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Emmis Communications Corp. Message Board

fabulouspoodle 56 posts  |  Last Activity: 13 hours ago Member since: Apr 7, 1999
  • fabulouspoodle by fabulouspoodle 13 hours ago Flag

    ...around $12.85 on the fall in response to the southern Florida storms. We're over halfway through hurricane season, and after the storms clear in S Florida, there's nothing on the horizon weatherwise, so we got a week or two of worry free weather.

    UVE should post strong numbers, and from the sounds of their latest pr, it look like they may be turning things around and returning to growth......since their reinsurance costs are set till next June (and are pretty low), any growth should be amplified in the bottom line.

    We'll see how the rest of the hurricane season goes....but you gotta like their 'return to growth' comments after several years of flat to negative policy growth.


  • fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Sep 13, 2014 10:34 AM Flag

    Hey fabricone,

    1. Sounds like you are an id!ot.
    2. I'm pretty sure I know more about the Fl insurance industry and UVE and reinsurance than you. Ive followed UVE since it was .18/share, and have traded long consistently since it was three bucks.
    3. I am not short, and only a fooool like yourself would take my comments for more than what they are. There are big storms in Fl right now.....
    4. From you post you dont know nuttin about reinsurance, or hurricane related damage. Its almost unvelievable that you believe UVE would not get hurt if there was a major hurricane. I mean it shows your absolute complete ignorance. Reinsurrance protects against Catastrophic Weather Events...lBike hurricanes. But there is a large dedcutible...a very large amount for each event. Once major catastrophic event would severely hurt UVE's earnings.
    5. This is not meant as a negative about UVE. Its just normal facts and risks that everyone knows...especially investors in Florida insurers. Just saying it to educate you out of your ignorance and total lack of knowledge. Its scary how posters like you pretend to be experts on these boards when you dont know squat.
    6. best to you.

  • Reply to

    I've been a buyer of AEY...

    by fabulouspoodle Sep 12, 2014 3:40 PM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Sep 12, 2014 11:38 PM Flag

    ..hey hopeful, certainly would be great if those insiders would get interested again. As you say, just one of those boring, very low risk/solid reward types.


  • fabulouspoodle by fabulouspoodle Sep 12, 2014 3:40 PM Flag

    ...around $2.30. In the pr, and more so in the Conf Call (transcript avail at seeking alpha), the CEO sounded optimistic that both of their segments would improve in the next several quarters (particularly Telco near term).

    I just think its a good risk reward at 2.3x, even if they break even, the stock wouldn't go down much. If they can make around .05/share, I think it would head towards three bucks. And if it makes around .07+/share, it could head over $3.50.


  • ...certainly no hurricane, but should lead to some wind and water damage. Considering how few storms have hit Florida in recent years, amazingly this may be the biggest weather event in the past 24 months.

  • fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Sep 12, 2014 11:37 AM Flag

    I boughts shares just under 19.50 in pre-market the morning of the offering. There were tons of shares traded that premarket at between 19.45 and 19.50....probably over 100,000. If you thought they were you shouldve added there. Lemons to lemonade and what not.

    Where do you think the stock would would go if they announced they were preparing for an offering near term? It aint up.


  • Reply to

    Simply Put: Valuation is based on the Future

    by value_king27 Sep 6, 2014 8:09 AM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Sep 11, 2014 10:51 AM Flag

    value, after 2010, APT lost their biggest mask customer (I forget, but I think an over 40% customer). That customer decided to do all manufacturing/design in-house.


  • As per form 13D filed on 9/2/14,NTZ CEO Pasquale Natuzzi purchased 500,000 shares of NTZ at a negotiated price of $2.75/share:

    "Mr. Pasquale Natuzzi has used an aggregate of $1,626,163.86 of his personal funds to effect various purchases of Ordinary Shares....... (ii) $1,377,500 was used to purchase Ordinary Shares (represented by ADSs), including commissions, in a privately negotiated transaction completed on July 30, 2014 as further discussed at Item 5(c). These funds were provided by Mr. Pasquale Natuzzi as a capital contribution to INVEST 2003, which then used the funds to purchase the Ordinary Shares (represented by ADSs).

    On July 30, 2014, INVEST 2003 completed the purchase of 500,000 ADSs, each representing one Ordinary Share, at a price of U.S.$2.75 per ADS...."

    From the last (q1) earnings report and conference call, its hard to believe that q2 will be strong. But it seems the CEO believes the turnaround and goals will be on track near term .....at least judging by the large insider buy. Anyway, we'll get a better idea in a week.


  • Director Floyd R. Tupper buys 1190 shares in the open market, on September 8, at an average of $7.945/share as follows:

    1020 @ $7.95
    100 @ $7.94
    70 @ $7.89

  • fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Sep 9, 2014 11:27 AM Flag

    CEO is Spanish (Carlos Aquero) and COO is maybe Irish (Kevin Whalen)......no Soprano's there right now, . although that would probably be an improvement.

    Maybe Paulie 'Walnuts' is available......"OOOOf. Marone. Dis MEA stock price better do what its told, when its told."

  • fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Sep 9, 2014 10:36 AM Flag

    uptab, I luv you and your investing, but geeze, there are no guaranteed ten baggers. There is risk with MCZ...in recent years MCZ management have been destroyers of capital, and continue to see their tangible book decline. Heck, the smartest things these guys did was that offering when the stock hit the upper one's a few years back, which at the time made all the longs cry like babies. That money has saved their azzes...without it they would be contemplating a 40 million share offering at .20 right now to stay afloat.

    I agree with micro. Buying to support a stock price doesnt make sense. The buyer keeps on averaging down, in this case at every penny, to oblivion for emotional rather than rational reasons. You support your children and family and friends, not your stocks. You make rational decisions re stocks...obvoiusly you have to look at the negatives and be willing to discuss them.

    Anyways, MCZ is near my buy target.... bought some around .54 to get my feet wet. There's support around .50 and in the upper .40's. I intend to add if she goes toward support...but would also buy some next week as long as she stays under .58ish.

    btw, I re-entered MEA at $1.21, they seem to be stabilizing. If they're able to sell some assets (as per plan) and avoid an offering, I think that would be a positive. If there is an lowish ball offering to raise a few bucks, I'd add when the offering prices. I know you know these guys well....any thoughts on their current value?


  • on 9/4, Director Floyd Tupper buys 1700 shares in the open market as follows:

    300 shares at $7.45
    400 shares at $7.47
    1000 shares at $7.56

  • Reply to

    Rouleau's history--a galaxy far, far away

    by keyes_fred Sep 3, 2014 8:24 PM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Sep 5, 2014 1:00 AM Flag

    Again, in spite of his age defining him as 'out of touch', he seems to be doing a decent job at righting the ship, certainly better than his younger predecessor. Maybe he's good at recruiting talent that is fully conversant with the new economy. I agree that the shareprice is high, but I'm sure the shareholders are happy with the absolutely huge return they've made since he's taken over. Regarding what evidence there is that he's kept up with the new economy, I think you would have to really be close to TUES know much about that. Although I think one of his first intiatives was to revamp their website...an obvious step, but one which the prior CEO had given up on.

    On SLGD, well I have always thought their manageent is sleazy, regardless of their age.

    On PFIN, I think management has done well recently in managing the business, at least these past three or four years. And from listening to conf calls he's still sharp, I personally wouldnt be concerned about his age. PFIN has done a good job surviving the recent deterioration of one of their largest customers (Sears), and finding new customers to replace that biz (Home Dep), and now acquiring several business which they claim will be accretive. The problem with their management is not age...its their greed, and large undeserved paychecks. In fact management did a much worse job when they were younger when they almost bankrupted the business with poor acquisitions.....maybe they've gotten better with age.

    I haven't held a position in TUES in a long time. Sold out of SLGD with a decent gain a few quarters back. Entered PFIN at LTF's suggestion when it was in the low two's years back, and made a decent amount trading it. I might reenter PFIN if it falls back some. The multiple recent acquisitions may work out real well for them, but they also add some risk.


  • Reply to

    Thanks Knowlege is King...

    by fabulouspoodle Sep 4, 2014 8:41 AM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Sep 4, 2014 1:37 PM Flag

    nope, just a smart investor who goes by that tag.

  • Reply to

    Rouleau's history--a galaxy far, far away

    by keyes_fred Sep 3, 2014 8:24 PM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Sep 4, 2014 8:57 AM Flag

    Well one thing we do know is that Rouleau has done far far better than his much much younger predecessors. And while each individual may be different, many 75 year old guys now are fully capable of doing what was expected of a 60 year old person just twenty or thirty years ago.

    I have no position in TUES either way....I certainly wouldn't buy any here. But to base a short case on the hope that the CEO's mental capacity is heading downhill 'cause he just turned 75. is pretty weak imo. Grasping at straws. Unless you can point to some actual examples of his weakened behavior. Even if he has only two good years left, well that's a long time stock wise.


  • fabulouspoodle by fabulouspoodle Sep 4, 2014 8:41 AM Flag

    ....now up over 200% on WIZD due to your usual sage advice.

  • fabulouspoodle by fabulouspoodle Sep 4, 2014 8:38 AM Flag

    ...three more insider buys in the past few days between $7.20 and $7.37. They just continue to add. Bodes pretty well

  • Reply to

    FSL out with big quarter and guidance....

    by fabulouspoodle Jan 30, 2013 8:34 PM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Aug 29, 2014 7:59 PM Flag


  • ...heck, their were people buying right after last quarters earnings release as high as $4.35 based on what COBR said the back half looked like; and the success of their new offerings. What is that, 15% below tangible book. And that's heading into the Sept and Dec quarters where analysts estimate COBR will make a total of .44/share. If that estimate is a good one, you'd think COBR would've been over five bucks in within five months.

    Unless of course something has severely changed in the only thirty days since their optimistic conference call. Unfortunately, with COBR, that's a distinct possibility.

    Anyway, giving what we shareholders know right now.......$4.30 is a lowball buyout. I'm amazed COBR management went for it.

    And, Momomay is commencing their tender within ten days from now....sounds like they know they got a good deal, and want it closed quickly, before any other suitors get a chance to make an offer.

    Point is, this is one piece of $h!# deal.


  • fabulouspoodle by fabulouspoodle Aug 27, 2014 1:41 PM Flag

    wizd wover w'one!

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