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V.F. Corporation Message Board

eyesandears51 6 posts  |  Last Activity: Dec 23, 2013 1:50 PM Member since: Oct 1, 2012
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  • KORS, down 4+%, is under pressure today based on concern over a negative analyst call from Wedbush Securities citing “ slower than expected mall traffic….and higher than expected markdown inventory. This portends a revenue and gross margin miss. Three officers may have telegraphed this decline. The CEO, CFO and SVP all sold shares last week @ $ 82.20. The high trading volume today may reflect large institutions locking in 50% YTD profits. This selling pressure could intensify between now and year end.

    Stock technical's are also signaling that KORS is correcting. MACD and 5/13 day EMA are negative. Stock is below 20 day, and very close to the 50 day SMA.

    Mid to long term KORS prospects are positive, but @ $ 80.50, the price is ahead of it's skiis. KORS may soon test the mid $ 76- mid $ 77 resistance, a price range that offers a better risk adjusted reward.

  • FINL is under pressure today based on concern over today's quarterly reporting. CEO and President ( selling price $ 26.23- $ 26.52 ) along with other insiders selling 440,000 shares in 12 transactions recently may be a tell. Upside consensus target for analysts is
    $ 26.20.

    Technical's are also telegraphing that FINL is topping. MACD and 5/13 day EMA are negative. Stock is below 20 day SMA and nearing 50 day..

    Mid to long term FINL prospects are positive, but @ $ 26.19, the price is ahead of it's skiis. A price range of $ 24.50- $ 25.00 offers a better risk adjusted reward.

  • NKE is under pressure today based on concern over today's reporting. CFO selling $ 5.1 million ( 66,000 shares @ $ 77- $ 80 ), along with other insiders selling 800,000 shares in 21 transactions recently may be a tell. Upside consensus target for analysts is $ 80.45, a modest upside from today's $ 78 price.

    Technical's are also telegraphing that NKE is topping. MACD and 5/13 day EMA are negative. Stock is below 20 day SMA and nearing 50 day. A PEG of 2.05 also suggests that NKE is at the very high end of the relative value range. Put in context competitor UA has a quarterly revenue growth of .26, and GM of 48% vs. .08, and 43% for NKE.

    Mid to long term NKE's prospects are positive, but @ $ 78, the price is ahead of it's skiis. A price range of
    $ 75- $ 75.50 offers a better risk adjusted reward.

  • SPLK correcting 4.38%, on heals of strong recent selling of nearly 1.8 million shares by 5 officers including CEO and CFO. Selling prices range from $ 56.19- $ 63.55. High volume is confirming the correction.

    Technical's are also breaking down, including MACD, EMA, RSI, and Stochastics.

    Expect that early Venture Capital investor Sevin Rosen, owner of 16% of outstanding shares, to sell shares and lock in profits.

  • Reply to

    NPSP Blowout, Now a Re-bound

    by eyesandears51 Nov 6, 2013 10:38 AM
    eyesandears51 eyesandears51 Nov 6, 2013 11:37 AM Flag

    fatty_mcknuckles

    Thanks for your comments. Getting emotionally involved with a great company like NPSP, is easy to understand, but investing in the stock is business. That is why I try to be disciplined in my buy and sell targets.

    I regularly gain insight and information from others. Admitting your mistake is a sign of intellect and maturity.

  • eyesandears51 by eyesandears51 Nov 6, 2013 10:38 AM Flag

    For over a month, I have chronicled the technical weakness in the NPSP charts. Stock has dropped steadily from October 3 $35 .72 to $ 27.99 close yesterday. Today's blowout signaled the final stage of the bear run. As previously indicated, I liquidated my position in early October. I have now re-entered today @ 3 different price levels ranging from $ 21.80 to $ 22.89. I will continue buying as the stock recovers.

    IMO the fever has broken.

VFC
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