APT reported around the 6th of March last year, I believe. So, the report is not far away. I like the risk-reward scenario here. The buildings supply side has been growing wildly, yet very little effect on stock price yet. This quarter might be weaker due to the time of the year (weather), but that can be anticipated by us investors. As I read in seeking alpha piece recently, the infectious control products may do better due to the heightened flu experience this year, but I'm not sure whether the author will be right on this.....if so, it will help offset the (probably negative) time of year effect to the building supply side that has been the most significant element of revenue.
Regardless, spring is upon us and APT is cheap on a fundamental basis without earnings growth. With it, it's dirty cheap, IMO. Downside here is 1.60 or so, IMO, with really bad news.....probably little effect on price with so-so news......and huge potential upside if we get good news coupled with positive outlook remarks on continuing building supply growth. Management has previously stated (via earnings reports) additional markets are accessible for accelerated growth opportunity in the building supply end of business and also mentioned the operating leverage achieved recently with increasing sales in that arena on the same fixed cost infrastructure. In sum, I really like the possibilities for APT here. IMO, Hopeful
Well, friend, hopefully, it's got at least another leg up in it before earnings and it will end up paying off for you. It would be nice for the leg up (more)/cascade down (less) pattern of the past couple of months to continue for a time. In each prior up-move, you could note the volume returning, as it was sudden, seemingly out of the blue. All the best,
Shawn makes a worthy post. By posting a play by play by play, you make yourself look very foolish. When you post things like you did about IM's growth in Latin America, or pointing out that IFON's 1st quarter of fiscal 2013 was less than 8M in revenue and opened IFON to a potentially great YOY 1st quarter comparative in the follow-up quarter to the one about to be reported (the 4th).....those things are really good and worthy of posting and investor consideration, IMO. So, you show you can post good information from time to time. If you just stopped the chronic posting about adding and clubbing and what IFON is about to do in the next 10 minutes, etc., it would make your good posts be taken more seriously and help the board discussion, IMO. The chronic foolishness turns everyone away and perhaps detracts from some who might look at IFON more seriously.
Come on, get real. You can't have been following here long. It's been hashed and re-hashed and re-hashed on this board. Something "should NOT have been released" yet. This is the annual report and the SEC provides additional time for companies to complete audit. You show me just one company of the small size of IFON that has already reported it's FOURTH quarter if its fiscal year ends on December 31. You won't find one. Large companies will have reported because they are given less time by the SEC due to the size of their staff and due to the preferential (early) treatment given by auditing firms to their biggest clients.
However, IFON, and other small companies are given 90 days after the fourth fiscal quarter ends for the annual report to be filed (45 days for the other 3 quarters). So, don't expect IFON to report till somewhere between mid March till the end of March. I've followed IFON for years and I've never seen them report the 4th quarter (annual report) earlier than March 16.
Like another poster today, you must have come to IFON very late because if you got here a couple of months ago, you would be a mile up. IFON has performed in stellar fashion. If this is "waiting," boy, give me more of this waiting stuff. IMO.
Of course, there are other fib retracement levels, as you know, but I favor your opinion. IFON has attracted a following and it's not just going to disappear that easily, IMO. There are a lot of companies in this present market that have experienced momentum. Stocks like PLUG, where the gross margins are negative and the company is about to run out of resources in the next quarter, per the latest financial filing to the SEC, have attracted momentum crowds....the company has no fundamental substance, though, is my point. IFON on the other hand has a fundamental basis, including outlook to give reason for expecting fundamental improvement, for crowds to speculate over. Thus, it seems rational that many may continue to see IFON as an opportunity for now. JMO.
Well, you must have timed it just wrong. How can a stock run from .70 to 3.7 from December until now and be sitting in the 2.70s as I write and you lost a lot?? What did you do, buy for the first time at 3.70??....or have you been shorting it all along the way and got hurt that way. How can you lose as a long on a situation like this one unless you were buying high recently and selling on this pullback???
Yes, I am enjoying my bags of money that IFON has helped fill....along with a lot of others here whom I"m sure IFON has helped. Where have you been?....in a hole I'm quite sure since you were preaching to sell short back in the 1s....and every time it dropped like it is today, you came out of the hole to say sell, sell, sell.
Anyway, if you have read the board, I stated my target way in advance and achieved it....so, you will have to sulk that I got to sell shares attained well below a buck well into the 3s....and yes, I still have some shares but those I'm riding for free and they were also bought cheap. ....and how has your shorting gone along the way?? Has it filled your bags?? Based on your statements here, you need it to go your way bad....so enjoy the day.
I'm riding free shares here.....having sold well over half into the 3s at my target stated here weeks ago now. I was fortunate enough to realize that target so I didn't get greedy. I'm tempted to add a few trading shares here in the 2.70s, though. I rather think you are probably pretty close....JMO
The market cap clearly reflects more risk with IFON now than in quite some time....always the case after a large price rise. It is factoring in relative certainty of improved future earnings. Is this certain, though? Of course not, but this is the stock market and it's the job of investors to speculate as to future earnings and growth of the same. While there was a bit of a delayed response to the IM news back in December and some therefore have doubted the big price rise we've seen, you had a couple of factors in play, IMO which explain the delayed reaction. First, the market is less efficient with these low-float, off-radar companies than with large companies with regular awareness. Second, IFON was facing a deadline for potential delistment which probably gave some potential buyers pause.
Obviously, the second issue concerning delistment has been overcome. So, it remains to determine the impact of the IM distribution opportunity on IFON sales and earnings. Is $40M a big market cap if the opportunity is soon affirmed as large? Not, IMO. However, if the earnings impact turns out to ultimately be insignificant and/or very delayed in showing up in the results, we probably won't maintain this price level.
I think the upcoming earnings report is going to be more about whether Ram tells investors what they want to hear about the IM agreement than the particular numbers reported this time. Logically, the IM deal is not going to have an impact on the 4th quarter results. If Ram says little to nothing about the IM potential impact, that will not bode well. However, if he is notably optimistic, I imagine there will be significant potential upside from here, even if 4th quarter earnings are not very good.
That is not accurate.....just checked nasdaq which is an accurate source for AH trades. There were no AH trades today. Where did you see AH trades?
That's exactly what's going on, IMO. Potential buyers may be awaiting that moment too. One way or the other, shorts will probably be tripping over themselves to cover again when it starts. How many shares can they gather up from stop losses.....I wonder if it covers the shares they are having to sell short now?? If buying starts here, they are in deep stuff.
That's what I mean....you love them because you've done well with them. My opinion is that as you admonished shorts to be careful, and, conversely, I would be careful not to watch my profit evaporate on PLUG. The company has told everyone in its last filing that it will run out of money next quarter. So, you know whatever it does will not be favorable for shareholders because outside investors who would become the financiers know the score with the poor fundamentals there and are therefore in the stronger negotiating position.
With FCEL, it has already done financing (and was much stronger fundamentally than PLUG before the financing) and while people thought FCEL discounted the deal to the financiers too much, actually it reflected the strength of FCEL, IMO. You know the financier is going to get a sweeter deal than others.....it really was not that bad for FCEL shareholders, IMO. Anyway, I would be wary with PLUG given that some kind of news on financing there is likely since the second quarter is upon them. JMO, friend,
How can you love a company like PLUG?? You may love the stock price behavior, but how can you favor such a company? A negative gross margin means the service/product is more costly than what it's being sold for......like you buying an apples for buck apiece and then selling them for .50 each. If you have a negative GM, how are you ever possibly going to breakeven given that you lack a positive mark-up above cost to leave something to cover your other operating costs (selling and administrative)? I read in PLUG's 10Q that it has just enough capital to operate through part of its 2nd quarter.....that's only weeks away. Of course, I'm sure it's arranging some kind of financing.
FCEL is not in the dilemma that PLUG is in and is much cheaper on an apples to apples basis too.
They sure don't want to give it up. I think it's just going to make the up move that much more powerful whenever the 1.70 level is pierced for good. IMO.
looks to me like shorts trying to "gingerly" walk it down......of course, the upswings that have followed this kind of previous activity have been everything but "gingerly."
Yes, and shorts are likely the chief portion of this wall, IMO. While they form a wall now, they will likely become the chief buyer to push FCEL a lot higher as they are forced to cover at higher and higher prices. There are over 4 million shares traded with the bias clearly on the demand side today. What's a couple of hundred thousand shares to push aside? Yet, it appears that shorts have been trying to put up walls over recent days.....at 1.60....1.64....now 1.70. Collectively, this can spell some real rocket "fuel" for this "fuel" cell stock.
written all over it in short order, IMO. It's not the kind of stock, fundamentally, I like.....(trades above book, not profitable yet, etc.)....but I know enough of technicals to see that it is likely headed a lot higher soon. Additionally, PLUG is priced miles and miles higher on a relative basis and is much weaker fundamentally.....even has negative gross margins, meaning imminent destruction of an already very weak balance sheet position. So, my surmisal is that FCEL is about to advance significantly.