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IntelliCell BioSciences, Inc. Message Board

geom2525 22 posts  |  Last Activity: Jan 28, 2015 11:07 AM Member since: Feb 16, 2011
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  • Reply to

    Why the slow drop?

    by brownvinohead Dec 16, 2014 11:58 AM
    geom2525 geom2525 Dec 16, 2014 6:17 PM Flag

    People with liquidy issues I supose, volume really nothing out of ordinary, oil and other sectors were beat up today and yesterday.

  • Reply to

    Basically, we have a #$%$ storm

    by barebuttbob2014 Dec 16, 2014 3:32 PM
    geom2525 geom2525 Dec 16, 2014 6:20 PM Flag

    only problem is how many barrels they had locked in at higher prices, SA had a good article on cvrr, I think once the oil market settles down this goes back over 20.

  • Chimera Investment: An Underrated Income REIT
    Sep. 8, 2014 3:32 PM ET | 17 comments | About: Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM), Includes: NLY by: Jason Ditz
    Disclosure: The author has no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. The author wrote this article themselves, and it expresses their own opinions. The author is not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). The author has no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. (More...)

    Summary
    CIM has shown an ability to generate very consistent returns from its assets.
    CIM's acquisition of $4.8 billion in new RMBS rights gives them a major chance to increase their income-generating assets.
    Recent earnings suggest CIM's dividend is secure, and the company may be heading for another year-end special dividend.
    In Greek mythology, a Chimera is a monstrous hybrid creature far stronger than the sum of its parts. The name appears to fit the philosophy of Chimera Investment Corporation (NYSE:CIM), which has endeavored to assemble an array of income-generating assets which, also, are more than just the sum of their parts.

    Chimera is classified as a REIT for tax purposes, but doesn't actually own any real estate. Rather, it fits into the novel little segment of companies doing business as "mortgage REITs."

    The mortgage REIT game
    Chimera indirectly invests in real estate. Instead of buying the real estate outright, it is dealing in the ever-growing business of mortgage-backed securities, chiefly those related to residential mortgages.

    Their portfolio is overwhelmingly made up these Residential Mortgage Backed Securities. A meaningful percentage of these are "agency RMBS" released by government-run entities like Ginnie Mae, but most are non-agency RMBS assets.

    The split of these assets is not constant, and Chimera is constantly revising its portfolio to focus more heavily on whatever is generating the best returns at any given time.

    Right now, that means non-agency RMBS, and the company seems to be increasing that percentage more going forward. Last week, the company announced it had acquired the rights to another $4.8 billion of non-agency RMBS with purchases from the various Springleaf Mortgage Loan Trusts.

    That's a hugely significant play. Chimera's entire portfolio of assets only amounted to $6.9 billion at the end of FY2013. It's up to $12.5 billion as of the end of Q2, showing the company is being really aggressive in increasing its portfolio right now.

    A REIT with no land and no employees
    Chimera is certainly an odd beast, a REIT with neither any land nor a single employee of its own. Rather, it is managed entirely by FIDAC, a subsidiary of Annaly (NYSE:NLY), which is given a 0.75% management fee on the company's returns, and Annaly further owns 4.38% of Chimera's outstanding shares.

    The Chimera determination to keep costs low is such that it doesn't even have any office space of its own, and rather operates entirely out of Annaly's.

    Annaly is a strong player in the mortgage REIT industry in its own right, and seems to be handling Chimera's operations with a similar eye toward generating nice income for investors.

    Dividends
    Like any REIT, Chimera has to return most of its income in the form of dividends to shareholders. The quarterly dividend has consistently been 9 cents per share, which by itself is a 10.8% yield.

    That's certainly nothing to sneeze at, but it represents only the minimum yield of Chimera, and the company has often paid special dividends at the end of their fiscal year, in keeping with their need distribute. In FY2013, that amounted to another 20 cent special dividend per share. That would bring the yield up to a whopping 16.8%.

    Total Dividends Paid Per Share
    2009 $0.43
    2010 $0.69
    2011 $0.51
    2012 $0.38
    2013 $0.56

    In each of the first two quarters of 2014, EPS has been 10 cents, in both cases beating the FY2013 equivalent. If that trend continues, we could be on track to see another special dividend at year's end.

    The risk and the GAAP vs. non-GAAP spread
    Chimera has been impressively consistent in its ability to generate such nice returns in a low-interest rate environment, but is so far untested in a higher interest rate market. The company says it believes it can continue to generate appealing returns, but it still remains an unproven proposition.

    That said, most of the government's talk of interest rate increases has not come to pass, and while Europe and others cut their rates to record lows, it is hard to imagine the United States really substantially increasing its own interest rates. There's just too much political momentum behind a relatively weak dollar.

    The other thing investors must keep an eye on is the difference between GAAP and non-GAAP book value of Chimera's assets, as the company insists the GAAP value can be somewhat misleading given the nature of their business.

    Right now, the company is trading virtually at its GAAP book value of $3.35, but a bit above the non-GAAP book value in the most recent 10-Q, which was $3.09. That means the question of whether you're buying assets at a slight discount of a bit of a premium depends on how you're looking at things.

    Conclusion
    However you slice it, Chimera has been consistently returning very impressive dividends for years, and its recent acquisitions show an aggressive effort to build that asset base. There are a lot of assets in the pipeline here, especially after the Springleaf transaction, and that should keep the company on track.

    The nature of a mortgage REIT means that Chimera is probably never going to see its share price grow in a meaningful way. Its ability to generate strong returns from assets, however, makes it a really compelling income investment choice.

  • Reply to

    CIM an underrated REIT

    by geom2525 Dec 17, 2014 3:34 PM
    geom2525 geom2525 Dec 17, 2014 3:35 PM Flag

    Recent earnings suggest CIM's dividend is secure, and the company may be heading for another year-end special dividend.

  • geom2525 by geom2525 Dec 18, 2014 4:04 PM Flag

    Last 15 minutes really started going north, something interesting leaked perhaps?

  • Reply to

    End of day trading

    by geom2525 Dec 18, 2014 4:04 PM
    geom2525 geom2525 Dec 18, 2014 4:39 PM Flag

    2 million share buy at 3.36

  • Reply to

    End of day trading

    by geom2525 Dec 18, 2014 4:04 PM
    geom2525 geom2525 Dec 18, 2014 5:19 PM Flag

    10.71% dividend at a 3.36 purchase price , not shabby at all this is really undervalued.

  • Reply to

    money on table

    by awatry Dec 19, 2014 7:22 AM
    geom2525 geom2525 Dec 19, 2014 9:14 AM Flag

    Operating expenses.

  • Reply to

    Nothing Special...

    by your.jim72 Dec 19, 2014 10:43 AM
    geom2525 geom2525 Dec 19, 2014 1:37 PM Flag

    Nothing special? Have any other dividend stocks paying over 10% that are this stable let us know please.

  • geom2525 geom2525 Dec 22, 2014 6:19 PM Flag

    Oil slides as Saudi Naimi tells market to forget OPEC cuts

  • Reply to

    BIG THINGS COMING FOR CIM

    by sharteddowntownorlando Dec 18, 2014 9:02 PM
    geom2525 geom2525 Dec 23, 2014 9:50 AM Flag

    What big things could be coming,, near years end my friend.

  • Reply to

    $3.42 would be the new 52 week High?

    by semendonar Dec 22, 2014 3:45 PM
    geom2525 geom2525 Dec 25, 2014 1:49 PM Flag

    Companies routinely rebalance their positions, especially the last quarter of the year, give cim's last quarterly report there's nothing negative to be concerned about.

  • Reply to

    Waiting for 3.10 ,for an investment of 100,000,

    by recferucci Jan 2, 2015 6:50 AM
    geom2525 geom2525 Jan 2, 2015 10:01 AM Flag

    You've a better chance of Obama telling the truth than seeing 3.10 on CIM, just wont happen

  • Reply to

    Waiting for 3.10 ,for an investment of 100,000,

    by recferucci Jan 2, 2015 6:50 AM
    geom2525 geom2525 Jan 2, 2015 12:20 PM Flag

    A lot of negativity in the markets right now on ARR, Id hold off and just watch it for now.

  • Reply to

    Waiting for 3.10 ,for an investment of 100,000,

    by recferucci Jan 2, 2015 6:50 AM
    geom2525 geom2525 Jan 2, 2015 4:30 PM Flag

    So where are you going to get a better, safer dividend?

  • Reply to

    Back in @ 4.08 near the close....

    by keltus1952 Jan 2, 2015 4:11 PM
    geom2525 geom2525 Jan 2, 2015 4:33 PM Flag

    Good move, winters setting in and draw downs will be heavy, a lot of oil wells shutting in that produced ng also, Im seeing a solid bottom here.

  • Reply to

    HOW CAN YOU NOT BUY??

    by stephen_doyle2000 Jan 6, 2015 9:16 AM
    geom2525 geom2525 Jan 11, 2015 4:52 PM Flag

    Based on that feeling you should not be in the market period, its the nature of the beast.

  • Reply to

    Dividend paid yesterday?

    by srmedusa Jan 16, 2015 9:21 AM
    geom2525 geom2525 Jan 16, 2015 1:45 PM Flag

    They would have announced if there was going to be a special dividend payment.

  • Reply to

    Going to $9 bucks ?

    by ratfinkboy Jan 20, 2015 1:40 PM
    geom2525 geom2525 Jan 20, 2015 2:03 PM Flag

    25 oil is a pipe dream, I doubt we see 35 and if we do it wont be for long. Two oil producers announced 16k layoffs in the 1st qtr and theres many more to come, the inventory overages did not justify a decline of this magnitude but rather the slowing of economies worldwide caused a lower supply requirement. Oil will most probably bottom within 1-2 months and then start the climb back up, that's the time to get into oil and refiners, its going to take time to see what the prices did to everones bottom lines.

  • Reply to

    Downslide

    by gumbyisle Jan 20, 2015 1:33 PM
    geom2525 geom2525 Jan 20, 2015 2:42 PM Flag

    Seems to drift down after every dividend payment if you look at the charts.

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