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Silicon Motion Technology Corp. Message Board

dirtywill88 22 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 13, 2015 11:17 AM Member since: Feb 7, 2012
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  • Reply to

    Dream On

    by char5es Apr 9, 2015 5:46 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Apr 10, 2015 3:15 PM Flag

    Actually, from my perspective there is a reason. You are projecting and I am and have been for sometime concerned about the fragility of your ego. Projection is a psychological defense utilized to protect one's sense of self or ego, particularly at times when they perceive their ego is threatened.

  • Reply to

    Not good

    by char5es Feb 5, 2015 4:48 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Feb 5, 2015 8:57 PM Flag

    Again, you are not paying attention, you are sticking to an old narrative that was meaningfully put aside tonight, despite trader mentality that will likely persist...

    Murphy was what he is - the solution. If you had listened to the CC you might realize this was not about year over year, this was about QUARTER OVER QUARTER... This was about stopping the blood flow that they can control and genuinely restating what the correct path must be... slow and steady... nickels and pennies.

    Qover Q ebitda up 75pct - that's not the norm with respect to the old narrative. That's PROGRESS. Industry standard progress that will translate over time. That is reality.

    Why else do you suppose once combative analysts CONGRATULATED THE GUY!

  • Reply to

    Hmmm

    by dirtywill88 Jan 15, 2015 4:34 AM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Feb 4, 2015 7:55 AM Flag

    Should be interesting indeed... The east 86th fairway is a MONSTER. It enjoys total market share of the surrounding area(ever walk by the eerily and constantly empty Gristides Mega Market?). The u.e.s fairway also continues to grow as a destination hub for the entire u.e.s.

    Not as likely we will see what happened in Red Hook play out here - however, in the short term, I would expect WFM to do whatever they can to steal market share - something they can readily afford.

    Very interesting.

  • Reply to

    Buyout down the road

    by yukifish26 Feb 16, 2015 9:53 AM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Feb 16, 2015 1:11 PM Flag

    When you say Sterling is going to want their money back, what do you mean? Are you suggesting that Sterling has not made their initial investment in Fairway back?

    Do have any idea how much Sterling has made off of Fairway?

    I am not trying to insult you - but what you are implying indicates that you may be a total idiot.

    As a long term holder, perhaps I could offer you some more reasonable sounding reasons to sell this stock than what you are suggesting.

    Let me know if you're interested.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Dream On

    by char5es Apr 9, 2015 5:46 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Apr 10, 2015 11:35 AM Flag

    Char5es - been some time. Perhaps you should start off by aknowledging your mistaken view on price action - you may have regained credibility.

    You have no concept off book what the appeal of this company is to suitors pre bankruptcy.

    Furthermore, debt is often a profitable or positive attribute - remember the mortgage crisis?

  • Reply to

    Dream On

    by char5es Apr 9, 2015 5:46 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Apr 10, 2015 12:27 PM Flag

    I am not in competition with you but our timelines w respect to my interest in this stock started in the mid 7's - for about 9 months you were a frequent poster as to what you considered a falling knife that would not stop until bankruptcy = 0$

    You are free to characterize the surge from 2.12 to these levels any way you like but the point is you were wrong and seemingly lacked the integrity to admit so than or now.

    I always listened to your views, weighed them against my own, and kept accumulating sub 3 - so again, if you want to talk about winners, I'd be happy to show you where I stand, but, I am more interested in character - an area where you have let a bunch of us down.

    Good luck turning that around. I hope you find happiness one day.

  • Reply to

    and another thing

    by low22jaybird Feb 6, 2015 1:29 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Feb 6, 2015 2:33 PM Flag

    The reality is the guy was brutally honest, calm yet confident, while laying out an uncomplicated formula towards longstanding growth within an industry that he is obviously more than familiar. To say his presence marked a drastic change from former management would be an understatement.

    Oh, and in 90+ days he backed it all up.

    75pct q over q ebitda growth is substantial.

    nickels and pennies.

    1pct in this business and particularly at their unprescented customer volume i$ meaningful.

    He also aknowledged headwinds - eg wfm on ues - though I felt he may have overstated the pct hit fwm ues will take.

    long and strong.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Not good

    by char5es Feb 5, 2015 4:48 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Feb 5, 2015 7:44 PM Flag

    Absolutely will buy hand over fist again if/when it dips below 3 - also not sure you understand the industry as you allege to. For starters, you do realize debt is still where it was approx 24 months ago?

  • Reply to

    Not Good but Good

    by mdx2000z Feb 6, 2015 9:15 AM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Feb 6, 2015 10:00 AM Flag

    man... i wish this was dropping more... maybe folks wising up

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • dirtywill88 by dirtywill88 Feb 6, 2015 11:03 AM Flag

    Maybe you should short more... :(

  • btw
    "The New York-based company said it had a loss of 25 cents per share. Losses, adjusted for stock option expense and severance costs, came to 4 cents per share."

  • Reply to

    Buyout by Whole Foods

    by friendlymike100 Feb 19, 2015 4:07 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Feb 19, 2015 4:24 PM Flag

    Not really sure about that... though they tried to buy Fairway in 2004 well before they went public, their continuous, recent, and planned future expansion into NYC would suggest otherwise.

    Kroger from my perspective has always been the obvious suitor.

  • Reply to

    Kroger

    by rodsankey Mar 29, 2015 3:22 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Mar 29, 2015 9:18 PM Flag

    Far from an offer but, like I've been saying for the past 8 months, if it's going to be anyone it'll be KR...

  • dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Apr 9, 2015 4:13 PM Flag

    I have always maintained Kroger as the likely buyer however today's rumor mill suggests private equity either financing or purchasing full out and taking business private(which most realize is the least resistant path to long term profitability)... Stay tuned and look out for enormous drops and spikes.

  • dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Apr 9, 2015 4:20 PM Flag

    According to speculation it would be an equity stake/position - at a discounted rate.. Though this would be my least preferable option, it would be fine.

  • Reply to

    Dream On

    by char5es Apr 9, 2015 5:46 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Apr 13, 2015 11:17 AM Flag

    I think the answer to that was pretty clear in last Q's CC - that said, last q was by most metrics a "bad" q - yet the stock has surged b/c of some significant margin and shrink improvements under new leadership.

    So I guess it's in how you define "bad" at this stage for this particular company.

  • Reply to

    Not good

    by char5es Feb 5, 2015 4:48 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Feb 6, 2015 8:31 AM Flag

    I agree they will likely not be profitable in 6 months - but much of that will have to do with severance terms. Need to look through Glickberg's parting package again but I am fairly certain he must sell all or most of his stock in the next 14 days which will likely help short position and add to my long.

    Again, not sure you listened to the conf call but they talked about their new strategy on expansion - building smaller stores for less. In fact they raised enough to do so this qtr. Murphy could not have been clearer that this is no longer about the mirage of overnight expansion. This is about continuing to correct the underline isoperational sues - go after the nickels and dimes - expand slowly - I do not care about 6 months - I care about ten years and in that time I love the odds that this business will be worth at least ten times what it is now.

  • Reply to

    Buyout by Whole Foods

    by friendlymike100 Feb 19, 2015 4:07 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Feb 20, 2015 10:31 AM Flag

    They are the biggest player in the biggest market in the u.s

  • Reply to

    Not good

    by char5es Feb 5, 2015 4:48 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Feb 5, 2015 8:04 PM Flag

    was responding to the guy before you... I found your point measured and fair.

  • Reply to

    Buyout by Whole Foods

    by friendlymike100 Feb 19, 2015 4:07 PM
    dirtywill88 dirtywill88 Feb 20, 2015 12:42 PM Flag

    Well, the real question here is whether or not Kroger would be interested in the market/tri state area... where they currently have no presence... If the answer is yes, I would argue that Fairway is the obvious choice because of their growing infastructure that services the surrounding area... also, Fairway is in not really a play on the organic boom, it's really a play on fairway's particular model which quite frankly is very different from WFM...

    All that said, perhaps Kroger would want to buy Gristides instead(might make more sense in some ways) - arguably - but I could assure you, even though they do 1/3 the revenue with more than double the store count - their owner is not looking to sell cheap...

SIMO
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