Just want to share that so people adjust expectation.... I think we will beat that,,,
LOL.... ur anger is coming through loud and clear..1st... I have no postion in the stock.. tried the product once... liked it... have been watching the stock.... what I was doing was explaining the price drop to clear events that happened,,,,the give away of product (which does give tax advantage proving they become profitable).. and the on line sales at about half offf... and yes over produdction was clearly the issue which u cannot see becuase of ur anger... everyone knows u produce based on PERCIEVED demand.... YOU JUST DONT PRODUCE THAN LOOK FOR DEMAND AS YOU SEEM TO THINK!!!..my guess is since I am not a long you re-read the post and say u agree with everything.... except the work itself out part... I saw two 1/4's in a row the company posted a small profit..(correction welecome) this 1/4 better revenue but a loss not sure how much.... my words where choosen carefully... "I think this will work itself out"... I did not it would .... if you data why it will not please share!!! My guess is you have burned by the stock,,, and have misplaced your anger on stock holders... or u are working the share price.... good luck to u..... angrymizer2012
Looks like yesterday out of the gate they drove us down.. knowing script #'s will be low... when we get them ...look for them to drive it low again... It would be wonderful to get some news that we have ben excpecting.. IE submisson to Brazil Japan or China,,(500K) or we heard from the confrence they where in talks with companies they mentioned New Zeeland and austrilia.... we love get news on the day they plan to push us lower... just like on earnings day....LOL.... come on baby.... screw the shorts!!!!
with milestones piling up my guess is 2014 will be better than 2013,,, did the guy make adjustments from the new deal.... let me guess you dont do estimates.... you just critizes others estimates...
so 2013,,, will be a loss..... my guess 4 cents,,,,
It may have a lot to do with the 60 million dollar Milestone... and how it gets amortized..... over 2 years.. over 3 years....not sure this an overly clear .. even headrisk did not know so u know its not clear then...
18 million was expenses last 1/4... if we bring in 10 million in milestones each 1/4.... we are already at 5 million per 1/4 in Belviq sales.... we have more milestones coming.... we are profitable 1st 1/4 2014,,,,
I agree Obsesity number continue grow... an article was posted despite the education and healthier food option we are still moving in the wrong direction..... not sure who would disagree with the numbers.....
LOL.. maybe it just me but was ur post a statement or response to a post... because it sure look like u reponded to a poster..... if it was a blanket statement than my bad,,, my blanket statement is some shorts do care about tax losses..... no reponse needed,,,,,
They gave away a bunch for Thanksgiving and now the ½ off sale for the holidays..(which I will buy a couple of cases).. This of course is my speculation… They anticipated a larger account that did not materialize or account s cut amounts….. I think this will work itself out… but nerve racking for investors….
average gain for heavily shorted stock 6.75%... the top 25 heavily shorted stocks... SP 1500 average gain 2.3%
go out to the next few 1/4's and we have more than 12 million more in milestones... plus every approval in coutry = stocking fee's..... plus global sales.... come on the big picture is we will be profitable.... and profits will grow.... STACK THOSE MILESTONES LIKE CORD WOOD!!!
The current move down is becuase shorts know this.. they are shorting and selling now.... tommorrow when the numbers come out they will try and scare investors.... my guess is our script sales will be far better than 18% Q had last year,,, but I am looking for a loss of 7%..(MY GUESS)
and after the 1st ¼ we will profitable from then on!!!
Per ¼…. MILESTONE WITH ANTICIPATED EVENTS ALREADY MENTIONED FROM COMPANY
1 million per ¼ for manufacturing
500k per ¼ from CYB
125K for application in Brazil
7 million per ¼ from global deal (my guess 5 million would be my next guess)
1.5 million for partnership in New Zeeland Australia Isreal… pure conservative guess CYB was 2 million = 6 for all three….
250 K for Mexico approval…
250 k swiss approval
375k For application in Japan China and Korea not sure if we get a milestone or not,, I assume we do….
10.5 million in milestones….
Right now we our script pace with discounts,, puts us at over million…. The 1st and second 2nd ¼ our the best times for weight loss
Formula for week over week % gains in scripts… C(1+r)^t
c would be how much you started with
r would be the rate of the sale growth
t would be how long it is growing for
Current scripts per week 7,000
Projection in 12 weeks (1st ¼ 2014)
Rate of growth during the busiest time for weight loss 7%
Mean weekly scripts will run 15,765 * 13 weeks in ¼… * $175 ($200-$25 discount *.315 OUR PERCENTAGE ) =
11.3 million in Belviq sales…(DOES NOT recognize stocking fees for Mexico…. My estimate 500K,,)
21.8 REVENUES….. EXPENSES LAST ¼ 18 MILLION….. PROFIT JUST OVER 3 MILLION DOLLARS .015 CENTS PER SHARE!!!
Shorts acting like they just won the super bowl!!!! laughable!!!!