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TORM A/S Message Board

h5n1eric 180 posts  |  Last Activity: Mar 2, 2015 3:42 PM Member since: Jan 15, 2009
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  • Reply to

    Bottom in?

    by julson73 Mar 2, 2015 3:11 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 2, 2015 3:42 PM Flag

    ps - As an aside, if investors in here were 'playing the rig stocks' for dividends / cash flow...I'd recommend LTS-PA...pays around 8.3% yield...pays dividends monthly...sells a buck below par. I like it...I own some....good cash flows ...fixed dilution fears....little volatility. Use limit orders only...anything below 24.00 is decent...good luck.

  • Reply to

    Bottom in?

    by julson73 Mar 2, 2015 3:11 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Mar 2, 2015 3:29 PM Flag

    grabbed a tad today at 23.62...very small amt.....will add to it if I get a 10% drop from that price...I waited for the divvy cut...finally came...No, I do not know where the bottom is...and I HATE this sector...reminds me of the shipping stocks...but I am happy for the divvy cut the cash....probably a 3-5 yr play...who knows?

  • Reply to

    What are the different between PBR and PBRA?

    by dhcabinetry Feb 4, 2015 1:58 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Feb 27, 2015 7:25 PM Flag

    (from awhile back...divys may not be paid right now?...but here's the diff...)
    PBR is common stock (PETR3). Options are available for trading.
    PBR-A is preferred (mis-named) stock (PETR4). No voting rights; but dissimilar to US preferred.

    Preferred shares shall have priority in case of capital reimbursement and in the distribution of the 5% (five percent) minimum dividend, calculated on the part of the capital represented by such kind of shares, or 3% (three percent) of the net value of the share, always with the greater prevailing, with a participation equal to the common shares in corporate capital increases deriving from the incorporation of reserves and profits.

    Preferred shares shall participate non-cumulatively on equal conditions with the common shares in the distribution of dividends whenever the latter are greater than the minimum percentage as guaranteed to them in the preceding paragraph.

    According to Brazilian law, the dividend for the non-controlling share has to be at least 10% more than the controlling share (pbr with right to vote or The reason for this is to stimulate the minority investor to pick higher returns instead of the voting rights for a company.

  • Reply to

    new to CHK

    by rrt498 Feb 26, 2015 5:46 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Feb 27, 2015 1:44 PM Flag

    got some at 16.70 today...just a tad...I will generally cost avg any stocks I buy, if they drop 10% more...I've bought MSFT / GLP / PBRA recently...doing pretty well...But my main holding is LTS-A preferred, paying an 8.3% yield / pays out monthly...quite stable on price...buck below par.....and 66% currently in CASH.

  • ...are now the offshore rigs of 2015...The shippers, given the high Baltic Dry Rates back in 2008, ordered many more ships - and then the recession hit...Too many ships...the day rates plummeted...the Baltic Dry Rate plunged to a 30 yr low...Now, too many "rigs" have been ordered...and the day rates are dropping...and they have to retire more rigs in the next few years than they have in the last 15 years....Once I saw the parallels, well, it looked a lot like a value trap...with dividends being cut, etc...I'm not saying the rig stocks cannot reach a level AND THEN SIT THERE...but I suspect the dividends will be meager...and I get the idea many got into these stocks looking for dividends (mostly)...the hunt for yield try going for some LTS-A preferred stock...8.4% yield...pays out monthly...FIXED PAYOUT / won't be cut....It's a very decent one, that I've been happy to own, if you desire quite secure "cash flows"...and sells for a buck under par now....anything under 24 is decent....GOOD LUCK THO...I hope the rig stocks pop and give you some nice gains, but the parallels with the "shippers" is...well, identical....and shipping stocks have stunk for 6 years !!

  • Reply to


    by harborcityinvestments Feb 19, 2015 12:14 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Feb 25, 2015 8:26 PM Flag

    Try adding some LTS-A preferred.....pays monthly...non-reit...around 8.4% yield that one

  • Reply to

    Restore Dividends NOW....

    by mycroftt2 Feb 25, 2015 2:39 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Feb 25, 2015 8:17 PM Flag

    If you (and many others) desire dividends to supplement "cash flows" in retirement, I suggest LTS-A ...Paying around 8.4% or so, per yr....FIXED PAYOUTS (not subject to reduction/cuts)...pays the dividend monthly....and no dilution fears, ala common. Yes, thee are other stocks like mortgage reits, etc etc that can pay a bit more...but with more downside risk.... You go with LTS-A and just enjoy the monthly cash flows....(ps. only use limit orders)...should be able to get some a tad under $24...

  • h5n1eric h5n1eric Feb 8, 2015 2:18 PM Flag

    It's looking like some sort of deal will come about that'll allow companies to bring back cash, sitting overseas...and pay less tax on it...So, Microsoft has a huge amount of cash - if brought back, I'd definitely assume a large dividend hike...or at least a one-time giveback to shareholders...bonus dividend.
    "Microsoft holds $92.9 billion of earnings in accounts outside of the United States, saving the company almost $30 billion in taxes."...I'd at least look for MSFT to "fill the gap" up around $47, hold on...coming soon.

  • Well, it got hit on the dollar strength...dropped from around $47-48...down to around $41...and I do like "cheaper"...Now , if the dollar continues to rise against the Euro, etc...then , yes, it can continue to be impacted (and basically, that's where 'cost averaging' may come in)...So, those are the any future recession ...but that's all stocks.

    The pluses : sells for around 16 times forward earnings...about avg, in an 'avg market'....SP right now has a "19". The dividend currently paid is at 3% ...

    The one year "dividend growth rate" is 10.7% ...and the 5 year 'dividend growth rate' at, take the 10.7, to be conservative and that would raise the yield to 6% in 7 YEARS...decent.

    *** the wild card.... They have tons of cash sitting overseas, and if any tax reform gets passed to where they bring back that money (and lots of it)...I'd expect them to "give" some of that back to shareholders in the form of a bigger dividend hike....and also some stock buyback plans?...

    But I'd rather have the divvy hike...and that would PUSH the stock price higher, as the yield would be boosted.

    so, net net...I'd say it's decent...The chartists pointed out a double megaphone top at $47-48...and said that it could drop back to the $32-35 area...oh, call it 20% further drop - but you never know...I'd say the dividend tugs the stock the other way...But I'd look to add shares if it did go to the $32-35 range...the yield would then be around 3.6%...and with the 'dividend growth rate' (low number)...would push the yield to 7.2% in 7 years.

    oh, one, last, very important thing....The "payout ratio" (i.e. their 'cover' of the dividend out of cash flows) 50% ...That is VERY DECENT...Basically means the dividend is very secure...and even in tough times, they'd probably not have to consider lowering the dividend...and would probably continue with the decent 'dividend growth rates', going foreward. That MAY BE THE REAL TIPPING

  • Reply to

    poor najarian

    by lrking1 Feb 2, 2015 4:47 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Feb 2, 2015 4:52 PM Flag

    agreed...flipping a coin or darts would be decent...I just don't rely on those talking heads on TV...Probably the only person I read / follow would be JEFF GUNDLACH.

  • Reply to

    This should be not more than 45-48 at all

    by checking_here Jan 28, 2015 9:56 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Jan 30, 2015 4:34 PM Flag

    or...'he' may be looking for a divy cut?

  • Reply to

    This should be not more than 45-48 at all

    by checking_here Jan 28, 2015 9:56 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Jan 30, 2015 4:34 PM Flag

    yeah...There's Keynesian economics...Austrian economics...and Federal Reserve economics (aka WEIMAR economics...print print print)

  • Reply to

    This should be not more than 45-48 at all

    by checking_here Jan 28, 2015 9:56 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Jan 30, 2015 4:31 PM Flag

    Hmmm...I put in a good-til-cancelled bid at $55...or was it $50?....anywayyyy...and one for JOY at $25 ...and FCX at $12 (that might be too they are only 'initial position/small' buys, if they get there...Also some orders for CVX / XOM / OXY / COP ...but much lower than where they are now...I just wanna keep em' on my computer....We'll see if that recession finally comes..

  • Reply to

    Going to $30's in January

    by btubandit Dec 22, 2014 10:50 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Jan 30, 2015 4:26 PM Flag

    I put a 'good-til-cancelled' order in, at $25...uh huh...oh, in case of a nice recession...I believe I also put one around $55 for CAT (?)...and also put some pretty 'low ball' orders in for CVX / XOM / OXY / COP ...So low, people would laugh....but they sit there to remind me to watch things (I've got 60% in cash...finished month, up 1.9%...SP down 3.1% for, ain't bad....This year's theme may be Ben Franklin's - "to save a penny is to make a penny"... I LIKE DRY POWDER)

  • Reply to

    Letter From a veteran's Mother

    by dowjones1234 Jan 28, 2015 2:25 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Jan 28, 2015 4:34 PM Flag

    yes mam...I was making $1.25 / hour, at McD , when I was in high school...years ago...and I was happy with that...Just some spending money...a bit of free food....and something to put on future job applications - i.e. that I was a good worker and did my best (busted #$%$ and eventually became a Chemist...years and years of study / it ain't easy !...Those burger jobs are either for "kids" or for a 2nd wage earner in a family - never meant to be a job for the breadwinner...(and last I checked, they don't keep the doors locked, so you're FREE TO LEAVE if you feel 'violated' @!...Go see if Al Sharpton can give you a job...yeah, ask him ! gooooooo
    (my son will be going into the AF as a Lt., this summer ... dad - retired Colonel that dodged bullets in WW2 / knee) But I try to be particularly nice to those in the service, whenever I come across them, in San Diego....esp. the Seals !

  • Reply to

    Preferred Shares

    by mizesaw Jan 24, 2015 10:02 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Jan 27, 2015 8:39 PM Flag

    agreed....With preferreds, you don't have dilution fears or cuts to payouts...I do have RSO-C...has been stronger, right after the x date a month ago...Was sorta weird...but I'll take the divvy and the appreciation off those lows....And today, I opted to get back into LTS-A ...Was fun buying it cheaply, awhile back, when the company was issuing new shares - was a great discount/gift...After that, it took off to $25, and I sold it off...But now, it appears they may be bleeding some more shares 'off the shelf...pretty high volumes...The stock is now around $24 ...seems stuck around there, for now...paying about 8.3%....with monthly payouts...So, that's one I've decided to get back into with some cash I have....good luck

  • h5n1eric h5n1eric Jan 27, 2015 12:49 PM Flag

    Well, I never owed the common...but I did have some preferreds, which I sold off on the big run to $25...but now I see it's around $24....looks like maybe the company was/is bleeding some more, off the shelf...(as they did last time, to give me a real bargain)...Soooo...yeah, buying the preferreds back at a 4% discount to my sale price, earlier - love the cash flows....GOOD LUCK to the common holders as well.

  • Reply to

    on Jan. 14th the stock was 87 now 91

    by chart2001 Jan 23, 2015 3:53 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Jan 25, 2015 10:58 PM Flag

    when it gets to $70...I may be interested (to begin cost avg'ing)...not being's just my price point, given crude prices / strong dollar...and I expect oil prices to remain lower for longer...Same with CVX...gotta come down 20-25% more...for my taste anyway....and FCX to $10 ...and BHP? Maybe $35...but even that may be too high, if commodities keep collapsing....China is "gone".

  • Reply to

    Under water

    by pilingon007 Jan 23, 2015 8:55 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Jan 25, 2015 10:52 PM Flag

    when it hits $10 or so...maybe I'll get interested

  • Reply to

    State of the Union Speech

    by dowjones1234 Jan 18, 2015 9:19 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Jan 25, 2015 10:49 PM Flag

    I was thinking about getting a piece of paper and marking down all the "I's ...but then I remembered I always change the channel when his face appears...Hey, personally, he's fine, I'd's the other 99.9% that I have issues with...I MISS REAGAN....I THINK ROMNEY WOULD HAVE BEEN GREAT...WHATEVER...But for me, that last election was a turning point...the idiots outnumber us....and it'll only get worse, perhaps...BUT GOOD LUCK TO CVX LONGS...I'll not post again...(yeah, I hate politics too...but could not resist...sorry)

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