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Facebook, Inc. (FB) Message Board

guy11288 47 posts  |  Last Activity: Jun 29, 2015 4:13 PM Member since: Aug 5, 2003
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  • guy11288 guy11288 May 6, 2015 2:10 AM Flag

    Who said anything about a guarantee? I said "taking my chances" and gave some points as to why I did. It is purely a calculated risk. This is also in my long-term account and its money I got from buying at 29 and selling at 82.50, so I have a little wiggle room. ;) All that aside, what do you suggest is a good entry point for FB and why?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 guy11288 May 5, 2015 4:23 PM Flag

    Sold 50% of my FB at 82.50. Got back in 25% at 77.38 and 78.84. Considered putting the remaining 25% but I'm eyeing AAPL at 119.

    RSI = 34, the lowest it has been in over a year
    CMF = -0.304, the lowest it has been in just under 2 years
    Full/Fast Stochastics are tied for the lowest its been in about a year

    These coincide with typical FB bounces of $5-$9.
    It either bounces off the 200-MA now, or it doesn't. Taking my chances.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 guy11288 May 5, 2015 10:45 AM Flag

    I follow the trend alot as well. Looking at the daily candlestick chart....buying at the lows of RSI, CMF and Fulll/Fast Stochastic would have given the buyer some of the best gains in FB for the past 2 years. We are basically at the lows of those metrics now. Wouldn't you suggest its time to get back in to FB, even if for only 1-2 weeks?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    To Ms Sheryl Sandberg

    by pejsar88 May 5, 2015 7:13 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 May 5, 2015 7:30 AM Flag

    Your line of thinking confuses and to be blunt, annoys me. Yes we all wish her well, but basically you are saying to Sheryl: "you are not a good COO, and so lets take the loss of your husband as an opportunity to get get a COO that will help me, an investor, make more money."

    Your comment of "two small and wonderful children at home now with no father" is VERY presumptuous. You don't know what structure of care she has in place or how mature her kids are. Sheryl loves her kids, but her choice of having a career, years after her kids were born, has caused a great debate in American culture about the role of women and men. She will not be the COO of FB forever, but to call for this now is a low class.

    ps: I'm pretty sure Sheryl doesn't read the Yahoo msg boards.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    $80 was support, now it's resistance

    by fartnose1 Apr 29, 2015 9:29 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 May 4, 2015 11:37 AM Flag

    The reality of social media completely contradicts what you think is an issue. People have been discussing privacy re FB, TWTR, LNKD, GOOG for YEARS and yet each of them continually grow their user base each quarter. The growth may not match what the street wants every quarter but that has yet to stop the growth. Just look at FB's latest number for DAU and MAU. Staggering that even after a decade later they are still growing. The people have spoken, as long as these companies can show some effort in protecting privacy, users are willing to trade aggregate, non-identifiable info with the company for a free quality service. Period.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    $80 was support, now it's resistance

    by fartnose1 Apr 29, 2015 9:29 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 May 4, 2015 11:03 AM Flag

    teens are only teens for a few years. I'd guess that 90% of them come back to FB as soon as they are in their early 20's and start getting married and having kids. Don't fall for the "teens are leaving" scare tactic. Plus FB has said repeatedly that they are not trying to be cool, not trying to be a teeny-bopper social media site, they have WAY BIGGER plans: Oculus, Internet.org, WhatsApp, Video, etc

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    LNKD down 25% AH ...

    by guy11288 Apr 30, 2015 4:21 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 30, 2015 4:40 PM Flag

    Agreed. Its tempting to buy back in my other 1/2 of FB but I'll wait and see just how crazy things can get. If you watch TV, the experts go from BUY BUY BUY to ITS 2000 all over again in a matter of days. Someone on here said it best, they are no more expert than you or me, and trade on just as much emotion.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Glad I sold 1/2 my FB at 82.50. But the other half is hurtin' pretty bad. So it goes gentlemen, so it goes. Gonna be a rough 2 more weeks. RSI, Fast/Slow Stochastics are all very low but could still go down a little. Being so close to the 200-MA means we are up for a real test of FB strength tomorrow. Too bad its a Fri. Good luck.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    TWTR - A takeover candidate for FB or Google

    by thefestusone Apr 29, 2015 12:45 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 29, 2015 4:38 PM Flag

    I agree with kjkenny45... I hope FB doesn't get any ideas and even look at Twitter. Save that money to invest in a Facebook TV service instead. Get Oculus out faster. Lots of better investments than Twitter are out there.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Oops meant after being at + .5

    by artbyxxx Apr 29, 2015 10:55 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 29, 2015 11:12 AM Flag

    Last time Mark Andreesen sold FB, it went on to climb 11% within 1 month. Just saying. ;)

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    someone, anyone please

    by obfucated Apr 29, 2015 9:00 AM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 29, 2015 9:52 AM Flag

    Doubtful that you got in a "couple years back". If so you would have experienced it when FB went from 54 to 43, or 72 to 55, or 79 to 70. These are sizeable corrections that kept the stock healthy. We made new highs each time afterwards. Look for summer announcements / shareholder mtg in June, weak hands washed out in the next month to see a come back into the mid 80's by early summer. If you want more near-term excitement leave FB and go play with Twitter.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 guy11288 Apr 28, 2015 3:52 PM Flag

    TWTR was down 20+% just now to a low of $38.38. Ouch! Gonna stick with my FB but damn if you can guess right TWTR will make you some serious coin! haha.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    TWTR - earnings leaked and the stock dive

    by bigcity1969 Apr 28, 2015 3:35 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 28, 2015 3:43 PM Flag

    Damn ... was seriously considering getting 2k shares of TWTR. Glad I held off!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Bearish engulfing on 15 min chart

    by artbyxxx Apr 27, 2015 2:51 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 28, 2015 11:27 AM Flag

    Thanks for the feedback. I tend to stick to the daily chart, over several time-frames, and 1-min intraday chart. I occasionally glance at the others. Maybe I'll pay more attn to the others going forward. Thx.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Bearish engulfing on 15 min chart

    by artbyxxx Apr 27, 2015 2:51 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 28, 2015 10:12 AM Flag

    I can see merit in looking at it from different perspectives. I guess if that works for you then good for you. But you must have realized that FB usually drops after their announcements so I have a hard time thinking its anything different this time, and so I must rightly question your accuracy. Similarly (being objective here), someone could call for FB to go up 1-2 weeks before the announcement and I would also take that with a grain of salt since that is, again, normal FB trading pattern.

    That being said...I've gone back and looked at the previous 6 qtrs on a weekly chart. (For 5 out of the 6, FB went down after earnings.) Rough calculation shows that on average 3.8 weeks after the announcement FB was back to the pre-announcement run-up levels.

    Another consideration is that on the weekly chart we've been trending down for about 3-4 weeks now. This seems similar to last April's trading pattern. If that holds up, then I'd say that FB will see another great mid-May to mid-July, but that does mean us longs will have to be patient for the next couple weeks.

    I'd also advise you to be careful, as FB had a nice $20 run starting mid-May last year and I think we see strength again this summer.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Bearish engulfing on 15 min chart

    by artbyxxx Apr 27, 2015 2:51 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 28, 2015 6:48 AM Flag

    Why do you keep switching which charts you use every time you post. One day it's the 5-min, then its the 15-min, then sometimes its the weekly or monthly. Seems like you are just looking for anything to support your short position. From a TA perspective, why do you keep switching?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 by guy11288 Apr 26, 2015 11:22 AM Flag

    artbyxxx,
    I've learned that with you I need to double check ALL things you say for the benefit of everyone. Sure enough we seem to be looking at 2 different charts. Please help me see the light. On my 18-month daily candlestick chart, Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has been this low about 3 times.

    1. End of Nov 2013 - stock went from 43.5 to 58.5 in 1 month (34% gain)
    2. Early Apr 2014 - stock went from about 55 to 63, 3 times in about a month, then in early May it went from 56 to 76 in about 2 months (35% gain)
    3. End of Jan 2015 - stock went from about 76 to 86 in 2 months (13% gain)

    So at a minimum, this is an indication that we are close to bottom either time-wise or pps-wise. This doesn't predict the future but going to 90 in 2 months is right in line with what we've seen so far from FB.

    Do you see this?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 by guy11288 Apr 24, 2015 6:41 PM Flag

    These damn talking heads on TV #$%$ me off. One minute GOOG is going to be broken up, similar to MSFT and now YouTube is going to rival Comcast. And GOOG's rev AND eps miss can be overlooked because they reduced spending? FB missing rev by $17mill. Surprised FB didn't at least try to avoid a "miss" and focus on increasing rev in the last 1-2 weeks of the Q.

    I've been calling for FB to either buy NFLX or release a Facebook TV service FOR YEARS NOW. Also not sure whats stopping FB from creating a site similar to YouTube that is strictly dedicated to video with pre-roll ads.

    Rant over.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Not sure how to read FB at the moment

    by melikeyfb Apr 24, 2015 12:17 PM
    guy11288 guy11288 Apr 24, 2015 12:31 PM Flag

    80.90 = 50-MA
    81.45 = pivot point base line
    81.45, 81.21 = the close of the last 2 peak days

    FB has dropped $2 below the 50-MA only to be $2 above the 50-MA just a few days later, so I'm not too worried about that. I think we bounce off the 80-81 range and find resistance at 85 a few more times before we break out again. It will move this summer based on FB PR announcements.

    I'm a buyer again at that range.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • guy11288 guy11288 Apr 23, 2015 7:59 PM Flag

    Considering AAPL too for next week. But for now trying to trade some FB. Got in at the end of the day at 82.51. Cant believe we had a $3 move from the high to the low today. Hoping for a touch of 84 tomorrow but who knows. Still long my core position.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

FB
85.705-1.845(-2.11%)11:45 AMEDT