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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Message Board

ibdman15 104 posts  |  Last Activity: May 22, 2016 10:39 AM Member since: Mar 10, 1999
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  • Williams stated on Sunday Morning Futures that there is a "Modest" Chance of Recession in 2017. He meant to say low, but clearly said "Modest" and that is a much higher probability than "Low". Plus he said economists can't predict anything so the US could already be in a Recession. It sure feels like one. Earnings, Sales and Outlooks getting wrecked. Obviously the FED will not raise rates before the election cause the stock market can't go down a lot going into the election or Trump wins by a landslide. They gotta keep it propped up on happy pills. Some say the H & S pattern on the SPX in the Intermediate term timeframe is too obvious but so is the Inverse H & S in the shorter timeframes. The market will collapse. Too many uncertainties......then there is BREXIT. position accordingly.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Futures looking real good and

    by whatamarket May 19, 2016 9:30 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 May 19, 2016 9:34 PM Flag

    market down 2+% Friday. ..maybe eve more. Europe and USA. Take note.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • IWM possible support 106 then 102
    SPY 203.5 then trap door to 193.4

    probably time to get out!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    IBD is a bigger market cheerleader than CNBC

    by ibdman15 May 17, 2016 10:08 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 May 19, 2016 6:13 AM Flag

    Market in correction raise cash. s-t target of the daily H & S pattern on SPX is 1970. sell sell don't hold don't hold. February lows will be breached by the June rate hike. But then the FED won't hike since their actions are based entirely on the level and direction of the US stock market. the other "DATA" is only secondary. Unfortunate but true. Janet must go.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    IBD is a bigger market cheerleader than CNBC

    by ibdman15 May 17, 2016 10:08 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 May 18, 2016 2:38 PM Flag

    Downside reversal on accelerating volume. market finally in correction unless they drop another few distribution day citing "time" and say key areas of support have not yet been undercut? It's like an elephant exiting a bathtub, the water level decreases a lot! Institutional selling has been and is huge call your mutual fund and ETF company and sell it all. not too late for a 7% decline this week on the SPY.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • They refuse to switch the outlook to Correction although 9 and 8 DD's and D+ E D+ a/d's. It will be so funny if the market collapses 5-7% tomorrow while they are still stuck on the under pressure call. Then drops 20% the Thursday. They won't be able to advertise that they got their subscribers out.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • The administration of Dartmouth college needs to step down as a result of their lack of action after the terrorist group Black Lives matter destroyed a display honoring fallen police officers on Dartmouth's Campus. You folks are in the wrong neighborhood chanting "Pigs in a Blanket Fry like Bacon" First off ya'll probably didn't get into Dartmouth on your Merit displacing more qualified applicants, secondly "Black Flies Matter" too so don't go outside cause they are out. Instead transfer to the old standbys of Howard or Bowie State and have your hate filled protests there. Perhaps ya'll should focus your efforts on doing something about the accelerating black on black violence/daily massacres in Chicago and other major cities. Focus on and acknowledge the real problem. Could it be the % of single mom households in the Black Community? and black leaders like Obama and Sharpton not acknowledging the major issues. Step up to the plate men and take responsibility. Cut the #$%$, you all know that "All lives matter!" so stop acting so stupid and go get a job.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    futures down 22?

    by kmulcahy131313 May 15, 2016 6:30 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 May 15, 2016 6:51 PM Flag

    2037.75 down 5.75 as of 6:50 ET

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Goldman Sachs - Downside Risks very High

    by ibdman15 May 15, 2016 3:54 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 May 15, 2016 6:48 PM Flag

    and don't forget about BREXIT. that will totally wreck US companies that sell in Euroland in particular the S & P 500. Love it. If Obama and his cronnies, Cameron and Yellen beg them to say, the Brits will vote to leave. The Brits don't want their country to become a melting pot. and the European Union is a toxic waste dump without Germany and GB.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • IWM and QQQ both below declining 5, 10, 20 50 and 200 dma's levels of interest are $100 versus $109 current on IWM and $102 on Q's versus current 105. SPY above 200 dma so that's it's level of interest around 201.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • 1,850 likely over next couple of months. Then close year at 2,100 unless it continues dropping towards 1,500...

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    2-3% drop in markets tomorrow

    by mikiecrusher May 15, 2016 12:21 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 May 15, 2016 2:56 PM Flag

    down 7% on the week. Sell in May. 50 dma breached on SPY, below declining 5 dma on all indexes, guilty til proven innocent. Q's totally damaged. I believe Goldman even said Thursday that a huge correction was imminent and stocks and indexes way overvalued.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Look at a five year chart of the IWM and that clear H & S pattern with a $129 high and $92 neckline connecting the recent lows and Oct 2014 lows. Whether a strong $ or weak dollar and IWM gets wrecked since it's overall PE is at record highs. RS breaking down now. sell this ETF along with SPY and QQQ. sell in May and get away!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Look at a five year chart of the IWM and that clear H & S pattern with a $129 high and $92 neckline connecting the recent lows and Oct 2014 lows. Whether a strong $ or weak dollar and IWM gets wrecked since it's overall PE is at record highs.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 May 13, 2016 6:13 PM Flag

    and short the Russell 2000. High 1,300, neckline 940 target 640 or down 42% fro today's close. perfect set up even if US $ is strong. Weak US $ better for SPX stocks. US stock market crashes whether the US $ is weak or strong. don't get too caught up on all this. CNBC folks are losers. They know nothing.

    market in correction raise cash. Technically not a distribution day today since volume declined but only price pays folks. over and out!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 May 13, 2016 4:01 PM Flag

    CNBC....but well off the lows folks! we were down 215 and only closed off 185

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • IBD will finally switch over to full blown Correction tonight after todays warm up for the impending train wreck. Then when the US stock market drops 7% Monday and another 12% the rest of next week they will say that their subscribers that followed their calls were safely out of the market into 100% cash or short positions.

    50 day on SPX just breached and NDQ is working on 10 th day below that key level. No Golden cross for the NDQ! 1700 2,044 and 4,711 at present time.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • On precipice of total collapse, taking out 1,800 and heading toward 1,500 for fourth of July. Sell now. Distribution Day count 8/7, should be much higher but IBD keeps dropping Days that are just a month old as we rack up new distribution days. it suites their goal to help the FED and CNBC support the equity market.
    C, D- and C+ YTD 1% -5.4% and 1.7% IBD MF Index down 3.26% YTD. 1016 key support that has ben tested a bunch since mid March and ready to breach. NDQ 8 consecutive sessions below rolling over 50 DMA. p/c 1.07 so they will suggest it might be a bottom. R2K a/d is D-. But the fact is, The Market is about to collapse into a total Train Wreck. The Goldman Sachs knows. Diamon and the FED know too. Let the normal business/market cycle play out. Ultimate bottom in 2016 will be SPX 1,350. down 35% from today's close.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    It's Oficial Market in Correction raise cash

    by ibdman15 May 3, 2016 4:07 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 May 4, 2016 6:34 AM Flag

    NDQ 100 future 4585 high, low 3900 current 4300. we are in process of collapsing back to Feb lows then the real selling begins get out of US stocks today! don't hold don't hold turn off CNBC and Bloomberg and on not BTFD! It's over!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    It's Oficial Market in Correction raise cash

    by ibdman15 May 3, 2016 4:07 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 May 3, 2016 7:39 PM Flag

    Manager of a successful Hedge Fund, and former IBD Writer and Instructor.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

SPY
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