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People's United Financial Inc. Message Board

dogma_blade 11 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 22, 2014 1:22 PM Member since: Feb 16, 2010
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  • dogma_blade dogma_blade Aug 15, 2014 10:43 AM Flag

    Gee a 25% to 30% return in the three days following the numbers being released.

    I am so disappointed ! ROFLMAO

  • Reply to

    SNS expanding nicely

    by bigjim1437 Jul 29, 2014 6:24 PM
    dogma_blade dogma_blade Aug 4, 2014 4:34 PM Flag

    From quarterly reports.

    As of April 11 2012 Company owned and franchised S&S outlets 493
    As of April 9 2014 Company owned and franchised S&S outlets 530

    That is 37 new outlets over that last 2 years.

    Where are the 63+ outlets you are mentioning?

  • Reply to

    Food for Thought

    by bigbangchester Aug 14, 2014 12:10 PM
    dogma_blade dogma_blade Aug 15, 2014 11:11 AM Flag

    All anyone has to do is look at the chart for the last few years.

    The company only needs to put a good quarter or two out there for the stock to move back to the 8 range.

    That is a nice 60% return from the price before the quarterly numbers were reported.

    It will be great if the stock brakes 8 before the next quarterly numbers are released solely based on this quarters numbers, that would take some risk out of things, but if it does not the company just needs 15% to 20% top line growth without any negative surprises again and the stock should not have any problem at least matching the moves of the last 2 year (8 and 8.5)or doing better.

  • Reply to

    Conspiracy Theory

    by bluestem1 Aug 7, 2014 1:37 PM
    dogma_blade dogma_blade Aug 12, 2014 4:23 PM Flag

    Missed the 20% growth due to a small drop in store brand sales, but otherwise everything played out as expected. The hit against numbers from last year did not happen this year, the margin back up into the mid 30% range and near 20% top line sales increase.

    This is the third time anyone who bought after the company stubbed it's toe has had a chance for another ride up. The only question at this point is how long to stay on board.

  • dogma_blade dogma_blade Aug 15, 2014 1:43 PM Flag

    What takeover speculation has their been about any player in the industry other than Monster?

    DPS' down .09
    JSDA- flat
    Fizz- down .02
    Cott- up .15
    REED- up .72
    The only thing that the two stocks that are up have in common are that they have recently released very good numbers.

    All you have to do is look at numbers the last two years.When the company reported positive numbers for a quarter or two the stock broke out over 8.

    On both occasions the stock was knocked back down by bad news in quarterly reports.

    The heartfelt love that you seem to have for Monster not withstanding, why should it be any different now, especially when the numbers are not only improving from the set backs, but improving from last years numbers?

    Hopefully for the sake of your portfolio you were in Monster for this bump. Now the question is whether to stick around with the price now almost twice the growth rate waiting for a possible buyout premium a few years down the road or take a profit and find another place to invest.

  • Reply to

    You don't pay taxes unless you expect a profit.

    by philybroker Aug 14, 2014 8:03 PM
    dogma_blade dogma_blade Aug 19, 2014 3:04 PM Flag

    Don't really want to rain on any ones parade, but you might want to go and read the quarterly.

    The reason the tax money was entered is that the company does not own Goslings outright, it is held in a 60/40 partnership with the family in Bermuda that produces the rum.

    That partnership showed a profit for the quarter and taxes will need to be paid on the profit.

    The profit in the partnership is not going to be anywhere near big enough to cover the red ink for the rest of the company.

  • Reply to

    Conspiracy Theory

    by bluestem1 Aug 7, 2014 1:37 PM
    dogma_blade dogma_blade Aug 8, 2014 9:40 PM Flag

    All you have to do is go back and look at the call and numbers from the second quarter last year.The company had a hit against it's numbers(over 400,000) from issues from the factory and Kombucha labeling.

    The gross margin dropped to 25% for the quarter due to all the problems .

    The company had over 32% gross margins last quarter, if they get any where near that this quarter they will add over half a million to the gross profit for a near break even quarter without any sales increase.

    For every 10% sales increase add a little over 300,000 to the gross profit number.

    Not saying that they are going to do this well, but if they have are able to achieve the same margin as the first quarter and get 20% sale growth, gross profit for the quarter would go up over a million, from 2457 to 3655.

    Even with numbers slightly lower than that all they really have to do is not have a big issue in the quarter and the stock could see a little action.

    If we are lucky enough to see that, it will be time to look for an exit price for the third time, as with the current management they have not proved themselves able to string more than a couple or so quarterly reports without a nasty surprise.

  • Reply to

    All the Noise about shorts driving CONN down

    by FlaBoy Jun 11, 2014 10:44 AM
    dogma_blade dogma_blade Jun 11, 2014 12:45 PM Flag

    What point are you trying to make?

    In your example short interest dropped from 8 million to 7.8 million from 5/15 to 5/30 while the stock rose from 40.51 to 46.64. That means the stock rose 15% while short interest dropped by 5%.

    That seems to indicate the correlation that you are arguing against

    I tend to think the drop was more likely due to people wanting to close a short term position before results were announced.

    To try and support your argument you would have to point to a drop in short positions between June 1 and 15th accompanied by a corresponding drop in price.

  • Reply to

    Too funny

    by dogma_blade Jan 6, 2014 5:17 PM
    dogma_blade dogma_blade Aug 22, 2014 1:03 PM Flag

    Looks like it might be a good time to slip back in at 1.73.

  • Reply to

    Too funny

    by dogma_blade Jan 6, 2014 5:17 PM
    dogma_blade dogma_blade Aug 8, 2014 9:59 PM Flag

    Thanks for the agreeing with my assessment. about 1.75 being a good re entry point back in May.

    I never thought that I would get a nice 25% gain in 7 trading days.

    Then again I am not one to look a gift horse in the mouth, a nice jump from Najarian's mention, then a nice bounce off of 1.75.

    Looking for another re-entry point. Do you think there will be another chance to re-enter the stock below 1.80 this quarter?

    I will be sure to let you know when I re-enter the stock again as it appears you are unable to understand how someone can make any money trading long in a stock like this one. ROFLMAO

  • dogma_blade by dogma_blade Aug 22, 2014 1:22 PM Flag

    Looking like another pretty good entry point at 1.72.

    Nice pop at the beginning of the year on the Najarian statement
    On Jan 8 I posted that I hoped everyone had cashed in on the gift.

    On May 22 posted about a good re-entry point and of courses bingbong doodiehead sarcastically posted that i should buy, great call,only a little over 2 weeks to get a nice pop.

    Now lets see where the stock goes from 1.73 today.

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