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ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures Message Board

easytexan2100 9 posts  |  Last Activity: Feb 14, 2015 4:50 PM Member since: May 16, 2010
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  • i started shopping at costco only because they accept amex. I've seen discount stores and small mom and pop shops don't accept amex, but big stores or quality stores do.

    I don't think long term its gonna hurt either costco or amex - they'll both be happy in their worlds.

  • easytexan2100 easytexan2100 Dec 20, 2014 2:04 AM Flag

    To Diltiazem,

    Thanks man. I read your posts. You got a good theory on Google.
    And congrats on the recent $500 Put winnings.
    Got lucky three days before expiry or simply great prediction.

    But if you win the new Jan 2 expiry $500 put - luck's no longer in play. It's sheer talent. Good luck.

    I'm betting on google crossing $600 in 2015.
    For a number of reasons, but if they were not working on self-driving cars, or fibre access to every home, or maps, or glass - the company could create a linkedin in 1 week (google pro), facebook in 2 weeks (google party), a priceline in 3 weeks (google travel), a netflix in 4 weeks (google showtime), amazon or alibaba in 8 weeks (google shop).

    Google has the best technology to convert data to knowledge and the fastest delivery to customers. If you want a double in next 5 years - GOOG and AAPL are the plays. Buy and forget.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Instead I see
    "BC Partners to acquire PetSmart for $8.7 billion"

    #$%$ - get in line petsmart.
    Seriously in the pecking order -
    1. Real deals get done "before" paparazzi gets a clue
    2. When a real deal is not likely - commons can be played.

    Even though the rumors state deal's expected closure is before Christmas - there's a reason the stock is still at $4.

    Just venting here -

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Where are the $25 clowns?

    by bashbashbash_bash Dec 13, 2014 1:25 PM
    easytexan2100 easytexan2100 Dec 13, 2014 3:17 PM Flag

    yeah i'm humbled. Takin a lickin.
    But you bought at $25 too - see your own post;_ylt=AmfInUEU5SifTBko_XQ241veAohG;_ylu=X3oDMTB2cmdxbHY3BHBvcwMzMARzZWMDTWVkaWFNc2dCb2FyZHNYSFJVbHQ-;_ylg=X3oDMTBhYWM1a2sxBGxhbmcDZW4tVVM-;_ylv=3?&bn=3fa6337f-fc1e-3d49-bac2-f894b4ae7084&tid=1417115705924-9bb5a211-b7a1-4a32-a218-564f4462d968

    And looks like you're ready to load up calls when USO retreats to $20.

    Anyway if you didn't buy at $25.
    Tell us how low it will go.

    Anyone can tell the bottom and top of any stock. The next day.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • easytexan2100 easytexan2100 Dec 9, 2014 10:20 PM Flag

    I need the luck. Well I got into energy stocks in the middle of the prolonged decline that started mid-year. Financial, Housing and Tech and some bio-tech are my diversification. Didn't think with a sizzling economy - energy would see a 33% haircut.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • I have quite a bit of oil, energy, drilling, shipping, solar, fuel cell stocks & NG (even coal & Uranium). All down.
    Haven't bailed out of any positions yet. May do so for offsetting profits in next few days.

    I can't tell how low oil will go from 64. 60? 55? 40? 29? But the break even cost for even the best companies and most deep-pocketed oil countries is around $40.
    Despite progress in solar, fuel cell, internet (means less travel), and shale productions and despite economy cooling in China and India - the world needs oil. It needs oil for at least the next 25 years. The best cheap+clean combo belongs to OIL.
    Solar is expensive kid. Fuel Cell is short haul band aid, shale has fracking law suits, and people are traveling more than ever.

    I also can't tell how high oil will go in the next 2-5 years.
    However, this much is clear - if oil ever gets to 40s (or below) - it's time to load up. Buy the best company in each segment.
    Nobody can manipulate prices of a necessity for long. I see $60-$90 range a definite in 1-3 years.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • easytexan2100 easytexan2100 Dec 6, 2014 2:04 PM Flag

    Looks like i reached world limit.
    Anyways - ARO has the potential to move to $10 in Q3 2015. However, bidders may buy the company at the first signs of spring - at possibly $4-$6 range.

    If I was not already in ARO - I'd sit back. And, I'd buy under $2 - if it went that low on "no tangible news". Else, I'd buy at $4 if it got there. Believe me it will only get to $4 on tangible and good news.

    Of course, if ARO declined further on tangible news - I'd stay clear.

    Good luck all - longs and shorts - may the longs win !

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Despite market manipulations, I have learned to respect the ultimate arbiter of a company's health - it's current stock price. You should too. It is what it is.

    You may see bashers and pumpers on this board (plus lots of idiots).
    It is because the possibility of ARO going BK are real.
    And the possibility of ARO recovering are real.

    I'll present my thoughts on ARO future after digesting latest ER. Disclosure: I hold a heavy position in ARO long (stock, options)

    ARO going Bankrupt:
    100 days should have been plenty for Julian Geiger (JG) to tighten the ARO ship. These guys are in fashion and apparel business (not rocket science). Every fashion company gets their merchandise from the same few sources in China and India. ARO, A&F, BUM, CK, DKNY - everyone. What labels they put, how they market - and how they manage cost vs revenue is what makes or breaks a fashion company.
    ARO failed to show even a glimpse of that in the 100 JG days. Shame on them.
    I don't expect different results if JG does not do more shake up. Tighten operations costs, marketing costs, brand costs. Improve fashion appeal (I thought this was his strength), bring some cheer in selling, expand beyond teens.

    I'll keep a watch on their operational improvements to see if BK can be taken off the table.
    Stock price in this scenario: $0
    Duration: Jun 2015

    ARO recovering:
    In this free-money environment, it will take special talent for any CEO to drive a company to BK.
    ARO is a good brand name. Their products are good. Their online presence is good. Their prices, specials, deals and discounts are good. Their fashion department seems active.
    I am confident ARO will find a way to make money selling that $20 shirt at 60% discount - which is $8 and still make money over their cost of $4. Heck - everyone else is able to do that.
    The first hint of even a "path to profitability" will take ARO to $4+ range. Actual profitability will take it to $7 range. And sustaining over couple of quarters - to $10.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • easytexan2100 easytexan2100 Nov 28, 2014 6:53 PM Flag

    How so ? All indications are it'll go below $25 Monday.

    My portfolio has 20% oil & rigs, energy related stocks (OIL, USO, ESV, HERO, TSL, JASO, FSLR, VNR, UGAZ) - so took a big hit today - and obviously looking for any rays of hope.

    Sentiment: Buy

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