I share your thinking on momentum as a force in shaping the price of a stock.
So what if $5 in 3\2015 is wishful thinking.
Wishful thinking is...
What keeps us all fighting when the odds are against us.
What kept great explorers sailing on when evryone knew the edge of the flat earth was looming.
What i fall back on when my analysis fails me.
What i depend on far too often..
With no wish full thinking there would be no point in my getting out of bed at noon to hope for a less bad than usual day...
Keep up the wishful thinking...
Better to have happy delusions.