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Towers Watson & Co. Message Board

heezdedjim_2002 22 posts  |  Last Activity: 15 hours ago Member since: Jul 12, 2000
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  • Reply to

    Earnings estimate for 2015

    by theeckman1 Jul 30, 2015 4:54 PM
    heezdedjim_2002 heezdedjim_2002 15 hours ago Flag

    This stock can't afford any more upward revisions for 2015 EPS. The share-price could collapse.

  • …..up from .39 last year. $6.62 to $7.73 worn out since May. Never seen anything like this stock. Earnings and the Chart are screaming BREAKOUT and it collapses.

  • heezdedjim_2002 by heezdedjim_2002 Jul 27, 2015 4:05 PM Flag

    …..good thing this dog didn't MISS by .04 huh?

  • heezdedjim_2002 by heezdedjim_2002 Jul 24, 2015 9:55 AM Flag

    If this is the action on beating estimates I guess it's a good thing they didn't MISS by .04. Helluva payoff for those who gambled holding thru earnings and were 'right'. Miss on earnings and get cut in 1/2, beat estimates and what? Just lose 4%? #$%$.

  • heezdedjim_2002 by heezdedjim_2002 Jul 24, 2015 9:36 AM Flag

    This is one stubborn stock. Looks like it has every reason, technical, fundamental and sector to BREAKOUT but it just refuses to threaten $8. End of July vs. YE EPS looks like you could make a good argument for $9 easy. Don't get it.

  • Reply to

    Revisions are up!!

    by nadullah62 Jul 24, 2015 7:13 AM
    heezdedjim_2002 heezdedjim_2002 Jul 24, 2015 9:13 AM Flag

    Only a few shares bought. I'm disappointed the upside volume reaction wasn't more severe with that kind of surprise.

  • Reply to

    Baltic Clean Tanker Index

    by mk4872987 Jul 20, 2015 10:19 AM
    heezdedjim_2002 heezdedjim_2002 Jul 22, 2015 9:36 AM Flag

    Dunno about earnings but TNK is poised to Breakout again. 3rd test of resistance at $7.73 and I always say 3rd time is usually the Charm. TNK really is one stubborn stock though, all things especially it's EPS Estimates considered.

    BREAKOUT WATCH for possible breakout above 7.88, no resistance in area just above.
    Type: True breakout from triple resistance.
    Target: 8.64, 13.4%

  • heezdedjim_2002 heezdedjim_2002 Jul 17, 2015 9:46 AM Flag

    $1.36 EPS for the year? Just a measly 7 multiple gives you $9.52. Yet this stock's chart is as much a threat to collapse as it is to run.

  • heezdedjim_2002 heezdedjim_2002 Jul 17, 2015 8:55 AM Flag

    I'm sure those August $10's are cheap. $10 in 4 weeks is a helluva bet. Hope you get paid big time.

  • Reply to

    TNK to BREAKOUT to new high

    by money_ln_bank Jul 14, 2015 10:11 AM
    heezdedjim_2002 heezdedjim_2002 Jul 15, 2015 12:45 PM Flag

    Gap to fill at $7.37. See how it closes today and on what volume. But if today sees HOD close or even close on above-average trade, I'd say at least $7.37 is a good bet on this move.

    If it closes back under the 50-day, Fughedaboudit, as they say.

  • heezdedjim_2002 by heezdedjim_2002 Jun 29, 2015 9:30 PM Flag

    Not a good day to be holding anything associated with greece.

  • heezdedjim_2002 by heezdedjim_2002 Jun 28, 2015 10:07 AM Flag

    Gaps tend to fill and there's one at $7.38 now after Thursday's open. It didn't fill Friday and I'm glad because if it had I'd be betting TNK was heading lower after seeing where it closed. If this stock heads lower below $6.50 on volume without filling that gap, it means that there some pretty significant negative fundamental responsible for it. Something that would be self-explanatory come 2Q Earnings.

    This week, maybe as early as tomorrow, is going to be interesting either way. Interesting exciting, or interesting like a kick in the balls. Because this chart has to reconcile one way or another, soon.

  • Reply to

    Correct numbers

    by kosmiccharly Jun 26, 2015 8:44 PM
    heezdedjim_2002 heezdedjim_2002 Jun 28, 2015 10:00 AM Flag

    Only 2 possibilities: either those #'s are correct and this stock is being played now before it BREAKS OUT thru $7.75 on it's way to double-digits; or, Q2 is not going to show that same growth and TNK is in fact on it's way back down lower past $6.50.

    $6.86 is the 50-day average and I was very glad to see TNK close above it on Friday. But this stock is literally at an inflection point right now. $6.93 is either a floor or a ceiling for the next 3 to 6 months.

  • Reply to

    Any

    by theeckman1 Jun 25, 2015 10:04 AM
    heezdedjim_2002 heezdedjim_2002 Jun 26, 2015 11:03 AM Flag

    Hate seeing Dilution announcements and SELL Ratings come out just when a stock is threatening Technical BREAKOUT. Co-incidence my aszs.

  • Reply to

    Downgrade??

    by mk4872987 Jun 25, 2015 7:36 PM
    heezdedjim_2002 heezdedjim_2002 Jun 26, 2015 10:57 AM Flag

    Many would think your scenario is far-fetched but that's exactly how these basters work. No way to prove it but if this does BREAKOUT through $7.73 now on volume this UBS downgrade was literally criminal imo.

  • Reply to

    Any

    by theeckman1 Jun 25, 2015 10:04 AM
    heezdedjim_2002 heezdedjim_2002 Jun 25, 2015 10:19 AM Flag

    I smell a rat. How often do these rat-basterds downgrade to SELL? Rarely.

    TNK spent 6 months setting up a base to threaten and ultimately breakout through resistance at $6.95. After doing so it saw multi-million shares of buying. All of it erased on one downgrade by these clowns and a single million shares in a 1/2 hour of trading. $6.86 is the 50-day moving average. Looks more like to me a player at UBS saw a stock he could walk.

  • heezdedjim_2002 by heezdedjim_2002 Jun 23, 2015 8:13 AM Flag

    TNK looks ready to pop to me, like it's 9 1/2 months pregnant. That's why I'm long. I was surprised it didn't break higher yesterday with all that market momentum. I guess it could retest $7.37 again too. But the BUY volume of May and so far this month in June has dwarfed the selling. And the question then would be 'what now?' $8.40 at least looks imminent imo. First $7.91 has to give on volume. Then we'll see where it goes. At that point imo $9+ wouldn't be out of the question.

  • Reply to

    Average Estimated EPS 2015….

    by heezdedjim_2002 Jun 19, 2015 12:30 PM
    heezdedjim_2002 heezdedjim_2002 Jun 19, 2015 4:20 PM Flag

    charley good for you. I once turned approx $60,000 into $1,000,000 by buying and holding the right stock over 3 years. Unfortunately for me, the 4th year was 2008.

    As for this stock, something has to give. Either the analysts EPS estimates have to come down. Or the stock has to move up. It's June 19th. 6 months until EOY. And stock are typically LEADING indicators. So it doesn't have to happen Monday, or even in July. But whether it's EPS estimates or TNK, something has to move soon,

  • heezdedjim_2002 by heezdedjim_2002 Jun 19, 2015 12:30 PM Flag

    …..is $1.17 by the 7 analysts covering this year's earnings estimates. With current EPS at .74, that's 50% earnings growth over the next 2 Q's to get close to $1.17. That should warrant at least a15 multiple no? .74 x 15 equals $11.10. Even x just 12 is $8.88. If you want to use the YE consensus estimate of $1.17, or even just $1.00, x just the current 10 multiple gets you $10.00.

    It's hard to argue TNK is worth less than $7.50 right now and by the 3rd Q if analysts estimates are even close, less than $8.50/$9, if not a little more. imo.

  • heezdedjim_2002 by heezdedjim_2002 Jun 9, 2015 4:49 PM Flag

    The good news is that I think the only ones selling this stock right now is management.

    The bad news is that I think the only ones selling this stock right now is management.

    As long as they don't collapse it under $7 which is the former Resistance, now Support, it's all good.

TW
126.78+0.21(+0.17%)Jul 31 4:00 PMEDT