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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Message Board

ibdman15 158 posts  |  Last Activity: 58 minutes ago Member since: Mar 10, 1999
  • Reply to

    Futures looking good hopefully they will

    by whatamarket Dec 14, 2014 2:29 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 14, 2014 4:07 PM Flag

    US futures open 6 PM ET Sunday and will be down huge after the bloodbath/risk off over in the ARAB countries and Israel today. Do not buy the dip because a complete crash is in progress and a downtrend (defined as lower highs and lower lows) takes shape for at least 9 months as the stock market LEADS the economy....not the other way around. Multi-year equity top is in. Now the 95% of regular folks can start to benefit with jobs and higher wages while the 5% are going to have their wealth wrecked as the stock market declines 50% and the margin calls pour in. and so it goes. PS some of the 5% (ie, many white liberal folks with Trust Funds) are out protesting with Al Sharpton and his thugs. Because most common folks work for a living and don't have time to protest!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Bears Clobber Stock Indexes As Volume Climbs


    Posted 07:07 PM ET

    Stock indexes staggered to big losses in rising volume Friday, capping an ugly week.

    The S&P 500 dropped 1.6%, while the Nasdaq and IBD 50 fell 1.2% each.

    Volume rose across the board.

    The price-and-volume action constituted distribution, a footprint of fund selling. The Nasdaq added two distribution days to its count because a provisional stalling day on Nov. 21 was brought into the count. Stalling days are counted differently from regular distribution days.

    With the market under pressure, playing defense is prudent. It means cutting losses and locking in some profits.

    An individual investor might decide to hold a high-conviction stock through a consolidation. That's fine, too, provided that the stock doesn't flash sell signals.

    A profit cushion can let investors sit tight and give back some gains — the price for waiting to see if the market turbulence will be shallow or short-lived.

    On Friday, the put-call volume ratio closed at 1.15, a bullish level for this contrarian indicator. The gauge has done a good job at identifying short-term market lows this year.

    Here's the chief danger of this market: When an uptrend weakens, emotions can distort judgment. Try to see what's happening on the charts and accept it.

    For instance, look closely at the charts on Page B9.

    The indexes have had a nice run since mid-October, but their action shows a change in character over the past week. Trading ranges are looser. The indexes show four weak closes in five sessions — something not done previously in the entire run.

    The other thing to consider is the nearly 6 year Bull Market may have ended in December 2014? USA stock market could be a new 9-18 month severe downtrend. Remember the stock market leads the economy not the other way around.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • dude, Benny Ben,,,,, overlay the Oct 1987 NYSE Comp Chart with current NYSE chart. carbon copy. you are a nut case BLACK MONDAY. Oil will drop to $25/bb and SPX to 1100 by February. get ready. don't buy don't buy. It is time to panic.

    folks will be jumping out of office buildings in NY City Monday on the market open.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • selllllllll!!!!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 12, 2014 3:58 PM Flag

    revised 325 and 33

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • $27.5 B right now......

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Huge gap up on Monday

    by alkahulik Dec 12, 2014 3:51 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 12, 2014 3:56 PM Flag

    nope you really better sell now in next four minutes. look at the charts of the Wilshire 5000, NYSE comp, IBD MF Index, S & P 600 R2k Mid cap 400 etc.......

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 12, 2014 3:53 PM Flag

    I stand by my prediction for today and Monday. better sell call your MF co before 4 PM. 6 inutes to drop another 150 dow and 20 spx handles.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Take out 1820 SPX this Monday.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • DAX, FTSE and CAC 40 all closed down 2.75% across the pond.
    Things are very bad. Get out. Monday will be a bloodbath. do not hold or buy. sell now or it will be too late Monday morning when market opens down 10% and plunges lower throughout the day.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Some will say, but there are energy names in it. Fact is it's the broadest of the widely followed indexes. Wilshire 5000 is also a good one

    However let's examine the NYSE Comp for now

    Island top at 11,105 on July 3
    lower high early September
    lower low 9886 to be exact 10-15
    lower high again late November
    Death Cross 11-21
    Been below that death cross the past three days
    what happened in 1987 to all the indexes on the Friday before Black Monday when the NYSE Comp closed below these key moving averages?

    what black swan event could occur today or over the weekend that is "unexpected"?

    could the market crash 15-20% in one day on Monday December 15? SPX was down 6.66 points at one time today. I saw it. It's down 12 now. Dow down another 120.

    Perhaps terrorists hijacked the air traffic control system in London? what could be next?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ever notice? that's what crashes are made off. If everyone is Bullish, who could be left to buy. Everyone will be a seller when the market crashes 15% in a day.....and right before Santa Claus comes to town. It will be a very sad Christmas for the retailers. gotta wonder how crashing oil is good for equities. It sure wasn't in 2008-2009.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 12, 2014 10:03 AM Flag

    today will close on lows of the day and huge CRASH Monday. Consumer sentiment blew away estimates to the upside. Now the FED must raise rates. and Grandpa can start getting some yield without buying equities. F Wall street, the greedy jerks. They wanna suck every last retail investor in then they pull the plug and sell short. Plus I heard Al Sharpton and his liberal cronies may raid the NYSE after lunch and have a die in on the floor. Remember market is in a downtrend now, lower highs and lower lows. don't buy don't buy. Even Cramer is in 70% cash now.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Overlay the NYSE Comp charts. 200 breached two days ago, death cross two weeks ago, big down day today, closing on the lows well below the 200. R2K to close below its 50 and 200 today also after its death cross a couple months ago.

    15% crash or more Monday and there is nothing they can do. Do not hold equities in any way shape or form over this weekend. Take note Mutual fund, pension fund and hedge fund managers. widespread panic. You guys know what's up. the Wall Street collusion will not work. Many big funds will dump shares and ETF's faster than others will buy. Cashin will need many drinks. Cramer is a Buffoon. Global Growth once again downgraded. do not buy this dip, it is not the one to buy. just because it worked in the past and just because December usually doesn't see crashes doesn't mean it won't happen this December. Remember December 2008 or December 2007?

    I met with a very high level Wall Street bond trader yesterday one with 30 years experience and he knows exactly what is about to happen. CNBC probably touting now that we are well off the lows 12 minutes into trading.......

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    NYSE Comp - 200 and 50 DMA's breached

    by ibdman15 Dec 10, 2014 2:45 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 10, 2014 8:45 PM Flag

    This is really bad chit. The IBD MF Indexes now back down to late November levels.. NYSE looks terrible and the NYSE a/d line failed to make a new high during the recent all time highs on declining volume, another significant red flag. MF Index down 2% and R2K down over 2% too.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    NYSE Comp - 200 and 50 DMA's breached

    by ibdman15 Dec 10, 2014 2:45 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 10, 2014 5:26 PM Flag

    it's all over. Market in correction and Bear Market has begun. no Santa clause rally, and holiday sales to be down a total of 15% from Nov 1 - dec 31. And the apple 6 plus totally stinks. as the market dives so do holiday sales. THE NYSE chart looks terrible. Keep watching cnbc.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • coupled with the DEATH CROSS about two weeks ago. very broad index more so than Dow or S & P 500.

    and R2K down 2% and Mids down 2%. get out!!! Bear has begun.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • NYSE just breached 200 and 50 after the death cross. IWM's 200 dma is 114 and 50 dma is 113. that death crossed occurred a few months ago. primary downtrend has begun on these two extremely broad indexes.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Looks like 203.50 IS the down target

    by embitteredtroll Dec 9, 2014 10:28 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 9, 2014 10:32 AM Flag

    Nay $140 by February then $110 sometime in 2015

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 by ibdman15 Dec 9, 2014 10:29 AM Flag

    Attn FED and Treasury: Please do something and stop the market decline or holiday sales will be down 25% versus last year. People will be losing their jobs!!! They know nothing!!!!! Come on Yellen and Bulltard! save us.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

201.79+3.88(+1.96%)Dec 17 4:00 PMEST

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