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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

eagledragon1 32 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 6, 2015 1:45 PM Member since: Feb 8, 2008
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  • eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Apr 6, 2015 1:45 PM Flag

    GS is predicting 10 yr interest rates to end this year ~2.5% That would be a rise from where they have been the first quarter.

  • Reply to

    RSO....Can't Catch a Break

    by seeds.bill Apr 2, 2015 4:14 PM
    eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Apr 3, 2015 1:53 PM Flag

    Seeds, I have posted here a few times in the past, most of the time getting "run" off the board for what I had to say. I mostly raised the alarm when 1099's started showing up with a significant portion of RSO's dividends being categorized as ROC. I advised that this would continue to erode the book value and that a turn around would be the only way to either support the dividend or stop the bleeding in book value.

    They finally did what they should have done at least a year or two ago. Now it is simply a matter of whether the company can AT LEAST cover and sustain its dividend and just HOLD their book value. If they show they can then the share price will again appreciate as the risk factor falls. I'm guessing to a yield of ~ 12%. That equates to ~ 5.33 using the low end .64 annual dividend for 2015. Earnings more than cover the dividend, start regrowing book value, and leave the door open for future dividend hikes, then you'll get some icing on your cake. Luck2U

  • eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Mar 20, 2015 11:41 AM Flag

    You're definitely a victim of something. Exactly what are you trying to prove? You act like I am attacking ATSG, the company. Have I? Well?
    I abhor arrogance and braggadocios. It has no purpose except to make you appear starved for attention and/or respect. All it ends up producing is nothing better to do than sit around posting babble on message boards. What a waste.

  • eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Mar 18, 2015 3:42 PM Flag

    Guess how much I believe you? 0. Big boys have much better things to do then sit on message boards and boast about their supposed accomplishments and contacts. Btw, I've cleared no less than twenty (20) dollars per share profit on ATSG in particular since 2009. Have you?

  • eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Mar 18, 2015 9:58 AM Flag

    Addressing me again? And again you prove your ignorance. You really aren't worth the time.

  • Reply to

    Is this a record?

    by cerulumdolens Mar 16, 2015 10:46 AM
    eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Mar 17, 2015 8:23 PM Flag

    "people like you"? Get over yourself. You think you were the only one scooping up shares for pennies on the dollar?????????? I could name a whole LIST of stocks, including abx, I picked up in 2009 that were pennies on the dollar. The difference --- I don't sit on a message board and brag about it. This message board is supposed to be for discussing ATSG accomplishments, not Ex's. What would your students think?

  • Reply to

    Is this a record?

    by cerulumdolens Mar 16, 2015 10:46 AM
    eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Mar 17, 2015 6:37 PM Flag

    Ex is one of the biggest story tellers on any message board. Claiming all his great accomplishments, yet demonstrating a total lack of the intelligence required to hold any executive position. His self ingratiating diatribe makes him more a virus than a contributor.
    I don't believe 95% of what he claims and the fact that he berates others is a joke when all he could do in 2009 was post Bible passages...

  • Reply to

    Quarter Special Dividend?

    by jimcooper28 Feb 25, 2015 8:44 PM
    eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Mar 2, 2015 4:29 PM Flag

    This is indeed an old discussion. I'm going to throw a slow pitch here and see if anybody swings. I do not see a special dividend being issued for a variety of reasons, most of which have already been posted. What I do see is a moderately good chance of the dividend being raised to .29 or .30 per Q. Management gave themselves a healthy pat on the back and I don't believe they are going to do this without offering some form of reward to shareholders.
    Raising the dividend should raise the share price to adjust to the yield and if the share price rises we all know what that will yield, another offering which would again likely be accretive to book value. This would also gain more assets for management to administer and thus raise their fee collection pool.
    Is this any kind of compromise to you guys? :o)

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    BAM!

    by eagledragon1 Feb 24, 2015 4:46 PM
    eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Feb 24, 2015 4:51 PM Flag

    Summary of Fourth Quarter 2014:
    • Net income attributable to common stockholders of $40.5 million, or $0.42 per share.

    • Net interest income of $18.8 million and net interest margin of 432 basis points.

    • Issued 14,410,019 shares of common stock in an underwritten public offering, resulting in net proceeds of approximately $110.8 million after deducting underwriting discounts, commissions and offering expenses.

    • Completed the sale of a first loss PO security and certain IO securities issued by a single Freddie Mac-sponsored securitization, realizing a gain of approximately $22.7 million.

    • Sold and refinanced distressed residential mortgage loans with a carrying value of approximately $29.3 million for aggregate proceeds of approximately $34.2 million, which resulted in a net realized gain, before income taxes, of approximately $4.9 million.

    • Closed on the acquisition of a pool of re-performing mortgage loans for an aggregate purchase price, including accrued interest, of $328.4 million. The re-performing loans had an unpaid principal balance of approximately $367.6 million at the closing date. The Company used a portion of the proceeds from our November 2014 public offering and approximately $238.9 million of borrowings under a master repurchase facility to fund the acquisition.

    • Book value per common share of $7.07 at December 31, 2014 as compared to $6.98 per common share at September 30, 2014 and $6.33 at December 31, 2013.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • eagledragon1 by eagledragon1 Feb 24, 2015 4:46 PM Flag

    .42 and 7.07

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Feb 19, 2015 2:28 PM Flag

    Let's put it all out there and not cherry pick. 10 year Treasury rates:
    Jan. 2, 2014 - 2.99%
    Feb. 3, 2014 - 2.58%
    Mar. 3, 2014 - 2.61%
    Apr. 1, 2014 - 2.76%
    May 1, 2014 - 2.61%
    June 2, 2014 - 2.53%
    July 1, 2014 - 2.56%
    Aug. 1, 2014 - 2.51%
    Sep. 2, 2014 - 2.42%
    Oct. 1, 2014 - 2.40%
    Nov. 3, 2014 - 2.35%
    Dec. 1, 2014 - 2.22%
    Jan. 2, 2015 - 2.12%
    Feb. 2, 2015 - 1.67%
    Interest rate fell .87% from Jan.'14 to Jan.'15 = 870 basis points. Paint it any way you want but the bottom line is apparent.
    In Q4 alone the rate fell .28% or 280 basis points. What did you claim, less than 100?
    This is what I mean when I use the term "realistic". They may have recovered somewhat, but are still at a level I sure wouldn't brag about. I am a bit concerned how much this situation bit into total 2014 revenues and how much it is affecting current balances.

  • eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Feb 13, 2015 3:14 PM Flag

    I hold 5 figures in share count of ENTR. My cost basis is in the 2.70s, so obviously I'm currently one of the lucky ones. I mention this only to qualify my next statement. I intend to hold through this merger. I've done a lot of in depth research on MXL and everything to do with it the last few days. I've looked at all the numbers concerning stockholder equities in both companies now and after this deal. I've looked at earnings, good and bad. I've looked at guidances, ratings, new share pool, multiples, PEs, etc., etc.. For all AVAILABLE information I can find I've come to the conclusion that there may well be some upside worth waiting for on the back end of this deal. JMHO of course.
    Maple WAY overdoes it, but on some BASIC levels he is possibly correct. (Please Maple, don't let this go to your head)

  • eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Feb 13, 2015 12:14 PM Flag

    What do you imagine is BlackRock's cost basis on their total position?

  • Reply to

    We have a winner!!

    by eagledragon1 Feb 12, 2015 7:44 PM
    eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Feb 12, 2015 10:22 PM Flag

    Agreed, a waste of time at this point. The deal appears perfectly reasonable based on Entropics self inflicted 2014/Q4 asset impairment parade. What the hell is MXL supposed to pony up more for at this point? I would fully expect that it was some large holders that strongly suggested putting themselves on the market. I don't think shareholder voting is going to stop this merger. Changing the terms of the deal at this point is actually rather redundant. The SEC filing clearly stated that other parties could approach and offer so it can't be said they haven't left the "shopping" open.

    Catch 22 - between a rock and a hard place - it is what it is what it is...

  • eagledragon1 by eagledragon1 Feb 12, 2015 7:44 PM Flag

    SAN DIEGO, Feb. 12, 2015 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Shareholders Foundation, Inc. announces that an investor, who currently holds shares of Entropic Communications, Inc. (ENTR), filed a lawsuit in an effort to stop the proposed takeover of Entropic Communications, Inc. by MaxLinear for a value of approximately $3.01 per share.

    The game's afoot.

  • eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Feb 12, 2015 5:27 PM Flag

    I listen to and read e v e r y t h I n g. I tend to filter the forward looking statements as some of them in the past have been no more accurate than a weather forecast. I sincerely hope you are correct. I sincerely hope they are correct this time. Let's see what the hard numbers are next month and go from there.
    I'll believe all the predictions when I See The Money. ;)

  • Reply to

    Something is fishy

    by gw12354 Feb 12, 2015 10:40 AM
    eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Feb 12, 2015 2:17 PM Flag

    You're kidding, right? Rates have dropped a lot more than 100 basis points in Q4 alone.
    I believe one of these deals with DHL also produced a 1 mm deduction in annual revenues.
    Now if everything is looking so rosy, why the restrictive trading range? Why aren't analysts pounding more earnings on this year's estimates? No taxes, more equipment placement, share buyback authorized, new DHL contract, and yet little share appreciation. Go ahead and blame the index. I sincerely hope they don't buy back 1 single share at current pricing levels.
    Honestly, I hope they beat the estimates by a significant margin of at least 3 or 4 cents and the stock flies over 10. I'm definitely not a short here, but I try to be realistic too.

  • Reply to

    Something is fishy

    by gw12354 Feb 12, 2015 10:40 AM
    eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Feb 12, 2015 1:23 PM Flag

    Show Me The Money. I don't see this making much headway unless the Q4 report is very good. There are some headwinds as I have mentioned before concerning earnings. I asked EX why no mention concerning pensions and he knew the answer. Their payments are indeed tied to interest rates. When the rates increase they enjoy a substantial savings in pension payments, when it drops their payment liability increases. What have the interest rates done since this was explained to shareholders? They have dropped, and not just a little.

    I'm not saying they are going to report a miss, but there is trepidation as to how this situation in particular has effected them. Considering this is going on:

    Joseph C. Hete, the President and Chief Executive Officer; Quint O. Turner, the Chief Financial Officer; and Richard F. Corrado, the Chief Commercial Officer, of Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ("ATSG"), will be presenting and holding a series of one-on-one meetings with investors and analysts at the BB&T Capital Markets' 30th Annual Transportation Services Conference being held at the Biltmore Hotel in Coral Gables, Florida on Wednesday, February 11, 2015.

    and we are seeing the current state of trading, there may be some cause for concern. We should have answers around March 5th.

  • Reply to

    8.23

    by eagledragon1 Feb 6, 2015 11:44 AM
    eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Feb 9, 2015 6:35 PM Flag

    CARLSBAD, Calif. (AP) _ MaxLinear Inc. (MXL) on Monday reported a loss of $2.4 million in its fourth quarter.

    The Carlsbad, California-based company said it had a loss of 6 cents per share. Earnings, adjusted for one-time gains and costs, came to 5 cents per share.

    The results topped Wall Street expectations. The average estimate of analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research was for earnings of 4 cents per share.

    The chipmaker posted revenue of $32.5 million in the period.

    For the year, the company reported that its loss narrowed to $7 million, or 19 cents per share. Revenue was reported as $133.1 million.

    For the current quarter ending in March, MaxLinear said it expects revenue in the range of $34 million to $35 million.

    MaxLinear shares have climbed 11 percent since the beginning of the year. In the final minutes of trading on Monday, shares hit $8.26, a drop of 14 percent in the last 12 months.

  • eagledragon1 eagledragon1 Feb 9, 2015 11:55 AM Flag

    What happened to all the expected savings in pension payments?

AGNC
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