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SPDR S&P 500 Message Board

ibdman15 172 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 23, 2014 12:11 AM Member since: Mar 10, 1999
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  • between SPX and IBD MF Index, small caps and NYSE advance/decline line heading down and not making new highs with market. Same deal as Oct 2007 and Sept 2008, "Uptrend under pressure" raise cash. It can't continue. a big event on US soil is imminent. Hint what happened with the white flags on the Brooklyn Bridge? They're here!!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • IWM - $96
    IBD 50 $130
    IBD Mutual Fund Index 870

    Better buckle up for the summit plummet. And that will just be the beginning of the carnage as the new recession gets under way. They have no idea how bad it is, no idea.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Small Caps and Russell 2000 - Perfect short point

    by ibdman15 Jul 21, 2014 10:25 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Jul 21, 2014 11:11 AM Flag

    a/d is E and RS is just 46 on IWM. get out of small caps and the broad market as everything is going to crash. Huge institutional selling.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Small Caps and Russell 2000 - Perfect short point

    by ibdman15 Jul 21, 2014 10:25 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Jul 21, 2014 10:29 AM Flag

    and Obama speech writers at it again for his 10:50 am reading of a teleprompter. He is way over his head. BHO has no clue what he's dealing with. Putin is 100 times smarter than our president.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • re-read "How and when to sell stocks short" by WM O'neill. IWM is back below declining 50 DMA and on the 200 DMA. the death cross is imminent and three test of 50 DMA after the initial break off the top. The R2K collapse will bring the entire market with it like the NDQ collapse in March 2000 brought the entire market with it. the R2K bubble is far larger than the NDQ bubble in 1999-2000. Look at the R2K's trailing and forward PE's and make sure you are looking at the correct PE that includes all the components that are losing money every quarter.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Jul 21, 2014 10:17 AM Flag

    yep.....was correct as futures declined as the night wore on.....

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • PS AAPL and MSFT will miss estimates (even the whispers) and downgrade outlooks when they report.........

    get to all cash!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Futures will be at Lows of day by the US open tomorrow. complete global stock market carnage this week. The Israeli TA-50 was down 1,87% today alone. Another big International event will occur this week that drives the markets down. This will be a larger event than the Russian Airline massacre and it could be on American soils. Be prepared and get to cash now. The S & P 500 could be down 20-30% in a week or less with no warning! But who knows, Billionaire John Cary could save the day.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    IBD Uptrend Under Pressure but .....

    by ibdman15 Jul 17, 2014 9:58 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Jul 17, 2014 11:41 PM Flag

    Here’s a quick question for you. What do the following years have in common:

    Interesting article on Drudge Report tonight from MarketWatch

    1853, 1906, 1929, 1969, 1999

    Pass the question around your office. Call your money manager and ask him or her, too. Post it on your office notice board.

    Give up?

    Those were the peaks of the five massive, generational stock-market bubbles in U.S. history.

    Investors who bought into stocks around those peaks ended up earning terrible returns over the subsequent 30 years. Forget “stocks for the long run.” They ended up with “stocks for a long face.” The bigger the bubble, the worse returns.

    And, according to a new research report, we are back there again.

    U.S. stocks are now about 80% overvalued on certain key long-term measures, according to research by financial consultant Andrew Smithers, the chairman of Smithers & Co. and one of the few to warn about the bubble of the late 1990s at the time.

    The five dates listed at the start of this article, he says, are the only times since 1802, when data began being tracked, when stocks have been 50% or more overvalued according to these measures. And only two of those bubbles — 1929 and 1999, both of which were followed by disastrous crashes — were bigger than today.

    That’s right: According to Smithers’s data, we are now in the third biggest bubble in U.S. history.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • The IBD folks should have probably switched to Market in Correction after today's very negative action. But didn't because NYSE volume did not increase from yesterday. However, on the widely traded "Institutional favorite" small cap ETF, IWM slid 1.5% dropping further below its now declining 50 dma and volume spiked 31% . Other Institutional quality ETF's with massive daily volume experienced disturbing action: SPY saw volume increase 57% over prior day and QQQ volume increased 37% with both showing steep declines and significant institutional distribution. Market could crash 30% tomorrow if Obama/Biden drops a Nuke on Moscow. More likely it continues a series of lower highs and lower lows as the small and mid cap space is experiencing. Study the IBD 50, 85/85, New America and IBD Mutual Fund Index of the best and brightest in the business with proven track records getting clobbered. Don't let CNBC and the other talking heads convince you to hold the the impending carnage. Remember, Individual Investors can exit in a few minutes and go to 100% cash but the large pension, hedge and mutual funds could take weeks or even months to unwind their positions in individual stocks and ETF's.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Jul 17, 2014 6:55 AM Flag

    1145 just breached next support 1080 then crash. Russell 2000 will lead this massive downdraft. broad market to follow. be careful with all the hype of dow and s & p 500 at all-time record highs. one day we could be down 20% with no problem. just need the EVENT. ultimately down at least 50% across all indexes and there is nothing the FED can do.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Jul 16, 2014 10:39 PM Flag

    R2K - 1200 to 1145 to 1080 then crash..

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Jul 16, 2014 10:11 PM Flag

    getting worse. IWM down another 0.27% today, the IBD 50 down 0.4% and Mutual Fund index also down. Underlying deterioration taking place. don't be fooled by the Dow and S & P 500 hitting all time highs. the crash of 30% will be so swift when the EVENT occurs. Be PREPARED! You will see soon. will be nowhere to hide. Hint: it has to do with the FEDERAL RESERVE.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Massive H & S patterns in daily on IBD 50, IBD 85/85, and IBD New America Indexes as well as the IBD Mutual Fund Index. and a double top on the Russell 2000? Uptrend under pressure with 5 distribution days on NDQ and NYSE indexes. This could be THE END of the 5.5 year BULL market. EXTTEME Complacency with record Bull-Bear spread at Investors Intelligence. all Bulls very few Bears. Major Top! don't be fooled by the Dow. Crash is Imminent. What will the catalyst be? The Midwestern cold snap, an attack on American soils? White House Down? N Korea attack on Capitol? al-Qadia in DC social group? ABC News' turn on BHO? sell now and ask questions later. the US consumer is tapped out.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • JPM GS, INTC and Yahoo and miss and downgrade their outlooks. Buckle up for the stock market plunge.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Jul 13, 2014 7:47 PM Flag

    really? 90% of the time when a country wins the World Cup their stock market drops 3-5% the next day. There goes that argument. If Argentina would have won it would be 20% down since they are bankrupt like the USA. So the US inflated/manipulated market will crash. It's over, 5.5 years "long in the tooth" bull on false hope and change. GDP will be negative in Q2 and Q3....just ask Walmart...unless of course the Feds double count the Boeing planes that feel off the train into the river.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • The world economy is just as vulnerable to a financial crisis as it was in 2007, with the added danger that debt ratios are now far higher and emerging markets have been drawn into the fire as well, the Bank for International Settlements has warned.

    Jaime Caruana, head of the Swiss-based financial watchdog, said investors were ignoring the risk of monetary tightening in their voracious hunt for yield.

    “Markets seem to be considering only a very narrow spectrum of potential outcomes. They have become convinced that monetary conditions will remain easy for a very long time, and may be taking more assurance than central banks wish to give,” he told The Telegraph.

    Mr Caruana said the international system is in many ways more fragile than it was in the build-up to the Lehman crisis. Debt ratios in the developed economies have risen by 20 percentage points to 275pc of GDP since then.

    Credit spreads have fallen to to wafer-thin levels. Companies are borrowing heavily to buy back their own shares. The BIS said 40pc of syndicated loans are to sub-investment grade borrowers, a higher ratio than in 2007, with ever fewer protection covenants for creditors.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Kernan making fun of the decimal points on Italy's decline. Market in correction get to 100% cash. The five year bull market is over. New Great Recession has begun. 2008 rewind just look at near record fuel prices, food prices, decelerating consumption, china real estate meltdown, US student loan crisis, seven year car loans etc. .everyone is hunkering down except the elite 1% of liberals that love Obama Reid and Pelosi etc. They want everyone to party like its 1929 and 1999 and legalize pot everywhere! So everyone will be high, have the munchies and buy food. Just think even the Clinton's were broke after eight years in White House. Probably because of their legal fees for taking advantage of then lying about that young lady intern , Monica. Where's john Maynard Keynes when ya need him? But futures off the lows. Worst week in two years on today and tomorrow's carnage then full crash Monday. Yes crashes can occur even though the banking cartel folks are at the Hamptons.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Jul 10, 2014 7:02 AM Flag

    like I said on July 8, uptrend under pressure as of July 8. After today, 7-10-14, full blown Market in Correction. sell anything that has to do with stocks/equities both domestic and abroad because the Institutional Investors will start to panic and crash the world equity markets. Only those that go to cash or short the indexes will survive this downturn. China is a big deal and the US negative GDP, record margin debt, near record complacency, near record bul/bear spread are all negative catalysts for the market that should not be ignored. could be a generational top unless you believe pumpers like Professor Jeremy Siegel and Lazlo Byrinni and the MS financial media. A year of gains could evaporate in a week or two. Don't let it happen to you! Could be a 10% or more down week on small and mid caps. Large caps to follow!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • JM Eagle is owned by an Asian dude, a Mr. Walter Wong. and they stated it last 100 years. How they know that? how long has plastic pipe been around? does it creep over time like the Home depot plastic shelves?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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