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Apple Inc. (AAPL) Message Board

frank_capra_04 713 posts  |  Last Activity: 3 seconds ago Member since: Sep 14, 2011
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  • Reply to

    A big miss could actually move it up

    by high_tech_2000 Apr 22, 2014 10:14 AM
    frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 22, 2014 10:31 AM Flag

    Who? All smart moneys.

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  • frank_capra_04 by frank_capra_04 Apr 22, 2014 10:18 AM Flag

    Another nail on the Apple coffin.

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    -------------------------
    Apple's oft-rumored 5.5-inch version of the iPhone 6 has been pushed into 2015, claims Taiwanese publication the Industrial and Commercial Times. Apple has reportedly had trouble finding a battery that's both powerful and less than 2mm thick, needed to fit the 5.5-inch model's "very thin" profile. Suppliers have allegedly been referring to the device as the "iPhone Air," though that may not be the final product name.

    It would however be consistent with the naming of the iPad Air and MacBook Air, both of which are distinguished by unusually thin bodies relative to their other dimensions. At 5.5 inches an iPhone Air would also be venturing into "phablet" territory, perhaps warranting a special designation.

    The Times was one of the first publications to suggest the 5.5-inch iPhone would ship after its 4.7-inch cousin. It was expected that it would ship in November, though, and only because of problems with screen size, not because of the battery.

  • Reply to

    I wonder what the dividend increase will be

    by cramerstrophywife Apr 22, 2014 10:10 AM
    frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 22, 2014 10:15 AM Flag

    Dividends hurt stock price in the long run. Look around for yourself. All high dividend stocks are low P/E.

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  • Reply to

    Barrons

    by cramerstrophywife Apr 22, 2014 9:21 AM
    frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 22, 2014 9:42 AM Flag

    Barron's is helping big moneys with their pump-and-dump.

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  • Reply to

    AAPL's estimates are so low

    by cramerstrophywife Apr 22, 2014 8:48 AM
    frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 22, 2014 9:40 AM Flag

    Yes estimates are low but the actual numbers will be even lower.

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  • frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 10:09 PM Flag

    Any miss will drop the P/E to single digit.

    Watch and Learn

  • Reply to

    when are earnings?

    by lcoecubsfan Apr 21, 2014 5:29 PM
    frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 6:01 PM Flag

    Wow, I got 4 thumb down so far for posting a simple fact. What should I do to get a thumb up here? Post a lie?

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  • Watch and Learn
    -------------------------
    “Apple (AAPL) is scheduled to release its March quarter results on Wednesday, April 23, and if it maintains its usual practice, will provide guidance for the next quarter in its press release,” Chuck Jones writes for Seeking Alpha. “While I am not very concerned about Apple hitting investor expectations for the March quarter, I am very concerned about guidance.”

    “After running my Apple model for the June quarter and comparing it to the Street projections for revenue and EPS, I believe that the company’s guidance could be significantly below expectations, which could lead to a substantial drop in the shares post-earnings,” Jones writes. “The Street is currently estimating June quarter revenue of $38.3 billion, which has come down slightly from $38.7 billion two weeks ago. The $38.3 billion is an 8.5% increase from last year’s $35.3 billion result… When I do my bottom-up revenue projection based on unit sales and average selling prices for iPhones, iPads, Macs, iPods, iTunes and Accessories, my June quarter revenue estimate is $33.7 billion. Therefore, it would not surprise me to see the mid-point of guidance at $34 billion, with a range of $33 to $35 billion.”

    “I don’t believe enough investors fully appreciate the potential downside to the guidance range that management may give,” Jones writes. “I don’t think the company can increase its dividend enough to offset a guidance shortfall, since it is limited by the amount of U.S. cash it generates on a yearly basis. If it does announce a larger buyback program with some positive verbiage about new products, it may limit what I believe could be a downdraft in the shares the day after earnings are announced.......

  • Reply to

    when are earnings?

    by lcoecubsfan Apr 21, 2014 5:29 PM
    frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 5:39 PM Flag

    Wednesday after close.

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  • frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 5:18 PM Flag

    Keep dreaming...

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  • frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 5:17 PM Flag

    Yes it did. It released false promises and no growth in 1st Q. It will release more throughout the year.

    Watch and Learn

  • frank_capra_04 by frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 5:12 PM Flag

    AAPL is set up for a big drop after earning.

    Watch and Learn

  • frank_capra_04 by frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 5:08 PM Flag

    Watch and Learn

  • Reply to

    Sell in May and go away?

    by osulinback Apr 21, 2014 2:42 PM
    frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 2:59 PM Flag

    Very true.

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  • All of a sudden a bunch of positive news are out right before earning. They are getting dumb money to drive the stock up. Dumping will start on Wednesday. The higher it goes the harder it falls. Don't get trapped.

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  • Reply to

    Should see 5-8% rise before Earnings......

    by getalife443 Apr 21, 2014 8:33 AM
    frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 8:48 AM Flag

    Up 5-8% in two days? No way.

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  • Reply to

    April EPS could be under $10

    by frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 7:55 AM
    frank_capra_04 frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 8:46 AM Flag

    If guidance is weak it can crash 10%.

    Watch and Learn

  • frank_capra_04 by frank_capra_04 Apr 21, 2014 7:55 AM Flag

    Stock can crash 5% easily. Be careful. Don't get trapped.

    Watch and Learn

  • frank_capra_04 by frank_capra_04 Apr 20, 2014 5:20 PM Flag

    Watch and Learn
    ------------------------
    Apple's first generation Apple TVs have lost their ability to connect to iTunes and appears to be affecting users worldwide.

    A lengthy Apple Discussions page shows that the problem started on the 17th of April and has persisted for 1st generation Apple TV users. Forum poster georgevargas describes the issue:
    As of last night I had full access to the iTunes Store. Since this morning I was getting an Itunes Store Not Available message, and after unplugging the AppleTv the iTunes Store access completly disappeared except for movie trailers.

    Users have gone through the usual diagnostics, including rebooting and restoring, but have found that nothing has restored connectivity. MacRumors has confirmed the issue on our own 1st generation Apple TV.

    The initial timing of the outage corresponds to the FaceTime not working for iOS 6 users, suggesting some internal changes by Apple has affected both services. Some users are speculating that internal communication upgrades related to the Heartbleed security issue could be related. Apple denied that Heartbleed affected any of their "key services" but did not elaborate on what those might be.

    Apple has not provided any statement on if and when 1st generation Apple TV functionality will be restored or not. The first generation Apple TV was released in January, 2007 and was sold until September, 2010.

  • April earning will be bad.

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    -------------------------
    As highlighted by Fortune, analysts’ consensus on iPad sales for last quarter suggest that iPad sales will actually decline year-over-year by about 0.7%. Although the expected decline is small, this would represent a big shift in iPad momentum, especially since Apple saw a strong increase in sales for the holiday quarter, going from 22.9M units in the previous year to 26M this year.

    If iPad sales have fallen, it wouldn’t be because of different market conditions to last year. Apple introduced the iPad Air at the end of 2014 around a year from the introduction of the iPad 4 at the end of 2012. Last year, Apple dropped the price of the iPad Mini a modest $30 while also introducing the highly anticipated retina iPad Mini. In 2012, it introduced the iPad mini. The product cycles are similar, so the decline isn’t due to any artificial inflation of sales last year.

    Apple has also been pretty aggressive in price drops on the iPad line, with $50 markdowns being about the norm (currently at Best Buy) as well as expanding TD-LTE support to China in March. Apple also began selling refurbished retina iPad Minis in its Apple Store yesterday, though it is probably too late to make any mark on the current quarter.

    The consensus across all analysts polled is 19.3 million sales, compared to 19.5 million in the same quarter in 2013. As usual, amateur analysts are slightly more optimistic than the professionals, but not by much. The difference between both groups is only 200,000 units.

    At the extremes, Asymco’s Horace Dediu expects sales of 21.8 million and Braeburn Group’s Matt Lew estimates just 15 million unit sales. Even if sales reach the top end of the estimates, growth will still have substantially slowed compared to 2012 to just 10%. By comparison, the Q2 2013 quarter saw 55% growth. The change in growth rates over such a short space of time is a little concerning.

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