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Verizon Communications Inc. Message Board

iamgarce 573 posts  |  Last Activity: 10 minutes ago Member since: Aug 23, 2012
  • Reply to

    RIG Shareholders Need to be Patient

    by fly_like_an_eegle Oct 3, 2014 12:06 PM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 3, 2014 1:09 PM Flag

    the past 40 years have taught us that "cycles" can be far longer than anyone ever thought ..
    US bonds interest ... falling for 32 years
    Gold prices .. .after the run to 800 in 1980 , 23 years of falling
    Oil , after almost touching 40 bucks in early 80's , fell to below 10 ... i have been expecting this to
    happen again .. recent high of 140+ could very well fall into the 40's before a real turn around ...
    i wouldn't hold my breath for the next up cycle .. gold is confirming the end of high oil prices ... g

  • Reply to

    What the industry won't tell you..........

    by gasman2501 Oct 3, 2014 12:47 PM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 3, 2014 1:06 PM Flag

    there is also far too much supply to drive drillers to the deep water ... fracking old wells for
    crude is adding to supply and causing a stall with deep water , also add to that , the BP debacle
    and the execs see far more risk drilling in any water vs land drilling .. the situation will
    eventually change , but who knows when ?

  • Reply to

    What the industry won't tell you..........

    by gasman2501 Oct 3, 2014 12:47 PM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 3, 2014 1:04 PM Flag

    3.) Major oil companies are focusing on returning money to shareholders, cost control, and less costly exploration areas.
    This is heinous , it's not just the energy sector , but nearly every major company in the US has been
    stingy beyond belief with capex ... too busy buying shares and micro management of supply chains and
    labor .. something has to break soon ..
    Look at the retail stores and banks .. relying on outdated computer systems to prevent fraud , across the
    nation , infrastructure is falling apart ... real money needs to be spent , if this economy is to survive ...
    What a joke , with all of the criticism focused on the FED and threats of inflation .. a red herring if
    i ever smelled one ... of course there is no inflation , just look at how little capital is being spent to
    replace , refurbish and buy new plants/equipment .. prices are falling everywhere .. it's almost as
    cheap to eat out as to eat home , real estate might be active , but very few locations where prices are
    growing ....
    we are in a deflationary period .. that only changes with SPENDING !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    if business don't start spending soon , we'll have a real problem on out hands .. garce

  • Reply to

    check out the action

    by iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 11:48 AM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 3, 2014 10:22 AM Flag

    and then there are the reports of millions of gallons of Mexican oil
    being siphoned off ... are those being sold below market prices also ??
    I wholly agree with your gold target , though downward momentum
    could very well see it sell down to 700 ... g

  • Reply to

    IAM OUT FOR NOW

    by hawkeyes55555 Sep 29, 2014 7:21 PM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 3, 2014 10:03 AM Flag

    not sure if anyone knows , but i just listened to an analyst who feels that the economy will
    really pick up when rates start to move up .. his thinking is that for past few years and
    currently , there is no need to take action(like capex) because rates will be the same in
    6 months and there will be more data , however , if rates are actually rising , then
    decisions will be made quicker and get the metabolism to rise ...
    facts are that these guys keep touting that there's a "new normal" , then expect things
    to react in a traditional manner ...
    i believe ,that rates at this time , are similar to the position of oil a few years back ,
    when oil prices rose , the traditional thinking was inflation , but actually it was
    a signal that demand was returning and growth was not far behind ,, same for
    rates , for some time , rising rates will be a reflection of a strengthening economy ..
    ... garce
    what we don't know , is how will higher int. rates mean for div stocks .. ?? could it be
    that rising int rates will spur div payers to accelerate div increase ? it does make
    some sense .. in the wake of massive buybacks supposedly returning capital to
    investors , quite the buy backs an increase dive to hold investors .. .

  • Reply to

    IAM OUT FOR NOW

    by hawkeyes55555 Sep 29, 2014 7:21 PM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 4:19 PM Flag

    why not use options for same ... sell some covered calls
    on VZ and use that to parlay into the other that you expect
    to rise ? that way you can keep the VZ .. i highly doubt it's
    going to come of the range for a couple of more quarters ..

  • Reply to

    Michelle's Plan To Stop Ebola

    by speedydekker Oct 2, 2014 1:05 PM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 3:57 PM Flag

    absolutely no reason why they cannot grow their own grains outside of the Sahara ... they could also
    grow coffee and sugar can for export and graze livestock ... nearly all nations in Africa have their
    own internal problems with culture, i have to believe that with such a tribal structure that they cannot
    mount cohesive efforts to solve some of their dilemmas .. i also have to wonder how commerce is
    handled between nations .. do they practice free trade ?

  • Reply to

    IAM OUT FOR NOW

    by hawkeyes55555 Sep 29, 2014 7:21 PM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 3:51 PM Flag

    i don't think that you have to worry ... i expect the range to last for 2 more quarters .... next year the
    balance sheet should look a whole lot better and FCF should continue to increase ... not that either
    bother me at the moment , but it's the insts. who move the price and right now , there are way
    too many choices ... let some of them get singed a bit from the likes of Alibaba and such , then
    they will value conservative issues a bit more .. garce
    also , IF , some the talking heads are correct , and the bond bond market starts to go down , there
    is supposed to be massive selling .. that money will have to go somewhere ... for a very long time , it
    has been unusual to see bonds and stocks coupled like they have been the past years .. a lot of money
    is going to have to work somewhere until the bond market corrects itself .... so much talk about a
    stock market correction being overdue , what about the bond market ??? all markets correct from time
    to time ... g

  • Reply to

    New Recent Low Volume Day.. 3,000

    by twelfth_rock Oct 1, 2014 4:51 AM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 3:45 PM Flag

    already picked ... all i can do now , is wait for the earnings date to be released ..
    would be nice to get in Oct ...

  • iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 3:29 PM Flag

    from every angle , it makes sense for us to limit negative contributions to
    the environment ... a good starting point would be to mandate a national
    fresh water grid , both for irrigation and human consumption ... it might
    also be a good idea for municipalities to invest infrastructure , such that
    those demands that do not require potable water to have a source to
    fight fires with ... NYC over the years , has had it's share of water problems ,
    yet the water to fight fires comes from the same pristine reservoirs that
    supply homes and businesses , instead of just taking it from the Hudson
    River .... g ...
    better, more complete recycling won't hurt anyone either .. massive amounts
    of food are thrown out every day by the restaurant industry ... all of that
    should be hauled to a facility to create methane(captured for use , some of
    that already exists , but we need more ) and also to compost for farmers ...
    solutions are there , but the impetus is not ... g

  • Reply to

    check out the action

    by iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 11:48 AM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 2:23 PM Flag

    these cycles are part of reality .. to simplify the cure for low prices is lower prices and
    for high prices , higher prices ... especially in commodities ...
    in the past 10 years , just reflect on the massive amount of new drilling around the world ..
    1/2 of Africa .. Russia , Mideast , US , now south America beginning to join the fray ... we will
    now be in a cycle where prices continue to drop ... drill rigs decline , mines get mothballed ,
    until shrinking supplies get less than demand and the cycle goes 'round again .. yup , even
    gold goes through these cycles .... NES(formerly HEK) was founded and flourished during
    a boom period that was not bound to last ... tough sledding ahead ... g

  • Reply to

    Gold is fantastic value here.

    by weald_of_bayern Oct 2, 2014 1:46 PM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 2:01 PM Flag

    after the peak of 800/oz gold embarked on a downward spiral to 250 ... i would expect about the
    same ratio on this go 'round . .thanks , but i'll wait for bargains in the 800 range .. g

  • iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 1:59 PM Flag

    methane gas is worse than C02 .. and every day , there are thousands of tons of it release to
    the atmosphere .. in Siberia , the permafrost in the tundra is disappearing and massive amounts
    of methane is escaping .... take ride to the reservoirs in the Catskills and watch all the bubbles
    coming to the surface .. methane .... maybe if we allow more shale fracking , we could get
    this stuff out of the ground and burn it before it shrouds the earth ..
    one more point ... volcanoes spew untold million of tons of reflective ash into the atmosphere ,
    which reflects sunlight .. of course this would have a cooling effect , but it's still pollution , far beyond what humans can add ...
    of course , it is absolutely essential that we pay attention to our own use of the Earth , but
    we cannot compete with Mother Nature .... instead of chasing after minor things , the focus
    needs to change ... g

  • a couple of pipe/transport/gathers ... getting slammed .. MWE and APL .. there are others and with
    oil/gas prices tanking , this is going to be a tough sector for a while .. not sure if NES will survive ...
    take it all in , then figure out what you are seeing ... g

  • Reply to

    Rand Paul's Budget Proposal Cut CDC by 30%

    by barryobama881 Oct 2, 2014 10:08 AM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 10:35 AM Flag

    that's probably why somebody "planted" a man infected with Ebola in the US ... politics always
    attempt to create a situation that the players can resolve , while ignoring the important things ...

  • Reply to

    First week of the infamous 6 weeks going foward

    by nymarv10956 Sep 12, 2014 6:16 PM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 9:17 AM Flag

    sorry , meant to say etf's ... if money leaves them it will affect all the stocks in them ,
    the money should come back into those companies that will prevail ... so we should
    see some serious dips followed by sharp rises on some issues ....

  • Reply to

    First week of the infamous 6 weeks going foward

    by nymarv10956 Sep 12, 2014 6:16 PM
    iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 8:48 AM Flag

    i'm going to guess that large investors(insts) are starting to back out of mlp's and index funds to pick
    individual companies ....

  • iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 8:41 AM Flag

    it's that word , PROJECTED ... investors do not like unknowns ... and it's not like there is no competition that
    could crimp the projection ..
    here's a kicker ... Ford keeps look ahead to 2020 .... fair enough , but the upcoming generations are
    not salivating for new cars/trucks ...(same for home ownership) .. these kids want to travel light , they
    don't want same headaches their parents put up with ... the whole industry is looking at a paradigm
    shift , the likes of which have never been seen ...
    why own a car when you can call Uber ? ....
    Ford looks like a great story , but the insts. that dictate terms , are not al that exuberant ... g

  • iamgarce iamgarce Oct 2, 2014 8:34 AM Flag

    thanks Don , looks like the world is waking up to what Mr.Sculley has known for a long time (maybe Gary
    Jones had the right idea ? ) ...garce

VZ
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