Freebee coming at you beauty90210211: SodaStream signed a deal with Powercity in Ireland in Q3. Not a huge chain with 9 locations, but just to show you that we have boots on the ground pretty much wherever you can imagine.
You make a good point as I can validate the concern and have often benefited from my peers'...dismissal of international markets based on "lack of visability". However, since 2012, we have established relationships with other analysts to share certain information that doesn't conflict with our clients' wishes. Our strongest relationships are with Oppenheimer and J.P. Morgan Chase for SODA and NOK. Our analyst who covered NOK is a very bright gentleman, Jonathon Muller. His articles can be viewed on Seeking Alpha as well.
Nothing unusual, it tends to follow the same pattern year after year in regards to meandering lower and with sudden upswings from Spring until Q4. 52 week high was representative of a falsification regarding buyout offer from Pepsi. Considering that anomaly, I would use the high $60s as a more true representation of the legitimate 52-week high
Will take a little time to get to all stores, but know that the order was booked in Q3. We have verification of the exact quantities which are consistent with orders seen during the launch of Kraft flavors.
Just try to help the way I can. Impediments are naturally CFA regulations and duties related to client privileges. In SODA, everyone has made money over time, so being long or short really matters little, its understanding the company and what drives revs and earnings that matters most long term. Thanks for the kind works soontobepcv and I trust you were able to access the newsletter with ease. Let me know if any problems and good luck!
Have received permission to include channel sales data form BBBY in upcoming quarterly preview including YOY so investors can gauge the orders YOY and determine for THEMSELVES strength or weakness in quarter ended. If you're looking for greater degree of comfort as a long or short this might prove helpful in making a shareholder/speculator decision. Good luck all!
Newsletter was sent out last night as indicated early. Available for free with a capitalladdersdotcom basic membership account. Newsletter tab at bottom of site.
I'm sure you value your SODA position considerably. A position in SODA should not make an individual uncomfortable to such a degree. Make some decisions regarding your position that will make you more comfortable and less nervous about next Wednesday. I've had many a conversation with SODA participants whom I've openly suggested that the stock may not be suited for their individual risk tolerance or fit their investing timeline. Netflix is a great stock, but I can't. Touch it, doesn't fit my risk tolerance when I weigh the fundamentals against the PE. But SODA does fit all my requirements for an investment so I continue to hold my shares and trade around a core position. Bottomline for me is seeing what the retailers are doing and what I believe we can all agree on is that they are all adding more SODA shelf space and more skus YOY. I think Daniel is best known for saying "They all want us, but we have to pick the best stores to go into and at the right time ; we're building this for the future not the short run ". So I lean on Daniel's statement of fact and build my investment for the future. Good luck Video and don't let SODA keep you up at night, management should be the only one's keeping long hours.
Forgive me, but commenting on anything short term and in this forum is more a kin to making a prediction or a trading call and I don't make those kind of comments here nor would I be able to. This is why I generally only discuss points of analysis, update as to operational acheivements and the like. I always view SODA as a long term investment because the fundamentals are just too strong and barriers to entry are just too high for competitors to scale. SODA owns the market it participates within and where there is little to no competition, one should look to the competancy of the management team and I would think their accomplishments speak for themself. Do I expect a strong quarter based on the data at hand, yes. Having said that, data can't quantify unforeseen obstacles like last year's shipping issue. From one quarter to the next quarter, and with so many different metrics it is easy to pick on one, but inevitably the earnings continue to rise and the PPS does always catch up with the EPS; this is why I tend to focus on the long term and those very strong fundamentals which make SODA so very unique and probably somewhat misunderstood by a good many people.
Nothing from our meeting this past weekend discouraged me and if anything it encouraged me about what will likely come in Q1 of 2014. All the information will be included in the Quarterly Preview, all my projections for the quarter, all my teams data for the quarter, all my analysis of operational activities, competition, shelf space retail partners, regional updates, channel check data, new product planning insights and cadence of product roll-outs and a lot more. Probably 13 pages worth vs last quarters 10 pages, learned a lot in Israel at the plant.
It takes some time to compile a forward looking rating and price target once your standing price target has been achieved the way ours has for GMCR. I will probably have a new update on GMCR late next week and disclosure of new rating. This morning we did send out a new article on SODA with some information related to GMCR within the article that has yet to be considered by most I would assume.