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American International Group, Inc. Message Board

fabricone1 512 posts  |  Last Activity: 4 hours ago Member since: Oct 4, 2000
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  • All the news was excellent and they beat the street estimates and generated a 7% comp store gain in the North American market which is their largest market. New concepts are working very well and new digital strategy leads all retailers. This company grew at 10-11 % and profits grew at double the sales resultsand the stock goes down with a guidance that was higher than the street ? This is a gift.

  • fabricone1 fabricone1 8 hours ago Flag

    so what ?SA has lost so much credibility that it is not funny. Half their articles are as worthless as this message board. Yahoo has the best over all financial web site. They should focus on the continual improvement of that and set up a premium and I mean premium side bar service that they could charge a small fee for and deliver better data and analysis than CNBC et all.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    TPLM Bakken Economics

    by pathus22 Jul 24, 2014 1:59 PM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 9 hours ago Flag

    OK understood.

  • fabricone1 fabricone1 10 hours ago Flag

    Beat the street on revenue and earnings. No blowout but a solid beat. Looks even better when compared to DNKN results. Shows which company is better managed.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Helluva gap fill

    by ubcomm Jul 24, 2014 2:14 PM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 6:00 PM Flag

    Better review the chart. You do not have the high correct. In any case you better watch the open if you are short. Something is brewing.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    turned down for my free cup of joe

    by wdh827 Jul 24, 2014 4:56 PM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 5:43 PM Flag

    I will send you a free coupon. Send me your address. Post it here.

  • fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 5:40 PM Flag

    Dunkn investors will go where they drink coffee and get delicious snacks.....SBUX. SBUX beat the street on revenues and profits. Stock should soar from here. AH was weak but the real investors will be in tomorrow.The updated positive forecast is also a Bullish sign for the stock. Excellent performance by the SBUX team. Congratulations.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    TPLM Bakken Economics

    by pathus22 Jul 24, 2014 1:59 PM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 2:58 PM Flag

    Interesting model but the assumption of cost per well is over 30% higher than actual company audited results indicate. This is more than an error of detail. It changes the entire IRR at $92. I wonder why someone who decided to downgrade would consciously inflate cost ? Hmm. I have to think about that a bit.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Once this rumor

    by bmachineny Jul 24, 2014 2:26 PM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 2:50 PM Flag

    You should sell all your possessions and go short if you believe that. The reason you sell so that you will be able to cover. i am sure no one gives a dope like you margin in any case.

  • Reply to

    Is a YHOO buyout inevitable upon BABA's IPO?

    by hll7575 Jul 24, 2014 11:49 AM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 12:10 PM Flag

    The other thing they get is an emerging strategy on mobile and a streaming business that adds muscle on the skeleton of the strong BABA frame work. This could be bought by several players but if it is left alone even more value will be generated imo

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • fabricone1 by fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 11:59 AM Flag

    The Dec expiration's on the 5 and the 7.50 extremely high today at over 3000 contracts each looks interesting. Strong latent bull indicator.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 11:51 AM Flag

    Marvin, the philosopher has revealed an important force of nature that should not be ignored. There are times when the best action is to be still and patient. There are few day traders who are philosophers but this is the essence of trend following. Observe, draw a line and follow the trend. The trend is your friend until it ends. I am not talking about one day, 30 days , 60 days etc. Pull your graph back to 1 year and ask yourself is it up,neutral or bending down.? A new high which certainly could happen soon sets a new level of support. I wait for the happy occasion.Enjoyed the post Marvin. Can you imagine how stressful being short on a stock that is growing faster than the market with earnings that are growing 3 x the PE ratio in an up market on a commodity that is in high demand and there appears to be no slack in demand in the near term let alone the long term. Wow ! These are brave individuals.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Fabricone ... pls define

    by cooldudical Jul 23, 2014 11:10 AM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 11:35 AM Flag

    It is similar to RSI but not precisely the same.

  • Reply to

    Fabricone ... pls define

    by cooldudical Jul 23, 2014 11:10 AM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 11:34 AM Flag

    This is an algorithmic moving average that measures the timing of this stock as compared to others. A high RT ratio indicates short term ( current ) momentum, Once you know the RT you can calculate the moving average over any time frame you like and graph it. I use this indicator as an early indicator to determine exit points or hold. I also use a combination of double Bollinger bands with a 20 day look back . One set has a standard deviation of 3 and the other has a 20 day look back and a standard deviation of 1 . Along with a very short MA you can trade very effectively on a buy , sell or hold. You should consider vector vest if you have interest in timing. An excellent system which is very low priced imo.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    +$60K, Need tips from the pros

    by israelprizertmy Jul 23, 2014 10:38 PM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 10:14 AM Flag

    My suggestion would be a platform system. You can get a free or low cost ( 9.99 ) 30 day trial. You get a plan and over 200 strategies that can be employed with an active stock search program. Daily market timing updates and free coaching. I have used several systems over the years but I have been on this one for 3 years and I have slaughtered the market. Give it a try . Nothing to lose . I wish I would have tried it years ago.
    You will learn when to buy, what to buy and when to sell. I get nothing for this unlike the #$%$ you see posted all over. The system is Vector Vest. Google it for contact info.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 24, 2014 10:04 AM Flag

    Agreed. We never should have been here but at least they are beginning to make it happen. Could see mid teens by year end with some decent earnings improvement over the expectations.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Who is picking up Yahoo at this high price??????

    by cashcowtips Jul 23, 2014 12:20 PM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 23, 2014 1:45 PM Flag

    I am you putz and you should as well

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 23, 2014 11:47 AM Flag

    This is just a preview of what an "event" will look like in my opinion. And that is up or down based on the final ruling by the FTC. From a practical point of view I side with the longs as Ackman is a self assured putz and enjoys yelling fire in the theater . The FTC takes its role seriously but there is no compelling evidence that can be presented beyond a paid by Ackman "whistle blower " this should not stand. One day this stock could pull a PUMA and that should scare the $hit out of any short every night. If Chapman, Soros, Ichan and Stiritz dump ok I will too but I don't think that is going to happen.

  • Reply to

    "Where's Waldo...I mean Marvin?"

    by gpg39 Jul 23, 2014 9:55 AM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 23, 2014 11:38 AM Flag

    You may be correct about that. From a an implied latent premium from a M&A perspective. I do see some opportunity for some accelerated growth if there are substantial savings that can be realized. I do not know the details of WLL 's operating mechanics so I really don't know what synergy this merger brings WLL other than a nice impact to revenue and reserves. And that could be enough to drive reasonable growth. I do agree with you 100% the sweet spot is 1-3 billion companies have the most pop opportunity. I have added WRES about 60 days ago and have had a spot of good luck with this holding. It will be interesting to see how it plays out. New management there and the CEO has been very effective initially. I do not see it with the same horse power at this stage as I did view TPLM at the same stock price ( around 5 ) but it is doing some good things.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    "Where's Waldo...I mean Marvin?"

    by gpg39 Jul 23, 2014 9:55 AM
    fabricone1 fabricone1 Jul 23, 2014 11:23 AM Flag

    Marvin, I agree about our current status here. We are looking pretty good. I am concerned that more investors coming on board has not pushed the valuation even higher. I believe this will occur in concert with the next earnings announcement. The conference call will be extremely important to me as I am interested in the future guidance and forecast which has been very good but there is some lack of trust factor that has allowed the short interest to maintain a high percent of the float. This should not be as the company continues to perform at a high level.
    I do short some stocks from time to time and for the life of me I do not understand the short thesis very well today.if there is a belief in a "Black Swan Event " this is not the best stock to short by any thesis I can understand. If it is a lack of belief in the performance which Pathus indicates from time to time , I can understand that but it should abate as the earnings continue to run past street expectations. A reduction of 3-5% in the short position would be a very bullish signal. A merger in fact will pop many shorts out but I do not invest with a merger as my primary or even secondary factor in my thesis. It does however have a better cadence as the baby oils begin to come of age in the Bakken though. In any case the target for me remains 18-20. And from a comparative PE analysis that could happen very easily without any merger activity. Marvin you and GPG and others on this board are intelligent investors and I appreciate the discussion we have.

AIG
54.16-1.01(-1.83%)Jul 25 4:00 PMEDT

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