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Vale S.A. Message Board

euromaster133 148 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 7, 2014 4:13 AM Member since: Oct 7, 2004
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  • euromaster133 by euromaster133 Sep 7, 2012 12:31 PM Flag

    One more firework is awaiting ....
    Thanks longers for buying at dips.

    Shorters are still yet to get cornered and real fireworks still three days away.
    Equillibrium will be maintained at 23.40 to 23.70.. Till that time everyday fireworks...

  • Reply to

    Long going short

    by cameleonman Sep 7, 2012 4:24 PM
    euromaster133 euromaster133 Sep 8, 2012 1:40 AM Flag

    PG&E has made very stupid decision, SPWR will not be there to support the same 100MW in the future. May be PG&E wants to acquire SPWR in the future. If that is the case, FSLR also will be target of other Energy company or Oil company.

    Oil and Gas are not abundant , Shale Gas is cheap but there are doubts that it is sustainable and
    economical as within 5 years Gas drops to 20% of the peak. hence all the Investments is loss , many shale gas drillers are under huge debt. Shale gas to be economically viable , Gas should be double its existing value.

    Oil companies also know this , they want to make last attempt by drilling on Federal land and ANWR.
    If that hope is lost , FSLR will be apple.

    You are seeing trojan horse wave where two head and shoulders were formed... that was to take away stocks at cheap price. Still they have not accounted anti dumping case against China in Europe , No shorting is happening between 20.40 to 20.90 , as there are no shares available.
    Investors are holding it. Once Saudi deal is announced , you will see either side jump , YES It will be 10$ jump on either side. This stock is not for weak heart investors.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Accumulate accumulate at the end 8% pop today

    by jai4524 Sep 10, 2012 6:44 AM
    euromaster133 euromaster133 Sep 10, 2012 7:12 AM Flag

    YES , 21.50 is more likely. But this week Euro's Court Rule for no bailout package , Ben Bernanke's annual meeting will not allow it to go higher..

  • euromaster133 by euromaster133 Sep 11, 2012 8:35 AM Flag

    It will be range bound , Still lot many short sell to cover but uncertainity prevails..

    Longers will be rewarded only if they hold for two days...
    From Wednesday Afternoon to Thursday...
    Events:
    Wednesday Afternoon: German ruling : Last year they ruled in favour but with parliament approval for the bailout... This year I hope they rule the same and that will be bullish.
    Wednesday night: Nasdaq short sell numbers will be announced... I think that also will be more than 31 million shares...
    Thursday afternoon: FED meeting: Can't say about this... Ben is sandwiched between Republican and Democrats. so He only gives hope that QE3 at the end of tunnel but tunnel END never arrives.. that will be bearish... but first two factors are large enough to bring the price to 22$..

    Hope for the best.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    FSLR for next two days

    by euromaster133 Sep 11, 2012 8:35 AM
    euromaster133 euromaster133 Sep 11, 2012 8:47 AM Flag

    News our recently that FSLR has signed Power purchase agreement with PG&E for 75MW power.

    This news is excellent news. and I think it will go back to 24-25 by End of this week.

    Awesome FSLR..
    PG&E has signed 100MW with SPWR and 75MW with FSLR.
    Wonderful.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • euromaster133 by euromaster133 Sep 12, 2012 9:52 AM Flag

    Shorters are still in denial and that's why they are holding it up.. But they don't know as long as they will supress the spring.. it will bounce back with force....

    I see price of 24$ very soon.....

  • Some Longers sold their FSLR portfolio on Aug 30th , thinking they will buy back at lower price but their fortune turned against them and now they are unable to buy back as their selling price was low compared to recent run-up.

    29 million is not bullish but not bearish either.
    Let's reverse little bit.
    July 31 - 29 million shorts price on July 31 ,15.54$
    Aug 1 announced good results

    Aug 15th closing price 21.20$ rise of almost 6$ increase, short increased to 31 million

    Aug 31 closing price 19.99$ shorts 29 million shares

    Now erase Aug 15 th from above equation:
    July 31 - 29 million shorts price on July 31 ,15.54$
    Aug 31 closing price 19.99$ shorts 29 million shares
    With just good results and one negative news about Agua Caliente ( Sort of -- I think news was neutral)

    Now on Sept 12th closing price 22.48$ with several good news , ECB draghi , German court ruling ,
    India project , PG&E contract , and may be today's QE3.

    I think there are lots of momemtum on this stock , shorters know that, they have shorted all they can but still price is rising and now no more short shares.

    FSLR is longer player and today's outcome will not hamper my decision to hold.

  • euromaster133 by euromaster133 Sep 24, 2012 2:34 PM Flag

    For three weeks , FSLR will fluctuate in the range between 19-21.
    As Obama is sure to Win , Most of MM are selling it for accounting the loss in this year. They have started this since last week , After three weeks , once Wash Sale period gets covered. They are going to buy. and On Election day , you are sure to see Fireworks.

    So Long just hold on.... It is going on the Path of 40$ very very soon , You can not imagine.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • euromaster133 euromaster133 Nov 13, 2012 10:01 AM Flag

    Bulls are testing how low can it go before new buyer appear to find out support level. When they enter say 24.50, It will go up to 26$ again. Till year end or before Fiscal cliff solution , it is bound to go up as next year , Rich have to pay more income tax so they will cover their short and book their profit on the books. There are not that many stocks to sell and this company is doing great , I can see 33$ at year END. Just have patience. People who have bought after obama was re-elected , they are still profitable ,

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • euromaster133 euromaster133 Nov 13, 2012 10:51 AM Flag

    Shorts are investing more at this level so when it climbs above 26$ , loose hands will sell quickly to get profit and hence they can easily buy shares and also new foolish shorts can give them their shares at cheaper price. I am buying more at this level. I am hopeful till year end.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Shorts are investing in the swing of 2-3$ as we have seen after Obama's Win.

    When investors believe that FSLR will be in the range of 22-26$. At that time , they will cover their shorts before Year End so that they can claim maximum benefit.

    When it goes to 27$, investors will sell thinking they will buy back again when it goes to 23$.
    and New shorters will think that they will Sell/Short now and cover it when 23$. At that time
    rel game of covering will begin. so that shorters can cover with 27 to 30$ ang pocket heavy gains.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • euromaster133 euromaster133 Nov 20, 2012 11:36 AM Flag

    Correct , We want all shorters to buy from us.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    INSTITUTIONAL INSIDER "SELLING"

    by sellnow Mar 4, 2013 8:47 AM
    euromaster133 euromaster133 Mar 5, 2013 8:44 AM Flag

    You poor guy , caught in short sell.... It is going to 6$ , very very soon. beyond your imagination. Brazil showing strong quarter growth , have strong GDP in first quarter 2013. Also 2014 , 2015 , will be marked as year of Infrastructure Investment to boot GDP. You should have bought some shares rather than selling it.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    vale

    by ppenningdevries Mar 21, 2013 2:38 PM
    euromaster133 euromaster133 Mar 22, 2013 8:14 AM Flag

    Very True. So weak hands get dropped out and that's their profit.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Contracts, New Lows...

    by uppekhahead Mar 27, 2013 9:56 AM
    euromaster133 euromaster133 Mar 27, 2013 10:22 AM Flag

    Todays Q4 2012 news will decide if it will increase or decrease further. I hope news is good .
    Shorts have to cover hard if news is good. there are around 18 million shorts by end of Mar 31

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Contracts, New Lows...

    by uppekhahead Mar 27, 2013 9:56 AM
    euromaster133 euromaster133 Mar 27, 2013 10:26 AM Flag

    Today's news by some CEO that Iron ore price will be between 110USD to 180USD is already discounted , when Goldman Sachs report came out.
    If 10 different CEO say the same thing that does not mean stock has to drop 10% every time and its value goes to ZERO.
    I am buying in at this price. at 110USD , all Steel company will have decent margin of 35%. With little cost cutting . SID can maintain about 60 cents USD EPS per year , hence PE ratio is just 7 at this price.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Why the bounce?

    by typea1948 Mar 27, 2013 2:43 PM
    euromaster133 euromaster133 Mar 27, 2013 2:46 PM Flag

    Shorts are 66 million now as of today ( approximate , we will know after 15 days ), but they want to cover as
    tomorrow SID ( CSN ) is going to give very good Q4 results. Iron ore price in this quarter also averaged 140USD. so this quarter will be excellent for all steel company. Don't sell till you get all your money BACK.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    should go up now

    by mikecommerce Mar 28, 2013 3:21 PM
    euromaster133 euromaster133 Mar 29, 2013 2:24 AM Flag

    They announced approx 11 US Cents ( R321Million$ ) , which met the analysts expectation. and Iron ore prices above 138$ in this quarter. will clearly boost , SID's profit this quarter. Shorts are doomed. I see prices clearly shooting to 5$ and with shorts running for cover , it will be 5.20$.

    Get your price and then sell.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Earnings beat by 76%, divi at 4.25%

    by flaed100 Mar 29, 2013 2:45 PM
    euromaster133 euromaster133 Mar 30, 2013 2:23 AM Flag

    Analyst higher estimates were 11 US Cents and Lower estimates 4 US cents. This is in USD. Look at Google Analysis. Yahoo normally have higher estimates. The Drop occured during last 2 weeks was due to Cyprus and Other steel earning. But Both the issue has been resolved now. and They have around 18 million shorts. I see price climbing to 4.95 on Monday and Then 5.20 on tuesday.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Very nice earnings

    by markmick2000 Apr 2, 2013 12:15 PM
    euromaster133 euromaster133 Apr 2, 2013 3:19 PM Flag

    Thanks for the GIFT. I will be buying more.. hehehehe

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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