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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Message Board

ibdman15 198 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 14, 2015 11:55 PM Member since: Mar 10, 1999
  • that's how shorts feel now.....but the tide will turn and when it turns watch how fast the Dow drops from 18 k to 10 k.

    there are many possibilities that can make that plunge occur. don't be caught long without stops in place.

    Gap downs can be a terrible thing for longs. The Fed induced equity Bull Market is six years old on March 6. Don't think ISIS or ISIL (Obama), isn't here and doesn't have something huge planned to wreck havoc on the US financial markets.
    Burning folks or beheadings in the Middle East doesn't have the same impact as an attack here. The be-heading is the mainstream execution of choice with our allies the Saudis. It's the humane way to get rid of bad Muslims.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Dow theory not confirmed? could it be all over? another new high on indexes today but on declining volume and after a holiday. usually volume increases after a holiday. crash Imminent. already reached Goldman's year end price target although sales and earnings are plunging but the tulip bulb mania continues.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Thomas Lee is correct. go man go! This guys are so darn smart. Wait until Q1 GDP comes in negative and Q2 also comes in negative. Hint....DEFLATION. Why buy something now if we can wait for lower prices an a few months or a year from now. Deflation with zero rates and QE is called uncharted territory. Plus the wild card, ISIS could be ready to launch full scale attacks in the US cities. Even if we had a 911 type event, the stock market would advance.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • gotta love it. Dallas Metro has a larger GDP than Greece. Let Greece fail, the world banks take it on the chin, a few fail, run on banks and its over right? Or does spain, Portugal Ireland and France fail next leaving Germany and Great Britain. So what's the market cap to GDP ratio in the USA right now and the Shiller PE and the six consecutive up years going to do to the US equity market with the DEFLATION that is occurring as everyone but the liberals are hunkering down.

  • the market is going to crash better get out. The longer it's inflated by this zero interest rate BS for 6 years the bigger the crash

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • by the Dip!!! this baby is going to $300 and Apple to $200! Rock on USA, USA!!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Feb 15, 2015 5:13 PM Flag

    perhaps Apple can help pay down some of the world debt with all their hoarded cash. better yet Obama and his goons should simply take it from Mr. Cooke.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • that will be an excuse to drop Q1 estimates to negative GDP growth unless the 200 M folks out west step up to the plate and spend more than they would have otherwise. This will be the biggest down week of 2015. probably like that week in Mid October 2014.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Shiller doesn't know what he's talking about: Buy buy buy. as long as CNBC's Steve Liesman says buy then buy. Who cares high high the CAPE is? Everything is just ducky. The negative Q1 GDP print will be because of the weather in the Northeast. But they'll say Q2 and Q3 will make up for the unexpected negative print in Q1.

    Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller has a grim message for investors: Save up, because in the years ahead, assets aren't going to give you the type of returns that you've become accustomed to.

    In his third edition of "Irrational Exuberance," which will drop later in february, the Yale professor of economics warns about high prices for stocks and bonds alike.

    "Don't use your usual assumptions about returns going forward." Shiller recommended to investors in a Thursday interview on CNBC's "Futures Now."

    He says that stock valuations look rich. In fact, Shiller's favorite valuation measure, the cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio (which compares current prices to the prior 10 years' worth of earnings) is "higher than ever before except for the times around 1929, 2000, and 2008, all major market peaks," he writes in his new preface to the third edition.

    "It's very hard to predict turning points in markets," Shiller said on Thursday. His CAPE measure of the S&P 500 "could keep going up. ... But it's definitely high. By historical standards, it's up there."

    Meanwhile, Shiller said that bond yields, which move inversely to prices, "can't keep trending down" and "could [reach] a major turning point in coming years."

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • only price pays, but be careful as this break to new highs has been on greatly declining volume. don't chase it now, wait for a pullback and if resistance holds then buy. at some point in the near future the market begins a rapid decent of lower highs and lower lows that lasts many months and will destroy much wealth....into thin air.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Crash territory and a triple top on the SPX? island top in on NDQ? Take all the money out of the casino. All stocks are risky and all indexes are risky. could drop 20-30% over a couple weeks on an event or on no event, or an event that only a few high rollers know about in advance. The majority of the folks will lose a lot of money in this next crash.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • wow NDQ back to 2000 levels! today's NDQ candle looks a lot like the July 3 2014 candle on the NYSE Comp. could be the end. some will say no overhead resistance and market should soar but the market is extremely frothy and overbought with near record margin debt on the long side. The FED should rot in hel for the bubble they have created in equities for the select few. raise the friggin' interest rates losers!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • by end of next week SPX 2000, and end of February we will be down on the month below SPX 1900. and below 1800 by end of Q1. This will be a big down year across the board. The Institutions are selling to the sheep

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • SPX drops to 1200 this year and under 1000 in 2016. just simply go to cash. Vanguard is so convinced if they hold that the other MF and Hedge funds will too.....but what if they don't.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • perfect cup with handle in intraday chart of the NYSE Comp....but if this little cup with handle fails in the next 10 minutes watch out for a breach of the lows of the day.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Treasury Secretary Jack Lew?????

    by ibdman15 Feb 9, 2015 6:36 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Feb 9, 2015 4:06 PM Flag

    Europe will collapse, China and USA Depression. Get ready. Perhaps Bernie Sanders can run the world? Socialism everywhere.

  • Reply to

    Treasury Secretary Jack Lew?????

    by ibdman15 Feb 9, 2015 6:36 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Feb 9, 2015 3:49 PM Flag

    but folks look at this we are well off the lows. down 130 and now only just 85!. again well off the lows with 10 minutes to go. but art cashin can of course assist in the move off the lows.

    perhaps because they had socialist Bernie Sanders on that says Alan Greenspan didn't nor doesn't know what he's doing. I wonder if Bernie feels the same way about the Bernank and Yellen? Greece's collapse should be allowed along with Spain Portugal, Italy Ireland etc.....

    Fact is VT is a joke. very few Vermonters work and the vast majority are on the public dole and many of those folks are on drugs. It's the most socialist state in the USA. And they have all those ski areas up there with foreign workers on visas while the Vermonters sit on their but and collect unemployment and welfare.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • what he makes a statement at 6 AM onday because the futures are down 10 points? This administration will do whatever it takes to keep their Ponzi scheme inflated. the S& P 500 has increased three fold since March 2009 yet Mr Lew gets up early, sees the futures down 10 handles and has to do a press release "US Economy has turned corner but needs wage growth" so the longshoreman need a raise from their $147k per year in wages, $80 k in pension and $35 k in healthcare benies?

    Fact is 44% of adult population is part time and far underpaid, primarily due to the ACA (Obamacare) and the economy is actually getting worse Jack. ask any recent college grad from the past ten years that has $100 k in debt and is waiting tables. Be a plumber, policeperson, firefighter or longshoreman and you'll be all set. Or join the federal workforce. 20% of the federal workforce is black while but only 14% of the population is black, 40+% of all federal entitlements goes to black Americans - 3X the amount that go to whites, 5X the rate that go to Hispanics. How about those facts....yet everything is awesome. The stock market needs to decline 50%.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    China is slowing to a crawl

    by wonhunglo_00 Feb 8, 2015 7:28 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Feb 8, 2015 7:40 PM Flag

    OMG headline "Asian stocks open mixed on poor US lead, China Worries" ?????

    I guess the above number are just some "worries".

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • when viewing the weekly timeframe, accumulation was technically late 2008 thru 2012 when the SPX shot from 666 to 1400 with a couple deep corrections along the way. Markup was 2013-Sept 1 2014, straight up from 1400 to 2100. Distribution has been occurring since September 2014, the recent lows of December, January and February will be breached as the "distribution phase" continues. then we take out the October lows and the market begins a series of lower highs and lower lows for 9-18 months. That will be the "DECLINE" phase. Psychologically, the long investor is currently between complacency and anxiety at and as the Decline gains traction, the denial, panic, capitulation, anger and depression all kick in as the market heads back down below 1,000 and possibly back to test the 666 level of March 2009. Only once US in history has the US stock market advanced for six straight years and the next year it was down 20% and it has never advanced for 7 straight years. so it ain't happening. get out before the next hedge fund, MF, ETF investor etc.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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