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Nintendo Co. Ltd. Message Board

fuzzhead72 36 posts  |  Last Activity: 7 hours ago Member since: Dec 18, 1999
  • fuzzhead72 by fuzzhead72 7 hours ago Flag

    As much as we would all love the institutional buying that a dividend would bring, I would much prefer the fiscal responsibility of paying down the debt in the short term, perhaps coupled with a one time share buyback.

    Of course, I'd also like to see American initiate a minority stake in Alaskan Airlines, too - one that they could slowly increase over a number of years.

  • Reply to

    Quiet Board

    by alidawawala 10 hours ago
    fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 10 hours ago Flag

    *** JAWS THEME PLAYING ***

    Really, I guess quiet is better than people at both extremes yelling about either:

    A) how shorts have to cover, and it's going to $55 tomorrow
    or
    B) how longs will lose loads, and it's going to $28 tomorrow

  • According to the Zacks article on Yahoo, it seems like they are predicting AAL will beat expected earnings by between 2% and 2.5%, if I'm reading this correctly. Thoughts?

  • I'm curious - does the Yahoo daily stock volume include pre market and after market activity for the day, or just regular day?

  • Reply to

    What if Buffet and the boys wised up?

    by markusgzee Jul 22, 2014 10:20 AM
    fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 Jul 22, 2014 11:02 AM Flag

    If Buffet was going to get in, wouldn't he have done so back at $25 a share, not $43?

  • fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 Jul 22, 2014 9:15 AM Flag

    Although I had seen that Yahoo showed an average daily volume of 12 million shares over the past 3 months, I never really paid much attention to it.

    Yahoo shows 5.xx million shares having traded yesterday, so that is less than half the average volume of the past 3 months. I guess this means that people are holding off for the earnings announcement?

  • What do you think - will the stock be flat, up or down if AAL simply meets expectations with earnings this week?

  • Less than two months ago I put about 1/5 of my Roth IRA into KOG January 2016 calls, thinking I would hold onto them for a while. However, then I saw AAL stock price plummet, so I sold KOG and a few others to get back in AAL long calls.

    I guess I can't complain, since I'm up about 40% in a couple of weeks. However, I'm rather annoyed to look back on here and find out that I just missed the buyout! At first I thought it was a joke with no premium, but now I see that it is probably worth more like $17.xx a share - decent.

    Also, I bought low and sold high twice using KOG in the past - made about 20% once, and 30% the other time. Even though I missed out on the buyout, I'm still happy with it.

  • fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 Jul 16, 2014 9:51 AM Flag

    I have a bunch of calls, but I certainly don't think they are "safer" than owning the underlying stock. Also, I purchased August 2014 calls, but would recommend January 2016 ones if you are truly looking for increased safety in your investment. A longer time until expiration means a greater chance to participate in a long term rally, and a diminished chance of getting stuck with losses.

  • fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 Jul 16, 2014 9:18 AM Flag

    Maybe HBO USED to be worth that much, but I'm guessing that the value has eroded quite a bit with the rise of Netflix, Amazon Instant video, Hulu Plus, etc. People are used to watching things when they want to watch them now, on demand. Plus, they are now used to getting all of it for 8 bucks a month.

  • I've been reading a bit about Fox's continued pursuit of Warner. I'm sure it's not the ONLY thing they are after, but I'm thinking that Fox might be wanting ownership of the DC Comics roster of super heroes. Disney was pretty smart in buying Marvel so they could make oodles of dough from the licensing and movies. (Avengers, etc.) By buying Time Warner, Fox could own all of these characters, have their own super hero franchise without having to regularly pay licensing fees.

    Of course, Fox has some future rights for the Marvel X-Men and Fantastic Four movies. My understanding is that as long as Fox keeps churning out profitable X-Men and FF movies every so often, they can do so forever. (or until Disney offers them enough $$ to buy out their interest) It would be interesting for Fox to own the rights to make DC Comics movies, as well as Fantastic Four and X-Men. Would that open up the possibility of Fox making a Superman/Fantastic Four crossover, or an X-Men/Batman movie?

  • fuzzhead72 by fuzzhead72 Jul 16, 2014 9:04 AM Flag

    I'm wondering if Fox is interested in controlling the future licensing of Warner/DC comics characters? Disney did quite well in acquiring Marvel, and making the Avengers. I'm wondering if Fox is wanting the DC comics characters so they can have their own super hero movies without having to pay licensing fees & such. What do you think?

  • Reply to

    Is this market "FIXED" or what?

    by ggray1956 Jun 30, 2014 10:05 AM
    fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 Jul 1, 2014 11:43 AM Flag

    I'm just happy I bought some deep in the money long term call options back when the price was $25.50 a share. They're up about 28% right now. I'm planning to hold them until they are up 60%, then I might consider selling.

  • fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 Jul 1, 2014 11:40 AM Flag

    I read that article as well. Interesting, and it DID appear as though their more expensive movies performed better. However, the chart only included $$ from theatrical release. I think that a number of the less expensive movies generated decent returns when you take into account DVD sales, pay per view, sales to movie channels (HBO, etc.) Netflix and such. Of course, that money can take a few years to come in.

  • Reply to

    Question

    by butchmass Jul 1, 2014 10:47 AM
    fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 Jul 1, 2014 11:28 AM Flag

    You might want to consider Optionshouse. I've had accounts at both places (and about 4 others, simply to compare everything over the past 3 years). I have found Optionshouse to be superior in the following regards:
    1) they allow you to re-invest much more quickly, without holding the funds
    2) withdrawing funds is more convenient
    3) I LOVE their main screen, which at a glance shows gain/loss percentages for
    day, month to date and year to date.


    I'm probably going to be moving my Roth IRA to Optionshouse soon, because their fees are also lower for options.

  • Reply to

    Thank You Junkman Long!

    by sattyranger Jun 23, 2014 6:30 PM
    fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 Jun 30, 2014 10:49 AM Flag

    I remember trying to decide whether to invest in a "bankrupt" stock, and using a few of JML's posts to help convince myself to hold on to the investment longer than I would have otherwise. In fact, I invested most of the AAMRQ distributions into deep in the money January 2016 call options. Overall, I've nearly quadrupled our $ from last November. We did so well that we were able to take a Florida trip and Disney Cruise a few months back that we otherwise would not have done.

  • fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 Jun 30, 2014 10:29 AM Flag

    I'll be nice, since a bunch of other folks here aren't. The thumbs down was essentially for not doing some reading before asking the question - the answer has been posted here many times, and there is sort of the assumption that you'll spend at least 5 minutes or so reading over the recent topics to see if it has already been covered before posting. (short answer: nobody knows exactly until it happens) Also, keep in mind that a lot of folks on here never owned AAMRQ, and are thus a bit jealous because they didn't get the huge run up from the distributions, which do not apply to them. To them, anyone who posts anything about AAMRQ is dredging up the past that reminds them of a lost opportunity.

  • Reply to

    With oil up, why is KOG down over 5% ?

    by fuzzhead72 Jun 24, 2014 10:29 PM
    fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 Jun 25, 2014 12:31 PM Flag

    Thanks welbie. Actually, I bought in around 10 months ago for ~$10 a share, then sold when it got up to $13. I wouldn't have known about the stock at all except for a tip from my Mother of all people! I watched the stock price a couple of times since then, and saw that it was down more and more.

    I bought back in again in late April when it dropped to about $12.50 a share. This time I stocked up on $10 January 2016 call options, which are up 32% in 2 months. I was sorely tempted to sell a couple of days ago, only to then watch the stock drop 5% in a day. (and my options drop much more than that) Of course, now I'm trying to decide whether I should be happy with the 30% in two months, and look for something else that seems undervalued, or whether I should hold on to these for a bit longer.

  • Reply to

    With oil up, why is KOG down over 5% ?

    by fuzzhead72 Jun 24, 2014 10:29 PM
    fuzzhead72 fuzzhead72 Jun 25, 2014 9:26 AM Flag

    baseball cards .... funny. That's about as good of an investment as coins, and I actually LIKE coins.

    In any case, I own AAL, which tends to go down when the price of oil goes up. (they have to pay more for fuel, and profits decrease) I decided to sort of balance this by also buying KOG. I reasoned that since KOG profits more when the price of oil goes up, it would help me not have any extreme quarters if the price of oil went way up or down. One of my stocks would increase, and the other decrease either way.

    Obviously there are going to be minor swings this way and that for each stock, independent of oil. I'm guessing that this one was something like that. Did someone release some news or details that were viewed as a negative for KOG? I'm trying to understand the stock better, and I have evidently missed something that other investors thought would negatively impact the stock. Hopefully someone out there can point out what I missed? Thanks!

  • I thought this was a stock that typically goes up and down with the price of oil.

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