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flashrob 199 posts  |  Last Activity: Nov 25, 2014 4:04 PM Member since: Apr 2, 1999
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  • a. the U.S. economy... while a lot of more "conventional type big biz" is suffering "mkt share and consumer purchasing declines, etc..." and they have "just about exhausted" cost-cutting measures, like layoffs...to show positive earnings, etc.

    well, while many of these "older more conventional biz" don't look too promising in the future...WELL WHILE this may be true... BUT IN THE MEANTIME... there IS rapid growth in "new more green tech" oriented biz... to the tune of as much as 50%... meaning...though some of the older more conventional type biz is in decline...IT IS BEING OFFSET AND REPLACED by "newer innovative - mostly tech - stuff."

    examples:
    a. Tesla and pure ev cars
    b. Solar Cify ramping up big-trend changes in how we get our power - and with less pollution and damage to "our lungs" and "the environment...
    c. another BIG TRANSITION is "robotics" and all the IT tech involved in that...
    d. major changes in RETAIL ...with more ONLINE...Amazon, Alibaba...etc.

    so though THEIR may be some "steady state declines" in "more conventional biz" ...newer innovative green tech is coming our way fast...already ramping up in the background ...to fill the decline gap of some of the older less vibrant and innovative conventional companies...

    now of course "the smart older conventional companies" will "also embrace these new innovations" and not just steadily decline...

    so in general: U.S. stock mkts...should continue to advance...you just have to be a "bit more thoughtful" about "who the likely winners" will be...(meaning they adjust to this major technological paradigm shift) and who "slowly declines"...etc.

    so I see the stock mkt in U.S. as "more prospective balancing out less prospective"...like that...

    .........post is getting long so I'll move on to my next points in replys...

    oh...this is why Tesla, Solar City, NFLX, FB, GOOG, AMZN, BABA, Appl... are examples of "adapting to the newer green tech...etc. SO THESE ARE SOME OF THE "BEST STOCKS" going forward...

  • Reply to

    $30 down day coming

    by linereadline Oct 8, 2014 3:06 AM
    flashrob flashrob Oct 8, 2014 6:56 AM Flag

    as THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIES "RECOVER BIG TIME" ...oil prices AND GASOLINE WILL "RAMP BACK UP"...you just get a "brief respite"...

    than "back to EXPENSIVE GASOLINE as usual...

  • flashrob flashrob Oct 7, 2014 12:44 PM Flag

    with "all your speculations"...

    notice one thing...

    no matter what you "think, say, or do... TESLA stock is "where it is" because someone "wants it that way" ...and they, apparently, could care less "about what YOU - as an individual or a group - WANT... or think, or say, or plan, or do..." (neither do they care much about what I might prefer/want...) ...but I do "pay attention" to the hints and probability forecasts I get from them, etc.

    I don't "know all the answers" ...but "I have a big advantage - over almost everyone - in the realms of knowledge, and how things are likely to go." It is "not so much: WHAT I KNOW" ...BUT "KNOWING WHAT YOU and MOST OTHERS (with a few exceptions) "DON'T KNOW!"

    and that gives me a huge advantage in "forecasting the future..."

    and you will "never get my kind of knowledge" from going to a Harvard, or MIT, or listening to "so-called authorities and/or experts, or the NSA, or the CIA, or from reading someone's book ...OR FROM ANYONE "you KNOW..."

    so TESLA is really... "just a small side issue to me"... I mostly focus on much bigger issues... like "climate change" and the impact that will have on me "the world population" ...because, unfortunately, I have to live in this world, too... and so, if "you-all screw it up too much" ...I suffer "some" (but "not all") collateral damage because of your ignorance...

    so, I mostly try to inform people a bit... about some of what I have found out about, and am privy to... in the hope, that I can maybe keep "some pots" from boiling over." It's a bit like that...

  • flashrob flashrob Oct 7, 2014 11:27 AM Flag

    the FED... but that's not tellin' you much...because "very few in this world" know "who that is...

  • flashrob flashrob Oct 7, 2014 11:13 AM Flag

    try this MORON... the U.S. govt "can't go bankrupt"

    a. the FED can "dilute the currency as much as they think necessary"

    b. do you really think you know anything finance and economics DUMDUM... why does CHINA, JAPAN, UK...hold TRILLIONS IN OUR DEBT ...DUMMY...

    MAYBE YOU THINK YOU "ARE SMARTER THEN THE WORLD'S GREASTEST ECONOMISTS..

    you don't even have ENOUGH ECONOMIC SAVVY ...to "BE LONG TESTLA" you dumb moron...

  • Reply to

    AWD EV ====== yawning

    by kbodie77777 Oct 6, 2014 11:42 AM
    flashrob flashrob Oct 6, 2014 3:27 PM Flag

    correction: on tis last: when DOLLAR goes up IMPORTS "TO" US BECOME CHEAPER...

    EXPORTS FROM U.S. become more expensive...

    ....this is "in general" ...all kinds of things which modify this somewhat...

  • you can look it up on main YAHOO FINANCE NEWS... .............I can't believe "em" anymore... SEEMS "MARY BARRA" givin' them "old GM board boys" a good lesson... in thinkin' THEY COULD LET HER "TAKE THE HEAT FOR ALL THEIR PAST MIS-MANAGEMENT"

    MARY ...reversed all this... turned the tables on the "old buggers" ...AND IS GOING "ALL OUT TO MAKE GM" FESS UP...

    BUT WILL THEY "SURVIVE "THEIR ACT OF CONTRITION" ...

    as much as I "hit on big guzzler" ...YES "GM" WILL SURVIVE...AND "MARY BARRA" IS "DOING THE RIGHT THING"... I GET "OTHER GUZZLER MFRS WORLDWIDE" ...I BET SHE "GIVIN' THEM ...NIGHTMARES"

    I CREDIT GM for PUT "MARY" IN CHARGE ...AND FOR HER DOIN' THE "RIGHT THING" ...she's a real credit to GM...

    BY THE WAY ...I OWN AND "LOVE" MY SUPERCHARGED GM CAR... runs great ...good thing I DON'T commute with it though... unless you got a "pretty good job" and maybe carpool a bit, etc.

    anyway... "wonder when other BIG GUZZLER" gonna FOLLOW MARY'S LEAD and fess up...

    ........
    again CONGRATUALTIONS "MARY BARRA" ...I know it "must be really tough" doing WHAT YOU ARE DOING...but "if my next car ain't a TESLA... my 2nd CHOICE will be a GM...

  • flashrob flashrob Oct 6, 2014 12:53 PM Flag

    hey guess who else OWNS MUCHO TREASURIES... I'll let you figure that one out... BIGGEST OF THEM ALL BY FAR...

  • so WHO DOES PRETTY WELL ...entities that HAVE MUCHO DOLLARS...IN THE U.S. TREASURIES they own...dollar going up "makes these MORE VALUABLE"...

    a. CHINA ...over a TRILLION DOLLARS... so I wouldn't worry about Chinese economy too much...they are a "major lender economy" AS OPPOSED TO U.S. borrower economy...

    b. JAPAN ...over a TRILLION DOLLARS...

    c. U.K. ...OVER 1/2 TRILLION DOLLARS...

    d. BIG SURPRISE...THE U.S. .....SOCIAL SERCURITY ALONE... HAS "TWO TRILLION IN U.S. TREASURIES"...

    there are others... SO DECLINES IN FOREIGN CURRENCIES... are offset in varying degress by THOSE WHO OWN LOTS OF "U.S. TREASURIES"...they still get their "flat coupon interest rate" WHILE BENEFITING FROM "BEING ABLE TO REDEEM THEIR TREASURIES "AT MATURITY" in "higher world valued U.S. DOLLARS...

    ALSO: OIL IS PRICED IN DOLLARS... meaning one of the "big reasons" oil prices are falling IS THAT THE DOLLAR IS GOING UP... (But this is a complex issue...because lots of other factors "mostly demand" also effect the price of oil... plus the speculators in "oil futures, etc."

    anyway...SOCIAL SERCURITY people plus (I didn't mention MANY OTHER PARTS OF U.S. GOV that also own large amounts of U.S. TREASURIES...

    oh well, good news for retirees... they didn't get much of a "cost of living increase" BUT "THEIR DOLLARS WILL GO FARTHER" ...especially with "more cheap imports from abroad"...especially as European mfr starts to ramp up... with DRAGHI/ECB...DEVALUTING THE EURO ...AND MAKING IMPORTS AND TRADING WITH EUROPE...more a happening thing, etc.

    anyway, whatever...

  • Reply to

    AWD EV ====== yawning

    by kbodie77777 Oct 6, 2014 11:42 AM
    flashrob flashrob Oct 6, 2014 12:25 PM Flag

    normally DOLLAR going up INCREASES price of U.S. exports...

    a. much of our stuff is mfr offshore...that one thing...

    b. stuff that is "still made in U.S." ...even if a "few dollars" up in price... foreigners WILL STILL BUY...

    c. dollar low over past few years... got as much as could squeak out of "u.s. domestic mfr stuff"...SO NOW THIS BASICALLY A "PRICE RISE" on quality U.S. exports ...that are still produced here...

    this means TESLA makes "more bang or buck on INTL SALES" which won't slump ...TESLA ...plus expect "oil/gasoline" price rises in EUROPE because "OIL PRICED IN DOLLARS"... so even when "oil price falls" ...it IS ILLUSION... because "foreigners have to change to DOLLARS to purchase it..."

    not a bad deal for us... for foreign GAS/OIL PRICES ...have this additional BIG ISSUE gonna DRIVE OIL/GASOLINE PRICES UP "OUTSIDE U.S."

    .........SO "DOLLAR UP...LOOKIN' GOOD ....FOR TESLA....

  • Reply to

    AWD EV ====== yawning

    by kbodie77777 Oct 6, 2014 11:42 AM
    flashrob flashrob Oct 6, 2014 12:14 PM Flag

    this won't impact TESLA much... except... "maybe order one now in foreign countries while dollar is still not yet ramping up too high... (like mostly European buyers)... China rich enough that this won't matter much to them...
    ...BESIDE "the slight deval of Chinese Yuan" is mostly just a TEMP THING... to clean out "those short dollar"...THIS IS A "FOREX CURRENCY MANIPULATION"

    DOLLAR GOING UP against most "foreign currencies" ...but in the case of CHINA... "CHINA HAS A "VERY STRONG OVERALL ECONOMY" compared to the U.S. AND THE REST OF THE WORLD... so the Chinese gov can "run the yuan/renmimbi range" if it wants to...unlike the rest of most western economies...CHINA has been "having 7%plus...GDP growth... despite "western financial analysts" HYPE...that China got problems...EVERYBODY GOT PROBLEMS... western economies WISH they "had slight declines DOWN FROM 7.5% GDP growth... in fact in "western economies" especially the U.S. / EUROPE /JAPAN...having 7% growth...would be CONSIDERED A "HIGHLY INFLATIONARY LEVEL"...and would be trying to slow that down to like 3.5-4 %... (I do currency trading, too...)

    SCTY mostly does "solar panel intallation in U.S." so not much of impact on that...

  • Reply to

    AWD EV ====== yawning

    by kbodie77777 Oct 6, 2014 11:42 AM
    flashrob flashrob Oct 6, 2014 12:00 PM Flag

    also: sequester money "mostly held offshore by multinationals" is already coming back in...because of "dollar moves up"...

    usually "dollar is kept low" to help our exports... cycle is now switching...

  • Reply to

    AWD EV ====== yawning

    by kbodie77777 Oct 6, 2014 11:42 AM
    flashrob flashrob Oct 6, 2014 11:58 AM Flag

    TESLA happens to be MANUFACTURED IN THE U.S. ...

    a. THE DOLLAR GOING UP... means "more bang-for-the-buck" on U.S. EXPORTS...

    b. any MFR dones IN U.S. will "have added bang-for-buck"

    c. also IMPORTS BECOME MORE EXPENSIVE...

    .....AND ECB ...just gonna be "devaluing EURO more...this mainly drives the DOLLAR UP...and that's just gettin' started...

    also FOREIGN INVESTORS... will be pouring money into U.S. to take advantage of "dollar safe and APPRECIATING HAVEN" ...

    and LOTS OF THAT MONEY ...will pour into U.S. MKT "EQUITIES MOSTLY and some to U.S. TREASURIES"...

    AND "CHOICE WALL ST BACKED STOCKS" of which TESLA and Solar City are two of the "BEST OF THE BEST" ...WELL FIGURE IT OUT.. MORE "UPWARD STOCK PRESSURE FOR ...TESLA, SOLAR CITY...

    also NFLX, GOOG, FB, AMZN, BABA, AAPL...

    also good are more conventional like: HD, LOW, ORCL, IBM, WFC, DG, YUM, HPQ...

    there are others...but these I know some about, etc.

  • just figured "before I have to read some RANT POSTS FROM SHORTS"...

    to DEFUSE them...BEFORE THEY EVEN GET MUCH STARTED...

    so "swings in Tesla today" ...just "MKT AVERAGE SWINGS..." ETC.

  • Reply to

    Oil is coming DOWN. Who needs an Electric Car?

    by raymontomas Oct 6, 2014 9:22 AM
    flashrob flashrob Oct 6, 2014 9:37 AM Flag

    when "the frackin' COLLAPSES" which it will... after this years "winter" in POLARVILLE... worst than last...so that hampers production...

    plus the fight over using the "railcars" for GRAIN (FOOD) vs. limited "oil frackin' profits" FOR THE FEW SPECULATORS...etc.

    plus "ISIS spreading their influence and control" over "mid-east oil"...

    so OIL going down...just a "temp respite" THAN BACK UP "AS USUAL"...

  • flashrob flashrob Oct 6, 2014 5:38 AM Flag

    so "shorts" TRY TO "EMPHASIZE TESLA SALES DECLINES IN A SPECIFIC "COUNTRY" is just a "waste of everyone's time...

    of course there will be "sales level changes" in specific countries...

    but IN THE CASE OF TESLA... "if less cars are sold in France, for a while...THEN THOSE SALES... will just be made "somewhere else..."

    SO... "AGGREGATE SALES" is "WHAT COUNTS!"

    AND THAT MEANS - and "Big Money" knows this - TESLA "growth and sales" is just GONNA KEEP "EVER-INCREASING "FOR YEARS..." (AND SO WILL TESLA'S STOCK PRICE...because of this, etc....)

  • the "shorts" often like to SELECTIVELY "spin some perceived HYPE about TESLA sales...

    a. try THIS LOGIC...

    b. no matter what "(OFTEN ESTIMATED OR RUMORED) decline -THE SHORTS TRY TO POINT TO - IN SOME SELECT MKT...like for example, France...

    c. THE "BOTTOM LINE IS: that "there are NO UNSOLD INVENTORIES OF TESLAS...

    d. meaning THAT "IN GLOBAL AGGREGATE sales of Teslas" ...MORE TESLAS are "being bought and/or ordered" ...SOMEWHERE...SOMEPLACE... THESE ARE THE NUMBERS THAT MATTER WITH RESPECT TO TESLA GROWTH AND STOCK PRICE...

    e. TESLA is STILL and WILL REMAIN...always significantly BEHIND in "producing enough CARS "FAST ENOUGH FOR THE "EVER INCREASING DEMAND FOR TESLAS" in their "well-heeled MKT NICHE."

    so using "this point" ...any "selective decline" in Tesla Sales... is JUST PURE "SPUN HOKUM" by "shorts."

    ..........
    so when TESLA (which won't be the case for YEARS) has to start to slow "production and growth" then...AND ONLY THEN... might the "thinking and analysis" of Tesla shorts be "somewhat credible..."

    AND THAT doesn't "even have the potential" of happening... IN ANY TIME FOR "PROBABLY DECADES, IF EVER...

    SO "SHORTS" stop wasting your time and "ours" trying to SPIN such "ILL-LOGIC!"

    TESLA IS JUST "GONNA KEEP EATIN' "MORE OF BIG GUZZLER'S PIE" ...here in the U.S. and "GLOBALLY..."

  • Ford problems/issues:

    just GOOGLE THIS...

    2012 Ford Focus Steering Tops List of Vehicle Issues

    ...............
    oh well...WAIT 'TIL "BIG GUZZLERS WORLDWIDE" START maybe followin' GM's lead...and "FESSIN' UP!"

    .................
    oh boy..."WHAT A REVOLTIN' DEVELOPMENT" FOR "BIG GUZZLERS..."WORLDWIDE"...

    (look up that quote...it's "what actor William Bendix you to often say...in "episodes" of "LIFE OF REILLY" HIT TV SITCOM OF THE "FIFTIES"...I LOVED THAT SHOW...

    REILLY, GILLIS, PEG, JUNIORS, BABS... what A GREAT SHOW...they should bring that BACK ...just THE BEST TV SITCOM "OF ALL TIME" ...wish I could go "back in time" to LIVE IN THOSE "RELATIVELY IDYLLIC TIMES" protrayed in that show...

    my uncle had a "49 Chevy" ...my father had a "fifty Ford"

    ...used to go on "long weekend roams" in those cars...Jones Beach...New England...the Livingston Drive-In...(Livingston, NJ...uncle was mgr there...got free passes, etc.)

    man "what a great life I had" as a kid...

  • flashrob flashrob Oct 3, 2014 6:38 PM Flag

    buy a TESLA for Michelle?.

    BUT "notice WHERE OBAMA SENT" EBOLA... to TEABILLY HQs in DALLAS... and TEABILLY PERRY
    ...bought THAT...(just about rolled out the red carpet for somethin' Texas Teabillies SHOULD BEST BE IN CHARGE OF ...IF'N YOU WANT THAT ISSUE RESOLVED... we showed youse how we do stuff in Texas...we showed that Obama... WE GOT "OUR OWN TROOPS" ...the "Texas National Guard" and we'll even pick up the tab for that... WE DON'T NEED NO OBAMA... MEDDLIN' IN stuff and issues... WE TEXANS CAN SORT OUT

    that probably "doubles as TESTLA SHORTER HQ, too...

    well, PERRY been "catchin' it"

    a. border issue... so Perry's "big solution" was to spend TEABILLY FUNDING of the National Guard... INSTEAD OF gettin' the "dumb bubbapubs" to give Obama the funding he asked for and let the Fed pay for all that...

    b. NOW PERRY had another "pub brainstorm" and MADE DALLAS "EBOLA CENTRAL!"

    c. also MOTHER NATURE... gave "TEXASS" a good whuppin' ...no it wasn't a tornado, no it wasn't a hurricane...NO "TEABILLY CENTRAL" HAS ADVISED US... "THAT THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS CLIMATE CHANGE" ...(so don't be watchin' that lying "Weather Channel" (that lookin' like they must be in Obama's pocket..)...Fox News gonna have a "special about all this weather hoax" ... Fox news gonna give you "the straight Scibby about the weather... they gonna be EXPOSIN' "all about these SNEAKY DEMOCRATS... manipulatin' the weather, and such "just before the election, etc.")

    we in Texas "workin'" on that right now... findin' out ...we expect that TEXASS... had 100plus mph thunderstorm winds and golf-ball sized hail (or was it half-dollar sized hail" ...well anyway...we got a team go thru the "Alamo records" and we're thinkin' that "there was that kind of storm" back then...so when we find that... you'll see that all this "climate change" stuff is just some Dem hoax, etc. and that this "has happened before, etc."

    that EBOLA stuff... well that might "take us a bit longer" to find WHEN THAT WAS LAST IN TEXAS

  • shows you both types of thinking...

    the "most important point" is THAT IT MAKES THE CASE "FOR NOT JUST "FUNDAMENTAL NUMBER CRUNCHING" (advocated by most shorts in their posts/thinking...)

    so IT BASICALLY SEEMS TO ME "THAT SHORTS ...CONTINUALLY "ANALYSE TESLA STOCK FORECASTING AND VALUE... BY "APPLYING FUNDAMENTAL NUMBER-TYPE CRUNCHING AND ANALYSIS...

    which WOULD BE THE "NOT APPLICABLE TO THE HIGH-FLYER...BIG EXPANDING REV GROWTH of stocks like TSLA, SCTY, AMZN, NFLX, FB, GOOG...etc.

    fundamental anaysis IS RECOMMENDED for the "majority of the mainstream type stocks" especially when "they are down" or perhaps "shorting them" when they are apparently "too high and overbought...etc.

    .....................
    anyway bottom line: not good idea to "evaluate HIGH FLYER BIG GROWTH STOCKS "WITH FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS...that's for stocks like GM...Ford...etc.

    ...................
    so GOOGLE THIS TO READ ARTICLE BY FORBES:

    Could There Be A Thousand Warren Buffetts?

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