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AmeriGas Partners LP Message Board

earlofsndwich 2 posts  |  Last Activity: Jun 16, 2014 4:33 PM Member since: Sep 15, 2012
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    Calls are very cheap on this

    by bighairybutt Jun 12, 2014 9:52 AM
    earlofsndwich earlofsndwich Jun 12, 2014 1:12 PM Flag

    stock was already moving the past months, as Canadian Heavy discount to WTI has come down a lot since last Fall. Better access by rail, means that more consistent pricing vs. world markets which takes the risk of the operating margin falling out of bed at any time. Net margins on heavy crude production out of the Alberta Oil sands on a percentage basis could easily double 2014 vs. 2013 if the global mess adds to the better takeaway options.

    I don't find the options hard to trade. the spread is about normal compared to more heavily traded oil stocks.

  • earlofsndwich earlofsndwich Jun 16, 2014 4:33 PM Flag

    it makes absolutely no sense to me. it always comes back. look at the earnings growth rate. How do these shorts all have time to cover before it comes roaring back?

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