"As previously announced, WPX plans to drill a total of four horizontal Niobrara wells in 2013. The drilling plan is designed to prove up ADJACENT acreage and test the repeatability of the play on ADDITIONAL acreage the company owns."
It's quite clear to me at this point that WPX Energy is Dejour's partner at Roan Creek. And WPX Energy's press release today followed by Dejour directly linking the press release on tis facebook page pretty well spells this out.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
First, a review of this particular line in the release:
"Dejour is now modeling Kokopelli for the next wave of development targeted for Q4 2013."
The series of releases from the company on its Kokopelli drilling program this spring have consistently and affirmatively detailed "ample gas shows, as expected." Translation = It's reasonable for shareholders to assume that production from the four-well program will be in line with management's "expectations." Basically, production from the four-well program is comparable to neighboring Bill Barrett (BBG) and WPX Energy (WPX) [I am not referring to WPX's "horizontal" well).
Furthermore, as we all know, the current, private drilling partner (fund) has the first right of refusal on the second drilling program at Kokopelli. Now, today, Dejour management has given a time frame and a clear indication of its plans to move forward with additional Kokopelli development later in 2013. From this we can deduce this much: The current drilling partner, also obviously aware of the progress of the current drilling program, has already likely told Dejour that it will commit to a second drilling program at Kokopelli. With this, there are two items of interest. #1, Dejour will have more favorable terms with which to negotiate the second drilling program. And #2, due to the WPX Mancos discovery well nearby, we know Dejour ABSOLUTELY wants to drill a horizontal (Mancos) at Kokopelli because of the tremendous economies of scale/total return and the incredible bump its overall proven, developed reserves could potentially receive if successful. So, the question is will the second drilling program at Kokopelli involve a horizontal or will it involve another multi-well vertical program, or perhaps both?
With at least one HZ drilled at Roan Creek over the next 12-15 months and should the company drill one at Kokopelli, if successful, and if at a fraction of the WPX discovery HZ, these two plays alone could be a game-changer for DEJ
Sentiment: Strong Buy
I voted FOR. It's a lot easier to move the needle (stock price) with 30 million shares versus 150 million once several upcoming catalysts fall into place.
The company's proven developed reserves should expand substantially in the next 12-18 months . Dejour will have a horizontal at Roan Creek within the next 12-15 months and I expect a JV for a horizontal at Kokopelli in that timeframe as well. While we wait, increased production at Woodrush and the added revenue stream from the four-well program at Kokopelli will - finalliy - provide a healthier bottom line/balance sheet.
Some interesting opportunities for the company should arise in the second half of 2014.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
You, sir, are an idiot. You have no clue what you are talking about. And your presence on this board is a going concern.
Please retire or expire, whichever comes first.
Thank you and Happy Easter.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
zoom_bee ... btw, always enjoy your insight.
I've still got a decent-sized stake in SSN. I'm perfectly fine holding another 1-2 years if necessary. Just wanted your take on something. What do you feel is realistic for the company in another 12-24 months in terms of BOEPD numbers and or stock price?
Thanks.
First, let me say I find it a little odd that both Mississippi and Florida wait until the 11th hour, some three years after the spill, to file suit against BP. If you're incredibly concerned about recovering damages for and on the behalf of the people of Mississippi and Florida, why on earth would you wait three years later to file a suit for which you are trying to recover damages?
Secondly, any time a company is hit with a lawsuit, particularly by a state, I'd hardly call it a non-event. So surely there will be some additional settlement money awarded here.
I've taken a position in BP this spring largely because of the outstanding dividend and the belief that the worst was behind the company. My question to other BP investors is, what's the level of confidence that the dividend will remain in good shape (uncut) going through all this (multiple phases of the trial and subsequent additional settlements)?
Thanks
As a dividend income investor, I - for one - hope that Kimberly Clark is never bought out. I just took a position in KMB the day after Warren Buffett bought Heinz. I sold my Heinz stake to get into KMB. I am in KMB for the long-run and like a lot of other dividiend income investors, I am looking to build up years of compounded interest. That's not possible obviously if the company is bought out. I hope that's not he case and KMB is a stand-alone company for decades to come.
This is an extremely predictable company with a compelling dividend, sufficient, sustainable cash flow and I'm glad I took a position here.
Just venting. :-)
Sentiment: Buy
He sure did It is very clear he believes Ron Johnson should be terminated. I was surprised he spoke so freely. Sounded like he doesn't even think there's any other alternative but to fire Johnson.
Personally I'd just prefer the dividend. I'm willing to bet if you polled most investors, they'd prefer a dividend as well. The stock price will already appreciate over time as the company's balance sheet continues to improve. A dividend is hard-boiled cash in our pockets. There's no hiding or funky math or aggressive accounting involved. Either you're shoveling cash or you're not. Though earnings do drive stocks higher, stocks also fluctuate from time to time because of events/macro issues that have nothing to do with the performance of the company. A dividend is much more appreciated by the majority than buybacks, IMHO. And it also provides a floor under the stock price. Personally, the ONLY reason I own BP is for its dividend. I just took a position actually.
Just my two cents.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
luvesmie ... thanks for this insight. This certainly sheds light into their decision. And I watched a youtube interview with CEO Robert Dudley last night (although one over a year old) where he spoke about the dividend and returning cash to shareholders.
I just took a position in BP this month.
Couple of questions, if I may.
1. Have you been a longtime BP investor?
2. I own shares in ConocoPhillips. It's my largest energy holding. And it's of great comfort to me when I hear their CEO state that "the dividend is our No. 1 priority." In BP's situation, I understand it cannot be the paramount priority, however what I'd like to know, in your opinion, is do you think paying a consistent, compelling and in most years a growing dividend is a priority - a big one - for BP's management?
I have been tracking BP for several months and just felt like this was a good time to get in, so earlier this week I finally took a position. I may buy more in a few weeks. But I got in largely because of the dividend.
Thanks and again I appreciate the insight and perspective.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
While I will not rule out any material developments at North or South Rangely for 2013, it would surprise me to see any further movement with either play in 2013. Possible, but unlikely.
I think management will do everything in its power at this point to prove up its acreage at Roan Creek and Kokopelli via a horizontal, which has to happen by way of a JV. I think a HZ at Kokopelli and Roan Creek (which will be done anyway due to the farmout with WPX Energy) over the next 12 months is far more likely than any further drilling action at North Rangely or South Rangely.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
People do get second chances in life. Just wondering if maybe the mastermind behind HealthSouth would get a second chance.
This would raise the annual dividend to $2.64 per share. I think this is realistic.
I'm trying to further diversify a little and I'm thinking about taking a position in Pfizer. For the longs here, how committed is management to the dividend and growing it? I know there was a cut several years ago, but from what I can tell the vast majority of the last several decades the history of distribution and increased dividends looks strong.
Thanks.
Thank you for the response and insight. Really appreciate it.
I am thinking about taking a position in BP. I will say up front I am a dividend investor and that's basically the sole reason I'm looking at BP. COP is my biggest position in energy, but I'm looking to diversify a little.
Do you feel BP is a company that long-term 10-15+ years out will still be paying a compelling dividend? Is it something that's important to management?
Thanks in advance.
I'm with you stcdegree2003 and gldhwk. I actually increased my position in KMB in February after Buffett bought Heinz, which I had a stake in.
Personally, I think Clorox would be higher on Buffett's list than KMB. I also think General Mills and Kraft would be higher on his list as well. As KMB's market cap pushes above 40B this year, my guess is that it would become more unlikely for Buffett.
Just sent you an email.
At this point, it's hard to see how Kimberly-Clark does not split either this year or 2014. KMB is on a roll!
I know some on this board have said current management isn't fired up about splitting the stock, but at the stock's current rate of appreciation, I think it's reasonable that at some point later this year or in 2014 that management would have to give strong consideration towards a split. Surely they're not going to let this thing push above $120+.