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Vanguard REIT ETF Message Board

h5n1eric 86 posts  |  Last Activity: 12 hours ago Member since: Jan 15, 2009
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  • So, I got some today...I feel it's 'fairly' priced...neither over nor under, imo....But I like the 4.6% divy yield...and when I do buy stocks, I buy only a small initial position, and cost avg them if they drop a given % amt, that I choose...The payout ratio is listed at 77 in Yahoo...and my Fidelity site is the same, I believe...I'm more of a 'value / contrarian / divy' investor...and is very tough now for "value" investors to find any gems in a sea of CB (Weimar/Zimbabwe-like) liquidity, right now...and, I have about 55% in CASH...But occasionally, I can find something that does not reek of being overpriced...But those that argue for a lower POT price?...well, if that happens, I look at it as an opportunity to add to my initial position, at a better yield (cost avg)...But I do long for those wonderful days back in 2002 / 2009...which is why I keep some cash handy....

  • Reply to

    preferred shares

    by dvrste Feb 20, 2015 8:58 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 15, 2015 3:17 PM Flag

    just doing the quick math...with 3 divys to go in the year...plus any accrued at yr end...well , given the 26.58 price now....tad over 6% premium to par...ummm...the worst you could do is break even (given the current yield), if the stock either went to 25 on investor angst on being called...or actually got called (but the rarely do 'on time/maturity'). I saw that NMPRG looks decent....but just went x divvy ....and NYMT looks good, too...check em' out...I generally buy a small position, and cost avg, if they pull back)

  • Reply to

    preferred shares

    by dvrste Feb 20, 2015 8:58 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 15, 2015 2:16 PM Flag

    rarely called...historicall..but, never know... can find many preferreds that yield 9% (in reit sector) and were callable 10+ years ago...but yet to be called...soooo...

  • "...BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto may be forced to slash capital investment or borrow more to maintain dividend payments if the iron ore price hits the $US35-a-tonne price being contemplated by Treasurer Joe Hockey.

    BHP and Rio Tinto would be the only Australian iron ore exporters generating cash at this price, according to analysis by investment bank UBS. Another bank, Citigroup, downgraded its forecast for iron ore price this year to $US37 a tonne following Mr Hockey's comment, compared with the current price of $US47.53.

    Both major mining groups have pledged to cut capital expenditure – cuts that could deepen if the iron ore price falls further and reverberates throughout the economy. BHP plans to cut capital spending by $US3.8 billion ($5 billion) by the end of 2015-16 to conserve cash, while Rio Tinto reduce capital expenditure by $US4.8 billion last year.

    UBS analyst Glyn Lawcock said BHP and Rio would prioritize dividends even if profits were under pressure from the lower price. "They are both being very vocal defending their progressive dividend policy so they will either forgo a little bit of growth or gear up their balance sheets a bit more if prices hit that level," he said..."

  • Reply to

    good lord...oil futures way up right now !!

    by h5n1eric Mar 25, 2015 10:54 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 26, 2015 12:45 AM Flag

    "...
    (Reuters) - Brent crude oil prices shot up nearly 6 percent on Thursday after Saudi Arabia and its Gulf Arab allies began a military operation in Yemen, although Asian importers said they were not immediately worried about supply disruptions.

    The strike against Houthi rebels, who have driven the president from Yemen's capital Sanaa, could stoke concerns about the security of oil shipments from the Middle East.

    Oil prices jumped as traders and importers said they were worried the Saudi attack was a sign that fighting in the oil-rich Middle East was spreading and out of control.

    Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 rose as high as $59.71 a barrel, up almost 6 percent since their last settlement, before dipping back to $57.80 a barrel at 0402 GMT, still up $1.32. U.S. crude CLc1 was up $1.64 at $50.85 a barrel.

    The risk from the attack in Yemen was heightened because the Houthis have received some support from Iran, Saudi Arabia's long-time rival for dominance in the Middle East.

    "The Saudis have taken military action because they have said the Houthis are getting support from the Iranians," said Li Guofu, director of the Centre for Middle East Studies at the China Institute of International Studies.

    "This is an indication that the war may gradually spread into a regional conflict. This is something the Chinese government is very much concerned about," he said.

    Beyond oil, the Middle East is also the world's biggest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) via Qatar and Yemen, ..."

  • Reply to

    OIL FUTURES ARE ZOOMING, AFTER HOURS

    by h5n1eric Mar 25, 2015 11:07 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 25, 2015 11:08 PM Flag

    Oil prices surge after Saudi air strikes in Yemen

  • (BLOOMBERG)... WTI ... 50.92 / BRENT ... 58.37 ... COULD SEE A BIG MOVE, ESP ON SHORT COVERING ...IF THOSE GAINS HOLD, IT'S GOING TO BE WILD TOMORROW

  • don't know how that plays with GLP...but interesting...the offshore drillers should zoom again...have been, for A WEEK NOW .... WTI ... 50.92 / BRENT ... 58.37

  • WTI ... 50.92 / BRENT ..... 58.37

  • WTI.... 50.92 / BRENT .... 58.37 ...GONNA BE WILD TOMORROW !!! ENERGY STOCKS !!!

  • WTI ..... 50.92 / BRENT ..... 58.37 ....see if that holds...shorts will be destroyed...and I do not like violence...but money is money...I need it

  • Reply to

    LATE NIGHT CRUDE FUTURES SKYROCKETING ^

    by digginthebear Mar 25, 2015 10:46 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 25, 2015 10:58 PM Flag

    JUST SAW THAT...ZOOMING....I think you might see some major capitulation by the shorts tomorrow...SDRL / RIG / NE / ESV / ECA / etc etc etc etc

  • Reply to

    good lord...oil futures way up right now !!

    by h5n1eric Mar 25, 2015 10:54 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 25, 2015 10:56 PM Flag

    Maybe, finally, get some high volume capitulation tomorrow?...big short positions in many stocks in energy sector....could be a wild time tomorrow !!!

  • WTI .... 50.92 / BRENT .... 58.37 ...IF THAT HOLDS, ANOTHER "ZOOMING DAY" FOR ENERGY STOCKS

  • Reply to

    WOW WE COULD SEE 55 OIL BY FRIDAY

    by afriat2000 Mar 25, 2015 10:40 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 25, 2015 10:50 PM Flag

    And if the IRAN deal falls thru, could add to oil price...on future tensions...we'll see...any deal with them is a bad deal, imo...as they won't keep it...they've broken all other deals...and even bragged about doing so, on that 2003 deal....they have no intension of stopping...to get the bomb

  • Reply to

    DOW down 1.5% and RIG is up 2.75%

    by optionsmygame Mar 25, 2015 3:52 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 25, 2015 4:32 PM Flag

    not where we've been, or are now - but where we'll go, that matters...and people have diff ideas on that...rear view mirror stuff doesn't tell you much, now...Maybe when the IRAN talks fail...hopefully...then oil can get a bigger pop.

  • Reply to

    Bottom Call guess is $7.32/share

    by equityonerealty Mar 25, 2015 11:48 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 25, 2015 4:30 PM Flag

    ...will happen when IRAN abandons their nuke prgm...and melts down all it's centrifuges...yep (death to who?)
    (probably similar odds...of those 2 events happening)

  • h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 23, 2015 1:45 PM Flag

    I read the other day that 14 analysts had a consensus avg price target of $14.10...and Global Hunter had a target of $13 ...but $15 sounds nice...was happy to have had the luck of picking up shares at $9.75 ON THE LATE DAY DIP...I get the idea some large entity wanted to drive the shares under $10 on expiration of option's day?...who knows...but if 'he' had to borrow shares to sell em'...to drive it down, well, that's even more shares to buy back / cover, later...But I have money spread all over the place...Hot ones recently have been the real dogs I just got for portfolio - SDRL / PBR / RIG...and some other beaten down dogs ! (But the LTS-A preferred stock is my biggest "cash flow" holding...paying 8.3% yield...pays monthly...nice...if you can get it at / under $24...with a limit order)

  • Reply to

    Whisper of possible bankruptcy this weekend

    by handsomemanmark Mar 20, 2015 8:12 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 22, 2015 1:52 PM Flag

    now now...we must be respectful...shines a poor light on your parents...Can't make a dime, cussing...right?...be a sweetie

  • Reply to

    Whisper of possible bankruptcy this weekend

    by handsomemanmark Mar 20, 2015 8:12 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 22, 2015 1:50 PM Flag

    hahaha...you must be hearing voices (whispering to yourself)?...if you covered some of your shorts, you could get some sleep...but you know I've been a very respectful guy in here - and I hope you made a ton of money....and good luck in your future investments....(but NO...there's absolutely no chance of a BK....zippo...it's so far removed from reality, it's actually funny...HAVE A GOOD DAY)

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