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PIMCO Total Return Active ETF Message Board

itsahorserace 243 posts  |  Last Activity: 5 hours ago Member since: Jun 4, 2004
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  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Feb 28, 2015 9:34 AM Flag

    Watch the trading. What Beton says will happen. Then there will be no discussion, he will simply be right.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Feb 28, 2015 10:19 AM Flag

    You just can't understand why anyone would be truthful. Ultimately, the truth is the best defense against shorts like you. But respect is earned not bestowed. That is why you get no respect and never will. Every time you spam our board you make the long case. It's simply hopeless for you to do anything but interefere with normal discourse.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Mar 1, 2015 5:58 PM Flag

    A12, been around shorts here a long time. When they start telling you to buy they want newbie investors to buy in as they let the price climb with some covering, then shake them out when they start selling again. In other words their looking for weak hands. This can only mean one thing, they intend to take it down later and shake shares out. The fact that they're not trying to cover going into phase III tells you all you need to know. I'm swinging some shares with this move. Bought 20k in the $2's and will swing them at the high. 100k long. If they don't bring it down I'll hold them all long. If they do bring it down, I'll buy them all back at the low and pocket the difference. These shorts have piled up some shares in the last month despite what the short interest indicates or will pick up more next triple witching. I'm sick of just sitting as they bring it up and down. I'm goin to ride their back on this move like they're my mule. Any shares you buy down here are short shares anyway. Guess that kills the "horse is a company guy" short theory. But hold your core position long. This will go double digits. But it may be early 2016. In until buyout.

  • It's real simple. Don't sell any shares under $6.50 and you just might cause the short squeeze you think might be happening now, but ISN'T, to happen. If you think you'll make money at $3.90, imagine what what a short squeeze to $9 would do for your portfolio. Take this advice, and we might all get rich sooner than you think. How will you know when not to sell? When you see selling finally appear it will be shorts. Sell and they will cover into you. That's why they've held this at $3 for so long. Good luck longs. This excludes swing positions picked up under $3. Gotta make a little cash before buyout.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Mar 3, 2015 9:14 AM Flag

    Biodrift, also a long trusted long here.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Mar 3, 2015 9:45 AM Flag

    Maybe the shorts area doing what you're doing. Don't want folks crowding the trade.

  • Reply to

    horse, what i want to know...

    by biodrift Mar 3, 2015 10:25 AM
    itsahorserace itsahorserace Mar 3, 2015 5:54 PM Flag

    Sorry not to respond timely, you know I follow you, but I'm in South Beach looking at real estate. Didn't really get to follow the trading today, instead suffering from sticker shock at the prices down here. It's like Buying in London.
    Having said that, I think it's it's controlled covering. It's the timing. The minute "shorts go long" we shoot up? Very suspicious. Then up and down today. Think todays play may have been to shake out weak momo traders. Also, still seems a little early for tutes. Will be back home on Saturday. Can hardly believe I'm missing all the action. GLTA.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Mar 3, 2015 7:29 PM Flag

    Soon i hope.

  • Good luck covering 13.7mm shares into a few momo traders with 5k shares. But, you buffoons have little left. Hard to do more when everyone here knows what you're doing. You've been doing this so long that only a few newbies aren't up to speed. Churn away and pray the future is not as bleak as it appears for you. Go to university, get a degree, and find real honest work. There's no shame in having a few twenty-year-olds laugh at the forty year old guy in class.

  • When shorts churn to bring it down and when they cover volume goes way up because they buy and sell simultaneously. Money flow today was minus ten. They churned and brought us down. Probably shook out some poor momo traders. This stock is a momo traders nightmare. Why? Because they have a tendency to trade off of charts. Shorts here are all about painting charts. Why people expect 14mm short shares to walk away with our history is simply nuts to me. Shorts were in Inhibitex until weeks before they sold. They were crucified there at $26. Maybe that's why these guys hate Cerrone.
    Buy tons below $3.11 (noteholders basis) and don't sell. It's really that simple. Swing a few shares for phase III data, but hold your core position. If you can't be here a year, then you'll probably be unhappy. Weak hands don't really help longs here at all. These games will continue until they're gone. Come November and NDA, I think things will change. But that's a ways off. This company is designed to sell. Shorts will cover. But it will take time. The company has a killer drug pipeline, simply brilliant chemistry, and 14mm short shares in a tiny float. You can see they can't cover without the price skyrocketing. Their only hope is to shake out selling. And you are seeing them try to do that. They will do more of it too. What choice do they have? Glta.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Mar 4, 2015 11:46 PM Flag


  • Thought we might send shorts a message here. Timmy thinks he'll get selling at $3.01. Let's see if he's right.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Mar 5, 2015 8:27 AM Flag

    You guys have money, HFT platform, and the desire to harm SGYP longs. I have many shares, patience and time.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Mar 5, 2015 8:45 AM Flag

    When the wind blows, the grass bends. Cannot be broken. You need us to to sell, we don't need you at all. I agree with your above analogy, you guys work just like the mob. Hard to cut a digital head off though.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Mar 5, 2015 12:12 PM Flag

    How very Machiavellian of you. The end justifies the means. Brutality is the hallmark of such thinking.

  • You simply don't sell to them. Hate these guys? Want to see them get squeezed? Go to work, play with your kids, go skiing, or just watch television. These are all proven long techniques to destroy shorts and profit. How easy is that. If longs simply stay together here and hold THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NOTHING SHORTS CAN DO BUT MANIPULATE THE PPS UP AND DOWN! Bully's always pick on easy targets. Fight back and they will simply pick on someone else. I would posit that every guy here was told this by his father at some time while growing up. Dad was, and still is, right. Don't listen to dad and they just keep coming at you. And buy all means buy below $3.11. That will hurt them too.

  • itsahorserace itsahorserace Mar 7, 2015 10:24 AM Flag

    That's so silly. You created the 50 day moving average.

  • Reply to

    Stock price

    by prxl Mar 7, 2015 4:14 PM
    itsahorserace itsahorserace Mar 8, 2015 1:34 PM Flag

    Prxl, we don't always see things the same way, but I like this post. I'm not a savvy options trader, so try to learn from you and biodrift in this regard. Too bad the short posters have over run our board, but what is one to do about it? They try to ruin whatever they can touch. I already called what just happened, but the minute we start to run, no one listens anymore. Haven't really even tried to post a think piece in a while as the shorts have me on page two in hours. If one knew how many shares shorts have to play with it would be much easier to call the next three months. But in truth, I simply don't know. I do think they are holding more shares than most think. I do know they have not covered and, as of yet, show no signs of trying in earnest. To me that says shorts are in for, at least, the first phase III data read.
    Their normal pattern is to hold it down, wait for volume to come in, HFT sell moderately during the run up to slow it down, then wait for the heavy volume to pass, and then sell what they have to bring it back down. I've got a swing position, but, like you, won't swing it for 30 cents. I do think they are in bed with at least one MM, and that helps them. Bottom line: As long as there are 14mm short shares out there, expect to be shake and baked. Their last move could have been suppressing a buy in by someone with the takedown after volume, but more likely was all shorts up and down. And no one wants to read another "be patient" post. We will have our day, but I simply don't believe our time will come until they cover at least half of their position. Still think buyout comes next year, but this is certainly debatable. Also, still think buyout will be $12+, but I know we disagree about this. Also debatable. Lean here everyday by watching the trading. And, while I can compete with their thinking, I don't want to compete with their relentless volume of posts. If anyone cares to read me, they will simply have to find me. Glta

  • itsahorserace by itsahorserace Mar 10, 2015 10:57 PM Flag

    I have always been disappointed by the massive dilution at $3.11. A price forced by shorts. What I have come to conclude is that the difference between my original projections for buyout and present expectations is the damage caused by the never ending short war. I used to think there would be a loser and a winner. But I now see that both sides are bloody. Shorts bloodied themselves trying to get us to raise cash and dilute into them, we got bloodied fighting them off with "non dilutive financing". Basically the war damaged us all. And since it was started by shorts I have to blame the guy at the top who decided to make this predatory short attack and got us all bloody. It was a bad call. And the war still isn't over. Shorts will be lucky to HFT cover out next summer on low volume, and longs in until buyout will take hard dilutive hit to the chin.
    At first I was angry at the size and price of the raise, but have come to appreciate that, with the exceptional short Attack we Contine to endure, that they left us little choice. And I sleep at night knowing they simply can't hurt the company anymore with all that cash, but rather simply manipulate the pps up and down to induce selling. I'm in until buyout. Still, it's a shame we all have to get bloody. No one should confuse the predators we have trading here with "shorts." These folks need your shares. Well, there a good reason not to sell. Short quants, hope your trade fails miserably. I will outlast you.

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