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ibdman15 115 posts  |  Last Activity: 2 hours 5 minutes ago Member since: Mar 10, 1999
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  • the R2K was flat for the month of November and the NYSE Comp not looking too good either.
    Likely the end of the Bull Market. Just look at the huge volume increase today on the shortened session versus Wednesday. and the NYSE and IWM Candles

    Will be worst December ever for US equities.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • wait for the bombs on Black Friday and Mr Thomas Lee sells the tippy top why everyone is out shopping for those deals. Major red flag plus six year parabolic bull market. this FED induced stock market will drop 50%

    watch the NYSE comp and the R2K..it's pretty much over.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • cause the businesses have to rebuild and that juices the economy. I heard those hoodlums may raid Wall street tomorrow and Obama will close the stock market because they can't afford one down day. the market has to be up (or no lower than flat) each and every day to keep the Ponzi scheme going.

    and the folks that buy stuff won't go to brick and mortar since the major destination shopping centers will be targeted all week by these vandals. however, the folks will just shop online instead. stay away from shopping centers. It ain't over.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    107 before January.

    by twentyfourhouryen Nov 20, 2014 4:49 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 24, 2014 8:02 PM Flag

    could the event be the verdict in MO tonight? what if the civil disobedience floods over into shopping malls, outlet malls etc nationwide and the middle class folks that drive consumer spending simply are afraid to shop the rest of this week, including Black Friday and this weekend as the rioters raise havoc and the folks out of fear don't buy anything either in-person or on-line. Then the market tanks and folks cut back more as their 401k's and IRA's crash with the stock market.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    six year Bull is Over

    by ibdman15 Nov 24, 2014 7:35 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 24, 2014 7:53 PM Flag

    the pumpers will say because the NYSE comp includes many energy names that are getting hammered, but what about the R2K and IBD MF index not hitting new highs either? and near record number of S & P 500 stocks above their 50 dma's. December will be a very bad down month for all US equities. don't wait to sell in order to push capital gains into 2015 because a down 20% month will negate that strategy.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • triple top on R2K, or three rises above the 50 dafter the initial break in march. death cross today on NYSE, already had Death Cross on R2k. plus p/c was 0.5 on nov 5 and 0.61 today. Very toppy. and New all time highs once again on declining volume. Uncharted waters, zero interest rates with deflation. could be a fast and furious drop to $800 on the R2K from 1184. and remember not much volume traded between IWM $104 and $84 so an air pocket there.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    The top is in for 2014 and 2015 Today

    by ibdman15 Nov 21, 2014 10:17 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 21, 2014 4:44 PM Flag

    stand by my call. major bearish candle on the Russell 2000 today. widespread panic by Central Bankers!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • It's a BLOWOFF top. Not a breakout. US Markets reverse lower this afternoon after the Euro close.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • China surprise rate cut so does this mean all the folks in China buy US stocks?
    China going into recession next along with Japan, brazil, Russia, UK the rest of Europe and the USA

    record margin debt
    record bullishness by individual investors and Institutional investors
    and record low cash reserves.
    Russell 2000 so down over 3% off it's march high.
    p/c closed under 0.50 about two weeks back
    and the "event" still lingers
    or are futures up because the rioters will wreck the cities and money will have to be spent to rebuild?
    or because Obama is awesome? and we are having record after record in stock market because of his policies?

    Buy Buy Buy

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • ibdman15 by ibdman15 Nov 20, 2014 7:13 PM Flag

    New all time highs on declining volume. could it be the end of the Bull? Pathetic a/d ratings of the major indexes in IBD. again the failure of the third rally above the 50 DMA is something to pay close attention too. The IWM still 5 points from it's Multi-year March Peak which it may not revisit for ten t=years or more. The Russell 2000 PE is near record highs factoring in the losses of many companies that comprise the index.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    107 before January.

    by twentyfourhouryen Nov 20, 2014 4:49 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 20, 2014 6:14 PM Flag

    probably drops to $85. when $114 and the 50 dma at $112 break she drops to $103, than free falls to $85 as not much Volume at price between 85 and 104 ish. These institutional investors have no idea how bad it will be when their peers start selling and they don't...... no idea. Many are recent business school grads that have only seen stocks rise parabolicaly for six straight years. They will lose their #$%$ and their jobs if they don't get out before the institutional panic sets in as the event unfolds. and it will be an historic event that roils the global markets with particular emphasis on the US of A. What it is, no one knows but it will be HUGE.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 20, 2014 5:58 PM Flag

    New highs on declining volume once again on the NYSE indexes. and the R2K and S & P 600 gained back the heavy losses from yesterday but on a 50% decline in volume. It's all over. The 50 is going to breach then the neckline and the IWM takes out 85 before Dec 31! Better score those profits. don't wait for year end to ring the register.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 18, 2014 11:41 PM Flag

    still in play. seriously the R2K is going to initiate the crash and every index to follow it down into year end and throughout 2015. they have no idea how bad it is no idea...people are losing their jobs!! They know nothing! today was a gravestone doji after yesterday's big down day.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 17, 2014 4:20 PM Flag

    another distribution day on small and mid caps and a stalling day on the large cap indexes. IWM down 0.83%

    This Ferguson thing could be a reason for Mass riots all over the US led by Jesse and Al and Kill white dudes, all cops and destroy property. Those rioters are simply animals.

    That sort of civil unrest could keep the shoppers in this holiday season...but they will say there would be pent up demand for winter and spring shopping. and Thomas Lee is going to be wrong on his call. I expect three consecutive years of double digit declines per year starting in 2014. yes this year..... only about a month of trading left. I believe R2K ends down 20% on 2014 when the dust settles and SPX down 12%.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 17, 2014 11:00 AM Flag

    remember its widely unexpected that the market crashes in November and December (or even the wider Nov-May outlook that the market must advance) so it will, to fool the most. Buckle up for the tower of terror.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 17, 2014 10:45 AM Flag

    In case ya'll want to know the 50 DMA is currently $112 and 200 DMA is $114. The downward sloping Neckline is about $103. But when we see a collapse from $112 on high volume short with all you got. It's not going to be a stellar Holiday shopping season by any stretch because the top 5% will cut down huge on their spending when their portfolios decline 20% or more over a couple of weeks on this massive breakdown. Prepare for the external shock that is not expected.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • IWM aka R2K and S & P 600 types
    Initial break below 50 DMA March - May,
    May to July rally above 50 dma
    July-August down below 50 dma
    August-Sept back above 50 DMA
    Sept - Oct back down below 50 DMA
    Oct-Nov back above 50 DMA in a parabolic move
    death cross occurred in Sept and 50 DMA still below declining 200 DMA and lower highs still printing
    Next break below October lows will be the end of the six year Bull Market and the Recession will be in full swing by late summer. They will blame on the weather if too hot, too cold or just right. The small and mid caps will lead the collapse just like in 2007-2009 and 2000-2003.
    Folks, this is a textbook pattern. study that IWM chart closely. And remember 9 months after the initial break for this to play out. Proper short point will be when IWM breaks the 50 DMA on huge volume and then the neckline breaches on the way to a 50% or more correction taking IWM down to $50 or below and the SPY to $100 or below.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Low rates not creating stock market bubble per ultra dovish FED Governor Powell. Then what is creating the hockey curve blow off top instocks almost six years into a QE induced record Bull Market?
    Notice how the CNBC idiots kept cutting off Mr. Biderman from Trim Tabs every time he tried to state the obvious. what he was trying to say is zero interest rate fat money chasing fewer and fewer shares has caused the record run, not expanding sales, earnings and profit margins. and the economy is getting worse in the USA too, just like Japan since we have the same demographics moving forward, Japan topped out over 40 k back in 1989. It is 16 k and change now. Euro earnings up 12% yet sales flat verses last year, oil tanking - and deflation with zero interest rates is uncharted waters never experienced before and because of this, the SPX is headed to 1000 by the end of 2015. And Mr. Thomas Lee is a Buffoon permabull. so if everyone is Bullish, how can the market advance. Major top in process.
    strong dollar to kill the SPX earnings and sales. and the slowing USA. Remember 20-35 year old generation will never be able to buy a home. They are totally screwed unless we have a huge real estate and stock market crash to reset everything. What Black Swan type event will occur to cause that collapse?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • you have been warned. Don't forget that near record bullishness and the p/c closed below 0.50 about a week ago. as the 1.4 print in mid Oct resulted in a S-T bottom this latest low print represents a multi- year top. three year Bear is about to start, taking the S & P 500 to 1100 or below. do not buy the next dip cause it's going to keep dipping.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Rampant Bullishness and FED scared to DEATH

    by ibdman15 Nov 13, 2014 7:02 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 13, 2014 9:18 PM Flag

    IBD MF index down 0.30% R2K down 0,85%, with stalling day/distribution on NDQ. Could this be the very end of the almost 6 year old Bull Market run? Why is oil plummeting like it did back in 2008? Perhaps global Recession imminent? Uncharted waters, record low interest rates held artificially low by a FED colluding with the big banks and Obama administration and 20-30 year olds have no jobs and therefore they have no money to spend. terrible setup for the folks that just bought into the US or global stock market. Aggregate demand waning and stock markets to crash while the FED and ECB are out of tricks. The folks in their 50"s and 60's are saving for retirement and mostly in cash. The Ponzi scheme is over. and real estate to crash once again. Watch the high end condo developments in places like the Boston Waterfront and Manhattan roll over and go belly up. History repeats.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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