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Facebook, Inc. (FB) Message Board

guy11288 124 posts  |  Last Activity: 8 hours ago Member since: Aug 5, 2003
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  • Reply to

    INsider FB selling

    by th_ton 9 hours ago

    yea...someone sold 625 shares ... how the hell is this news!?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Don't be fooled...

    by emiller992000 May 14, 2015 3:26 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 May 14, 2015 4:32 PM Flag

    Excellent pt. you're right, first it was FB vs TWTR, then FB vs GOOG, now its FB vs Youtube. ... LOL.
    I so wish FB would create a "Facebook TV" or "Facebook Video" service that is a combination of say a Youtube and a Netflix. Goodness, that would be a $10+ day easily. Come on FB, put up a site for users to upload public videos and slap on some pre-roll ads .... this is literally easy to do if you're FB.

    And I'm not going to even mention Oculus, but ... Oculus. Can't wait.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Like clockwork

    by guy11288 May 14, 2015 10:40 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 May 14, 2015 11:09 AM Flag

    man if china news comes forward my temperature will go straight to 100. I keep thinking that FB could create a version of FB called "FB China" that is only avail to the 1Billion residents there and the 10's of millions of chinese advertisers. It would LITERALLY be like FB doubling their company. BUT I don't know if FB would be ok with censoring those users based on a gov request so this prob wont happen. Just fun food for thought.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 by guy11288 May 14, 2015 10:40 AM Flag

    When all is said and done FB, keeps to its pattern:
    -pre earnings run up
    -post earnings sell off (regardless of numbers)
    -ruthlessly follows Full Stochastic / RSI / CMF
    -trades btwn lower and mid Bollinger during down trends
    -trades btwn upper and mid Bollinger during up trends

    Sold 50% at 82.50, Bought 25% back at 78-ish and now the remaining 25% back at 79.20.
    Waiting for usual summer up trend from annual shareholder mtg, good PRs, weak hands being stomped out after Q1, Q2 pre-earnings run up. Just passing this along because my strategy has worked for me for the last 2 years (got in may 2013 at $29) and sharing. Welcome any constructive criticism, as I'm only here to make money. Holding for $104 this year.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    News Feeds?

    by vegaspope May 13, 2015 8:43 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 May 13, 2015 9:50 AM Flag

    You're completely out of touch with whats going on at FB then, and more importantly what FB is seeing from their users. People do prefer to get news right there in FB instead of going elsewhere. Follow/Like a few news orgs in your feed and give it a week or 2 and tell me what your experience is with the new Instant Articles feature.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 guy11288 May 13, 2015 8:40 AM Flag

    Are you using SMA or EMA for the 200-MA? I see 200-SMA of 77.47 and a FB closing price of 77.46 .... so it closed 1 CENT below.

    And I agree, the Instant Articles feature will be HUGE. Once a few publishers start to do it, it will become painfully obvious that getting the article or video right there instantly is way better than going to an external site and waiting for the content, plus their #$%$ 10+ ads on the page to load. This bodes well for a July/Aug rally IMO.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Doji at the bottom of 15 min chart

    by dontbelievethescam May 8, 2015 11:02 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 May 8, 2015 12:56 PM Flag

    same here re wanting to see 80's next week, but I'll keep holding even if its flat for another week or 2. Re the market sell off, I've noticed that FB does the opposite quite alot.

    I'll go back and see how many FB up days coincide with market down days this past year. I just get the feeling that FB's stock isn't as sexy as it used to be and so the market is looking at other companies first. When things get bad for other names, FB gets a little more love and the PPS goes up because its a good place to put your money for the intermediate/longer term. I could be wrong when I do the analysis but thats what it looks like on the surface. best of luck.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Doji at the bottom of 15 min chart

    by dontbelievethescam May 8, 2015 11:02 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 May 8, 2015 12:12 PM Flag

    Speaking of Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), yesterday marked 3 days in a row that CMF was up (on the daily candlestick chart). The last time it did that was March 16th, 17th, 18th when FB went from 78 to 86. This also coincides with a bounce off the 200-MA as well as a bounce off of the bottom of BOTH Bollinger Band and Keltner Channels. Technically speaking one must admit that that was pretty sweet.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 guy11288 May 6, 2015 2:10 AM Flag

    Who said anything about a guarantee? I said "taking my chances" and gave some points as to why I did. It is purely a calculated risk. This is also in my long-term account and its money I got from buying at 29 and selling at 82.50, so I have a little wiggle room. ;) All that aside, what do you suggest is a good entry point for FB and why?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 guy11288 May 5, 2015 4:23 PM Flag

    Sold 50% of my FB at 82.50. Got back in 25% at 77.38 and 78.84. Considered putting the remaining 25% but I'm eyeing AAPL at 119.

    RSI = 34, the lowest it has been in over a year
    CMF = -0.304, the lowest it has been in just under 2 years
    Full/Fast Stochastics are tied for the lowest its been in about a year

    These coincide with typical FB bounces of $5-$9.
    It either bounces off the 200-MA now, or it doesn't. Taking my chances.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 guy11288 May 5, 2015 10:45 AM Flag

    I follow the trend alot as well. Looking at the daily candlestick chart....buying at the lows of RSI, CMF and Fulll/Fast Stochastic would have given the buyer some of the best gains in FB for the past 2 years. We are basically at the lows of those metrics now. Wouldn't you suggest its time to get back in to FB, even if for only 1-2 weeks?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    To Ms Sheryl Sandberg

    by pejsar88 May 5, 2015 7:13 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 May 5, 2015 7:30 AM Flag

    Your line of thinking confuses and to be blunt, annoys me. Yes we all wish her well, but basically you are saying to Sheryl: "you are not a good COO, and so lets take the loss of your husband as an opportunity to get get a COO that will help me, an investor, make more money."

    Your comment of "two small and wonderful children at home now with no father" is VERY presumptuous. You don't know what structure of care she has in place or how mature her kids are. Sheryl loves her kids, but her choice of having a career, years after her kids were born, has caused a great debate in American culture about the role of women and men. She will not be the COO of FB forever, but to call for this now is a low class.

    ps: I'm pretty sure Sheryl doesn't read the Yahoo msg boards.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    $80 was support, now it's resistance

    by fartnose1 Apr 29, 2015 9:29 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 May 4, 2015 11:37 AM Flag

    The reality of social media completely contradicts what you think is an issue. People have been discussing privacy re FB, TWTR, LNKD, GOOG for YEARS and yet each of them continually grow their user base each quarter. The growth may not match what the street wants every quarter but that has yet to stop the growth. Just look at FB's latest number for DAU and MAU. Staggering that even after a decade later they are still growing. The people have spoken, as long as these companies can show some effort in protecting privacy, users are willing to trade aggregate, non-identifiable info with the company for a free quality service. Period.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    $80 was support, now it's resistance

    by fartnose1 Apr 29, 2015 9:29 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 May 4, 2015 11:03 AM Flag

    teens are only teens for a few years. I'd guess that 90% of them come back to FB as soon as they are in their early 20's and start getting married and having kids. Don't fall for the "teens are leaving" scare tactic. Plus FB has said repeatedly that they are not trying to be cool, not trying to be a teeny-bopper social media site, they have WAY BIGGER plans: Oculus, Internet.org, WhatsApp, Video, etc

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    LNKD down 25% AH ...

    by guy11288 Apr 30, 2015 4:21 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 30, 2015 4:40 PM Flag

    Agreed. Its tempting to buy back in my other 1/2 of FB but I'll wait and see just how crazy things can get. If you watch TV, the experts go from BUY BUY BUY to ITS 2000 all over again in a matter of days. Someone on here said it best, they are no more expert than you or me, and trade on just as much emotion.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Glad I sold 1/2 my FB at 82.50. But the other half is hurtin' pretty bad. So it goes gentlemen, so it goes. Gonna be a rough 2 more weeks. RSI, Fast/Slow Stochastics are all very low but could still go down a little. Being so close to the 200-MA means we are up for a real test of FB strength tomorrow. Too bad its a Fri. Good luck.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    TWTR - A takeover candidate for FB or Google

    by thefestusone Apr 29, 2015 12:45 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 29, 2015 4:38 PM Flag

    I agree with kjkenny45... I hope FB doesn't get any ideas and even look at Twitter. Save that money to invest in a Facebook TV service instead. Get Oculus out faster. Lots of better investments than Twitter are out there.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Oops meant after being at + .5

    by artbyxxx Apr 29, 2015 10:55 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 29, 2015 11:12 AM Flag

    Last time Mark Andreesen sold FB, it went on to climb 11% within 1 month. Just saying. ;)

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    someone, anyone please

    by obfucated Apr 29, 2015 9:00 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 29, 2015 9:52 AM Flag

    Doubtful that you got in a "couple years back". If so you would have experienced it when FB went from 54 to 43, or 72 to 55, or 79 to 70. These are sizeable corrections that kept the stock healthy. We made new highs each time afterwards. Look for summer announcements / shareholder mtg in June, weak hands washed out in the next month to see a come back into the mid 80's by early summer. If you want more near-term excitement leave FB and go play with Twitter.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    ANY ONE...IS FB THE NEXT TWTR

    by dexter.theiceman Apr 29, 2015 9:26 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 29, 2015 9:43 AM Flag

    In the last, what, 5 or so quarters?, FB has increased its user base the ENTIRE SIZE of Twitter, so no, FB is not the next TWTR. I've posted many times before that FB has great run ups and big corrections. Its had many -10% months only to come roaring back. Its just chugging along and we should see a great summer especially right around early June (11th) when they kick off the annual shareholder meeting. I expect a small run-up in the first week of June. Buy the dips.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

FB
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