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Facebook, Inc. (FB) Message Board

guy11288 52 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 26, 2015 2:18 PM Member since: Aug 5, 2003
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  • Reply to

    FB is the king of the block

    by silvercomments Jul 25, 2015 12:59 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 26, 2015 2:18 PM Flag

    DIS is the stock that I'm comparing FB to as well. But it did having movement from approx 91 to 81, and 94 to 90, etc on its way up. It also did go from 91 to 103 in about a week too. So not "effortlessly" but close enough. So no doubt, even at this valuation, FB can have a really great Q2 and still have a big 15+ run in the very short term. I think we trend up a little for the next 3 days but def wont make a new 52-week high.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Two words re FB

    by factspls88 Jul 22, 2015 1:22 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 22, 2015 2:56 PM Flag

    I hear of many small companies that say they get great ROI on their ad spend through FB. I just released an app and I will be using FB to advertise my app so I'll know first hand in the coming weeks. Back to your point .... if its "free money" are you saying that when interest rate go up, then FB will have big head winds?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    down 1.40 a share because of apple...hahahahaha

    by poomba_1998 Jul 21, 2015 7:19 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 21, 2015 11:07 PM Flag

    the only connection I can see is that the bigger the phone, the bigger the ad and the higher quality, but I'm not even sure it works that way to be honest. Anyone recall any CC where FB stated they make more for ads on larger screens? Seems logical but I'm not sure.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    2 steps forward, 1 step back for FB

    by c_e_o_4gains Jul 21, 2015 7:38 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 21, 2015 11:05 PM Flag

    Would be surprised either. This is what fooled me a bit when I sold at 95.25 and it fell $1 within an hour. Next thing I know....its right back up to friggin $95 and then to $99. Oh well, this is where I load up.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Facebook reaches $250?

    by building_a_pot_of_gold Jul 19, 2015 7:16 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 19, 2015 10:49 PM Flag

    250?!?!?!? Damn. That would give FB a $700B market cap. I'd say that would be at least another 5 yrs. I would guess we see MAJOR resistance at market caps of $300B, $400B, $500B.

    So $300B puts FB right about $107 per share, which I think we will see by the end of this summer. But for now I think we take a quick visit back into the high 80's.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Started using Pivot Points a few months on FB's daily candlestick chart. Fri's high was right in line with the 2nd Resistance level. Here is a breakdown of FB's activity when we hit this 2nd resistance level over the past 2 years. (rounded for simplicity). Anyone have an insights as to what will happen next?

    SEP 2013 - hit 45.6 then down to 42.3 in 1 week (-7%)
    SEP 2013 - passed 46 up to 51 then down to 45.3 in 3 weeks (FLAT)
    FEB 2014 - hit 71 then down to 66 in 1 week (-7%)
    JUL 2014 - (earnings day) gaped up $4.50 from 71.29 and closed at 76.74 but down to 71.5 in 2 weeks (FLAT)
    SEP 2014 - hit 78 then down to 73 in 1 week (-6.5%)
    DEC 2014 - hit 82 then down to 73 in 3 weeks (-10%)
    MAR 2015 - hit 86 then down to 77 in 6 weeks (-10%)
    JUN 2015 - hit 84 then up to 95 in 4 weeks (+13%)

    Also note that FB's RSI is now over 78, which is the highest its been since the major run started in Summer 2013. All other times, the stock had temporarily peaked and dropped 5-10% in a few days.

    ANYONE FOLLOW THESE INDICATORS.???? (Feel like I'm begining to sound like Art..hehe)

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    In at 90.40, Out at 95.25

    by guy11288 Jul 17, 2015 12:02 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 19, 2015 2:55 AM Flag

    fortunately, I've been ALL IN on FB for the past 2 yrs so I made good money.
    unfortunately, I was about 30% on margin and had all my eggs in 1 basket. Super risky. For now, I'm 100% cash until I can find a better entry point near 90.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    In at 90.40, Out at 95.25

    by guy11288 Jul 17, 2015 12:02 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 18, 2015 3:16 PM Flag

    no worries... you're still standing on a good 26% profit. Trying to get back in next week myself as I've stated FB is a $105 stock. If its any consolation ... I cancelled my buy order for GOOG at a split adjusted 55-ish many years ago. Yesterday was a very painful reminder of that. Can't believe I thought it was too "expensive". GD.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    In at 90.40, Out at 95.25

    by guy11288 Jul 17, 2015 12:02 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 17, 2015 4:40 PM Flag

    hey idiot ... just ignore my lame posts and quit making an #$%$ of yourself.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    In at 90.40, Out at 95.25

    by guy11288 Jul 17, 2015 12:02 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 17, 2015 3:24 PM Flag

    Good for you man! You really let me have it! I promise I'll do better next time with the money I made buying FB at 29.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    In at 90.40, Out at 95.25

    by guy11288 Jul 17, 2015 12:02 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 17, 2015 3:18 PM Flag

    Very unlikely that they will buybuck stock in the next 3 yrs. In Q1 they warned that Q2 rev may be affected by forex and increased spending this year. BUT ... that should change in the 2nd half of the year, so I think guidance will be good but FB prob wont blow out the numbers. GOOG's huge EPS beat was due in part to their cutbacks on spending (they had slowest hiring this Qtr in years) while FB is prob at its most aggressive. Recal that FB sometimes drops hard even when it meets or slightly beats, so I really cant tell which way this will go after earnings. Given this huge run though (80 to 95 in 1 month) I can see a good $5 drop to the 80's and then a nice steady climb to the 100's this summer. That would be totally normal for FB and a little correction here an there is healthy in my book.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Just doesn't feel right. The big gap up, plus another $2 on top of that, AND being this far out from earnings. If this happened next week Wed, Thurs, then maybe .... I'm about 50/50 on these calls but I have to follow my gut on this one.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Over-engineered it

    by guy11288 Jul 16, 2015 5:15 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 16, 2015 5:20 PM Flag

    92.84 AH now .... sweet baby jesus

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 by guy11288 Jul 16, 2015 5:15 PM Flag

    Sold at 88.10 and got half back in at 90.40. Its 92.05 AH now as I type. Thought we'd have more turbulence by now, but GOOG's beat threw a wrench in that theory. Was waiting for a pullback to 88 to get back in my 2nd half. S. O. B. Totally over-engineered, over-analyzed it. Well at least I first got in at 29. Gotta take the good with the bad. Anyone pay attn to DIS? I get the feeling FB is where DIS was 3 months ago, first hitting 90 and now at almost 120.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    So how is FB honestly worth $250 Billion??

    by whodatstock Jul 14, 2015 6:02 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 15, 2015 9:44 AM Flag

    Even more reason to buy FB, if you don't see "that many" ads. Bottom line: with 1.4 Billion users, you have the ability to show very little ads to each user and still deliver a ginormous number of ads monthly. Add to that, the fact that you can target users very specifically, you can charge a lot for ads. How is this not an easy thing to understand.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    ANOTHER QUESTION FOR TIMeWARP

    by cashbar1 Jul 7, 2015 12:41 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jul 7, 2015 11:33 PM Flag

    My sentiments exactly. Down for no reason, up for no reason. Luckily my wife yelled at me and forced me not to sell some of my trading when we were down this morning at 86. Sold it at 87. GD!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 guy11288 Jun 29, 2015 4:13 PM Flag

    FB said in the conference call that Q2 was also going to be affected by forex. We all mentioned that on here. Why are you now trying to make it sound like FB was saying otherwise. I appreciate any input that helps me make money ... but you're kind of being an #$%$ right now. Knock it off.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    There goes a dollar in a little over an hour.

    by artbyxxx Jun 26, 2015 10:52 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 Jun 26, 2015 11:22 AM Flag

    Art, $9 in 9 days is a tough pill to swallow, but looking back at the last 3 drops FB had after a run, FB dropped about $7 in 9 days. $9 seems like too much too soon but you never know with this stock. I think the bottom will be $83 and not $80.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • I pulled up the chart that Cramer referred to tonight. The 8-week MA Envelopes with both 5% and 15% trend lines. First of all, him referring to RSI ABOVE 70 as "potentially can go higher" kinda #$%$ me off. That was meaningless and sounded like a pump to me.

    Then I plotted his 8-week MA Envlopes, both the 5% and 15% lines. In the last year, it traded above the 5% trend line several times, but only ONCE did it then go on to continue moving upwards towards the 15% trend line, on July 24, 2014. And that was only for the July 2014 Q2 earnings announcement. So according to him, IF we stay above 86 this week, it will confirm the breakout and the next move up to 93. If not, then its still stable, but still stuck in its trading range of low to mid 80's.

    Anyone see anything else on the chart that I'm missing?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 guy11288 Jun 23, 2015 10:06 PM Flag

    charts don't mean much? tell that to the guys that saw it go from 79 to 70, 81 to 72, 82 to 73, you get the point .... fundamentals first, but you gotta at least look at the sentiment on a chart. Best of luck.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

FB
94.17+0.53(+0.56%)Jul 27 4:00 PMEDT