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EXCEL MARITIME CARR Message Board

golongin2008 114 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 28, 2016 3:09 PM Member since: Nov 25, 2008
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  • Reply to

    Regarding Relypsa, I just read that

    by moneynow27 Apr 28, 2016 1:55 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 28, 2016 3:09 PM Flag

    please tell us where you "just" read that.

  • Reply to

    Golong-Mastro's-OT

    by silverold Apr 26, 2016 6:45 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 27, 2016 5:56 PM Flag

    Thanks Silver and glad you had a great time! Nice to hear. We're all going to have to celebrate when this one goes to $15 plus and RLYP and CEMP hit new highs! Dinner will be on me for sure! Cheers....

  • Reply to

    conference call

    by antoniojr93 Apr 26, 2016 1:11 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 26, 2016 3:53 PM Flag

    All I know is that every time Orwin opens his mouth the stock tanks. But nothing can ever replace the "right race wrong horse" comment made 50% higher than it is today. That in retrospect was the all time classic.

  • Reply to

    Wainwright maintains Buy rating

    by glenntrader Apr 26, 2016 8:47 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 26, 2016 1:36 PM Flag

    $36 is actually a realistic and fair price. How in the heck did an analyst come up with that?!! Lol...

  • Reply to

    Was Hoping Fresenius Was Dropping Out of Picture

    by golongin2008 Apr 25, 2016 10:42 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 25, 2016 3:19 PM Flag

    You need to ask Warren Buffet if he "trades all stocks except those selected to paper his coffin"...lol

    As for me....I'm not overly concerned about ZS9 v Velt..I think we win the chronic market hands down, and that will especially be apparent after May 26th. The issue to me is how large that market will become? We need to get physicians off the react to an event (HK/ER type treatment) to preventative treatment, and that takes time, money and education. Some of the newly approved CHF drugs have HK as a major side effect and cardiologists need to be educated on preventing that with Velt and being confident of no drug interactions at 3hrs.

    Splitting a 3 bil dollar a year worldwide chronic HK market is much different than splitting one that has
    500 mil in potential. Actually AZN getting out and educating doctors and hospitals on the need to chronically treat HK will benefit us both. Time will tell.

  • Reply to

    Was Hoping Fresenius Was Dropping Out of Picture

    by golongin2008 Apr 25, 2016 10:42 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 25, 2016 2:38 PM Flag

    You will soon find out in May why I was bashing ZS-9. ZSPH got lucky and got bought out by AZN looking for something "hot" to jump start a rather weak drug pipeline. The leaped before they looked too closely and will be punished badly for not doing proper DD. Trading is something you do until you have real money. You may find that out some day if you're lucky.

  • Reply to

    Was Hoping Fresenius Was Dropping Out of Picture

    by golongin2008 Apr 25, 2016 10:42 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 25, 2016 12:56 PM Flag

    Eatonshorts moron...First of all it is quite likely I have more in this stock than your entire net worth and have since day one of it's IPO. I started this friggin board idiot stick. I know as much about this company and their science than most of the docs posting here, so you Johnny come lately nothings only add the pom pom posts which I try and ignore.

    Vifor Fresenius through the Galencia Group which controls them may well end up bidding on RLYP. I do not discount that. But if they do not, selling to another big pharma is not going to be easy unless we pay a King's ransom to undo this deal and Galencia knows that. They have us by the balls frankly.

    I'm not advising anything to anyone. Simply making an observation. It was a dumb deal.

  • Reply to

    Was Hoping Fresenius Was Dropping Out of Picture

    by golongin2008 Apr 25, 2016 10:42 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 25, 2016 12:02 PM Flag

    Let's be clear here. I am very bullish on RLYP and have been since day one of it's IPO. They have the leading and perhaps the only FDA approved chronic treatment for HK. IMHO a US buyer of RLYP will not be so concerned about the EU arrangement simply because the US is by far the dominant market. Logistically and structure wise better to have an EU partner. Forget Japan. That is a regulatory and cultural nightmare
    for any new US drug seeking to do business over there.

    An EU buyer does not have the logistical concerns we would. The product, (Veltassa), is manufactured in Europe (Austria). BP in Europe knows the commercial and regulatory markets far better than we do.
    They know the EU consumers better...the doctors views....the differences in various countries insurance and reimbursement rates and procedures, etc.

    But an EU buyer like an AZN is NOT going to buy us to get some royalty payment regardless of how high that is. They want complete control over the asset and the hopefully increasing asset value over time. They want the ability to effectively account for the assets in a manner that would be tax beneficial for them. They want to own the assets as hopefully they will increase in value over time.They are not going to pay he same for full US rights but a limited royalty right for the entire EU.That is a fact.

    Just look at the action today. We file for EU approval and the stock goes down? Now why do you think that is? Cause it implies that there is no EU buyer or perhaps even a US buyer involved right now otherwise it would make sense for us to hold off filing for approval through Fresenius would it not? Common sense gang.

  • Reply to

    Was Hoping Fresenius Was Dropping Out of Picture

    by golongin2008 Apr 25, 2016 10:42 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 25, 2016 11:03 AM Flag

    !B in sales in the EU in "several years"? Give me some of that stuff you're smoking as I could use some right about now. We have a "cow" using cash, not vice versa. A European company who may be interested in us does not want a 22% royalty on sales in the EU. They want the entire EU market and the entire gross revenues. They want to control mfg and sales 100%. No wonder you were "fired in 2010"...lol!

  • No EU company is going to buy us as long as Fresenius controls all EU sales and gets the bulk of the profits.
    That takest alot of potential acquirers, including AZN,out of the picture unless they buy Fresenius out of the dumb deal we made with them .Today's announcment of their filing for EU approval on our behalf means they're still very much in the game here and in compliance with ourr "give away" deal with them. Guess we're now back to the MRK rumor.

  • golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 22, 2016 11:22 AM Flag

    Nice find. No long term data presentation and solely acute focus. Would only cost AZN 1.8 billion more and they would have it all to themselves and won't have to explain to shareholders 2.7 billion down the drain.
    Need to undo the Fresenius deal though if they are the buyer's. AZN is not going to have them control European sales and reap the bulk of any profits.

  • Reply to

    New takeover rumor hitting

    by glenntrader Apr 21, 2016 11:21 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 21, 2016 12:44 PM Flag

    I won't bite until the darn CEO comes out and makes a statement that they are retaining IB's to review various preliminary proposals to acquire the company. Not going to be suckered in for the fourth time.

  • Reply to

    New takeover rumor hitting

    by glenntrader Apr 21, 2016 11:21 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 21, 2016 12:10 PM Flag

    Oh no not another "rumor" that the company will neither admit or deny. Problem is now the rumors are going from lower lows rather than higher highs. Shorts not going to make a much each time one of these "rumors" fails come to pass. I guess "no comment" is Orwin's latest tactic as CEO to rally the stock?

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Like clockwork here they are for the week....

    by pharma33221 Apr 21, 2016 8:45 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 21, 2016 10:31 AM Flag

    Did these folks ever think that the best "incentive" they can give their employees is to actually make the company successful? That way they KEEP their jobs. Should that not be incentive enough? And since this is a one drug company that is already approved with an outside marketing team that is WAY over paid anyway,
    what the F do most of these employees do anyway? Certianly not shareholder relations. Certainly not selling any product cause no one is doing that. Maybe the lunch room is a hot spot for pick ups, who the heck knows.

    How about giving a million dollars to any employee who actually introduces a buyer for this company?
    Now that would be money well spent!

  • Reply to

    Golong-OT

    by silverold Apr 20, 2016 7:00 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 21, 2016 10:24 AM Flag

    Mastro's (Ocean Club) is the best steak house here in Newport Beach. It's all good but I always have the NY strip. Make sure you get the dessert that has some sort of cake and fresh fruit topping. Getting a good table is important. If you don't like where they sit you ask for another place. The bar is a hot spot for the pick up crowd over 40 so good people watching, but if you're at all decent looking and over 55 the women will be all over you walking to the men's room! Enjoy. PS The original Mastro's was in Beverly Hills and much smaller and intimate and done Frank Sinatra style including the music and pictures on the walls etc. I liked it better but a much longer drive so not worth it!

  • Reply to

    Q1, veltassa is on 2600+ patients already

    by oo.giant Apr 20, 2016 3:32 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 20, 2016 6:50 PM Flag

    You guys really arguing about 2600 v 4000 patients now on Velt after 4 months?
    The US has 320 million people and 3 mil of those were supposed to be able to benefit greatly from Velt. We have more in the combined sales forces than the script increases each month thus far.

    We need big pharma to buy us and "bundle" Velt within any number of the drugs they sell to hospitals and physicians. They can do that. We do not have that option as we're only selling one drug. There is no way this company makes it going it alone. Numbers will never match up. This is Econ 101 and Statistics 101 folks and the guy running it I don't think ever took either frankly.

  • Reply to

    Interesting Activity on Today's PR

    by michaelwebbseattle Apr 15, 2016 8:30 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 20, 2016 6:30 PM Flag

    Got an awful lot of paranoia on this Board. Company tanking results so Allergan won't exercise their option.
    Selling today cause someone knows the results will be bad. Data "not bad" but not "compelling" either?
    No clear risk/benefit risk profile which is "still bad" Huh...say what? bFriends of Adam F shorting so he can
    put out a "hit piece" on the company? Management wants a free trip to Italy??

    LOL... Think you guys could all use about a case of beer each at the very minimum. Nobody here knows anything. If you believe what you're posting sell.

  • Reply to

    Interesting Activity on Today's PR

    by michaelwebbseattle Apr 15, 2016 8:30 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 20, 2016 3:55 PM Flag

    Why would you bother flying to Italy to make a major announcement of trial results before a large European audience if they were going to be bad? You'd simply cancel the presentation and announce them here in the US and watch your stock take a beating. Bad results do not equate to a trip to Florence for the management group on the company. Makes NO sense at all.

  • Reply to

    My Guess FDA and ZS-9

    by golongin2008 Apr 20, 2016 2:26 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Apr 20, 2016 2:51 PM Flag

    Results weren't so hot for ZS-9 IMHO on the early release of "some" full data on the year follow on study. Haven't seen nor heard of any other data release since then. Recalling RLYP's in vivo study...Didn't see any drug interaction issues with anything at 3hrs+ which is all that really matters. Of course, the FDA has been shown to be very stubborn in reversing prior determinations, so that could be an issue for us down the road. I would hope the FDA would require as least the same amount of DDI in vitro data that we had to submit.

  • golongin2008 by golongin2008 Apr 20, 2016 2:26 PM Flag

    1. Will be approved for chronic use but not acute. ZS-9 acts within hours which is not appropriate for ER use which requires normalization of K within minutes...not hours.

    2. Will get a label restriction but not a BB. Label will state ZS-9 may not be appropriate for those with hypertension or who are on low sodium diets, or on hypertension medications. Will also state it has been shown to cause Edema in some patients.

    3. AZN will be ordered to do complete DDI post approval studies in humans (in vivo) and submit results
    to the FDA with X months.