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Caterpillar Inc. Message Board

ernestokuhn 23 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 16, 2014 6:33 PM Member since: Jul 18, 2010
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  • ernestokuhn by ernestokuhn Apr 16, 2014 6:33 PM Flag

    ex legal costs and other few one time items bac informed 0.35$/shr as net after tax income. But if not wrong the reserves release was around 0.12$/shr. That is 33% of net income. Really worring. Am i wrong?. Please, just serious answers/reply. In my humble opinion this could be extremely important when considering the real future income power.
    My best guess is:
    2015+ eps= 1.5$ with p/e multiple between 13 and 15. So SP between 19.5 and 22.5. But if the reserves release stuff is right i do think we'll see eps of just 1 to 1.2 $/y. So, applying the same multiple we get a maximum sp of 18. To think.................

  • ernestokuhn by ernestokuhn Apr 16, 2014 10:32 AM Flag

    who's going down like a rock under gravity?
    yessssssssssssss........she is........c is.......hahaha!!!!!
    Hey Corbat, something to say?. R ur metrics ok?.
    April 22nd. is the day, DO NOT FORGET longs.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ernestokuhn by ernestokuhn Apr 15, 2014 11:42 AM Flag

    could she go that way?. i hope not, but having some call opt. strike 15$ jan'16 i'm starting to get nervous. Feelings?. My humble view is 20$ in the near future but tomorrow net income disclosure will play key role and easily could go down to 12$ or so.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • ernestokuhn by ernestokuhn Apr 14, 2014 10:18 AM Flag

    ha!!!.....once and again...banamex is operating under fraudulent basis and will end sinking this pig. Nobody there respects Corbat "el gringo". Banamex is operating outside rules and is virtually independent. Colsely related with narco mafia and dark politics. No one is accountable. Starting with MM. Corbat does NOT HAVE neither balls nor experience to avoid that. All what u see today is somoke and mirrors, cosmetic accounting. All this was carefully prepeared to appease sentiments during next April 22nd.
    This was essentially why authorities rejected C plans on capital return to shr. holders. NO OTHER REASON. FIRE CORBAT, TOP EXECUTIVES AND ALL BOARD and thing could improve. VOTE AGAINST ALL BOARD PROPOSALS.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    $12.40...is that the line in the sand ?

    by shackltup69 Apr 11, 2014 1:03 PM
    ernestokuhn ernestokuhn Apr 11, 2014 1:35 PM Flag

    nobody can really say. but what i do say is: long AA since 2009 and out last week. my entry was near 8$/shr by march of 2009. and was waiting for a good recovery for 5 years. At one point she reached 17$ or something near, but i did't close my position. great mistake. after that, values around 8 to 9 $ for days, weeks, months. and q after q missing good news. aa was a good company in good times. but not more. she is not generating value and profits. all is accounting cosmetic. aluminum surplus (consider china) is here and will not end easily. divi is negligible. so, what more. to me was time to sell and rotate. but of course markets are markets and something could happen changing path. glta

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ernestokuhn by ernestokuhn Apr 11, 2014 10:06 AM Flag

    ha!!!.....more bad news Corbat??. u Corbat r a complet incompetent. ur "metrics", ur "control", ur formula: "u can't control what u can't measure", all ur strategy copied from David Norton and Robert Kaplan, ur balanced score card, and so on.....ha!!!. All that just work when u really r able to control the CREW!!!!. But no one pay attention to ur instructions...especially at banamex and Medina Mora. PLEASE, WE NEED NEW CEO, NEW BOARD, NEW TOP EXECUTIVES. U Corbat, u...r just a dumb. What C needs is a jammie Dimon or a a John Stumpf. U Corbat...get out!!!!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Time to buy BAC or wait???

    by handsome868 Apr 11, 2014 9:17 AM
    ernestokuhn ernestokuhn Apr 11, 2014 9:54 AM Flag

    ha!!...keep dreaming. r u shortie?

  • Reply to

    Time to buy BAC or wait???

    by handsome868 Apr 11, 2014 9:17 AM
    ernestokuhn ernestokuhn Apr 11, 2014 9:53 AM Flag

    u r looking rear mirror. of course depending the macro environment bac could go down and down. But regarding bac itself try to look the windscreen.

  • Reply to

    Time to buy BAC or wait???

    by handsome868 Apr 11, 2014 9:17 AM
    ernestokuhn ernestokuhn Apr 11, 2014 9:49 AM Flag

    ur an idiot

  • Reply to

    Time to buy BAC or wait???

    by handsome868 Apr 11, 2014 9:17 AM
    ernestokuhn ernestokuhn Apr 11, 2014 9:49 AM Flag

    honestly...who knows...but i've loaded my truck with a ton of call options. Distant future and strike 15$. Perhaps.....glta retail investors.

  • ernestokuhn by ernestokuhn Apr 9, 2014 1:00 PM Flag

    doesn´t matter what negative views can say. AA is going up and fast. In a few weeks she will reach 18$/shr. I'm buying a bunch. Doesn´t matter the net loss report. All that was digested. The future is brilliant. I'll not stop buying till we reach 18$. Hahahaha!!!!...i'm joking......I'm out.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • ernestokuhn by ernestokuhn Apr 9, 2014 12:12 PM Flag

    please, make urself a great favor: next April 22 vote AGAINST ALL proposals. This is the only way. All top executives and all board MUST BE FIRED. If not, this pig is DEAD MONEY. DO NOT FORGET. glta

  • Reply to

    What will be the price of lyg?

    by timwerner14 Apr 1, 2014 10:59 PM
    ernestokuhn ernestokuhn Apr 8, 2014 5:32 PM Flag

    this pig will never reach that price due to to the extraordinary DILUTION made by 2009. the highest price u can expect on reasonable basis is 1.5 pounds/shr and that is 10$/adr. All that thanks to the socialist government of GBrown and his group.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • ernestokuhn by ernestokuhn Apr 4, 2014 12:03 PM Flag

    Yes, and I hope to see blood (not mine, not shrholders'...) on APRIL 22.
    Remember: CITIGROUP INC. Annual Meeting of Shareholders
    MEETING DATE: April 22, 2014
    If not, C is a lost case.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ernestokuhn by ernestokuhn Mar 27, 2014 8:30 AM Flag

    I’LL TELL U WHAT HAPPENED
    Capital levels, Tier ratios, etc, etc, are essentially ok. But the Fed refused to C request on capital return to share holders.
    The question is then WHY?. And again….WHY?
    And the answer, simple, straightforward, in plain English is: LACK OF RELIABILITY, lack of transparency, lack of proper governance, lack of proper internal control, lack of risk management.
    All these “lacks” turn into TOO EXPOSURE TO FAIL. Do you remember “too big to FAIL”?.
    And if we are not blind we can identify some direct concerns: Medina-Mora, Banamex, Banamex out of control, Banamex resistings efforts by New York to improve governance and controls, global consumer-banking division representing 50% of C net income, Medina-Mora running Global consumer-banking division, Medina-Mora and his tight relationship with Mexico politicians and some dark practices, Mexico operations autonomy (without control), Banamex operations in independently way, and global consumer-banking division following this independency path.
    ALL THE ABOVE ARE THE MAIN FED CONCERNS. And nothing will change regarding capital return to share holders till something drastic is made with all those things. Till then C will move sideways between 40 and 50$ at most and with no capital return to longs.
    GLTA

  • Reply to

    Who will replace Corbat.

    by c11ray Mar 26, 2014 10:54 AM
    ernestokuhn ernestokuhn Mar 26, 2014 11:41 AM Flag

    of course my vote was AGAINST ALL BOARD. They do not deserve even 1% of their payment. Afraid this pig could SINK after 4pm today. Regarding on who to replace corbat...mmm...let me think...let me think....oh!!!....yes, i know: u-turn and .....pandit (the bandit)....yes!!!!!.....hahaha!!!!!...just joking. BUT NOT JOKING REGARDING MY VOTE...."AGAINST AND AGAINST AND AGAINST"....hope many longs do the same. Not my case but this pig is a 5$ stock (before rs)

  • Reply to

    Anyone playing BAC options?

    by shizoku Mar 24, 2014 11:03 AM
    ernestokuhn ernestokuhn Mar 24, 2014 11:24 AM Flag

    yes but buying put 17 strike jan'15 exp. 1.35$. Long but not comfortable. Next march 26 wi'll see but think dissapoint. Crash?, don´t know. But ....

  • ernestokuhn by ernestokuhn Mar 13, 2014 3:36 PM Flag

    SP
    jan´07 56$
    jan'08 30$
    jan'09 7$
    jan'10 3$
    jan'11 5$
    jan'12 2.7$
    jan'13 4$
    jan'14 5.2$
    jan'15 ????......3$?? ..... put ur number....ha!!!!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    AS USUAL.....

    by ernestokuhn Mar 7, 2014 4:04 PM
    ernestokuhn ernestokuhn Mar 12, 2014 12:09 PM Flag

    Heck!!!!....this pig is now a 4.7$ share!!!!!......Hey pre-2008 longs, how will u vote next annual meeting???.... COMPLETE BOARD MUST BE FIRED. May be we can ask a takeover by WFC?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    AS USUAL.....

    by ernestokuhn Mar 7, 2014 4:04 PM
    ernestokuhn ernestokuhn Mar 10, 2014 11:27 AM Flag

    hahahaha!!!!....again....going nowhere. C is a 4.9 $ share!!!. Do not forget!!!!. Via R/S board is pretending 50$/shr !!!!!!!. But C common is 10% pre crisis value. No problem in my case as my avg. is 3.5$ (35$ after r/s). But people holding she before 2008....uhhhhh!!!!. All board should be fired immediatly as Pandit the bandit was.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

CAT
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