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Arch Coal Inc. Message Board

dr_97701 6 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 15, 2014 10:09 AM Member since: Mar 27, 2007
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  • dr_97701 by dr_97701 Sep 15, 2014 10:09 AM Flag

    Peak coal production has occurred, although it's not exactly clear when. This past peak production and ongoing decline in production is not due to declining availability, since it correctly pointed out that the US has hundreds of years of coal in the ground. This decline is due to the rise of renewable resources - wind, solar, etc. Burlington, VT now gets 100% of its electricity from renewable resources and is a model for what is going to happen in the future. So, ACI's major product will be less and less in demand and production of coal will go down. As production goes down, gross profits will go down. As gross profits go down, the company will reduce its work force and cut costs in other ways. Coal will never get back to its former production level, so as gross revenue inevitably goes down, so will the stock price. ACI will eventually go out of business. It will take several years of bleeding, but absent some apocalyptic world event, it will occur.

  • Reply to

    At $2.94 this appears to be undervalued

    by hankg1030 Jul 30, 2014 4:23 PM
    dr_97701 dr_97701 Jul 30, 2014 4:32 PM Flag

    If you believe that, then $0.05 would be an even more reasonable point to own for the long haul. IMO. What part of "coal is dead. solar, wind, and natural gas will replace it soon. no one likes coal because it's dirty. Obama supports greener cleaner energy" do you not understand?

  • dr_97701 dr_97701 Jul 28, 2014 10:31 AM Flag

    Institutions frequently have provisions in their charters that prohibit holding stocks with share prices below $5. So when institutions begin dumping ACI, the share price will quickly go below $1. That will be a good entry point, although the company may not survive.

  • dr_97701 dr_97701 Jul 24, 2014 10:23 AM Flag

    Coal will be gone in two years. It will be like nuclear energy was (remember that?). Natural gas, wind, solar and tides are the way forward. Then when coal companies are hit with massive class action lawsuits from ill coal miners and random citizens, the death will be complete. I can see no other way going forward.

  • HPV can occur in men or women. Why would cunnilingus rather than fellatio be the offending action? Just sayin'

  • dr_97701 by dr_97701 Jun 18, 2014 1:10 PM Flag

    There's another $2.40 downside potential here, which may be realized given that international trade will come to a halt as a result of radical Islamic attacks on Western financial infrastructure. Greece is not that far from the developing caliphate and would be an easy target for ISIS, al Qaeda, and other US-backed terrorist groups. Watch. Listen. Learn.

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