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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Message Board

ibdman15 167 posts  |  Last Activity: Feb 5, 2016 9:01 PM Member since: Mar 10, 1999
  • accelerating volume on today's carnage. Key intermediate term MA's BUSTED across the board. The impending Golden Cross means nothing, it's just an area of interest The carnage already occurred prior to the last Death Cross in august. The Bull is more than likely over and the December before a Presidential election does not have to be positive because it has been in the past. it could be down SPX 20%! Sell sell sell. do not consider taxes. get out before the Institutional Investors are all out.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • 9 on Naddy and 8 on NYSE Indexes Raise Cash

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Sellers in Control - Bear Market has begun

    by ibdman15 Dec 9, 2015 7:48 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 9, 2015 9:13 AM Flag

    On the transports, IYT, the only three days the index was lower than yesterday's close was 8-24 8-25 and 9-28. Ya think the DOW transports are telling us that its all over?

  • Sellers are currently in control of the Market. Bullish sentiment has remained in the former big leaders, such as MSFT, AAPL, and the FANG stocks viewing it as an opportunity to buy those on the dips, but those buyers are late to the party, the late bargain hunting buyers. The big players (Institutional Investors) are heading for the sidelines now. Market in clear downtrend printing lower highs and lower lows and the transports were down 2.80% yesterday. anemic a/d ratings on the major indexes and elevated distribution days clustered in a short period. Market will officially be in correction at IBD by end of today or Friday at latest. Market then corrects another 20% before another possible FTD. Why because the December before a presidential election is always positive so it won't work since widely known info and the fact that we are heading into a nasty Recession with raising interest rates. The FED must raise in December and march 1/4 point at each If they don't the market crashes even harder.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 by ibdman15 Dec 8, 2015 8:56 PM Flag

    IBD MF index down 0.21% today undercutting its closing low from Thursday 12-3. That is the broad market ya'll. The best and brightest Mutual fund managers. It's over. but well off the lows folks.....

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • The NYSE Comp closed well below its 50 dma today on accelerating volume marking a 7 th DD on the SPX and NYSE indexes. The NYSE a/d line versus the SPX is headed straight down meaning a majority of stocks are broken. wait until Amazon, Google, Facebook, Microsoft, Netflix, etc break. the SPX easily drops to 1,700. probably ALOT lower! AMZN is such a JOKE. good article on Zero Hedge today about the valuation of that garbage company.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    But well off he lows foks loo at his it's simply

    by ibdman15 Dec 8, 2015 11:04 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 8, 2015 11:07 AM Flag

    because of the upside reversal in OIL! Buy Buy Buy all aboard!!!!!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • amazing
    what a resilient market! nady almost positive after down 55 points early on.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Yellen, The FED Meeting and stock market

    by ibdman15 Dec 8, 2015 6:53 AM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 8, 2015 8:13 AM Flag

    As planned. The December Swoon....UNEXPECTED? SPX Futures down 21 to 2059. It ain't over folks. This is just the beginning of the BEAR market. In a couple of months you will wish you sold here. Then the paralysis will set in.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Yellen and her other cronies want the SPX to settle in between 1840-1860 before their meeting next week. although there is a 79% likelihood of a 1/4 point increase, they will use the "pullback" to justify raising by just 1/8 or not at all. If they increase 1/4 as expected, the market drops down to 1,700 thereafter. Position yourself accordingly, and remember how fast the market dropped in August over five days on no news. Toll Brothers miss is VERY DISTURBING as that is a leading indicators of the high end consumer. Uptrend Under Pressure, could be full blown correction if today's early carnage holds.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Uptrend Under Significant Pressure

    by ibdman15 Dec 7, 2015 8:38 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 7, 2015 8:59 PM Flag

    and Peter Schiff says it's all over. Zero Hedge tonight.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • D+ C- C
    IBD MF Index up 0.93% Friday and down 0.93% today
    Russell 2000 up 1.0% Friday and down 1.6% today.
    Distribution Days very elevated at 9 on NADDY albeit one fell off he count today due to time dropping it to 8.
    But the MSM media says the market has to be positive in December the year before a presidential election. IT MUST HAPPEN. but it likely won't. what if market drops 10% in December and another 15% in January? Then what? Hold??

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Uptrend under pressure and after Fridays huge advance is suspect on greatly declining volume therefore longs should be extremely cautious. NYSE comp back below 50 dma and well below declining 200 dma. Russell 2 k down near its 50 dma and well-below its declining 200 dma. Just because its December and the market is supposed to advance doesn't mean it won't instead drop 10% or more. Take profits and pay the 2015 taxes on the capital gains or those could evaporate and its always better to pay taxes than lose the gains.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 5, 2015 7:00 AM Flag

    probably not, something geopolitical will happen over the weekend that will change that. Malls and Outlets are empty.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • "May 2013 We are raising our S&P 500 dividend estimates and index return forecasts for 2013 through 2015. We expect S&P 500 index will rise by 5% from the current level to 1,750 by year-end 2013, advance by 9% to 1,900 in 2014, and climb by 10% to 2100 in 2015."

    Good call GS! However, most of that gain to 2100 occurred by end of 2014.

    They now know in 2016 we close the SPX below 1600. RECESSION. Sales and orders falling off the cliff! and margin compression. Higher rates. lower sales/earnings, deflation and declining growth. Their official target is 2,100 because they can't put out a target below current levels. PE to compress along with declining earnings..

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    perfect short opportunity tomorrow

    by ibdman15 Nov 30, 2015 9:30 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Dec 4, 2015 9:35 PM Flag

    still relevant call. 1SPX 1,800 by Dec 31. AAPL to get wrecked in the next couple of weeks and end up below 100. They have no idea how bad it is going to get....no idea.... Just the beginning of the BEAR Folks. Get out of the Market if long.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • While the SPX, Dow and Naddy were all up over 2% today, the small caps and IBD MF index were up 1% and 0.93% respectively. In fact the small caps were actually down 1% for the week while the SPX was virtually flat. Uptrend Under Pressure raise cash. didn't help that today's HUGE rally was on declining market volume. either. a curious divergence indeed. too obvious that the market is supposed to be up in December so it will ultimately drop 10% to confuse the masses. They will blame it on The MUSLIMS and The Climate change aka warmer than normal on east coast. C C C ....not too good.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    perfect short opportunity tomorrow

    by ibdman15 Nov 30, 2015 9:30 PM
    ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 30, 2015 9:44 PM Flag

    SPX below 1,800 by Dec 31. The A/D indicators are C- on the Naddy and SPX although THE INDEXES are near and above the old highs. Much distribution is apparent. The smart money will take their gains now and not worry about the tax man. The folks that worry about taxes and wait to sell in January will bet CRUSHED. Be warned, it's OVER. Lower highs and lower lows = a DOWNTREND/BEAR MARKET.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • distribution across the board today. 6 DD's and Remember early August when the IBD MF Index dropped from 1120 to 1004 in five trading days? that was 10.3%, Intraday swing on Q's and Mid Caps was significantly more!!!! It will happen again real soon, buckle up. It's over. The BULL is DEAD. Downtrend has begun. SPY down 30% by March 15.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ibdman15 ibdman15 Nov 23, 2015 11:03 PM Flag

    yes, the last shoe to drop. wait for the FANG stocks to drop 50% or more, that sure will destroy the indexes. and the recession has already begun albeit the pros say it's several years away. Things are bad. Sales are just okay but current orders are horrendous. China is a complete train wreck. Lower highs and lower lows still in play. SPX below 1800 by Dec 31 then the real carnage begins. and don't forget about the bad folks that are waiting to do something here on US soil when and where we least expect. and that will be it, the unexpected event that will drive the computers nuts and crash the stock market. The hedgies and MF/pension managers will not be able to exit quick enough and selling will be intense for many months.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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