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PIMCO Total Return ETF Message Board

itsahorserace 155 posts  |  Last Activity: 4 hours ago Member since: Jun 4, 2004
  • This is definitely not over.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 20, 2014 3:03 AM Flag

    Next four months are crunch time for shorts. We all know the set-up for both sides. Waiting to see how it all plays out. GLTA. $3.87 is first fight; $4 is the second, and $4.50 will be the big war. Shorts still have shares from their last raise. Hard to tell how many shares they still have left, but I would guess about 1M. Then they have to raise. Both sides are looking at a raise in the same time frame if you ask me. Should be interesting.

  • Please explain how longs buying shares in the $3's has helped you. Just wish you were burning up more shares here to hold it down. Longs here are understandably frustrated, but patient. Beware. That dark sense of foreboding you are feeling is the big boys positioning themselves. They are coming for you. Just not here yet. Soon.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 19, 2014 3:06 AM Flag

    Thank you Beton. Finally, what investors and longs really need to know and hear.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 16, 2014 1:05 PM Flag

    Hard to keep this on top for a while.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 16, 2014 2:43 AM Flag

    Finally, someone writes an article about the shorts here. Apart from the great data, they are the story. Shorts keep saying that long posters here don't get it and that shorts are making money hand over fist. Not! This article validates the longs thesis. I could have written it. I agree with others, let's keep this up top. Shorts have some very expensive work to do in the near term. As the number of short shares rise and their basis goes down, their position becomes more and more unsustainable and tenuous. They're tightrope walking now over the Grand Canyon. An updraft will be life ending event for them. Good luck longs.

  • itsahorserace by itsahorserace Aug 14, 2014 4:45 PM Flag

    That the recent announcement, in consonance with what I have been saying, only highlights how badly the shorts mistimed their many earlier bring downs. Further, it means that they must continue to hold the stock down for at least another four months through our sp333 OIC trials results at great further cost. That's a long time to continue to hold this down. Let's see how Cantor and the shorts deal with our November data read. Think they will need at least another 2 million shares to do this. As well, the big market may not be so conducive to their position and desires in early fourth quarter. As always, it will be interesting to see how this plays out. Finally, although we all want to crush the shorts, if we don't, we only need 50 million bucks and raising here would cost us a mere 3-4 million shares. We'll be fine no matter how this cash raise turns out, but it's life or death for the shorts. This will not end until this issue is resolved. My best to all longs sent from Umbria.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 8, 2014 12:50 PM Flag

    Remember, they haven't covered until the last share is gone. That last five million shares should be killers for them.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 8, 2014 12:47 PM Flag

    Aany, keep getting the short word out. Remember, we're on for lunch when this is over. My best.

  • Things aren't working out for them at this level. This helps when they have trouble covering during the day. When they don't sell shares to themselves, volume drops and with no one else selling, intra day covering is very difficult. Good luck longs. I'm off in an hour.

  • Reply to

    How about a little help on the buy side

    by reainvestmentgrp Aug 8, 2014 9:34 AM
    itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 8, 2014 10:19 AM Flag

    Bought last at $3.43. Think I'll whine for now. When my order was filled it was all in 100 share lots. Pages and pages of 100 share lots. I even got one share lots. Clearly bought when HFT shorts were bringing it down. Delay present gratification for future gain. But now that you mention it, it is really a good time to buy. You guys are almost done here.

  • Reply to

    We are the only ones buying this stock.

    by reainvestmentgrp Aug 8, 2014 6:55 AM
    itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 8, 2014 8:06 AM Flag

    We know. And they're all your own shares that your buying. Stop it and other will come. Only the bravest buy in the middle of a bear raid. But I'm sure you know this. The second you stop selling and the price goes up, people will buy.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 7, 2014 8:48 PM Flag

    First, you only borrowed two million at six, but sold them all the way down to $3.50. Second, There are still 14million other shares with a basis around $4. 16 million in at $4.50. Third, you have never covered, nor will you this time, because you can't. Hence the "trapped" moniker. Your only hope is keeping it down until we need to raise cash, then trying to cover. What a thesis. Try arguing it in the open. See how much support you get. You're all alone on this one. By the way, since you guys aren't short, who's holding those 16 million shares? Trust me, the price will go up as magically as it goes down when it's time to raise. Then you're all toast. Looking forward to that day. But not being a child, I'm able to forego present pleasure for future gain. Time for you guys to grow up.

  • Reply to

    Ding, more lies.

    by itsahorserace Aug 7, 2014 5:05 PM
    itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 7, 2014 5:20 PM Flag

    Also, this last run is coming to an end soon because they can't cover intra day down here. Just look at the chart. Too bad fear is a more powerful emotion than happiness. But it only works on the shortsighted.

  • itsahorserace by itsahorserace Aug 7, 2014 5:05 PM Flag

    Only a short trapped with 16 million shares would even consider shorting this at $3.53. Frankly, any other shorts would be terrified to short this down here just in case you guys decided to cover a bit. You know you can't trust shorts, they lie endlessly. Times running out, but I know you guys like to live dangerously. You should try BASE jumping. Gives you the same thrill as losing all your money, only with death at the end. Keep working it, and pray we need cash soon.

  • Reply to

    Shorts dumping shares on low volume.

    by itsahorserace Aug 7, 2014 1:18 PM
    itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 7, 2014 3:17 PM Flag

    Indiansfan, thanks for the kind words. Feels like I post into a void most of the time.

  • Like I've said before, this won't end until the cash raise issue is settled. These guys are in it until this is decided. They're still working off the 2 million shares they cashed in a month ago. With no up volume they barely need to work to bring it down. Hopefully, things will be better when I get back end of August. Not selling a single share to these buffoons.

  • Although they have internet in Umbria, the wife makes me unplug from the matrix. If I didn't enjoy the trading itself so much it wouldn't be so bad, but I do. If I'm sneaky however, I'll probably get away with cheating. Was I made for this stuff or what.
    Still read people, particularly on pulse, commenting on the 50 day moving average and the like. Chart people. Didn't Ding call a double bottom a couple of months ago. He's ten times better than a chart. He's what you call a "leading indicator." The fact that they're all over the board tells you someone is paying them right now to bash. They are very active right now and covered a mess of shares at the close today. Doesn't bode well for tomorrow's trading but we are getting a bit of support down here. I'd say buy, but everyone I know has bought down here three times now. I've got shares coming out my nose.
    Time to begin focusing on OIC I think. We know Plecanitide works, but have yet to see sp333 perform. If we hit the ball out of the park on our first phase II sp333 trial, I think it adds $3 - 6 bucks in real value to the company (not the pps). Ultimately, this is the best way to win the war with shorts. Produce products so good that any fool will see the value in them. Next eight to nine months will finally answer all of our questions. It would be nice if the company didn't mess up this last funding event of only 9 million shares, but clearly the shorts are doing their best to cause that to happen. But we will get funded, and we will finish the trials, and we will be purchased. We will not partner but after seeing that weird hybrid loan thing they did at TROV, I now include it as a possibility for us. Basically, you get the cash raise as a loan but can pay it off with the proceeds of an offering later. Would that screw with the shorts or what. They'd have a collective heart attack if that were announced. Who knows what normal volume here is, churning has distorted it beyond recognition.

  • Reply to

    new theory

    by biodrift Aug 5, 2014 11:35 AM
    itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 5, 2014 12:29 PM Flag

    Good post. Don't know how long shorts can keep this up. Don't know how long we can continue without raising cash. Think you may be a bit early on the call, but it's as good as any I've heard.

  • Reply to

    Good major pharma earnings aside,..

    by itsahorserace Aug 2, 2014 5:59 PM
    itsahorserace itsahorserace Aug 5, 2014 6:31 AM Flag

    Don't confuse "wishing someone would die," in our trials with the possibility of someone actually dying during our trials. Now there's a short thesis for you, "I'm short 16 million shares at $4 because someone might die in a phase III trial. Our drug doesn't even go systemic. Maybe you guys got your ticker symbols mixed up when you made your short trade. That's it, you're in the wrong stock by mistake! You owe me now.

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