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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Message Board

ibdman15 127 posts  |  Last Activity: 17 hours ago Member since: Mar 10, 1999
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  • Reply to

    2007-2008 comparison to now

    by ibdman15 17 hours ago
    ibdman15 ibdman15 17 hours ago Flag

    bottoming at $34.26 in early march 2009!!!! Good luck and God Bless you if long.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • IWM popped to $80 after Lehman failed in sept 2008 only to drop to 44 in Oct 2008 and 37 in Nov 2008 after Obama got elected. The top in Fall 2007 looks very similar to the current topping process on the monthly charts. history does repeat. Consumer debt bubble taking place.

    85 july and oct 2007 dropped to 65 in summer 2008 when oil was $150/bb, popped to 80 sept 2008 after Lehamn failed and we thought the Fed would save the day...... then bam!!!!!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 17 hours ago Flag

    Market in Correction you gotta get out today. Crashes can occur on Thursday Friday and Monday. this is just the beginning. wait until the SPX, NYSE Comp and Dow breach their 200 day EMA and SMA's. R2K already in a free fall. The Multiples are contracting while sales and earnings stall. A recipe for total stock market disaster. its all about supply and demand. Yes the Fed is buying stock futures but will lose that battle. China is dumping US treasuries and stocks.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 18 hours ago Flag

    and the IBD MF Index will breach it's 200 today with exact same chart pattern as the IWM. peaked early March with three runs above 50 on declining volume. market in correction raise cash.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • between IWM 108 and 86 on weekly Volume by price. could get there quite quickly. very little aggregate volume traded between 86 and 108 in the weekly time frame. so not a lot of memory in that air pocket.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 19 hours ago Flag

    IWM to $84 by end of October. How's that grab all you buy the dip folks so buy it at 108 100 95 90 85 etc.......quadruple down and watch your loses multiply. not to mention the significant margin calls kicking in today. and the poor folks that tapped their HELOC's checks to buy stocks.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • He's a buffoon. "While he expects market choppiness ahead — measures of volatility like the VIX have climbed of late — Levkovich believes the bull market is still intact and won’t be bludgeoned to death by the latest bout of weakness"

    I hope he loses all his money and his job by not calling a spade and spade. He knows the Bull market has ended. This guys crack me up. It's time to panic folks and get out of the stock market before its too late.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    The dip buyer is eating huge losses

    by dareyou2007 19 hours ago
    ibdman15 ibdman15 19 hours ago Flag

    yeah the CNBC folks are all friggin' idiots. Bloomberg a way better Financial news agency along with Fox Business. Let those liberals at CNBC go bankrupt.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • by William J O'Neil, How to Make Money selling Stocks Short. Copyright 2005 (before the last crash) There are many set ups on individual stocks and very clear on the Small Cap Russell 2000 and IWM ETF. Initial Break off top and three runs to or above above the 50 DMA on decelerating volume then breach the 50 and 200 DMA on huge volume with the death cross. around 5-7 months after the market peak. Don't listen to Jim Cramer on this stuff. he knows nothing. If he was so good he'd still be managing money for Billionaires.

    It's over get to cash or short. don't ride the market down 50% OR MORE. There will be no where to hide if long equities in any way shape or form.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Market in Correction raise Cash

    by ibdman15 21 hours ago
    ibdman15 ibdman15 20 hours ago Flag

    but we are well off the lows folks! look at this comeback. can't keep this market down. everyone is buying the dip. Caution is advised wait until Europe closes at 11:30 am ET. Dow closes down 400 today. sell this little rebound. the CNBC folks are constantly starring at the ticker to see how their words move the markets . raise cash now you stupid institutional investors. you can always buy bck in much lower hint don't go to lunch today or you may miss the crash between 12 and 2.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Remember when the MS financial media told us the market would bottom with the VIX in Mid 30's and it went to eighties and 90's??? same deal with the p/c ratio that IBD keeps touting just cause it gets to 1.2 or 1.1 doesn't mean he hit bottom. that could be 18 months away and 50% down in equities. Better panic with the deflation and zero interest rates! Most young MBS type hedge and mutual fund managers have never been thru a normal business cycle. They are going to get destroyed this time around.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Sep 30, 2014 10:49 PM Flag

    of course it missed, the Muslims said they were gonna chop off random heads in the streets of Australia. Those chaps stayed home and ordered from Amazon. Now if those extremists go into AMZN and do that #$%$, or in one of those newfangled open air shopping plaza popping up all across the USA ( like Arundel Mills), then both online sales suffer along with brick and mortar. GO TO CASH!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Uncharted waters. Zero rates and the DEFLATION. means no spending because the folks will wait for lower prices after Christmas 2014 or even after next Christmas 2015. Then GDP prints several consecutive quarters of declines, NBER announces we are in Recession etc....perhaps by mid summer 2015, but the stock market will already be down 40% before the GS, the Government, the MSM tell the sheep about it. The Smart Money will all be out of long positions, be heavily short and those positions will already be up a lot. then finally the market will bottom around R2K $450-500 and rally again right when the folks are finally capitulating. It's the Normal Business Cycle.....Bulls last five years and bears last 9-18 months.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Sep 30, 2014 6:25 PM Flag

    CRAMER Is an Idiot. Just discussed the death cross that's about to happen on the R2k. First off Mr Cramer it occurred early last week so you are a week too late. But what about when a death cross occurs after a 5.5 year BULL Market?

    What about the Golden Cross that occurred in July 2009? That one worked on the upside.

    What about the Death cross that occurred in August 2007. That worked on the downside for a 60% correction. Cramer will; back track on his comments when the R2K is down 40% in two months and the MAJOR indexes are down 30%. He's blowing smoke for the FED and Obama administration. They have the most to lose. The individual investor can simply go the cash in 10 minutes.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Sep 30, 2014 4:12 PM Flag

    market has only closed lower only on 5 other days in all of 2014. 2 days in Feb and 3 days in May
    and volume accelerated today. leaders ripped apart. market in correction raise cash. 100% cash is only place to be or short stocks and short Oil. do not lock in on heating oil or propane because the deflation is here and interest rates are zero so fed is screwed. the folks will hold off on making large purchases since prices on everything will drop.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • It's over IBD 50, 85/85 MF Index and both small and mid caps destroyed today on high volume. market in Correction raise cash. distribution across the board. could be worse than the first two weeks of October 2008 when the event occurs. Be prepared in Cash. Forget about the Dow and S & P 500, those will tank soon too. Russell 2000 already about 10% off it 52 week highs.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • When PIMCO collapses, do stocks rise or fall? perhaps all that new money in Cash goes directly into the Russell 2000 and it pops up to $2000....or is it risk off and the Russell 2000 drops to support around $800 as the broad market collapses over the next three months. as of tonight, market in Correction raise cash. another distribution day is shaping up and small caps getting hammered once again. $84 on IWM will be here quite quickly once $108 breaches. LOL.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Uptrend Under pressure!! Raise Cash

    by ibdman15 Sep 29, 2014 7:58 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Sep 29, 2014 8:06 PM Flag

    R2K is 8.22% off 52 week high. small caps are leading the broad market into the abyss. get out!

  • It's quite complicated....per IBD Big Picture tonight:

    "Volume climbed on both U.S. major exchanges from Friday's light pace. The Nasdaq's loss was too small to be a distribution day.

    The S&P 500's loss meant it added a distribution day, but the strong close pointed more to supporting action than heavy institutional selling......REALLY?

    The S&P 500 added two distribution days at once because the Sept. 17 stall day has now come into play. Under complex rules for stall days, some stall days cannot be counted until there's a larger number of regular distribution days."

    6 DD's on Naddy and 5 on NYSE Indexes. This is likely the Big One. better get out before the 20% one week crash. it will happen quite soon. What will the catalyst be? No one knows but there will be something big and the folks won't be able to get out until it's too late and they already lost 20% or more!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Look at Daily chart for past six days in the IWM and IWN Institutional favorite small Cap ETF's. HUGE volume on the four down days and TINY Volume on the two up days. Death Cross occurred, the two terrorist attacks on US soil today (OK and FAA facility) with more to come. Russia, China, Europe, Lowest labor participation rate in 40 years. Q4 GDP will be negative. Lou Dobbs is wrong sell, sell, sell or BH Obama will go down as greatest President of all time.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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