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Eli Lilly and Company Message Board

emclu 26 posts  |  Last Activity: Jan 20, 2015 7:18 PM Member since: Apr 25, 2000
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  • Reply to

    Wow 6% drop....is this due to....

    by plat46 Jan 20, 2015 6:30 PM
    emclu emclu Jan 20, 2015 7:18 PM Flag

    The CEO has a large stake in the performance of the company. He has over a million shares so he lost at least 1.6 million in value today. Of course he has about $25 million in stock. This is a good thing because he will work hard for the company. He is also very brilliant with his renewable energy and distributed generation strategy. Although I wouldn't want to worry about all that equipment at my house but it could be the future.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • The dividend. Street had been negative the whole time.

  • With little movement or trend down? Probably have to wait for decision on epi-pen before any movement. Hopefully that gets approved

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Question?...

    by emclu Jan 13, 2015 11:41 AM
    emclu emclu Jan 13, 2015 7:23 PM Flag

    Wouldn't they have to have buyers lined up who I assume are the underwriters. Plus all the trades are 5 plus

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Why the high volume over the past few days. When the 2 million shares get issued do they show up as volume on the daily trading?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Facinating

    by cwamember Jan 9, 2015 3:19 PM
    emclu emclu Jan 9, 2015 5:57 PM Flag

    Don't you think the shares are restricted? Prior to the offering they had 10.5 million shares but a float of only 7 million. When they had the other offering they weren't close to approval of a product but they are now. I believe there has to be some kind of holding period, but maybe not does anyone know? If they start getting revenues and earning they should be able to borrow unless the stock goes real high and it is moe attractive to sell shares.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    OK, Finished year above $5.50...

    by funhouse48 Jan 2, 2015 2:32 PM
    emclu emclu Jan 9, 2015 1:32 PM Flag

    so much for the $5.50, hopefully ADMP can recover from this. I flly understand that they have to issue stock to finance their operations. Hopefully the epi-pen gets approved and the inhaler phase three trials start soon. Should give it a boost. I stupid probably because I bought more this morning in the believe it will continue its run.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    5.50 premarket

    by dimbulb000 Jan 9, 2015 8:55 AM
    emclu emclu Jan 9, 2015 1:03 PM Flag

    yes I added to my position this morning on the drop

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Right now his stock alone is worth about $8 billion. Of course that same stock could be worth $800 million by the end of the month. Anyways I think he would have to sell a lot of stock to pay her off. She has worked so hard for this money,lol.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • emclu by emclu Dec 24, 2014 11:56 AM Flag

    This is hold until the decision on the approval of the epi-pen comes out. You just don't know if the stock price will come down again, especially after the first of the year. We could see new highs with an approval of the epi-pen and then the announcement of the phase trials for the inhaler. Although a swing down to $4 wouldn't be unexpected.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    they're losing money but paying a dividend?

    by greghassen Dec 5, 2014 6:35 PM
    emclu emclu Dec 12, 2014 6:37 AM Flag

    Their income statement says they made 166 million last quarter. They actually made a couple good investments when they purchased Reliant and the EME group. Their renewable investments don't appear to be lucrative but they are very small in relation to the size of this company. The core of this company is their generation assets which are all over the country. Their revenues this year will grow to over $14 billion at least this year, up from $12 last year. They may be a bit overvalued but overall this company is in pretty good shape. IMHO

  • emclu emclu Dec 8, 2014 7:49 PM Flag

    Double down on your short position. This is going to single digits.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • emclu emclu Dec 7, 2014 7:47 PM Flag

    Actually whenever a large company cuts jobs and causes pain and misery their stock goes up. They will close up tomorrow

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    wow 6% dividend....

    by emclu Dec 7, 2014 8:22 AM
    emclu emclu Dec 7, 2014 11:11 AM Flag

    Yes BP is an integrated producer and not a shale producer but they do have a few issues that will impact their cash flow. The drop in oil prices , divestiture of assets due to the incident in the gulf, and problems with investment in Russia can and have impact their PPS. I think those are the reasons that their dividend is so high. Plus they just had the judgement in September that they are appealing where they could lose another $20 billion. Their 3rd quarter earning were based on an oil price of $88+. Cash flow will definitely be down this quarter. BP is down over 30% from its peak and 17% year to date. If oil prices go down anymore I think it could go down in mid to low $30's. IMHO

    Sentiment: Hold

  • if market makes it that high it must mean a cut is happening. Any opinions

    Sentiment: Hold

  • They all seem to be doing so well relative to projected earning and cash flow and valuation. I guess you can't judge stocks just based on metrics.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • If ADMP doesn't get approval on injector, would have to further dilute. On the other hand there are over 450,000 thousand shares short on a stock with only about 8 million shares on the market(float). If ADMP got early approval on the injector(not expected, expected end of March, early April) the stock could triple with short covering within a week from where it is at now. This stock now is nothing but a gamble, if they do get approval on the injector they do become somewhat of an investment if they ever get their first inhaler to Phase III. This stock should be pretty dormant until March 2015 but if they have success then now is the time to buy in small lots, probably under $4. IMHO Buy with money you can afford to lose.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • it is beating the all the major averages. I don't think they will increase the dividend anytime soon. But with all the interest rate easing internationally I don''t think they will have to. At $40 it is still a 3.6% dividend. I could see FE hitting $40 if markets hold up, if not it has good dividend support. To me their biggest threat is wholesale market power prices. If they don't get rate relief it will cut into profits. IMHO

    Sentiment: Hold

  • emclu emclu Nov 13, 2014 6:25 AM Flag

    I gotta disagree with that logic. SA knows that if they did purposely lower oil prices and US fracking companies go bankrupt that when the price comes back. New companies are created with the same people and equipment but at a much lower capital structure. Now they are even more competitive. Plus American drillers are getting better each day in term of the efficiency of the production with fracking. American frackers as each day passes are also gaining cost effectiveness as pipeline infrastructure is installed. If I am SA why would I want to have to pump, process, transport and sell 20 millions barrels of crude for the same money instead of 16 million. It is much harder on equipment and transportation costs also become substantial. I think the glut of oil if there really is a glut is due to economic slowdown, better fuel efficiencies and more drilling. But I don't know. I am guessing that later this month OPEC will cut production. Just that announcement would help prices rebound even if they don't cut production. I just can't see them doing nothing after a 30% drop in crude. The other thing is that I am not even sure how much SA cares about American fracking when they see new lucrative markets like China and India and we can't export there. That being said oil may still go down. i don't know. IMHO

    Sentiment: Hold

  • emclu emclu Nov 12, 2014 6:27 PM Flag

    The Saudi's disputed a report that they were purposely dumping more crude in the US to hurt US Frackers. Wonder where oil will bottom out at. Hope it is getting close.

    Sentiment: Hold

LLY
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