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Dex Media, Inc. Message Board

dounecapital 3 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 29, 2014 4:17 PM Member since: Jun 2, 2004
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  • dounecapital by dounecapital Aug 29, 2014 4:17 PM Flag

    Regardless of your inclinations about the fundamentals of this company, the stock represents a trading opportunity here. Buy at $11.5 and sell at $16.5.

    Of course, the fundamentals support an entry at these levels. Let's conduct a thought experiment. What if DXM were to sell at a EV/FCF ration of 10? Enterprise value (stock at market and bonds at par), divided by annualized free cash flow. For round numbers, 10x FCF is $3.8 billion. Subtract debt of $2.6 billion and divide the remainder by 18 million shares (options, etc). The result: $66 per share. Let's not debate it any further. It is just a demonstration of possible valuations.

    Importantly for now, however, is that DXM appears to have garnered a new character over the last couple of months. The primary trend is up. We remain solidly above the 200 day moving average. We have retraced 15% from the recent highs and found a possible base here at the $11.5. If we were to bounce here, this would be the third major retracement in a primary uptrend. Is it a sure thing? Heck no but you would be trading a stock with intriguing fundamentals and intriguing technicals lined up together.

    As I always say, good luck to everyone.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • I just traded some LIWA on the "gray" market. I wasn't aware of this market but learned that it operates much like the pink sheets used to. The "introducing" broker has to call around and find a "market maker" who has a contra order that can be filled against your order. Be patient. It takes time. Good luck everyone.

  • Reply to

    Sold my shares...

    by lesterfestertheinvestor Jun 26, 2014 9:52 AM
    dounecapital dounecapital Jun 26, 2014 10:05 AM Flag

    Can you tell us where LIWA is trading? Charles Schwab seems unable to find the market. Thanks.

11.32+0.04(+0.35%)Sep 18 4:00 PMEDT

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