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fairvalue23 10751 posts  |  Last Activity: 15 hours ago Member since: Jan 10, 2009
  • fairvalue23 fairvalue23 15 hours ago Flag

    Harvard Business Review -- PHD Professor -

  • fairvalue23 fairvalue23 15 hours ago Flag

    Harvard Business Review -- PHD Professor Wrote This Thesis... NOT ME !!!

  • Harvard Prof Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index goto 418 .

    Harvard Prof Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index goto 418 ... Harvard Business Review : Harvard Professor Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index go to 418 --- Scenario: Top Income-Tax Rate of 45%--- The Standard & Poor's 500 Index at 418 where it was in December 1982... Harvard Business Review Harvard Business Review Harvard Business

  • Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel....$2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline..
    .

    Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel....$2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline..
    .

    Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel....$2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline..
    Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel......Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel.....Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel...Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel...Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel l.Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 to $50.00 a barrel

    Based on Sanford C. Bernstein estimates of the marginal cost of oil production, the geopolitical premium in the Brent price is about $30 a barrel right now. Reminding the market that a strategic cushion exists—without necessarily deploying it—provides a check on that premium rising even further. Sweet Crude Oil Value should be $60.00 to $50.00 a barrel. That equates to averages gasoline price of $2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline.
    Sanford Bernstein geopolitical premium in the Brent price is about $30 a barrel right now That equates to averages gasoline price of $2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline

  • Oil Fairvalue $60 per Barrel = $2.00 per gallon gasoline

  • Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel....$2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline..
    .

    Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel....$2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline..
    Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel......Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel.....Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel...Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel...Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel l.Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 to $50.00 a barrel

    Based on Sanford C. Bernstein estimates of the marginal cost of oil production, the geopolitical premium in the Brent price is about $30 a barrel right now. Reminding the market that a strategic cushion exists—without necessarily deploying it—provides a check on that premium rising even further. Sweet Crude Oil Value should be $60.00 to $50.00 a barrel. That equates to averages gasoline price of $2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline.
    Sanford Bernstein geopolitical premium in the Brent price is about $30 a barrel right now That equates to averages gasoline price of $2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline

  • Harvard Prof Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index goto 418
    .

    Harvard Prof Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index goto 418 ... Harvard Business Review : Harvard Professor Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index go to 418 --- Scenario: Top Income-Tax Rate of 45%--- The Standard & Poor's 500 Index at 418 where it was in December 1982... Harvard Business Review Harvard Business Review Harvard Business

  • Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon......Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon..........Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon.........Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon........Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon.......Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon 03-Oct 8:42 am This eq...
    Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon This equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon This equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.00 per gallon

  • Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel....$2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline..
    Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel......Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel.....Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel...Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel...Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 a barrel l.Sanford Bernstein Oil Value should be $60.00 to $50.00 a barrel

    Based on Sanford C. Bernstein estimates of the marginal cost of oil production, the geopolitical premium in the Brent price is about $30 a barrel right now. Reminding the market that a strategic cushion exists—without necessarily deploying it—provides a check on that premium rising even further. Sweet Crude Oil Value should be $60.00 to $50.00 a barrel. That equates to averages gasoline price of $2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline.
    Sanford Bernstein geopolitical premium in the Brent price is about $30 a barrel right now That equates to averages gasoline price of $2.25 to $2.00 per gallon gasoline

  • Harvard Prof Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index goto 418 ... Harvard Business Review : Harvard Professor Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index go to 418 --- Scenario: Top Income-Tax Rate of 45%--- The Standard & Poor's 500 Index at 418 where it was in December 1982... Harvard Business Review Harvard Business Review Harvard Business

  • OIL Fair Value $60 Per Barrel

  • Harvard Prof Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index goto 418 ... Harvard Business Review : Harvard Professor Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index go to 418 --- Scenario: Top Income-Tax Rate of 45%--- The Standard & Poor's 500 Index at 418 where it was in December 1982... Harvard Business Review Harvard Business Review Harvard Business

  • 2014 crash will be worse than 1987's: Marc Faber
    Alex Rosenberg | @CNBCAlex
    Thursday, 10 Apr 2014 | 1:02 PM ET
    Marc Faber: Coming crash will be worse than 1987 Marc Faber, editor and publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, says a 30 percent crash is coming in the next 12 months. With CNBC's Jackie DeAngelis and the Futures Now Traders.
    Marc Faber says the stock market is setting up for a decline more painful than the sudden crash of 1987.
    "I think it's very likely that we're seeing, in the next 12 months, an '87-type of crash," Faber said with a devious chuckle on Thursday's episode of "Futures Now." "And I suspect it will be even worse."
    Faber, the editor and publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, has recently called for growth stocks to decline. And he says the pain in the Internet and biotech sectors is just getting started.
    "I think there are some groups of stocks that are highly vulnerable because they're in cuckoo land in terms of valuations," Faber said. "They have no earnings. They're valued at price-to-sales. And this is not a good metric in the long run."
    To be sure, there are prominent investors that disagree with Faber, among them legendary stockpicker Bill Miller, who said this week that conditions for a bad market simply don't exist.
    But it's not just momentum stocks that Faber is wary of. He says that investors are coming to a stark realization.
    "I believe that the market is slowly waking up to the fact that the Federal Reserve is a clueless organization," Faber said. "They have no idea what they're doing. And so the confidence level of investors is diminishing, in my view."
    As investors adjust to this fact, and valuations shrink, he predicts a massive decline in the market.
    "This year, for sure—maybe from a higher diving board—the S&P will drop 20 percent," Faber said, adding: "I think, rather, 30 percent. Who knows. But all I'm saying is that it's not a very good time, right now, to buy stocks."
    Previously, in August 2013, Faber predicted that a 1987-style crash was coming. The S&P 500 is about 9 percent higher since he made that call.
    —By CNBC's Alex Rosenberg

  • Harvard Prof Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index goto 418 ... Harvard Business Review : Harvard Professor Niall Ferguson S&P 500 Index go to 418 --- Scenario: Top Income-Tax Rate of 45%--- The Standard & Poor's 500 Index at 418 where it was in December 1982... Harvard Business Review Harvard Business Review Harvard Business

  • Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon......Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon..........Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon.........Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon........Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon.......Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon 03-Oct 8:42 am This eq...
    Equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon This equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.25 per gallon This equates to gasoline prices to average about $2.00 per gallon

  • Renowned Economist Harry Dent Dow Jones to Drop to 3,300...........Renowned Economist Harry Dent Dow Jones to Drop to 3,300........Renowned Economist Harry Dent Dow Jones to Drop to 3,300...Renowned Economist Harry Dent Dow Jones to Drop to 3,300..Renowned Economist Harry Dent Dow Jones to Drop to 3,300.Renowned Economist Harry Dent Dow Jones to Drop to 3,300 The Man Who Predicted Japan’s Lost Decade… The Recession of 1990-92… The Biggest Bull Market Run in U.S. History… and Most Recently, the 2008 Credit Crisis and Stock Market Crash… Now Predicts:
    Yes, today the Dow Jones Average may be near historic highs…
    but it won’t be for long! The Dow will drop.
    My name is Harry Dent. For the past 30 years, I’ve used the Science of Demographics to predict major economic and market shifts with uncanny accuracy… decades ahead of time.
    Many investors are making the mistake of thinking the downturn is over, and Dow stocks will continue to roar upward.
    But that’s not what my research indicates. Not even close.
    I see the Dow Jones Average winding down, week after week… falling through the 12,000 mark… below 10,000, then 9,000, 8,000… to 6,440 – where it’s likely to rally briefly… before ultimately dropping as low as 3,300.
    And there’s nothing you or I, or any politician or government, or any team of monetary experts can do to stop the Dow Jones Index from dropping.
    But here’s the good news, extraordinary wealth can be made by knowing the future.
    In Survive & Prosper, my free e-letter, I’ll show you my economic analysis and demographic research that proves the DOW is about to make a historic drop.
    But that’s just the beginning, you’ll also learn:
    • How to predict the economic future! Imagine if you knew when to buy stocks like Microsoft during the tech bubble for $.85 a share after factoring in splits – and watched it rocket to over $58, a better than 67-to-1 windfall. I will show how predicting and profiting from the future is a SCIENCE and is easier than you might have im

  • Critical warning: Dow 5,000, crash of 65% Former Goldman Sachs trader Terry Burnham is right to warn that the sucker's bull market of 1928 is repeating..........Critical warning: Dow 5,000, crash of 65% Former Goldman Sachs trader Terry Burnham is right to warn that the sucker's bull market of 1928 is repeating..Critical warning: Dow 5,000, crash of 65% Former Goldman Sachs trader Terry Burnham is right to warn that the sucker's bull market of 1928 is repeating.Critical warning: Dow 5,000, crash of 65% Former Goldman Sachs trader Terry Burnham is right to warn that the sucker's bull market of 1928 is repeating, writes Paul Farrell.Critical warning: Dow 5,000, crash of 65% Former Goldman Sachs trader Terry Burnham is right to warn that the sucker's bull market of 1928 is repeating, writes Paul Farrell

  • Nomura bear sees global stocks tumbling 50% in 2014.........Nomura bear sees global stocks tumbling 50% in 2014...Nomura bear sees global stocks tumbling 50% in 2014.Nomura bear sees global stocks tumbling 50% in 2014
    Feb.21, 2014 11:35 AM
    “The bubble is building.”
    With a headline like that, it’s pretty clear where Nomura strategist Bob Janjuah sits on the side of those big market gains that are making many investors squirm in both the cheap and expensive seats lately.
    The last time uber-bear Janjuah popped his head above the parapet was summer, when he predicted 50% bear market would hit in late 2013 or early 2014. While that has not happened, no matter to Janjuah, who merely shifted that apoca-stock-lyptical prediction out a few paces in his latest note to investors that published on Tuesday:
    “…from a TIME perspective I still see end Q4 2013, through to end Q1 2014, as the window in which we see a significant risk-on top before giving way, over the last three quarters of 2014 and through 2015, to what could be a 40% to 50% sell-off in global stock markets.”
    Janjuah says his 1,800 target for the S&P 500 SPX +0.43% has pretty much been nailed. (The index topped 1,775 last week.) But before any big reversal hits, investors may see higher highs, such as 1,850 for the S&P 500, and they should also hold out for more signs of complacency, he says.
    Specifically, he sees the so-called ‘fear trade’ index, the VIX VIX -4.52% , trading down at 10 between now and the end of the first quarter of next year before any big selling takes place.
    And while waiting on those higher S&P highs, Janjuah says investors could see an interim sell-off first. Risk-off trading could take the index from 1,775 to 1,650/1,700 or even down to 1,600/1,650. If that dip comes he’s ready to buy up to that 1,800/1,850 S&P high target.
    “The key here is that, I think in the very short term, markets have priced out pretty much all the risk in markets, and have priced in pretty much all the ‘good’ news. As such I feel sentiment and positioning are currently very

  • Frightening 1929 market chart is gaining traction parallels between recent market behavior and just before 1929 crash.....Frightening 1929 market chart is gaining traction Mark Hulbert on parallels between recent market behavior and just before 1929 crash.
    Feb. 27, 2014, 6:30 a.m. EST
    Scary 1929 market chart gains traction
    Opinio Hulbert n: If market follows the same script, trouble lies directly ahead
    CHAPEL HILL, N.C. (MarketWatch) — There are eerie parallels between the stock market’s recent behavior and how it behaved right before the 1929 crash.
    That at least is the conclusion reached by a frightening chart that has been making the rounds on Wall Street. The chart superimposes the market’s recent performance on top of a plot of its gyrations in 1928 and 1929.
    The picture isn’t pretty. And it’s not as easy as you might think to wriggle out from underneath the bearish significance of this chart.
    I should know, because I quoted a number of this chart’s skeptics in a column I wrote in early December. Yet the market over the last two months has continued to more or less closely follow the 1928-29 pattern outlined in that two-months-ago chart. If this correlation continues, the market faces a particularly rough period later this month and in early March. (See chart, courtesy of Tom McClellan of the McClellan Market Report; he in turn gives credit to Tom DeMark, a noted technical analyst who is the founder and CEO of DeMark Analytics.)
    One of the biggest objections I heard two months ago was that the chart is a shameless exercise in after-the-fact retrofitting of the recent data to some past price pattern. But that objection has lost much of its force. The chart was first publicized in late November of last year, and the correlation since then certainly appears to be just as close as it was before.
    To be sure, as McClellan acknowledged: “Every pattern analog I have ever studied breaks correlation eventually, and often at the point when I am most counting on it to continue working. So there is no guarantee that the market has to continue following through with every step of the 1929 Less

  • Frightening 1929 market chart is gaining traction Mark Hulbert on parallels between recent market behavior and just before 1929 crash.
    Feb. 27, 2014, 6:30 a.m. EST
    Scary 1929 market chart gains traction
    Opinio Hulbert n: If market follows the same script, trouble lies directly ahead
    CHAPEL HILL, N.C. (MarketWatch) — There are eerie parallels between the stock market’s recent behavior and how it behaved right before the 1929 crash.
    That at least is the conclusion reached by a frightening chart that has been making the rounds on Wall Street. The chart superimposes the market’s recent performance on top of a plot of its gyrations in 1928 and 1929.
    The picture isn’t pretty. And it’s not as easy as you might think to wriggle out from underneath the bearish significance of this chart.
    I should know, because I quoted a number of this chart’s skeptics in a column I wrote in early December. Yet the market over the last two months has continued to more or less closely follow the 1928-29 pattern outlined in that two-months-ago chart. If this correlation continues, the market faces a particularly rough period later this month and in early March. (See chart, courtesy of Tom McClellan of the McClellan Market Report; he in turn gives credit to Tom DeMark, a noted technical analyst who is the founder and CEO of DeMark Analytics.)
    One of the biggest objections I heard two months ago was that the chart is a shameless exercise in after-the-fact retrofitting of the recent data to some past price pattern. But that objection has lost much of its force. The chart was first publicized in late November of last year, and the correlation since then certainly appears to be just as close as it was before.
    To be sure, as McClellan acknowledged: “Every pattern analog I have ever studied breaks correlation eventually, and often at the point when I am most counting on it to continue working. So there is no guarantee that the market has to continue following through with every step of the 1929 Less

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