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Sport Chalet Inc. Message Board

fabulouspoodle 55 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 23, 2015 6:06 PM Member since: Apr 7, 1999
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  • Reply to

    Horrible report!

    by microcaptrader Feb 5, 2015 4:06 PM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Feb 5, 2015 4:30 PM Flag

    .....the saving grace is the tight cost controls leaves MCZ solidly profitable even at just thirty million in sales. Still, report is junky......I really have no idea where the share price will go over the next few weeks, except to say that in the past the early panic sellers on MCZ misses have lost out on far better exit opportunities, and this time MCZ price is pretty low to begin with. We''ll see soon enuf if thats wishful thinkin'.

  • fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Feb 4, 2015 3:44 PM Flag

    miser, there are tons of institutions, funds large investors that can buy at the current price, imo that is and has always been a red herring. I mean there are lots of stocks priced under a buck which move up strongly.

  • fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Feb 4, 2015 3:38 PM Flag

    uptab, re "I'm just not convinced that any revenue and/or EPS number in the 35 - 50mil and/or .02 to .10 will make any difference to how MCZ trades."

    and you're basing that on how MCZ traded over the past few months?

  • fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Feb 4, 2015 2:41 PM Flag

    uptab, I would buy at least 500,000 additional shares if they were available near today's price if I knew that info.

    I mean imo, the only way it wouldn't go up given that info would be if this were an industry that was dying....for instance there was a company that made non photo chemicals a bunch of years back that posted those kinds of numbers on decreasing revenues for a long time.

    Seems to me lots of investors are expecting disastrous numbers with a poor outlook, based on some competitors in the space that have already reported poor numbers plus a history of unexpectedly poor earnings; couple with the possible negative one time effects of West Coast port problems, and foreign currency.

    best.

  • Reply to

    QTR might be just so-so

    by truth8360 Feb 2, 2015 10:19 AM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Feb 4, 2015 9:55 AM Flag

    After the great June quarter, the stock price almost doubled after earnings to $1.90, then investors sold it all the way back to one dollar, $1.00. Those sellers certainly didn't know anything since the September quarter turned out super strong, and the stock nearly tripled off those lows just a few weeks later after q3 earnings were announced.

    Anyway, who knows about this quarter,all we know is that 2015 should be super strong, and guidance next quarter for 2015 should be great.

  • Reply to

    BDR prospects

    by fabulouspoodle Feb 2, 2015 10:54 PM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Feb 3, 2015 5:25 PM Flag

    Ym OT

    I think you can add KINS here, although I havent yet. The reason for the dip, imo, is the two recent big snowstorms where KINS provides coverage (mostly in the areas around NYC, like Long Island and Westchester). So March earnings will be effected by damage related to those storms. December quarter was pretty clean, except KINS provideds some insurance coverage in the Buffalo area....and there was that huge snowstorm in the late fall there...so I still believe that December's numbers will be very good.

    Anyway, some years you have bad winters....thats the risk. But after the March quarter, KINS should again start pounding out quarter after quarter of super strong earnings.

    I had a buy order in at $7.50 that didnt hit today.

    best.

  • fabulouspoodle by fabulouspoodle Feb 2, 2015 10:54 PM Flag

    Looks like their seasonally weak March quarter could be real strong with big orders form DirectTV...and more orders should follow throughout the year. They also said that later in the year, in the June and September quarters, there should be large orders for digital equipment as its the last chance to convert before companies are fined.....they said their are still lots of servicers that need to fully move to digital. And there were a bunch of other opportunities that they expect to come to fruition in 2015.

    And at the end of BDR's commentary on the CC BDR COO Bob Palle said that they expect improving sales and results in the future.

    So whether BDR has a good or great q4, it looks like 2015 should be real strong for this very profitable yet under book value company.

  • Reply to

    QTR might be just so-so

    by truth8360 Feb 2, 2015 10:19 AM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Feb 2, 2015 9:52 PM Flag

    Looks like their seasonally weak March quarter could be real strong with big orders form DirectTV...and more orders should follow throughout the year. They also said that later in the year, in the June and September quarters, there should be large orders for digital equipment as its the last chance to convert before companies are fined.....they said their are still lots of servicers that need to fully move to digital. And there were a bunch of other opportunities that they expect to come to fruition in 2015.

    And at the end of BDR's commentary on the CC BDR COO Bob Palle said that they expect improving sales and results in the future.

    So whether BDR has a good or great q4, it looks like 2015 should be real strong for this very profitable yet under book value company.

  • Reply to

    Earnings Release

    by westnash1 Jan 26, 2015 9:38 AM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Jan 30, 2015 8:45 AM Flag

    westy, i'm certainly no expert, just an experienced guy, and if I may be a bitforward, just want to tell you that I think you may be sliding ever so slightly down the slippery slope of losing your sanity.

    Again, only and opinion, I'm not an expert.

    My advice would be to step away from your desktop....take a breath of fresh air.......then yell "I'm mad as He!! and I'm not going to take it anymore!".....next step would be to actually go outside and talk to another human. If you don't know what to say, I recommend Marshawn Lynch's line...just step up to somebody (maybe the postman) and say, "..you know why I'm here..".

    best.

  • Reply to

    Question about shorting

    by norwalkron Jan 29, 2015 12:03 PM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Jan 29, 2015 12:38 PM Flag

    Norwalk, if the company is bankrupt and delisted, the 'shorter' doesnt have to do anything. However, their may be a delay in being able to use that money freely until the broker writes off the loan.

  • fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Jan 28, 2015 11:52 AM Flag

    uptab, I dont think I'm that nimble....I did have a bunch of trading shares, so I stuck a couple of orders in before the open..a few cents above the $3.50 bid and they ended up hitting.

    Of course when you do that, you can always be wrong, and the stock could tick up over $4 with your sale being the low. You just have to be comfortable with your investing style so you dont get too frustrated when things dont go your way.

    best.

  • fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Jan 28, 2015 11:24 AM Flag

    hey uptab, if you're responding to my post, I also said
    "uptab....yup, back half of fy could be very strong. CC started out a bit blah, but the Q&A was great, CEO really started to show his optimism...and the potential for OIS, according to the CEO, is pretty dramatic."

    The negative was they missed thieir estimate. The street was expecting $69.6 million revenue, and eps of negative .13/share, and HTCH lowered both. You can argue that 10% YOY is solid, but its a miss on expectations.

    Anyway, I sold some of mine (15,000) into what I thought was the gift bid over $3.53/4 near the open, and I' m already looking to back half of that b/c I luv HTCH's future beyond next quarter.

    best.

  • fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Jan 28, 2015 9:12 AM Flag

    just to balance, flip side is that next qtr is disapointing.....

  • fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Jan 28, 2015 9:07 AM Flag

    uptab....yup, back half of fy could be very strong. CC started out a bit blah, but the Q&A was great, CEO really started to show his optimism...and the potential for OIS, according to the CEO, is pretty dramatic.

    best.

  • Reply to

    added just a bit more at 7.10

    by hopeful200 Dec 18, 2014 12:04 PM
    fabulouspoodle fabulouspoodle Jan 27, 2015 11:01 PM Flag

    mrkory2002, isnt much of the currency problems abated by the fact that most of SGMA's output takes place in its factories in Mexico (and some in Asia)?

SPCHA
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