Well wait until the summer, you comment will show its integrity. There is NO increase in sales, and Aluminum prices are dropping with no end in sight. Just because its a 1 year low doesn't mean the company will exist in 3 years.
Management knows this, because of the massive credit bubble since the 1990s and the massive build out of China and other countries, ALU prices hit century highs. Expect the price to decline substantially and at best hover at todays prices long term 10 years 20 years out. That is why AA is trying desperately to diversify into other metals but that is a 20 y process. That is why they want to split becuase Alu will never reach these unsustainable prices in bulk. No matter what loser Cramer says. He was preaching buy at $14 a share.
Give it time, it will settle lower in the coming year probably in the $5 range.
At that point when the dust settles you will have 5 years to buy this in the $4 to $7 range.
There was never a sustainable China story, it was leveraged on out soucing by the G7, now that they reached critical mass in general in that area, they have to reinvent with the money they saved. There is no recover in 2 years, that's a joke. Too large of a country, maybe regional provinces may grow but not the entire country.