Both posting with authority without actually addressing the prior post.My hypothesis is actually based on the reality that the average investor not dig too deep in the numbers to begin with.
-The post was about a trade, not an investment.
-Whether you want to call in creative book keeping or not is it possible that they could match or be close to last quarters 300,000 operating number?
-Since they raised their credit limit last quarter what are the odds that they are going to go to the well again (that would be a new agreement not a draw down)?
-Most importantly you did not address the point about the option values.If you know how to read a quarterly as you claim you should be able to answer the simple question.If this stock stays below 2.00 until the end of June, will 1 million dollars show up as profit on the bottom line of next quarter numbers?
A significant bottom line profit even if much of it is based on option re valuation often will cause a short term pop in these small cap stocks regardless of the underlying truth.
All you have to do is look around at all of the small caps that this is happening too. As long as they have the top line number grow and no adverse credit issues occur in the quarter most have a pop after the number comes out.
Of course you do realize that if you had bought an S&P index fund on May 2009, a little over 4 years ago you would be up over 145%.
It is pretty simple, the stock was at 1.74 at the end of trading on December 31 and 2.62 at the close on March 31.This caused a 1,308,954 change in the value of the options that are held in the company.This number was placed as a charge against earnings.
The GAAP number that was backed out to show the non GAAP profit of 293,011 was the change in the value of the options.
If the rest of the numbers for this next quarter are similar to the last, even the cash burn, the traders who look at the bottom line will likely jump at the number.
Lets see, a 300,000 in operational profit and instead of a 1,308,954 charge because of the rise in the value of the options they get over a 1 million dollar gain on the bottom line as long as the stock price does not rise too much before the end of June.The value of the options have fallen so far from 2.62 a share to 1.90.So a million dollars gets added back to the bottom line of the GAAP numbers because of the change in the value of the options without the company doing anything at all.
While I would not put a large part of my portfolio on these types of bets, you would be surprised at how often this trade plays out favorably because the average investor does not dig too deeply into the numbers.
Look for potential small cap GAAP pop on next quarters numbers as long as the stock stays around 2 or less by the end of June and the top line numbers grow.
You were posting all day Friday about me, got in a flame war with someone else all weekend and continued to camp out and post rude childish garbage all week.
It is not very difficult to figure out the poster that does not have a life.
It would be the d bag that thinks that a message board is his an he needs to defend it 24/7.
Hmmm, who would that be? LOL
Another lost weekend.
Looks like short bus spent the whole weekend defending the board!!!!!! ROFLMAO
Keep swinging away with the #$%$ erotic posts, the few on the board are really buying into the shtick.
Don't bother talking about the stock, no one really wants to do that.
The sales growth has slowed a little.The stock could continue to drift down with the market if there is no catalyst before next months sales numbers.The company should operationally show a profit for the quarter, with a loss because of the debt payments if the sales growth does not increase over the next 2 months.
If the stock stays below 2.00 until the end of June, the change in the value of the options will allow the company to show a profit in the second quarter.
Keep deluding yourself dippy.
You post 1000 times a day to show you control the board, while everyone else goes off and lives their lives!!!! ROFLMAO
Funny Irish posting like a demon to knock any real posts down the board.
Meanwhile he does not make any useful posts in regards to the stock.
Why should today be different than any other.
This pretty much says it all.
the village idjut admits that he either falls in love or hate with a stock.His position will not change based on valuation changes or seemingly on the companies results.
All I am here to do is make money I will look to the companies valuation and the numbers that I expectthe company to release.If I think that the stock i going to move based on the change in options values you can bet I will try and take advantage of that belief.
Dippy can scream for team short and proclaim his genius after the fact, all I want to do is get a nice return on my assets.
Shortbus is still trying to knock any actual posts off of the board with his schizo playing with himself.
Dippy is still posting non stop bs to try and move evidence of any real calls off of the board.
Irish posting like a demon to knock the evidence as far down the board as he can.
Keep posting spaz, as i said before maybe you will at least start to convince yourself that you were calling things in advance. ROFLMAO
The board d-bag not only missed the short in March, it appears he missed the call for the stock to rise going into the numbers and then fall on the release of the numbers.
Yesterday he was busy protesting that his short was closed and made no mention of a new short ,but after the fact he is making the claim again.
Check the date April 2,
Stock to rise going into the numbers (long), fall on the release of the numbers short before release and then look for a possible re-entry point.
Of course the little tool is busy screaming what a genius he is and how stupid everyone else is.
All anyone has to do is look back at these old posts.
Of course they would have to go through pages of his #$%$ erotic rants to get to any of the legit posts.
Don't worry Irish,keep slinging the bs, maybe you will at least convince yourself you have a clue. LOL
I remember posting many times about how the changing value of the options,interest and muted sales growth during the first quarter was going to cause a large paper loss, but I don't remember you mentioning it once anywhere in your constant sycophantic rants and childish musings.
I don't think that I am going to get anywhere near the pullback that I was looking for in calling for a 1.50 re-entry point and I do not think it was a mistake that the numbers were released today with tomorrow being the Thursday that SSS for the prior month should be released. A positive number could mute the expected pullback.
I hope that I am wrong and the pullback is as big as it was last fall so that I could get a nice re-entry point, but I have my doubts.
SSS could rise from 5% a few percentage points to bring the combined total back up to or over 10%, but that would be ignoring an important number.
There is a reason total sales only increased 5% in the first quarter and 1% for February and 2% for March and that is because the wholesale numbers dropped significantly
An 11% increase in January decelerated to 2% in February and dropped to a -7% for march. If that trend continues the company could end up going another year without being profitable.Either the SSS growth has to start rising again or the trend on the wholesale numbers have to reverse course.
I am still expecting the quarterly figures to cause a drop in the stock while the monthly numbers should give an indication of whether going long the stock should be good investment moving forward or not.
Not someone who hates or loves the stock, just interested in continuing to make money here.
The board bully seems to have gotten himself all wound up while i wasn't even on the board.
Here is a novel idea, stop attacking people while acting like the heel in professional wrestling in your posts and actually write something about the stock.
Sheer volume of obnoxious posts attacking people while making inflated claims does not really help your case.
-Lets see independently wealth man of leisure that camps out on the board and posts round the clock
-Claims to be a great investors while proclaiming that he never makes mistakes.
-Constantly tries to attack anyone who tries to bring any real conversation about the stock to the board
-Uses attacks on gender and sexuality to try and belittle posters.
None of this adds up to a wealthy successful retired business man.
It seems to add up to someone who is younger with anger control issues feeling that they can treat people on a board in a way that they would never in person.
The board is not about ownership and I realize that it definitely not the best place to get the information to make a final decision on a stock, but it is a place where some informal information could be found in regards to companies so that people might be able to make more informed decisions in regards to their investing.
Between the spam , the trolls and the falling traffic, the boards are becoming less and less useful every day.