Agreed ~ me and TOI truly have nothing in common, and i bow to your awesome "posting prowess". Now go take your meds.
long and strong little turkeydong
"ANDRoXAL".......MAY....... 'HELP' you to get - - - - up and LONG - - - - when it HITS the market.
There is no one rule, or paradigm, of course - any effort to over-simplify the stock market equation is likely doomed. Sometimes it makes sense to hold long, most of the time it doesn't. No question, BAC was a screaming buy at $4-$10. I held Facebook, even after the IPO crumbled, cus i reckon they own the world, what with more marketable info on every human on the planet than any other information agency, governmental or private. I still think FB owns the world, even with a P/E of 70+, and even after its first earnings miss. Yet, daytrading remains my primary source of income.
Timing is good too. You can make 20-300% in a day on timing. You just have to guess right about sentiment in time, and on time... sure it's risky, but it's really just a numbers game. Win more bets than you lose, and you're having a very good day. It's a bit like poker, but with less luck involved. To hell with the big game... that's just a WS scam to me. If you're lucky on the long hold, you can collect 7% per year. I'll stick with big, short-term gains.
Yeah, that works well enough when the S&P is rallying... and my thesis that the stock market will get hammered under GOP is obviously hypothetical ~ it's just what always happened in the past. I've done well daytrading, and proven to myself that the "timing" thesis works, so i'll just keep doing it, especially now that i expect a major correction in 2015, as available resources get siphoned into military spending and institutional profiteering. At this juncture, holding long seems riskier to me than it was a week ago.
i reckon that voter sentiment is far more 'cyclical' than the climate, and six years of liberal government was more than the representative psyche could muster ~ they just needed to change things up. It would be foolish to equate representative government - in a two party oligarchy - with democracy. Everybody's just scrambling for a few pennies more, and the elections are relatively irrelevant.
Historically, the stock market (and the global economy) tends to thrive under democrats, and perish with repubs... i guess we're shifting back into perish mode. As for climate, anybody, at this late stage, who actually believes that global warming is a scam is ideologically deluded. But really, it doesn't matter, since the catastrophic event set in motion probably won't happen in our (or our children's) lifetimes. Trade now on tech volatility, not fundamentals. Small caps rule.
This morning i got up bright and early to take a poll ~ i wanted to know how my fellow constituents had voted, so i trotted over to the trailer next door. i knocked on the aluminum siding and my neighbor opened the door, buttoning his overalls as he looked at me suspiciously: "What do you want?"
I said: "Dear neighbor, i am just taking a poll. I'd like to know how you voted in the recent election."
He pulled a 3030 out from behind the door and pointed it straight at my face: "get yer fagit az away from my trailer."
Of course, i turned and walked away. I thought he'd shooy me in the back... i'll never do that again. Geez, i was just collecting data.
LOL..... OK...... will do "PAVO" - - - - MEANWHILE - - - DON"T quit yer ME D S.
Guten morgen, ich bin Dr. Braun. Vielleicht können wir für eine Weile unterhalten?
Please, who am I speaking with now? Is this Joshi Bernstein? Is Dagobert mit you now? Is Ilja zer also? Und zee others? I have a few questions for you. Please lie back on ze couch und relax. Shall we begin now?
Haben sie je geschlafen... uh... Have you ever slept mit your muzer?
uuuhhh... i reckon you're calling me out on something, and i'd be happy to respond if i had any idea what you were talking about.
bueno pavo, que pases bien el fin de semana. (i can write that in English, French or Korean for you tomorrow, if you so desire.)
if you're in a hurry, you can prolly get $12~$16 for it next week. i don't usually like to make short term predictions, but in this case (like i said) it's pretty much a no-brainer. shortanalytics indicates short trading jumped from 15% to 50% on Friday. Any further upward move will elicit a lot of panic covering.
Well, for one thing, ATRS has 6.5 times the float of RPRX (106M shares vs. 16M shares) ~ so it's already priced higher than RPRX. And you don't really need to understand the chemistry here, or engage in hypothetical speculation as to which drug is "better". The "discussion with regulators" is done according to the news release - RPRX is now submitting NDA.
Moreover, the market historically valuates RPRX Androxal somewhere north of $20 on a float of just about 16M shares. You can get that just by glancing at the chart. It ain't rocket science.
The market prices a phase 3 anticipation run on Androxal anywhere between $16 and $25 ~ we already know that from the chart ~ give it a little more with NDA approval. That's why it cut through $10 like butter in yesterday's finish... Even the mandatory sell-off from daytraders exiting in the last half hour was overwhelmed, as last minute buyers tripped over each other to get in. Any fool who can read a chart will be buying again on Monday and throughout next week.
You should probably never sell a stock that makes a frenzied rally into the finish, but i guess you didn't know it would finish like that, and any profit is money in the bank.
Dissociative identity disorder (a.k.a. multiple personality disorder) - it can be triggered by an unbearably traumatic experience. It acts as a defense mechanism such that the victim can externalize and disassociate the event causing him extreme anxiety. In this case, the subject had been prompted to short RPRX because of a memorandum issued by Fauquie-Fauquie, LLP - an ambulance chaser who crawled out of the woodwork when RPRX tumbled in October. In the end the subject got Fauquied and, sadly, lost his marbles (as we say in the psychology trade).
"This is well known" by you, Fauqui & Fauqui, but the FDA doesn't seem to know it. Perhaps you could offer your knowledge and insight to the FDA for any future advisory committee they may want to organize after the NDA.
If i understand your situation correctly, these ambulance chasers ~ Fauqui & Fauqui, LLP ~ crawled out of the woodwork when the stock tanked in October, and that's what prompted you to take a short position. Now, the FDA has reversed itself, and you got caught with your pants down - 56% loss in your shorts today, and more to come... i guess you could say you got Fauquied by Fauquie & Fauquie. It was a threesome.