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SIGA Technologies, Inc. Message Board

golongin2008 234 posts  |  Last Activity: 2 hours 52 minutes ago Member since: Nov 25, 2008
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  • golongin2008 by golongin2008 Jan 5, 2015 12:15 PM Flag

    Put it on your calender. That's FDA approval date gang!

  • golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 10:57 PM Flag

    Agree 100% trading pro... Hope everyone here apprecaites just how good these results really are....
    Very tough comparitor drug but with a very checkered safety profile. Pretty soon those currently receiving Maxi
    will have Soli to use, and many lives will be saved, and hospital costs will come down because of the very favorable safety profile in favor of Soli.. Sleep well tonight Cemparians...

  • Reply to

    $9 open

    by omar_the_carpet_merchant Jan 4, 2015 7:44 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 8:00 PM Flag

    WTI already down .40 to $52.38

  • Reply to

    Feel bad for those who sold Friday.

    by schroe_us Jan 4, 2015 6:53 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 7:49 PM Flag

    Minnie... I think some may have suspected that results were due to be released anytime soon, and were cashing in some chips in advance. That, and people with some big profits putting off taking them until 2015 so they wouldn't have to pay taxes on gains for a full 16 months. The best laid plans of mice or men??

    Margin increase...Probably lots of new shorts and with this news they're going to get killed....

  • Reply to

    We're Good to Go Now!

    by golongin2008 Jan 3, 2015 11:03 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 7:42 PM Flag

    Thanks for the education ribeard although I must tell you I actually worked on the Reagan campaigns for President, both terms. Loved the guy. Also loved Clinton. Also Bush Sr. Not so fond of Jr.though.
    Obama....disappointed would be an understatement. If you can't figure it out by now I'm obviously
    an independent voter. Never vote simply party lines...Never.

  • Reply to

    Feel bad for those who sold Friday.

    by schroe_us Jan 4, 2015 6:53 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 7:14 PM Flag

    You know schroe... The results could have easily gone the other way...Moxi from an efficacy standpoint is a formidable competitor. We did great!!

  • Reply to

    We're Good to Go Now!

    by golongin2008 Jan 3, 2015 11:03 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 7:06 PM Flag

    Cute takeoff on my name...

    Mr. Phil.... My point re Fox Business News is why bother to watch a business channel where the bottom line just about every night is the market is going down because of Obama, and it is going up despite Obama.
    Try thinking for yourselves. Do you really need Lou Dobbs every night to go to nighty night?

    My objective in the stock market is to make money. Try watching Bloomberg Business news for a change
    just to get objective business reporting. Or even the European business channels.

    Do you REALLY think that the current Administration gave the Saudis "tacit" approval to start an oil price war
    so that the economies of Russia..Venzuela...Iraq....Iran....etc, .would tank? You mean the country that brought us the destruction of the World Trade Centers are just helping us out now by bankrupting our new oil industry that was making us "energy independent"?? Does that really make sense to you? That we want to drive Texas and the 15 other major energy producing states into a recession so we can hurt the Russians?

    Oh...and the two longest, and best, bull markets in the last 20 years? Clinton and Obama...
    I know... and it was all despite them too......

  • Sunday....Jan. 4th.... Soli met the primary objective of statistical non inferiority of the early clinical response at 72 hours after initiation of therapy compared to moxifloxacin. Also met the secondary objectives of non-inferiority in clinical success at the short term follow up visit, 5-10 days after the end of therapy. 78.2% for Soli...and 77.9% for moxifloxacin. Sub group analysis by age indicate the difference in point estimates
    became larger with increasing age and favored solithromycin in the ITT clinical response groups. Oral
    study and first of two planned Phase 3 pivotal studies with 860 adult pateints with moderate to moderately
    severe CABP (pneumonia).

    SAE in both arms were fairly equal at less than 7% of patients and none were consdired study drug related.

    A second Phase 3 trial with 800 patients was initiated by CEMP in December, 2013.

    Congrats to CEMP and to all fellow Cemparians!!
    Good day coming tomorrow!!

  • Reply to

    SA Article This Sunday-Good Read

    by golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 2:34 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 4:41 PM Flag

    You're the one making "murder" threats "buddy".... Last time I looked you can go to jail for that
    stuff. We'll see what the authorities do here...Just tell them you threatened to murder a poster for
    calling people on a message board "idiots" or "morons".

  • Reply to

    We're Good to Go Now!

    by golongin2008 Jan 3, 2015 11:03 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 4:34 PM Flag

    Not my buddy....buddy...

    So that begs the question....Why are YOU here? You apparently feel uncomfortable enough to keep posting
    your garbage here, so why bother? If you don't think oil will trade in the 60's for the bulk of 2015 sell the rest of your small holdings, and move on. If you were dumb enough to buy in the 16's plus last year and then only "sold half", why would anyone listen to you now anyway? I got my pom poms out pretty large in this name at $7.75 so looking ALOT better than you are right about now "buddy"... By the way...What part of the
    Ozarks are you from?

  • Reply to

    We're Good to Go Now!

    by golongin2008 Jan 3, 2015 11:03 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 3:41 PM Flag

    cwrasmith.... You asked a question just 6 hours ago on this site "does anyone have an average cost per barrel on BBEP ?".... The "cheerleading" article that I referred you and others to read addresses that..."$18.75 to $20.75 per BBOE.".... Easier to complain about your losing situatiion in BBEP rather than educate yourself huh? Bet you asked others to do your homework for you in school too...lol...Loser.

  • Reply to

    CONTRARIAN

    by hudsonhudson45 Jan 2, 2015 1:27 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 3:21 PM Flag

    LOL....No it was not... I keep it because it was my handle back in 2008 and reminds me not to
    get to cocky in the good times either! LOL...Thanks for the kind words,and GLTALs...!

  • Reply to

    SA Article This Sunday-Good Read

    by golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 2:34 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 3:09 PM Flag

    How does "swearing a little" because you paid too much for a stock in 20/20 hindsight translate into murdering someone? And how does referring people here to read a SA article on BBEP that was posted today constitute "cheerleading"?? You are either not dealing with a full deck, or were attempting to be "funny"
    Either way...Your post was not appreciated, nor funny, and has been reported to Yahoo.

  • Reply to

    CONTRARIAN

    by hudsonhudson45 Jan 2, 2015 1:27 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 4, 2015 2:52 PM Flag

    You run a big or bigger risk of buying on the opening with "positive" news. First off you will not participate in the 50%-100% pop in the price, so at $12-$16 it's a long ways to get those types of returns holding now a
    "known" story. You're also now in the buy and hold until the next big news event comes public strategy, which could be a long time from now, and may even "disappoint". You may "over pay" on the hyped post news, and get your wings clipped.

    This is early PK data...Not Phase 3 clinical trial results. Everyone will be focused on ALT reduction, and if we hit a 20% or more target, this stock is a homerun. GL with your strategy, but how did that one work out for
    folks who didn't take the initial data gamble in BLUE? $38 t0 $95 in just a few days from the early results
    beats $95 to $91 now IMHO...

  • Interesting read and perspective. Not all gloom and doom. Pragmatic evaluation of the dividend cut and borrowings issues. BBEP assuming $60 oil for the bulk of 2015. Dividend should be well covered at a 1.35:1 ratio with hedges in place in the portfolio. April issues of outstanding borrowing limits, which may in fact be reduced even from current outstanding borrowings, given the fall in crude. Company will more than likely be proactive prior to April in paying down outstanding borrowings.

  • Reply to

    We're Good to Go Now!

    by golongin2008 Jan 3, 2015 11:03 AM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 3, 2015 4:52 PM Flag

    dr_klumps.... I think everyone here needs to turn off Fox Business News and start reading and trying to think for themselves.

    Crude was $100-$110 bbl in July, 2014. Do you really think that supply/demand metrics have fallen by 50% in around 5 months. Are we in a worldwide recession that someone forget to mention. Was our 5% GDP growth just last quarter just a mirage?

    Or could it be that the Saudis are simply playing a monoplistic game that was outlawed by our Justice Department back in 1900 by then big oil? Flood the markets with over supply at any price and drive the little guys out of business? Hardly something new is it? Shot across the bow by the Saudis? Probably. Basically telling us and Canada to quit thinking about total energy independence or else. We'll let you have your share but not the entire US market...Never...ever...

  • golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 3, 2015 4:42 PM Flag

    Cheapstkbuyer.... Come on man...don't fall into the bunny hole here with the bad math...

    For 2015 BBEP just publicly stated in writing that:

    70% of their oil production for 2015 is hedged at $91.90 bbl...

    That leaves 30% of their oil production "not hedged"... For fun let's say crude average $55 in 2015
    on that 30% that is not hedged.

    So if you combine the hedged and the non hedged production (totaling 100%) you get a combined
    average figure per bbl produced of approx. $81.60 bbl. So even under your assumptions they should
    have "good coverage" of the $1 distribution for at least the entire 2015.

    Come on folks this is not upper division math here.

  • golongin2008 by golongin2008 Jan 3, 2015 11:03 AM Flag

    Reduced distribution still around 13% which ain't bad gang...
    Reduced CAPEX...
    Producing alot more oil and gas now with the merger.
    Hedged pretty much to 2017.
    If oil isn't above $75 by the end of 2016 we're all toast anyway.
    Great buy in here IMHO

  • Reply to

    SOLI vs LEVO v MOXI???

    by golongin2008 Jan 2, 2015 1:07 PM
    golongin2008 golongin2008 Jan 2, 2015 3:44 PM Flag

    Agree bioteacher86 with the thesis, but please tell me why then (if it is indeed true) that MOXI is part of the comparator arm in the CEMP Phase 3 trial? Doesn't seem to make sense to me either... Why not just LEVO?

  • golongin2008 by golongin2008 Jan 2, 2015 1:07 PM Flag

    Ok...

    We all know that the current Phase 3 trials for CEMP are non inferiority to LEVO. In the lastest Phase 2 trials SOLI showed non inferiority to LEVO (the STO), and also a better over all safety profile as well. But I also understand that the current Phase 3 trials also include a direct comparison to MOXI. Now MOXI has a "terrible" safety profile, (if I can even use that phrase when discussing that antibiotic), but it has also shown pretty darn good efficacy at times. So Soli could, and should beat LEVO on all metrics, but could lose to MOXI on efficacy, but then kill them on safety? Comments for discussion only....

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

SIGA
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