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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Message Board

ibdman15 294 posts  |  Last Activity: 10 hours ago Member since: Mar 10, 1999
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  • ibdman15 ibdman15 10 hours ago Flag

    or 4500 or even 4000. remember how fast it dropped in March 2000??

    I suspect it will be the Russell 2 k and SPX with those type of significant downward moves.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • It has been a parabolic advance from 2300 in October 2011 to 5008 today. The sales and earnings simply must be on fire. Buy Buy Buy, Kudlow and Cramer both say so as does Warren Buffett. No recession in sight so long as the top 5% gets richer each and every day. But what if the market were to drop to NDQ 2,300 on an event over a few weeks? Would we get out? what if it dropped 1,000 in one day if ISIS hit subways in 5 major US cities simultaneously? Or if Israel bombs Iran and they in turn Nuke Israel or Russia does something interesting. will Obama go down as the best President for the financial markets and businesses ever with record stock market gains over his eight years in office? The GOP better do something or they will never hold the Executive office again so long as the stock market goes up under the do nothing Obama administration. He must be doing something spectacular.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • But the Bubble this time is the s & P 500 R2K and MC 400. 5048 to 1100 in two years on the naddy. How'd that feel. Even SPX 2100 to 1500 will feel really bad. and 2100 to 900 will feel even worse but imagine all you new investor what a haircut of 78% felt like.

    That would be SPX 460! or Dow 4,000. Be prepared. no one said it was an extreme back in spring 2000. Huge top in process here in 2015.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • same folks shorting LL should close those shorts and short the SPY. That is next to plummet. ISIS probably is short.SPY and both the Saudi's and Iran...... they know what's up.

    buy buy buy! US equities will never correct more than 5% for the next 50 years. but ya neva know.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 17 hours ago Flag

    but the weather has been delightful in the western USA and lots of folks live there that could make up the shortfall from the polar vortex impacts. but the port strike because $150 k a year in pay and even better benny's in't enough for those HS grad longshoremen union workers.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • What did he say in early Oct 2008. sell everything get to cash! They know nothing. soon he will; say the same thing about the FED keeping rates too low for too long. Why not go to cash then buy back in at SPX down 40-60%. 2% growth is awesome!!!! Best February in years!

    How are those sub prime car loans working out!

    Market will tank in March because it hasn't fallen in March since 2008. Every time market tanks in March since 1882, it advanced in February and fell in January, How about those stats? CNBC won't tell us that.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 17 hours ago Flag

    It's the polar vortex. pent up demand when it gets warm in the East. gotta be. Buy US stocks warren Buffett says so. if you buy now at this top, it could be 8-10 years to get back to even after the crash and impending Bear market.. Friday was a significant distribution day across all the indexes.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Why is Obama and his staff so far up Yellen and the other FED presidents _____'s when he can't stand Israeli Prime Minster Netanyahu

    stock market about to implode. Warren is the last line of defense cheerleading today.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Get ready, a major shock is imminent. Unexpected stuff. That kicks off the Bear market in equities dropping the SPX below $1,000

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • 1. housing way weaker than he expected
    2. Autos way better than he expected because of the subprime bubble, Wells Fargo is clear on this.
    3. do not increase min wages or lots of jobs will be lost!
    I bet those subprime folks are not paying their auto insurance if the have 42000 loans for used Honda civics. Those folks ain't neva paying that sub prime auto load back will default and car repossessed.
    perhaps the government will step in and pay off their subprime load and auto insurance Obama phone, Obama car payments and Obama car insurance.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Mar 1, 2015 10:26 PM Flag

    what if someone accidently hits the missile launch button from Siberia to DC? Our offensive and defense systems stuff may or may not work since many of our Nuc folks are drugged out, especially the ones out in the eastern CO silos. this is serious stuff. Don't rule out ISIS either. better to be out of stocks wishing you were in then in the stock market wishing you were out after an event like that occurs. get ready. could be on the horizon.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    S&P 500 earnings for 2015

    by kevivoe Mar 1, 2015 7:27 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Mar 1, 2015 7:49 PM Flag

    PE crashes to 8 this year while earning drop to $108. Implied target is 108 x 8 = $864 so that would be a 59% correction. So let's just assume PE drops to only 11 rather than single digits and $117 in earnings = $1,287 just a 39% correction on equities this year but it could be a lot worse.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 by ibdman15 Feb 27, 2015 12:20 PM Flag

    has anyone noticed the huge deceleration in Volume of the past five up weeks on the weekly chart? are new all time highs on greatly declining volume a major red flag of a major multi-year stock market top top? Even Greenspan thinks the stock market multiple expansion is fabricated and will end very badly.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Yellen Testimony

    by ibdman15 Feb 25, 2015 11:50 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Feb 25, 2015 11:02 PM Flag

    unreal, was just reading about the #$%$ takeover of Germany in the 1920's- 1930's and look who all still controls the World Financial Markets. CNBC and Wall Street tell the Federal Reserve Bank what "the market" expects and they do exactly as told. Liesman, Yellen, Bernanke etc.....

    The US Stock market will crash and burn. It always does every 6-7 years and the Bull Market is exhausted. plus Q1 GDP will be unexpectedly negative and Q4 revised down. They will then blame it on the unexpected Polar Vortex and the east and the nice weather out west, both keeping consumers on the sidelines. But then Q2 will be great because of all the Cabin Fever.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Been up 10 of 11 days with only a slight down tick today

    market rip for 20-30% correction. But if that happens the FED implements QE 5.

    The NDQ may hit 3000 before it takes out 5000.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 by ibdman15 Feb 25, 2015 11:50 AM Flag

    Someone ask the B why she is so frightened of the US stock market declining even 5%. Raise the rates so the markets can readjust. If you keep rates at zero forever it will end very badly when the rates finally do increase. Stop the manipulation driven by CNBC and the Big Banks. She is a total lying sach of #$%$ and only says what those folks tell her advance what they expect her to say. It would be hilarious to see what J_ _ Janet would do if the US markets started a 70% free fall. something will happen that causes that crash. and she and her fellow stock market manipulators will be out of ammo. Most people ain't gonna spend more on "consumption" just because the stock market makes new record highs each and every day!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • WMT is "Under Pressure" due to the wage hikes. It's hurting the broad indexes. CNBC can write off WMT like AXP. LOL

    seriously though, the market is going to crash real soon. better get out before you r down 30%

    Mssrs Blakenfein and Diamon are both net short. They both know what's up

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • dragging along the top with new highs on declining volume. no buyers left. wait until the big funds start selling and the distribution phase kicks into high gear and the decline phase begins. could lose 20% in a week or two maybe 30%. It's coming. Buckle up.

    Now CNBC will say this is the most hated Bull Market ever. I wonder if GS's Kostin raised his 2015 year end target from 2100 yet. If not he will. Things are so great that the FED is leaving rates at zero for an extended period of time still. and there is all this cash on the sidelines

  • This could be it. can't keep kicking the can down the road. SPX could drop 50 points or 5 SPY points into today's close. especially if they link the Exxon explosion in CA to Muslim terrorists.

    gas prices are going up so the FED now has their Inflation.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 by ibdman15 Feb 18, 2015 11:07 AM Flag

    now they are trying to convince everyone in the world that we are not in a stock market bubble based upon an IPO comparison of 1999 and 2014.. Where was the 2007 IPO statistics? Why are they doing that? They are scared to death that the market is about to plunge into a long Bear phase and we go into Recession with the deflation. The FED and CNBC are obviously in collusion. The FED definitely leaks info to CNBC and the WSJ guy.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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