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Model N, Inc. Message Board

fuel_cell_fych 11 posts  |  Last Activity: Feb 5, 2015 12:11 PM Member since: Dec 7, 2001
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  • Reply to

    Ouch...

    by fuel_cell_fych Dec 1, 2014 1:38 PM
    fuel_cell_fych fuel_cell_fych Dec 2, 2014 9:24 AM Flag

    I predicted this price level when it was over $1.20/share and I received a lot of backlash from those on this board.

    People should listen to those with views different from their hopes and dreams.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Take pictures with the lowest price today

    by malhuraishi Jan 29, 2015 10:50 AM
    fuel_cell_fych fuel_cell_fych Feb 2, 2015 6:01 PM Flag

    buying calls is the only smart way to play this...just my opinion.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    No where to go but Up

    by tds4545 Jan 30, 2015 3:25 PM
    fuel_cell_fych fuel_cell_fych Feb 3, 2015 3:14 PM Flag

    yes I think that trade was initiated by a large holder and then facilitated by the MM. Impossible to know if the large holder wanted in or out.

    My guess is that someone wanted to reduce their large position. Reason being that there was some renewed optimizing around SYMX end of 2014 with the company making several seemingly positive announcements. The company has been silent since, which I think would drive a large holder to reduce. I don't see any event (except maybe just the price itself) that would trigger such a large trade. People trading that many shares make calculated moves....so, I see it as someone reducing a large position.

    My view on SYMX is that the company made some very promising announcements recently, which has changed my sentiment from very bearish to mildly bullish. I see the next public statements (earnings or otherwise) as more likely positive than negative. So, I am a speculator with long calls.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Ouch...

    by fuel_cell_fych Dec 1, 2014 1:38 PM
    fuel_cell_fych fuel_cell_fych Dec 3, 2014 2:34 PM Flag

    seriously?

    investing (to me) is about having fun and making money. I also like to 'test' my thesis with other reasonable people. If I am convinced that I am wrong, I change. This has not happened (yet?) with SYMX.

    But, if you think the only position an investor can have in a stock is a bullish one, then I am happy that you are on the other side of my trade.

    Also, announcing your position to the world is just bad form. You do not need to know my position, but do know that I have one.

    Lastly, I really do not think that comments on this board have any impact on the stock price. This forum is to share perspective. I take offensive (some but not a lot) that you refer to me as a 'basher'. I hope some people refer to me as a 'contributor'. If I am ever bullish on SYMX, which may happen, I will share the defense of the view. That is contributing a view, not bashing or hyping.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • fuel_cell_fych by fuel_cell_fych Dec 1, 2014 1:38 PM Flag

    $0.87 / share

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Ouch...

    by fuel_cell_fych Dec 1, 2014 1:38 PM
    fuel_cell_fych fuel_cell_fych Dec 2, 2014 7:40 PM Flag

    you're being sarcastic...but in the off chance you are seriously asking...I think most people on this board have it right now.

    No firm deals = no news = declining buying interest with increasing selling interest = stock price goes lower.

    Listen to the interview with the CEO. He says, in his own words, that there's a real need for the SYMX technology but that its commercialization is dependent upon some pretty significant geo-political circumstances (not good at all for a startup).

    If the history on startup deaths provide any guidance, the future may hold the following: 1) mgmt continues on its current course, burning cash; 2) when cash reserves get low, an offering is made; 3) a small but harsh deal gets completed with investors (non corporate) who think they can be the 'white knight' / saving grace; 4) stock price plummets; 5) new cash gets burned through; 6) no takers on any new offering; 7) company is liquidated to creditors / investors w/ preferences; 8) all sellable assets (IP) get sold to patiently waiting corporations benefiting only the creditors / investors w/ preferences (for pennies on dollar). With no buyers of stock, all stockholders will hold worthless shares of a no company forever.

    Energy tech is tough. Industrial new tech is tough. Getting wrapping into geopolitical BS is bad news.

    Now, what I describe above is not a quick process...but a long, painful one.

    Just an opinion...I am interested in your views too (except for v-dog cheerleader).

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Ouch...

    by fuel_cell_fych Dec 1, 2014 1:38 PM
    fuel_cell_fych fuel_cell_fych Dec 3, 2014 9:41 AM Flag

    excactly...I made other posts as well earlier than Oct with similar predictions of the 80 cents / share.

    Since Oct, though, I have become bearish vs bullish at this price point. I have explained why.

  • fuel_cell_fych by fuel_cell_fych Jan 29, 2015 1:46 PM Flag

    you guys are very committed to this stock / company when it comes to defending it on this board. But, when the price falls to lower levels, there is zero conviction...absolutely none.

    ValueDUMB says he owns 500,000 shares...you'd think at least he would keep buying to protect such a position.

    Others keep saying 'wait for it....wait for it' or saying run way lengths are important or involved. Absurd.

    This is a stock message board. Defend this company with your capital or LEAVE. Or, better yet, come here with an open mind and be respectful to those with negative perspectives....the negative perspective camp has been the RIGHT camp for some time now.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Next Week is Rigdon's last shot

    by innsbrooklad Feb 5, 2015 8:24 AM
    fuel_cell_fych fuel_cell_fych Feb 5, 2015 12:11 PM Flag

    when are next earnings?

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    No where to go but Up

    by tds4545 Jan 30, 2015 3:25 PM
    fuel_cell_fych fuel_cell_fych Feb 2, 2015 5:59 PM Flag

    there was a match between buyers and sellers for 400,000 shares. The MM likely facilitated it and because this pretty much satisfied all significant buying and selling pressure, the stock price didn't move.

    For manipulation to happen, I would guess that there would be price movement...otherwise the 'manipulators' are just loosing with commissions and fees.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    No where to go but Up

    by tds4545 Jan 30, 2015 3:25 PM
    fuel_cell_fych fuel_cell_fych Jan 31, 2015 6:55 PM Flag

    I don't suspect manipulation at all. it can go much lower from here. If it reaches $0.60, then that's 10% more losses...but you need a 17% increase from there to break even back to $0.70. People who bought at $1.00 or higher are hurting badly and I imagine and selling saying 'enough'. So many other brighter spots in the market to tie capital up here.

    I'm totally with you on the options. This is pure speculation at this point, so I'd suggest that anyone BUYING stock at this point is mad....and without buyers but some selling from pain, the price will drop. The play here is what I believe you have done - long term options where you have defined and therefore limited risk but unlimited reward (depending on how you play the options).

    Sentiment: Hold

MODN
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