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SPDR S&P 500 Message Board

ibdman15 94 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 19, 2014 10:00 PM Member since: Mar 10, 1999
  • what if they show up? Those peaceful Muslims can blend in. They already stated they were going to fly their flag at the WH real soon. What can we do? They have the USA's weapons now since taking over Iraq and Syria. And Israel will get nuked by those nuts so it's not a matter of "if" but "when". and you never know, Obama may make a grave mistake while golfing at the Vineyard and bomb Moscow ushering in WW3.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Initial break of 50 dma in March off the generational peak. three rallies above the 50 dma. This is the third and final rally. when the neckline around $108 IWM or $1,080 R2K breaks, watch out below. Small caps trailing and forward PE's at record highs. Profit Margin's have already peaked and sales are decelerating across all stock caps.

    look at the volume on up days versus down days. Note IWM a/d rating still at E, meaning huge liquidation taking place by the Institutional Investors. significant crash lies ahead.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Better look at the price and volume action of this index. Huge volume on the selloffs of the past few weeks and decelerating well-below average on the advances. Now the 200 dma is heading down along with the 50 and death cross within two weeks. A/D rating still E. Major institutional selling of small caps. they will lead the market into the abyss. Keep listening to the CNBC PUMPERS.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • The NDQ FTD was up only 1%. Historically FTD's need to advance 1.5-2.0% per IBD. THEY CONSTANTLY CHANGE THEIR OWN RULES. Expect the market to turn tail and quickly succumb back into a deep correction or full blown bear market Sit in cash because this FTD like the one in late sept 2008 is simply a head fake.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Russell and NYSE comp not healthy

    by ibdman15 Aug 13, 2014 4:29 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Aug 13, 2014 4:31 PM Flag

    iWM that is. Or 1000 and 90 on r2k index itself. Notice the greatly declining V on the IWM advance today.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • R2k mired below its 200 dma and both the 50 and 200 lines are now declining. NYSE comp well below decking 50 DNA. Death cross by August 30 on r2 k cause that forward PE OF 90 is pretty hefty. When you figure PE on an index one must include negative earnings and one time expenses too. In that case higher than 90 PE, major topping process. St target on wimp is 100 then 90. Better position accordingly.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Has that ever happened? Uncharted waters. Massive downdraft!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • 1200 head or double top neck line 1100, current 1133, target 1000. why hold for that carnage? Stop with the hope and greed. Cash out and pay back you HELOCs and margin accounts before its too late and you end up like Robin Williams.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Aug 13, 2014 9:54 AM Flag

    what was this pumper Doll saying in October/November 2007 and Sept/Oct 2008? GS was saying everything was great and to hold everything. so folks lost 50%. It's time for a massive BEAR market

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Market in Correction raise Cash. beginning of a 12 month Bear market with a 40-60% correction on the major indexes. Q2 to be revised lower and Q3 negative too. Q1 was very negative. the consumers are not spending its full hunker down mode. And those poor stupid Demoula's/Market Basket workers protesting for their millionaire CEO and getting zero pay and losing their jobs! so they won't be spending but will make more on welfare and EBT cards.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • R2K down 0.8% and IBD MF Index down another 0.48% today. once again, most stocks feel. Prelude to the impending carnage. get out while you can.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Problem is futures, while screaming higher tonight will be Bloody Red by many % points before the NY open on a BIG EVENT by US morning.
    Not sure exactly what it will be but it will be huge. SELL SELL SELL!!!!!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • plunge Friday crash Monday market closed Tuesday 12 month Bear in progress. 50-70% decline on indexes. but as Obama stated in February 2009 near the lows, "the daily gyrations of the stock market mean nothing" such an idiot. now he's taking credit for record profit margins at corporations and stock market all time highs yet business owners hate him.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • "While the major indexes continue to hover fairly close to their 52-week or all-time peaks, it's not a time to be complacent, hopeful, greedy or apathetic. When a market's status is in correction, it means that most stocks tend to fall."

    simply go to 100% cash. when the upper middle class and wealthy feel their net worth is declining, the Recession hits because they rein un spending. The middle class and poor feel US is still in a recession although it officially lasted Dec 2007-June 2009.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Remember we have never had an extended period of zero interest rates and a recession/depression getting underway. Uncharted waters. market could decline 50-80% or more. get to 100% cash.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Market in Correction Raise 100% CASH per IBD

    by ibdman15 Aug 5, 2014 4:46 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Aug 5, 2014 11:22 PM Flag

    Yes this is the Big one. It's all over, it's all over!!! IBD officially calls it market in Correction get to 100% CASH!

    Stocks suffered more institutional selling Tuesday, reaching a risk level at which stepping away from stocks makes sense.

    The market remained sensitive to the Russia-Ukraine crisis. Indexes slid sharply in early afternoon trading on news that Russian troops were gathering near the Ukraine border.

    The Nasdaq fell 0.7% and the S&P 500 1% as volume increased on the main exchanges. For the composite, it was the sixth distribution day in recent weeks and the seventh for the S&P 500.

    That's a dangerous number of higher-volume losses for any market, and a fairly clear sign funds are souring on stocks. Indeed, the market struggles that began in July should now be considered a market correction.

    As the Market Pulse on this page had noted the past several weeks, the indexes were under pressure. What was uncertain action has deteriorated into just a bad market.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Dist day count 7 and 6. Market has switched to correction as of Big Picture tonight after yesterday's small rally on light volume and today's carnage on much higher volume than yesterday. Friday's P/C argument of 1.19 went out the window. Only price pays. markets are in a clear downtrend. Guilty til proven innocent. Get out before the Institutions panic and they will; you will get scared out and sell at the bottom in 9 months after they wear you out. Make sense? raise cash and go short. or just sit in cash and collect 1-2% in a stable value type fund. Remember your MF co has to stay fully invested in equities during the downdraft. don't lose your massive gains!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • get out folks. If MF's Pension funds and hedge funds, this means you. get out before your peers do. Or you will lose your job staying long a Bear Market. and Russell 2000 down to $980. Be prepared. all out carnage this week will make last week look like a walk in the park.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • so warned. $111 today. It hit $60 in 2010 and 2011 so a quick test of those lows. $60 will be almost a 50% drop from here. Notice how volume dried up today on the dead cat bounce. No Institutional support. Be fearful when others are greedy. Extreme Greed and Complacency continues. Ignore the 1.19 p/c print Friday. The options traders could be correct this time. need VIX up over 50 before we get near a equity market bottom and it's only 15 ish now.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Aug 4, 2014 11:25 AM Flag

    I say Bear markets open strong and close weak. we are heading into a Severe Bear market. Profit margins have peaked, Sales only up 5% this Q, we have the Inflation, the Middle Class has halted spending and Obama and his administration are all buffoons. and that negative GDP print in Q1. Parts of the country where 2/3 of the folks live had better than normal winters. even Buffett is now sitting on $50 B cash hoard. why isn't he fully invested? because the market is 10 years ahead of itself. buy stocks indexes now and be underwater for 10 years. good plan?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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