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Ford Motor Co. Message Board

informationlouisgreen 20 posts  |  Last Activity: 17 hours ago Member since: Jul 24, 2007
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  • informationlouisgreen informationlouisgreen 17 hours ago Flag

    PART 2
    7 of the top 7 selling cars are foreign
    Ford is a one trick pony profit only comes from North America and one product the truck
    A new launch must be flawless
    Way too much competition exists Ford , C, or GM must go out of business
    GM and C are attacking the truck mkt with some success Ford profit on trucks will decline
    The question as posed here the last several years , Ford has one last fake run left , did we see it ?
    In the end the US auto cannot survive.

  • Ford Motor (F) shares are flat in early market trading after analysts at Susquehanna initiated coverage on the
    stock with a "neutral" rating and $14 price target.
    Analysts at the firm estimate that the company will lose about $1.4 billion internationally this year despite strong F-150 sales, and that the American car company could become profitable overseas by 2020, but expressed caution at this time.

    I STATED FORD FAIR VALUE IS REALLY 14 to 15 . It hit 18 because of DOW.
    It would fall hard when DOW corrected , it did .
    I stated Ford had no plan for Europe , it does nt.
    Ford needed to make a move now in terms of price.
    NOW THEY SAY 5 years ??????????????????????????????????????????
    Anything can happen in 5 years
    The economy is always boom bust . And we have gone through the so called boom.
    Car sales cannot continue at this pace
    UAW UAW UAW labor costs are going to rise.
    Ford and GM have learned nothing from the past.
    I know many GM excecs nothing has really changed . I am guessing Ford is same
    High bonus , high incentive pay, trips , expense account etc

  • drop. I on the other hand posted numerous times this year the ten reasons why Ford would not reach 20 nor would it go above 18 by much. Next I posted we would re visit the low for the year . We broke through that.
    Europe, declining profit, one trick pony = the truck
    I again wonder is there one more suckers run left for GM and Ford before the ultimate collapse ?

  • Reply to

    Ford longs are not to be trusted

    by bigkahuna1333 Oct 7, 2014 5:12 PM
    informationlouisgreen informationlouisgreen Oct 10, 2014 11:55 AM Flag

    These guys own a hundred shares . So up down it does nt matter. Anyone who says I have not sold so I don't have a loss is clueless. Not to mention a 5 point drop on even 5 thousand shares makes you miss a lot of nice buys in a correction.

  • informationlouisgreen by informationlouisgreen Oct 9, 2014 2:33 PM Flag

    To bad he could not figure out why Ford was not an investment. Even though in countless posts I listed the ten reasons why it was a very large gamble.
    His last post to me was it is not the end of the year.
    Just wait for the bomb s dropped in October earnings .
    I told you over and over
    Europe no end in sight to losses
    Profit from only one vehicle and now your putting that on the line what a gamble
    Competition way to many manufactures
    Brand loyalty , thing of past Ford will have to incentive the new truck line big time = lower profits
    UAW does not get it
    7 of the top 7 selling cars are FORIEGN
    Downgrades downgrades

    THE DOW Ford only broke 17 because of the DOW
    How many times did I repeat here DOW took Ford up correction will drop it big
    How many times did I say
    Ford is fairly valued 13.50 to 15 trading range
    Not an investment but a somewhat risky trading play

  • in the long run for the US auto. I said one more run and that's it. Did we have it is the question ?
    Don`t forget the UAW contract coming .

  • informationlouisgreen by informationlouisgreen Oct 3, 2014 9:52 PM Flag

    Basement until the State put you in the asylum I worked a real job
    in my youth . Nothing to be ashamed of selling furniture
    while you lived in the basement

  • informationlouisgreen by informationlouisgreen Oct 3, 2014 12:25 PM Flag

    Lets see I called fair mkt value multiple times at 14 to 15 . Stated Ford would not get to 20 this year .
    I posted about Europe numerous times . About Ford incentives and on and on
    I was right again about Ford.
    At best to reach 20 , there can be no DOW correction.
    And that would be a what % of a rise almost impossible.
    The head winds as always posted remain the same
    They really make their profit from one mkt and from one product.
    Everything rides on a new product launch and the competition has gotten unbelievable in trucks
    7 of the top selling cars are foreign .
    Europe issue has never been solved
    Losses happen fast and are large Billions
    How long can the economy hold up ?
    New cars sales do not make new highs year after year we are completing a cycle
    Labor labor labor costs will be escalating with the new contract the UAW only sees profit
    The luxury mkt belongs to foreign car makers. Geez have you seen the new Matthew Mc ads there terrible , young buyers don't have a clue to what he is talking about I really don't. They don't even feature the car. Less

  • rather then the usual nonsense. I don't own any Ford stock at 18. I know this is a difficult concept for you to grasp but what drives a stock price up is people willing to pay more for it then the last person.
    Ford has a lot to prove .
    Why don't you get real and admit how wrong you have been.
    I expect the usual response I made a wise investment [I took an insane chance] and bought at 2 [ok I bought 10 shares at 2 so it was not a big deal]

  • informationlouisgreen by informationlouisgreen Oct 2, 2014 12:11 PM Flag

    As polite as I can be we have been conned again. You may think I am a short . I own tons of Ford. Albeit I considered it a gamble. I thought maybe I am wrong maybe Ford will reach 20 then keep earnings $$$$ and be a 30 stock. or I might sell. I stand by what I said several times . FORD has one more run left, I wonder did we see it ?
    I was right again about Ford.
    At best to reach 20 , there can be no DOW correction.
    And that would be a what % of a rise almost impossible.
    The head winds as always posted remain the same
    They really make their profit from one mkt and from one product.
    Everything rides on a new product launch and the competition has gotten unbelievable in trucks
    7 of the top selling cars are foreign .
    Europe issue has never been solved
    Losses happen fast and are large Billions
    How long can the economy hold up ?
    New cars sales do not make new highs year after year we are completing a cycle
    Labor labor labor costs will be escalating with the new contract the UAW only sees profit
    The luxury mkt belongs to foreign car makers. Geez have you seen the new Matthew Mc ads there terrible , young buyers don't have a clue to what he is talking about I really don't. They don't even feature the car.

  • Reply to

    Behind September's numbers

    by questinator Oct 2, 2014 11:36 AM
    informationlouisgreen informationlouisgreen Oct 2, 2014 11:58 AM Flag

    That is all great . The only problem is you left out what Ford has now stated.
    On Monday Ford said that its profit for 2014 would be as much as $2 billion lower than earlier estimates.
    Digging into the weakness, Cramer said Ford actually "dropped three bombs at once: They said Europe had gotten bad, South America is now terrible and the United States is weaker than they thought."
    Cramer believes the commentary is critical for investors because, "None of these (issues), I repeat, none of these (issues), were in the script a few months ago. In fact, when former CEO Alan Mulally left he made a point of telling me that he felt the worst was over in these areas and that they were all improving."
    Cramer says there are only two possible conclusions. Either Mulally knew about the woes and fibbed or the global economy has taken a sharp turn for the worse, in a short period of time.

    "It's tough for me to think Mulally lied. He's always been straight with me. I think things got worse, fast.

    NOW FOR SAKE OF EASE I POSTED CRAMMERS COMMENTS INSTEAD to going to the source
    I WILL ADD IF YOU LOOK UP MY OLDER POSTS I always said Bill Ford and Mually lied . They did it just 3 days before the drop on National TV . They conned Kirk into buying millions more shares when they said everything is fine .
    3 days later Ford started the march toward near bankruptcy.

  • I did . And I explained why .
    Now we have another problem October earnings call.
    Ford is getting scary for sure. Because they now say wait until end of the decade for results.
    Europe is still a major problem.
    Oh and that pesky thing called the UAW who are going to suck 5 billion in profits away very fast.

  • Based on the charts, Wald sees support in an area around $14.30 to $14.40 per share, near where it was trading on Tuesday. “I’m monitoring for signs of buyers to come in,” he said. “But until you have that base, I think there is above-average risk that Ford could break lower.”

    Noting that Ford shares have traded in a range between $14 and $18 since 2013, while the S&P 500 was up, Wald is not optimistic.

    “It has underperformed what has been a much stronger trend for the S&P 500,” Wald said. “We think this continues. We think Ford is an underperformer. We’d stay away.”

  • informationlouisgreen by informationlouisgreen Oct 1, 2014 11:27 AM Flag

    TWO DAYS before all the bad news which is still coming out I said Ford will struggle to stay about its yearly low .
    We came close .

  • Mo is a guy who never writes a thing about FORD. Holds the record for thumbs down on his posts .

  • Reply to

    No question show or go time is coming up for Ford

    by ltjzg Sep 17, 2014 8:27 PM
    informationlouisgreen informationlouisgreen Sep 27, 2014 12:08 PM Flag

    With all due respect and in a very polite manor, I have answered this question dozens of times. Here cited Uof M Yale, Harvard, Wall Street Journal, Time , Newsweek and more. The best source is guess who
    President Barack Obama's Car Czar -- said he regretted not stressing more concessions from workers or creditors in the federal government's $82 billion bailout of Chrysler, General Motors and Ally Financial in 2009.

    It is basic economics. If auto workers were paid a fair salary in the past about 11 and hour given 2 weeks vacation . A much smaller pension .
    Profits would have soared.
    The little 3 are basically the only thing going today still paying pensions.

  • informationlouisgreen by informationlouisgreen Sep 26, 2014 2:59 PM Flag

    MKT falls Ford falls big. Mkt rises big Ford maintains .
    Failure to Execute meaning recalls clobbers Ford.
    Again we hear the calls of wait until next year.
    Again we hear Ford is not a trading stock.
    MO will sing but I bought 10 shares at 2 bucks.
    Now we wait until October earnings.
    Then the truck launch .
    Ford is a great trading stock because it goes up then falls .
    And we await the mythical 20 .

  • Reply to

    Ford Europe

    by bstaurrey Sep 16, 2014 10:07 AM
    informationlouisgreen informationlouisgreen Sep 16, 2014 3:17 PM Flag

    Same nonsense as always.
    Ford makes all its profit off North American operations
    The 7 leading cars in vehicle sales are all foreign
    Ford makes the majority of its profit off one vehicle HENCE
    With a new launch of that vehicle needing to be perfect the stock is down off its high.
    The sock could very well close the year unchanged .
    Same story Ford is only where it is at because of record DOW
    DOW goes down F goes down big DOW goes up Ford recovers a little
    FORD remains a trading stock
    Recent downgrades
    No calls for a new high
    UAW contract coming up
    I myself fail to learn and got trapped again not selling for my profit and buying back a point lower

  • informationlouisgreen by informationlouisgreen Sep 11, 2014 8:44 AM Flag

    I sold a 17.50 and 18 call. It expired. My mistake. Should have known better. I should have sold at 17.50 . Bought back today. Just a trading stock.
    Same old same . Wait till a perfect launch happens for the truck.
    Realize that almost all their profit comes from one vehicle. That 7 of the top selling cars are foreign.
    That GM and C intend to increase incentives on trucks to combat the new Ford. As good as the new truck is money means something/

  • as the profit is minimal. Bottom line FORD has one product the truck. So everything depends on the launch .
    With that said as always I post honestly. I intended to dump 14 thousand shares anywhere around 17.50 .
    I sold the Sept 5 17.50 calls, and 18 calls.
    Ford I knew was going nowhere. But again the rapid decline caught me. Calls expired for profit. Collected my dividend of course on shares. And felt by back below 17 easy play. Did not get called away and then bam stock drops.

    Same bottom line I have said over and over.
    Auto market is mature.
    UAW contract big problem
    Europe has to break even at best but it simply will not drive profits.
    Truck launch has to be perfect , still it is not going to take mkt share. And the profit may fall.
    Stock mkt rally cannot go on forever and Ford long ago needed to top 20 .
    FORD REMAINS FAIRLY VALUED 16 to 17.50 and is best used as a trading stock especially around dividend time

    ALL THE ABOVE MEANS little to Mo ,lil muffin etc as they hold 100 shares if that.

F
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