the average volume and the stock was up for the day. Maybe we are close to the bottom of the recent price decline and larger investors see good value here.

  • The margins for the Cognigen part of the business are on their way to getting better...
    " May 14-16 - Introductory Workshop in Population PK Data Analysis - A Hands-on Course Using NONMEM® in Niagara Falls, NY. Cognigen will be conducting the workshop. "
    In other words Walt is not wasting any time to find productive work for this side of the business. The presentation and workshop activity is a proven model that has generated leads for additional sales.

  • Reply to

    The Gold Standard just got better

    by dickmilde Apr 30, 2015 12:50 PM
    dickmilde dickmilde May 2, 2015 6:52 PM Flag

    Walt is VERY conservative... I mean, look at the balance sheet... I'm an engineer and even I can understand it ! The entire business is squeaky clean, no debt and growing. SLP is the company that the best business schools should use as their case model on how to run a business. Getting out of microcap status is hard to do but Walt has made huge progress... I was invested here when the market cap was under $4 million and now we are near $100 million. That's a commendable achievement. They continue to do all the right things so I will continue to hold my shares.

  • Reply to

    The Gold Standard just got better

    by dickmilde Apr 30, 2015 12:50 PM
    dickmilde dickmilde May 2, 2015 12:35 PM Flag

    That's impossible to predict... There are too many variables with the most important being the growth/profitability of the company, the investor perception of the future and the direction of the overall market.
    I think what's going on right now is an adjustment that investors are putting on the lower operating margins. The Cognigen acquisition is a good fit for SLP but comes with a downside in that it reduces the combined margin of the business. You can be sure that Walt is very tuned into this and is finding productive things for the Cognigen employees to work on that will result in additional sales, earnings and improved margins. The recent addition to the marketing and sales team is a step in this direction. The big question is how long will it take to see the results. Certainly more than 2 or 3 quarters. I think overall SLP is a better business as a result of the acquisition and it will take some time for this to become clear to the investing community. I have a very long term view on this so I am still fully invested in SLP. It is by far my largest position.
    If I knew when the stock price bottoms and turns back up I wouldn't be spending time on message boards :-)

  • GastroPlus 9.0 has been released.
    "Already the most widely used program in the world for physiologically based pharmacokinetics (PBPK), the addition of these new capabilities is expected to expand the user base earlier into the research & development process within the pharmaceutical industry, while also helping us further penetrate the biopharmaceuticals, food, cosmetics, and general toxicology markets.”
    Simulations Plus is always coming up with new and better offerings for the industry... SLP will be a larger company next year !

  • dickmilde by dickmilde Apr 29, 2015 4:03 PM Flag

    Payable on May 18th. The current annual rate is over 3%. Not bad in a zero rate environment.
    There are actually many places where you can "invest" for a negative return... Yes... you have to pay them to hold your money! JP Morgan and Citi recently announced that they are no longer allowing cash to be used for certain payments and that cash is not allowed to be held in safety deposit boxes. The thinking is that negative rates can be applied to digital accounts/transactions but not to actual notes as in cash.
    Anyway... It's nice to see that SLP continues to share it's success and good fortunes with the share holders.

  • Key Investment Considerations:
    Maintaining Speculative Buy rating and lowering our 12-month price target to $7.55 from $8.50 per share due
    to diminished sector valuations.
    SLP’s growth will be driven by the increasing use of software tools and analytics for drug discovery and
    development. The September 2014 acquisition of privately held Cognigen Corporation is boosting revenue.
    Cognigen provides a detailed understanding of the behavior of complex systems for disease biology and drug
    pharmacology during Phase I through IV of clinical drug development. Cognigen should generate sales of at
    least $4.7 million in FY15.

    Simulations Plus shares are suited for risk-tolerant investors seeking exposure to a micro cap software
    company targeting research scientists in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and drug development sectors.

    Yahoo will not let me post the report... Google Taglich.

  • Go to the SLP web site and click on "Investors" and select " Conference calls ". It's good to see that Cognigen is making a contribution to earnings... I expect that their margins will improve and investors that are patient will be well rewarded.

  • Reply to

    I think the selling is insider sales

    by kauiakid Apr 2, 2015 3:45 PM
    dickmilde dickmilde Apr 5, 2015 12:28 PM Flag

    Buying or selling stock by insiders requires a form 4 to be posted at the SEC web site.
    Can you provide us with a link that shows stock sales? Thanks.

  • Reply to

    I think the selling is insider sales

    by kauiakid Apr 2, 2015 3:45 PM
    dickmilde dickmilde Apr 3, 2015 7:41 PM Flag

    Insider stock transactions are required by law to be reported at the SEC web site. There are no sales reported... No form 4's indicating sales. Why do you think insiders are selling? Where is the evidence?

  • Reply to

    I think the selling is insider sales

    by kauiakid Apr 2, 2015 3:45 PM
    dickmilde dickmilde Apr 3, 2015 6:45 AM Flag

    The last time an insider reduced their stock position was on Aug 28, 2014. This was when Virginia Woltoz GIFTED 119,000 shares. sec dot gov/Archives/edgar/data/1023459/000122252714000001/xslF345X03/primary_doc.xml In other words the shares weren't even sold... They were given as a gift.
    But I could be wrong about this, if you would be kind enough to provide us with a link that confirms your opinion, Thanks.

  • Reply to

    I notice that SLP does some business overseas.

    by jridley17 Mar 19, 2015 10:20 AM
    dickmilde dickmilde Mar 20, 2015 8:19 AM Flag

    Yes, the strong US$$ does impact earnings. But, it seems to be a modest amount. For the Q ending November the amount was $7790 which represents a little bit over 1% of " Income from operations ". So it is real but doesn't look like it changes the big picture. You can see this amount identified as "Loss on currency exchange" by looking at the 10Q at the SEC web site.
    sec dot gov/Archives/edgar/data/1023459/000101968715000187/slp_10q-113014.htm

  • Preliminary revenues for the three months ended February 28, 2015 were $4.544 million, compared to $3.081 million for the same period in 2014, this represents an increase of 47.5% or $1.462 million. $1.241 million of the 2QFY15 revenues increase is attributed to Cognigen Corporation, which was acquired at the beginning of the 2015 fiscal year.
    There is an additional $250,000 in revenues that got pushed into the first week of the next quarter. This will be a nice bump for the following reporting period.

  • dickmilde by dickmilde Mar 4, 2015 2:03 PM Flag

    Go to the SLP web site and select "Events" and then " Conferences ". The SLP scientists will be attending 8 sessions this month... That's averaging 2 per week. There is something new as well...

    "March 7-14 - IEEE Aerospace Conference 2015 in Big Sky, MT. Simulations Plus will be attending and presenting the following papers:
    "Near Real-time Characterization of Unknown Missiles in Flight Using Computational Intelligence"
    "Rapid Calculation of Missile Aerodynamic Coefficients Using Artificial Neural Networks"
    And that's not all... Looking under the " Workshops " section there is a long itinerary all the way into October.
    SLP continues to grow.

SLP
5.84-0.04(-0.68%)Jun 2 4:00 PMEDT