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Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan, Inc. Message Board

hebonix04 21 posts  |  Last Activity: 17 hours ago Member since: Feb 20, 2004
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  • hebonix04 hebonix04 Dec 11, 2014 1:38 PM Flag

    Have you read your posts aloud??

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • hebonix04 by hebonix04 Dec 12, 2014 2:45 PM Flag

    Keep a clear head when reading these boards. There are a lot of people here that just stuff to aid their own agendas without actually discussing SSH as a company or the merits of C-Pulse as a therapy. Remember why you Invested in the company to begin with. To my knowledge, nothing has fundamentally changed in the past few weeks to get stock down so much, but again, remember that this is a company without meaningful revenues and no profits, and not commercial products. This stock will be moved easily by folks that trading it. As an Investor, I try to ignore the short term price gyrations(although it is really tough sometimes) and keep focused on the real goals.

    Big catalysts coming up:

    FDA Interim analysis - If this is granted, SSH will NOT need any additional capital to finish enrollments for the C-Pulse trial. I would elaborate more on the data points used in my model, but it would take a while and not suitable for a BB discussion. If it is not granted, worst case scenario, the company goes to market for $20mm, assuming a $4 stock price, that is 5 million additional shares issued. Is that significant dilution? Yes, it is, but not really....The company only has 20million outstanding shares on a fully diluted basis.

    Q4 Enrollments - Rosa really put a damper on things during the call by saying that that we should not expect great enrollment figures for Q4. If SSH can manage double digit enrollments, it will be a huge positive and sets them up for Q1 2015 - The year when enrollments do kick into high gear.

    Remember...This is a HIGHLY Speculative play, but it could pay off handsomely. In all the Research that I have done, I have not found any competing medical device that at least to this point in the data that we have has worked as well.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    SSH Holders

    by hebonix04 Dec 12, 2014 2:45 PM
    hebonix04 hebonix04 Dec 12, 2014 3:12 PM Flag

    I don't believe that I am having a "problem". Sure, there is going to be competition down the line from Drugs, but the market for the different classes of HF is enormous. There will not be just one treatment, all we can ask for is that SSH gets a place in Physicians repertoire of available treatments.

    As you purport to be well informed on these drugs, you should also know that the success rate of these drugs is not guaranteed, even for something like LCZ696 - which I happen to think will be a good drug for this terrible disease.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • hebonix04 hebonix04 Dec 16, 2014 12:39 PM Flag

    I am also adding at these levels. Have not been filled on anything yet however.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Dissappointed With Such A Weak Announcement

    by bigsmartsta Jan 8, 2015 9:30 AM
    hebonix04 hebonix04 Jan 8, 2015 9:52 AM Flag

    If you are so displeased, why not sell the stock if DO OWN it and move on?

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Dissappointed With Such A Weak Announcement

    by bigsmartsta Jan 8, 2015 9:30 AM
    hebonix04 hebonix04 Jan 8, 2015 10:22 AM Flag

    Man up, or girl up...whatever you are. To me, you are just a pumper and dumper...nothing else.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • hebonix04 hebonix04 Jan 9, 2015 12:21 PM Flag

    Which "technical" are you looking at? Just curious to see how you are applying technical analysis to a stock with meager volume, no sales, completely event dependent...e.g. enrollment figures, FDA interim analysis, German reimbursement, etc....or are you just LONG now and back to PUMPER mode?

    Sentiment: Buy

  • hebonix04 by hebonix04 Feb 19, 2015 9:47 AM Flag

    Did anyone else read the 8-K filing? Why would SSH announce this loan if they have not heard back from FDA?? If you look at the second clause below, it clearly states that the 6mm is subject to the FDA granting interim analysis....thoughts?

    Pursuant to the Loan Agreement, the Bank agreed to make loans to the Company in an aggregate principal amount of up to $10.0 million, comprised of: (i) a $6.0 million term loan, funded at the closing (the "Term A Loan"); (ii) subject to the achievement of a specified regulatory milestone that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has granted interim analysis of the Company's "C-Pulse Heart Assist System" product for the treatment of heart failure.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Interim Analysis

    by hebonix04 Feb 19, 2015 9:47 AM
    hebonix04 hebonix04 Feb 19, 2015 2:58 PM Flag

    It is very surprising to see that. Also, the second 2mm loan piece is only valid provided that SSH achieves over 100 enrollments by June 30, 2015...this leads you to believe that SSH or Rosa sees enrollments in the in 25-40 range in each of Q1 and Q2 2015.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Interim Analysis

    by hebonix04 Feb 19, 2015 9:47 AM
    hebonix04 hebonix04 Feb 19, 2015 3:16 PM Flag

    You are correct! I just re-read the 8-K and what you are saying above is correct.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • hebonix04 hebonix04 Feb 20, 2015 10:12 AM Flag

    Reason 1 - MTD is not a Bank, nor a Venture capital firm and most importantly SSH would not approach them unless they were willing to part ways with equity.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Important Parts Of Bank Agreement

    by bigsmartsta Feb 20, 2015 11:43 AM
    hebonix04 hebonix04 Feb 20, 2015 12:41 PM Flag

    Bigs - You finally post something that is pertinent and interesting. Does that mean that in addition to cash payments, the Bank will get warrants in the amount of $600k or approximately 115k shares at current prices? Not a bad price to pay given the current economics of SSH, e.g. no material revenues. A win in my book.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • hebonix04 by hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 8:44 AM Flag

    Now that the Interim Analysis ruling by the FDA has come to pass, the Counter HF study has a very good chance to be completed by end of year. In my model, they will be done with the 194 enrollments by early Q4 2015. One thing that worries me is the pace of activated sites. SSH has not updated the FDA clinical studies website since Sept 2014. Dilution issues have gone away now in my opinion as the now $8mm available provides plenty of cushion to see the C-Pulse trial through. I fully expect the 3rd tranche of $2mm to be made available to SSH once it reaches 100 enrollments by June 30, 2015.

    What I am most interested on now with respect to this company aside from the enrollment figures for the Counter HF study is, what was the outcome of the conversations between SSH and the FDA about the fully implantable version of C-Pulse that took place in early January 2015?

    -C-Pulse Counter HF completion
    -Fully Implantable C-Pulse news - This will be the product that if successful will make this company and its share holders at ton of money.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    SSH - Catalysts

    by hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 8:44 AM
    hebonix04 hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 9:06 AM Flag

    What is so hilarious? Care to elaborate?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    SSH - Catalysts

    by hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 8:44 AM
    hebonix04 hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 9:39 AM Flag

    Going off on tangents is not elaborating on your initial comments to me. I am not insulting you nor do I plan doing so. I am curious as what you found so "hilarious"?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    SSH - Catalysts

    by hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 8:44 AM
    hebonix04 hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 9:59 AM Flag

    I am trying really hard to see what you consider as "reason". Next time you decide to just throw one liners to get a reaction, you better come with facts and sound arguments, otherwise you may run against someone like me, who knows what they are talking about and is more than willing to engage you in a debate of ideas which from the looks of it you cannot carry out.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • hebonix04 hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 10:16 AM Flag

    For someone who claims to have plenty of money and education and feels the need to put other down, you certainly have the writing skills of a six year old.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • hebonix04 hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 10:23 AM Flag

    Is this board reserved for Cardiologists, those who know a Cardiologist or those who have had a conversation with a Cardiologist only?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    SSH - Catalysts

    by hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 8:44 AM
    hebonix04 hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 10:37 AM Flag

    To give you a brief overview:

    The assumptions used take into account the fact that sites that HAVE enrolled a patient are more likely to enroll more patients going forward. As of EOY, 14 of the 21 activated sites had enrolled at least one patient. If you apply a .5 patient per month variable to the 14 sites, you get 21 new enrollees. However, since there are 7 other sites that had not yet enrolled any patients, that may or may not enroll any patients, we can say assume that half of those sites will enroll their first patient, you get another 3, that puts you at 24 for Q1, 2014. That is using conservative assumptions and without knowing about any other site activations during Q1, since SSH has not published that data. My model also accounts for cash burn, cash in hand, potential revenues in the form of reimbursements and company expenses associated with enrollments. If you would like any more color, you will just need to ask.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    SSH - Catalysts

    by hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 8:44 AM
    hebonix04 hebonix04 Feb 26, 2015 10:56 AM Flag

    First off, you have no clue who I am and what my investment experience is. Suffice it to say, I was not born yesterday nor is this my first investment. I am fully aware of all the risks involved and the market is pricing that in. This is a fully speculative investment with no guarantees. The overview given was meant to provide some color as to how I arrived at my enrollments figures.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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