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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Message Board

ibdman15 64 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 29, 2015 12:03 AM Member since: Mar 10, 1999
  • R2K is broken..... SPY and XLF broken too. Note the huge volume on the declining days and the deceleration in volume on the up days on the IWM. dead cat bounce, market in correction raise cash.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Remember, the Bear will last 9 months to a year at least and US stock market indexes will decline 40-60%. don't be complacent. Deflation and zero rates are an interesting combo. Note the greatly decelerating volume on today's up day.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    NYSE Comp imminent DEATH Cross

    by ibdman15 Jul 28, 2015 10:35 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Aug 27, 2015 12:08 AM Flag

    Yes I called the Death Cross on the NYSE Comp on 7-28-15 well before it occurred.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    spy 250 within 6 months

    by caseus_865656 Aug 26, 2015 11:04 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Aug 27, 2015 12:03 AM Flag

    100 before 250 numb-nut! Stage 4 Decline and primary downtrend, guilty until proven innocent. Lower highs and lower lows below declining 5, 10, 20, 50, 150 and 200 DMA's.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Blankfein and Diamon are dumping on the rips. They are both net short in a big way
    Watch that NYSE COMP below death cross, 50 and 200 dma's. next support 8 k. currently 10 k.
    today was simply a dead cat bounce in a primary downtrend or stage 4 DECLINE that just began last week. Stage 3 Distribution was taking place for a year or so. the decline of lower highs andlower lows will last 6-9 months.

    It's over. a new BEAR had begun. Not good having a +3% day because Thursday and Friday could be minus 7%! or even down 10% with more crash on Monday 8-31. and so it goes......

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • to match Fall 2011 Lows, these indexes must drop from today's close to these levels:

    NYSE 30%
    IBD Mutual Fund Index 40%
    Russell 2 k small caps 45%

    once again worth repeating, the NYSE Composite Index is far more important than the S &P 500 or Dow points and I still can't fathom why CNBC talking in points rather than percentages - total Buffoons! The Comp had it's Death cross in early August, Russell's cross will be soon and MF index thereafter.

    This market is severely damaged and in a significant correction/downtrend. all rallies should be sold if you are not 100% in cash or short. Guilty til proven innocent! we are in a Stage 4 decline. Bottom could be May 2016 if we are lucky

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 by ibdman15 Aug 24, 2015 3:47 PM Flag

    Is it going to be today's ceiling? Volume way up from Op X of Friday.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    The Dow's Death Cross

    by bluehorseshoe_luvs_u Aug 12, 2015 4:47 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Aug 24, 2015 3:43 PM Flag

    actually I called the NYSE Comp death cross long before it even happened.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • and CNBC didn't tell us yet.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • trading at 2-7-14 levels now. remember The NYSE Comp is the most important index not the S & P 500 or the Dow.

    Russell 2000/IWM not yet to Oct lows.

    S & P 500 almost to Oct 2014 intraday lows.

    Better sell everything. bear market/downtrend will last at least 9 months. don't get caught up in Dow points

    where is Yellen? Is she sick? at the Hamptons? or what?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • 98% of US citizens don't know who she is. But will on the Nightly News this evening after the MSM leads with Jenner's new reality TV show. then they will discuss the 20% plunge and FED policy.

    BTW, Dow futures were down 666 a few seconds ago. could 666 be where the SPX is headed? to test the March 9, 2009 intraday low??

    Look at Sept-Oct 1987 chart. could we get 22% down on the SPX today??? The DOW really means nothing! The NYSE Comp has been signaling this plunge for over three months. That is a broader index than the S & P 500.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Oct 1987 Chart versus August 2015

    by ibdman15 Aug 23, 2015 6:26 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Aug 23, 2015 10:47 PM Flag

    it's all over......
    spx futures crashed to down 40 from down 16.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Oct 1987 Chart versus August 2015

    by ibdman15 Aug 23, 2015 6:26 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Aug 23, 2015 10:29 PM Flag

    Janet or Lockhart, please do something. CNBC and the MSM need you. consumer confidence will plunge if the stock market continues down. So many folks buy and hold and pay 1% to their money manager who usually don't know squat. But they get their portfolio management fee whether your stuff goes up or tanks. wait until Joe and Jane Middle class folks see their Q3 statement and realize they lost 35% in three months.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Exact same technical pattern. Crash Monday and market will close early due to the PPT then we follow thru with another huge down day Tuesday. Then it may be time to deploy some cash and sell some short positions. Gotta love the MSM parading experts on to say hold on and do not sell. why would any sane person with a 401 K let a $1 M portfolio drop to $500 k because an ABC news weekend financial planner told you to hold and ride it out? what if the market drops 50% in a month or two or even more?

    Full disclosure bought some stock funds Friday at the close. Just 1/8 of portfolio, 1/3 riding in shorts, the balance (60%) in cash ready to deploy but slowly hopefully close to the bottom in 6-9 months. remember it took 6 years to get the market to these stupid levels but could take a few months for the round trip when the multiples collapse along with sales and earnings of US companies.

    CNBC will try their best with their special at 7 PM. I predict SPX down 100-150 tomorrow and Dow down 800-1200.

    Jackson Hole should be quite interesting.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • This is the real deal folks. get out before SPX is down 50% or more....it's all over...
    just cause the P/C was near 1.5 Friday doesn't mean we have reached bottom, the VIX is under $30 and shot to 90 during the 2008-2009 collapse. and prior to that mid 30's VIX was ALWAYS a bottom in the stock market. but times are not normal. If Suze Orman is begging Janet Yellen to commit to not raising rates there is widespread panic. The fact is the economy is collapsing. sales everywhere but starbucks are collapsing. The rich oblivious liberals will get whacked hard when they lose half their wealth in no time flat perhaps in 2-3 months or less. Trump will win. Dow down 7.5% YTD.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Death crosses on Dow and NYSE Composite

    by ibdman15 Aug 11, 2015 9:47 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Aug 20, 2015 9:10 PM Flag

    Stock Indexes Careen Lower; Increased Volume Cranks Up Pain

    BY PAUL WHITFIELD, INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY

    07:05 PM ET
    MARKET IN CORRECTION RAISE CASH!!!!!!!!
    Stocks rushed south Thursday, pulling down 19 of every 20 industry groups. The Nasdaq suffered a 2.8% dent, while the S&P 500 crumpled 2.1%. The IBD 50 fell 3.1%. Volume rose across the board. The Nasdaq closed at its low for the day, leaving it 6.8% off its July high and marking its sharpest pullback of the year. The S&P 500 also closed at the day's low and is now 4.6% off its May high ETC ETC ETC......

    OBAMA had a conference call with Janet Yellen, Jack Lew, Jamie Diamon and Llyod Blakenfein today #$%$!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • should already be 100% cash and if not ya better sell. Market to drop 50%
    They have no idea how bad it is, no idea. People are losing their jobs!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    DEATH CROSS AND TECHNICALS

    by ibdman15 Aug 18, 2015 9:57 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Aug 19, 2015 9:10 PM Flag

    Market in Correction with the elevated Distribution days and deteriorating technical and fundamentals RAISE CASH

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • NYSE had it and is below declining 50 and 200
    r2K is below 200 and a death cross within two weeks.
    Greenspan coming back to take over for Yellen.
    5.5 year long Bull market is long in the tooth. time for a 30% pullback/Bear market

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • buckle up----it's all over!!!!! Death Cross occurred on the NYSE Composite....a much broader index than the SPX!!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

SPY
199.28+0.01(+0.01%)Aug 28 5:23 PMEDT